Ockelbo hosts Trelleborg in the Superettan on 7 November 2026, with the model favouring Trelleborg at 60% to 40% for Ockelbo, a game the model expects to be tight with a projected score of 80-82 and a total of 162.0 points; the home line of 3.0 gives a 49% chance for Ockelbo to cover, while the over line of 162.5 has a 48% probability, and a 5% chance of overtime. Ockelbo, 3-5 overall, averages 73.2 points and allows 83.2, while Trelleborg, 3-3 overall, averages 81.8 and allows 82.8; Ockelbo's home record is 1-3 with 72.2 points and 75.8 allowed, and they have won only one of their last five, losing to Alvik 65-78, beating Malbas 80-69, and losing to Huddinge 75-76; Trelleborg's road record is 2-1 with 79.0 points and 82.0 allowed, and they have won three of their last five, losing to Sollentuna 63-82, beating Norrort 88-80, and losing to Alvik 84-97 at home. In the four meetings the last of which saw Ockelbo beat Trelleborg 94-79 on 29 November 2025, the model still sees Trelleborg as the favourite, with the game projected to be a close contest that could swing on a single play.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (8) | 73.2 | 83.2 | 156.5 | -10.0 | 38% |
| Season at home (4) | 72.2 | 75.8 | 148.0 | -3.5 | 25% |
| Season away (4) | 74.2 | 90.8 | 165.0 | -16.5 | 50% |
| Last 10 (10) | 73.4 | 80.5 | 153.9 | -7.1 | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 72.0 | 78.6 | 150.6 | -6.6 | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (18) | 73.9 | 85.3 | 159.2 | -11.4 | 17% |
| vs Similar (7) | 76.0 | 81.3 | 157.3 | -5.3 | 29% |
| vs Weaker (5) | 74.8 | 65.8 | 140.6 | +9.0 | 80% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (6) | 81.8 | 82.8 | 164.7 | -1.0 | 50% |
| Season at home (3) | 84.7 | 83.7 | 168.3 | +1.0 | 33% |
| Season away (3) | 79.0 | 82.0 | 161.0 | -3.0 | 67% |
| Last 10 (10) | 85.9 | 87.3 | 173.2 | -1.4 | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 82.8 | 82.0 | 164.8 | +0.8 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (9) | 83.2 | 86.9 | 170.1 | -3.7 | 44% |
| vs Similar (16) | 87.1 | 84.7 | 171.8 | +2.4 | 44% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (5) | 84.2 | 83.8 | 168.0 | +0.4 | 60% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 80.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 37.9 | 40.2 | 78.1 | -2.3 | 37% | 40% |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 38.1 | 38.1 | 76.1 | +0.0 | 40% | 33% |
| Last 30 away (15) | 37.7 | 42.3 | 80.0 | -4.5 | 33% | 47% |
| Last 10 (10) | 37.5 | 40.8 | 78.3 | -3.3 | 40% | 30% |
| Last 5 (5) | 37.2 | 39.0 | 76.2 | -1.8 | 40% | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (18) | 37.9 | 42.4 | 80.3 | -4.6 | 28% | 50% |
| vs Similar (7) | 39.4 | 40.4 | 79.9 | -1.0 | 43% | 43% |
| vs Weaker (5) | 35.8 | 31.6 | 67.4 | +4.2 | 60% | 0% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 80.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 44.0 | 43.0 | 87.0 | +0.9 | 53% | 60% |
| Last 30 at home (16) | 45.8 | 39.9 | 85.8 | +5.9 | 75% | 50% |
| Last 30 away (14) | 41.9 | 46.6 | 88.4 | -4.7 | 29% | 71% |
| Last 10 (10) | 46.3 | 43.6 | 89.9 | +2.7 | 50% | 70% |
| Last 5 (5) | 40.8 | 42.6 | 83.4 | -1.8 | 40% | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (9) | 41.3 | 42.9 | 84.2 | -1.6 | 44% | 56% |
| vs Similar (16) | 45.8 | 43.1 | 88.9 | +2.7 | 56% | 69% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (5) | 42.8 | 43.0 | 85.8 | -0.2 | 60% | 40% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ockelbo under 85.5 | 71.7% | 1.31 | 1.31 | - | - | - | - | +4.4pp | Won |
| Ockelbo under 86.5 | 74.9% | 1.24 | 1.24 | - | - | - | - | +4.2pp | Won |
| Overtime: no | 94.7% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +3.7pp | - |
| Trelleborg under 88.5 | 72.6% | 1.28 | 1.28 | - | - | - | - | +3.3pp | Won |
| Trelleborg +4.5 | 72.6% | 1.28 | 1.28 | - | - | - | - | +3.0pp | Won |
