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Ockelbo vs Djurgarden Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 70-68
20-16 14-16 13-25 23-11
Position#12
Record2-1
FormWLLWW
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game76.3
Ockelbo 🏆
Sweden
vs
Position#3
Record3-1
FormLWWLW
Points / game91.2
Allowed / game79.2
SwedenSuperettan· Kuxahallen
Other2025-26
Meetings · Ockelbo v Djurgarden
21 Nov 2026
OCKE v DJUR
upcoming
11 Oct 2025
OCKE70
DJUR68
21 Dec 2024
OCKE83
DJUR71
06 Mar 2024
OCKE80
DJUR62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ockelbo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Djurgarden winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OckelboSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOckelbo
Date
Competition
Huddinge
#9
L
60-81
60
81
-21
44avg 67
A16/03
Superettan
Blackeberg
#10
W
72-71
72
71
+1
66avg 67
A22/03
Superettan
Aros Basket
#6
W
85-59
85
59
+26
82avg 67
H29/03
Superettan
Sloga Uppsala
#1
W
96-70
96
70
+26
90avg 67
H06/04
Superettan
Aros Basket
#6
W
80-71
80
71
+9
78avg 67
A12/04
Superettan
Malbas
#5
W
69-54
69
54
+15
59avg 67
H21/04
Superettan
Malbas
#5
L
62-84
62
84
-22
46avg 67
A27/04
Superettan
Alvik
#7
L
69-80
69
80
-11
53avg 67
A20/09
Superettan
IK Eos
#6
W
76-71
76
71
+5
71avg 67
H27/09
Superettan
Trelleborg
#10
W
86-78
86
78
+8
83avg 67
A04/10
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-28
17-18
13-15
9-20
23-14
15-17
15-25
19-15
25-14
24-16
17-16
19-13
25-25
25-14
17-7
29-24
18-15
22-14
15-23
25-19
13-24
19-10
13-11
24-9
17-19
20-23
16-18
9-24
19-18
15-20
20-29
15-13
21-14
18-20
23-13
14-24
20-19
19-20
24-21
23-18
147.4Avg total
75.5Scored
71.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)77.076.3153.3+0.767%
Season at home (1)76.071.0147.0+5.0100%
Season away (2)77.579.0156.5-1.550%
Last 10 (10)75.571.9147.4+3.670%
Last 5 (5)72.473.4145.8-1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)82.077.8159.8+4.250%
vs Similar (14)74.573.3147.8+1.250%
vs Weaker (12)77.772.8150.4+4.975%
This opponent (Djurgarden) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DjurgardenSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDjurgarden
Date
Competition
Wetterbygden Stars
#2
L
79-88
79
88
-9
62avg 77
A29/03
Superettan
Blackeberg
#10
W
82-75
82
75
+7
81avg 77
H06/04
Superettan
IK Eos
#11
W
86-72
86
72
+14
90avg 77
A12/04
Superettan
Malbas
#5
L
68-80
68
80
-12
56avg 77
A13/04
Superettan
Sloga Uppsala
#1
L
78-97
78
97
-19
67avg 77
H21/04
Superettan
Sloga Uppsala
#1
L
79-92
79
92
-13
65avg 77
A27/04
Superettan
Blackeberg
#14
W
97-60
97
60
+37
87avg 77
A20/09
Superettan
AIK Basket
#9
W
92-75
92
75
+17
86avg 77
H27/09
Superettan
Sollentuna
#11
L
81-94
81
94
-13
80avg 77
H04/10
Superettan
Huddinge
#4
W
95-88
95
88
+7
99avg 77
H08/10
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-19
13-21
30-21
14-27
25-19
28-20
17-16
12-20
27-25
18-15
22-11
19-21
18-19
15-17
19-20
16-24
22-19
21-21
21-23
14-34
13-19
17-26
29-33
20-14
27-16
19-12
22-19
29-13
23-17
15-20
33-16
21-22
16-22
16-24
34-25
15-23
27-17
23-24
27-23
18-24
165.8Avg total
83.7Scored
82.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)91.279.2170.5+12.075%
Season at home (3)89.385.7175.0+3.767%
Season away (1)97.060.0157.0+37.0100%
Last 10 (10)83.782.1165.8+1.650%
Last 5 (5)88.881.8170.6+7.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)77.087.3164.3-10.317%
vs Similar (9)80.286.1166.3-5.911%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)88.274.1162.3+14.187%
This opponent (Ockelbo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +4.7+4.7Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: -4.4-4.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +4.7+4.7Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: -4.4-4.4
OckelboDjurgarden
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OckelboLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Huddinge
#9
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A16/03
Superettan
Blackeberg
#10
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A22/03
Superettan
Aros Basket
#6
W
49-30
49
30
+19
H29/03
Superettan
Sloga Uppsala
#1
W
50-39
50
39
+11
H06/04
Superettan
Aros Basket
#6
W
40-29
40
29
+11
A12/04
Superettan
Malbas
#5
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H21/04
Superettan
Malbas
#5
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A27/04
Superettan
Alvik
#7
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A20/09
Superettan
IK Eos
#6
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H27/09
Superettan
Trelleborg
#10
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A04/10
Superettan
75.8Avg total
39.6Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.336.075.2+3.360%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.633.675.3+8.079%-
Last 30 away (16)37.238.075.2-0.844%-
Last 10 (10)39.636.275.8+3.450%-
