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OGM Ormanspor vs Afyon Belediye Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 20 Dec 2020
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 85-101
21-24 29-17 13-45 22-15
Position#16
Record4-8
FormLLLWL
Points / game78.9
Allowed / game88.5
vs
Position#9
Record6-6
FormLLWLW
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game83.2
TurkeyBasketbol Süper LigiRound 13
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · OGM Ormanspor v Afyon Belediye
20 Dec 2020
OOR85
ABE101
01 Dec 2019
OOR77
ABE76
20 Sep 2017
OOR67
ABE77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

OGM Ormanspor winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Afyon Belediye winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OGM OrmansporTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#1
L
76-115
76
115
-39
H10/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#5
W
91-85 OT
91
85
+6
A18/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fethiye Bld.
#15
W
77-66
77
66
+11
H25/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Gaziantep
#8
W
87-76
87
76
+11
A01/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#14
L
90-106
90
106
-16
H07/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tofas
#4
L
82-99
82
99
-17
A14/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Darussafaka
#7
L
64-80
64
80
-16
H21/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#6
L
64-83
64
83
-19
A02/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#12
W
80-68
80
68
+12
H06/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#13
L
82-89
82
89
-7
A13/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-27
20-24
13-31
26-33
14-19
29-22
20-20
15-17
22-13
20-11
15-25
20-17
22-22
23-19
23-14
19-21
27-30
21-30
26-21
16-25
28-24
15-28
15-24
24-23
17-26
19-21
14-16
14-17
17-19
17-24
18-20
12-20
19-22
28-15
19-10
14-21
19-32
24-22
25-12
14-23
166.0Avg total
79.3Scored
86.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)78.988.5167.4-9.633%
Season at home (6)78.287.5165.7-9.333%
Season away (6)79.789.5169.2-9.833%
Last 10 (10)79.386.7166.0-7.440%
Last 5 (5)74.483.8158.2-9.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)76.087.8163.8-11.825%
vs Similar (8)82.585.9168.4-3.450%
vs Weaker (2)78.572.5151.0+6.0100%
This opponent (Afyon Belediye) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Afyon BelediyeTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tofas
#4
L
75-89
75
89
-14
H11/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Darussafaka
#7
L
77-102
77
102
-25
A17/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#6
L
84-89
84
89
-5
H24/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#12
W
76-70
76
70
+6
A31/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#13
W
79-74
79
74
+5
H08/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#1
L
67-86
67
86
-19
A15/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#3
L
82-96
82
96
-14
A21/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bursaspor
#10
W
76-70
76
70
+6
H02/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#2
L
74-94
74
94
-20
A06/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#11
W
97-80
97
80
+17
H12/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-26
17-24
17-23
23-16
20-24
19-26
17-28
21-24
22-28
11-16
21-18
30-27
21-10
16-16
13-21
26-23
21-19
21-24
25-12
12-19
19-17
17-24
15-28
16-17
25-31
11-24
26-16
20-25
19-27
18-12
22-15
17-16
13-23
20-24
17-26
24-21
33-20
22-25
12-23
30-12
163.7Avg total
78.7Scored
85.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)78.883.2162.0-4.350%
Season at home (6)81.578.7160.2+2.867%
Season away (6)76.287.7163.8-11.533%
Last 10 (10)78.785.0163.7-6.340%
Last 5 (5)79.285.2164.4-6.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)75.183.5158.6-8.513%
vs Similar (11)83.282.2165.4+1.055%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)87.077.5164.5+9.575%
This opponent (OGM Ormanspor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: -4.3-4.3Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: -4.3-4.3Q4: +1.9+1.9
OGM OrmansporAfyon Belediye
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OGM OrmansporLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#1
L
37-51
37
51
-14
H10/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#5
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A18/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fethiye Bld.
#15
W
42-24
42
24
+18
H25/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Gaziantep
#8
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A01/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#14
L
48-60
48
60
-12
H07/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tofas
#4
L
43-52
43
52
-9
A14/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Darussafaka
#7
L
36-47
36
47
-11
H21/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#6
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A02/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#12
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H06/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#13
L
43-54
43
54
-11
A13/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
86.8Avg total
41.8Scored
45.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.944.084.0-4.133%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.842.483.2-1.738%-
Last 30 away (14)39.045.984.9-6.929%-
Last 10 (10)41.845.086.8-3.240%-
Last 5 (5)40.646.687.2-6.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)39.245.684.9-6.425%-
vs Similar (8)40.441.281.6-0.938%-
vs Weaker (2)45.039.084.0+6.0100%-
This opponent (Afyon Belediye) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Afyon BelediyeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tofas
#4
L
35-50
35
50
-15
H11/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Darussafaka
#7
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A17/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#6
L
33-44
33
44
-11
H24/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#12
W
37-26
37
26
+11
A31/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#13
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H08/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#1
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A15/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#3
L
36-55
36
55
-19
A21/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bursaspor
#10
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H02/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#2
L
33-47
33
47
-14
A06/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#11
W
55-45
55
45
+10
H12/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
82.3Avg total
38.3Scored
44.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.942.281.1-3.333%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.041.179.1-3.127%-
Last 30 away (15)39.743.383.1-3.640%-
Last 10 (10)38.344.082.3-5.720%-
Last 5 (5)39.445.484.8-6.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)35.442.978.3-7.513%-
vs Similar (11)44.542.887.4+1.755%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)36.237.874.0-1.550%-
This opponent (OGM Ormanspor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
OGM Ormansportheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