| Trelleborg over 76.5 | 71.5% | 1.28 | 1.28 | - | - | - | - | +2.1pp | Lost |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 40.8 | 21.1 | 50.3% | 42.2 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 24.2 | 5.2 | 29.7% | 15.6 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 23.1 | 15.0 | 65.8% | 15.0 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 40.8 | 20.7 | 50.3% | 41.4 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 29.8 | 9.6 | 29.7% | 28.8 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 25.0 | 16.4 | 65.8% | 16.4 |
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 29/11/25 | Ockelbo v Trelleborg | 94-79 |
| 04/10/25 | Trelleborg v Ockelbo | 78-86 |
| 15/01/22 | Ockelbo v Trelleborg | 86-80 OT |
| 09/10/21 | Trelleborg v Ockelbo | 96-99 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11/26 | H | Alvik | 65-78 |
| 31/10/26 | H | Malbas | 80-69 |
| 24/10/26 | H | Huddinge | 75-76 |
| 10/10/26 | H | Norrort | 69-80 |
| 04/10/26 | A | IK Eos | 71-90 |
| 03/10/26 | A | Malbas | 73-71 |
| 26/09/26 | A | Cross Over | 94-75 |
| 19/09/26 | A | Alvik | 59-127 |
| 12/04/26 | A | Djurgarden | 76-82 |
| 10/04/26 | H | Blackeberg | 72-57 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10/26 | A | Sollentuna | 63-82 |
| 24/10/26 | A | Norrort | 88-80 |
| 17/10/26 | H | Alvik | 84-97 |
| 10/10/26 | H | Sollentuna | 93-67 |
| 27/09/26 | A | Huddinge | 86-84 |
| 19/09/26 | H | Wetterbygden Stars | 77-87 |
| 11/04/26 | H | AIK Basket | 106-91 |
| 29/03/26 | A | AIK Basket | 71-92 |
| 28/03/26 | A | Huddinge | 82-91 |
| 14/03/26 | H | Fryshuset Basket | 109-102 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLLWL | 38% |
| Home | LLWL | 25% |
| Away | LWWL | 50% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 8 | 4 | 4 |
| Win % | 38% | 25% | 50% |
| Points / game | 73.2 | 72.2 | 74.2 |
| Allowed / game | 83.2 | 75.8 | 90.8 |
| Point differential | -10.0 | -3.5 | -16.5 |
| Avg total | 156.5 | 148.0 | 165.0 |
| Over 162.75 | 25% | 0% | 50% |
| Win by 10+ | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 50% (2) | 0% (1) | 100% (1) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWLWL | 50% |
| Home | LWL | 33% |
| Away | WWL | 67% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 6 | 3 | 3 |
| Win % | 50% | 33% | 67% |
| Points / game | 81.8 | 84.7 | 79.0 |
| Allowed / game | 82.8 | 83.7 | 82.0 |
| Point differential | -1.0 | +1.0 | -3.0 |
| Avg total | 164.7 | 168.3 | 161.0 |
| Over 162.75 | 67% | 67% | 67% |
| Win by 10+ | 17% | 33% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 100% (1) | - | 100% (1) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AIK Basket | 6 | 5 | 1 | 83% | 83.3 | 71.0 | +12.3 |
| 2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 78% | 90.2 | 80.0 | +10.2 | |
| 3 | Alvik | 8 | 6 | 2 | 75% | 92.0 | 74.8 | +17.2 |
| 4 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 67% | 89.3 | 80.8 | +8.5 | |
| 5 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 67% | 84.6 | 80.8 | +3.8 | |
| 6 | Eskilstuna | 8 | 5 | 3 | 62% | 87.8 | 86.1 | +1.6 |
| 7 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 60% | 93.4 | 73.6 | +19.8 | |
| 8 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 56% | 86.6 | 79.1 | +7.4 | |
| 9 | Trelleborg | 6 | 3 | 3 | 50% | 81.8 | 82.8 | -1.0 |
| 10 | Huddinge | 8 | 4 | 4 | 50% | 76.1 | 81.6 | -5.5 |
| 11 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 38% | 73.2 | 83.2 | -10.0 | |
| 12 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 29% | 77.3 | 89.3 | -12.0 | |
| 13 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 0% | 69.2 | 86.2 | -17.0 | |
| 14 | Cross Over | 8 | 0 | 8 | 0% | 69.6 | 94.8 | -25.1 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 17 | 10 | 10 | 58 | |
| Trelleborg | 22 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 70 |
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