Last 5 (5)36.237.473.6-1.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)44.539.283.8+5.275%-
vs Similar (14)36.236.873.0-0.636%-
vs Weaker (12)41.133.975.0+7.283%-
This opponent (Djurgarden) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DjurgardenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wetterbygden Stars
#2
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A29/03
Superettan
Blackeberg
#10
W
53-39
53
39
+14
H06/04
Superettan
IK Eos
#11
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A12/04
Superettan
Malbas
#5
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A13/04
Superettan
Sloga Uppsala
#1
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H21/04
Superettan
Sloga Uppsala
#1
L
30-45
30
45
-15
A27/04
Superettan
Blackeberg
#14
W
46-28
46
28
+18
A20/09
Superettan
AIK Basket
#9
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H27/09
Superettan
Sollentuna
#11
L
32-46
32
46
-14
H04/10
Superettan
Huddinge
#4
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H08/10
Superettan
79.7Avg total
40.5Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.441.582.9-0.053%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.342.182.4-1.847%-
Last 30 away (13)42.940.783.6+2.262%-
Last 10 (10)40.539.279.7+1.360%-
Last 5 (5)39.239.478.6-0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)38.343.882.2-5.517%-
vs Similar (9)39.744.684.2-4.933%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)43.738.782.4+5.180%-
This opponent (Ockelbo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ockelbotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ockelbo: 74.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.815.9
45.7%
50.7%31.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.68.5
30.8%
30.9%25.5
🏀 Free throws23.717.2
72.6%
67.0%17.2
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Djurgardentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Djurgarden: 83.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.519.9
50.4%
50.7%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.99.0
32.3%
30.9%27.0
🏀 Free throws21.416.5
77.1%
67.0%16.5
They take 67.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ockelbo
WWLLWWWWWL
Djurgarden
WLWWLLLWWL
#12
League position
#3
+4.1
Net rating
+2.8
98.1
Offensive rating
107.5
94.0
Defensive rating
104.7
45.9%
Effective FG%
49.6%
44.3%
Opp. effective FG%
48.8%
19.5%
Turnover %
17.1%
28.7%
Off. rebound %
32.4%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.32
30.8%
3-point %
32.3%
56.1%
Assist %
64.7%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence98.1 · 107.5Defence94.0 · 104.7Shooting45.9% · 49.6%3-point %30.8% · 32.3%Ball care19.5% · 17.1%Off. rebounds28.7% · 32.4%Free throws0.38 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Ockelbo   ■ Djurgarden
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Ockelbo wins
2
Djurgarden wins
DateGameScore
21/12/24Ockelbo v Djurgarden83-71
27/11/24Djurgarden v Ockelbo91-88 OT
06/03/24Ockelbo v Djurgarden80-62
14/10/23Djurgarden v Ockelbo79-66
Ockelbolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/10/25ATrelleborg86-78
27/09/25HIK Eos76-71
20/09/25AAlvik69-80
27/04/25AMalbas62-84
21/04/25HMalbas69-54
12/04/25AAros Basket80-71
06/04/25HSloga Uppsala96-70
29/03/25HAros Basket85-59
22/03/25ABlackeberg72-71
16/03/25AHuddinge60-81
Djurgardenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/10/25HHuddinge95-88
04/10/25HSollentuna81-94
27/09/25HAIK Basket92-75
20/09/25ABlackeberg97-60
27/04/25ASloga Uppsala79-92
21/04/25HSloga Uppsala78-97
13/04/25AMalbas68-80
12/04/25AIK Eos86-72
06/04/25HBlackeberg82-75
29/03/25AWetterbygden Stars79-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ockelbo
Superettan 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWW67%
HomeW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game77.076.077.5
Allowed / game76.371.079.0
Point differential+0.7+5.0-1.5
Avg total153.3147.0156.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Djurgarden
Superettan 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLW75%
HomeWLW67%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %75%67%100%
Points / game91.289.397.0
Allowed / game79.285.760.0
Point differential+12.0+3.7+37.0
Avg total170.5175.0157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%33%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fryshuset Basket550100%93.277.6+15.6
2 Djurgarden43175%91.279.2+12.0
3 Malbas32167%93.078.7+14.3
4 Alvik32167%88.376.3+12.0
5 Sollentuna32167%79.773.0+6.7
6 Ockelbo32167%77.076.3+0.7
7 IK Eos21150%74.571.0+3.5
8 Eskilstuna42250%84.586.8-2.2
9 Trelleborg42250%75.580.0-4.5
10 Aros Basket21150%72.586.5-14.0
11 Huddinge41325%81.584.5-3.0
12 AIK Basket2020%74.085.5-11.5
13 Wetterbygden Stars3030%74.088.7-14.7
14 Blackeberg4040%68.293.2-25.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ockelbo2014132370
Djurgarden1616251168
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