OGM Ormanspor: 77.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.9 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.920.8
53.5%
53.2%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.27.0
33.0%
36.1%21.0
🏀 Free throws21.215.2
71.7%
74.6%15.2
They take 60.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Afyon Belediyetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Afyon Belediye: 77.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.9 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.019.7
51.8%
53.2%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.18.7
36.1%
36.1%26.1
🏀 Free throws15.112.2
80.8%
74.6%12.2
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Dec 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
OGM Ormanspor
LWLLLLWWWL
Afyon Belediye
WLWLLWWLLL
#16
League position
#9
-11.4
Net rating
-8.7
106.0
Offensive rating
104.3
117.4
Defensive rating
113.1
52.1%
Effective FG%
52.7%
56.7%
Opp. effective FG%
56.2%
17.1%
Turnover %
22.0%
25.0%
Off. rebound %
31.9%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.24
33.0%
3-point %
36.1%
70.5%
Assist %
66.2%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence106.0 · 104.3Defence117.4 · 113.1Shooting52.1% · 52.7%3-point %33.0% · 36.1%Ball care17.1% · 22.0%Off. rebounds25.0% · 31.9%Free throws0.35 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ OGM Ormanspor   ■ Afyon Belediye
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
OGM Ormanspor wins
1
Afyon Belediye wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/12/20ABuyukcekmece82-89
06/12/20HBahcesehir Kol.80-68
02/12/20ATurk Telekom64-83
21/11/20HDarussafaka64-80
14/11/20ATofas82-99
07/11/20HPetkim Spor90-106
01/11/20AGaziantep87-76
25/10/20HFethiye Bld.77-66
18/10/20ABesiktas91-85 OT
10/10/20HAnadolu Efes76-115
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/12/20HGalatasaray97-80
06/12/20AFenerbahce74-94
02/12/20HBursaspor76-70
21/11/20AKarsiyaka82-96
15/11/20AAnadolu Efes67-86
08/11/20HBuyukcekmece79-74
31/10/20ABahcesehir Kol.76-70
24/10/20HTurk Telekom84-89
17/10/20ADarussafaka77-102
11/10/20HTofas75-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

OGM Ormanspor
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2020-21
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL33%
HomeLWLLW33%
AwayWWLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %33%33%33%
Points / game78.978.279.7
Allowed / game88.587.589.5
Point differential-9.6-9.3-9.8
Avg total167.4165.7169.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %8%0%17%
Afyon Belediye
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2020-21
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW50%
HomeLLWWW67%
AwayLWLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %50%67%33%
Points / game78.881.576.2
Allowed / game83.278.787.7
Point differential-4.3+2.8-11.5
Avg total162.0160.2163.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Anadolu Efes11110100%87.571.8+15.7
2 Fenerbahce1311285%89.274.8+14.4
3 Karsiyaka1310377%82.675.2+7.5
4 Turk Telekom138562%84.181.5+2.5
5 Darussafaka126650%82.979.5+3.4
6 Gaziantep126650%74.073.2+0.8
7 Afyon Belediye126650%78.883.2-4.3
8 Besiktas136746%82.982.4+0.5
9 Petkim Spor115645%82.079.9+2.1
10 Tofas125742%86.484.6+1.8
11 Buyukcekmece125742%82.888.3-5.5
12 Bahcesehir Kol.135838%81.480.9+0.5
13 OGM Ormanspor124833%78.988.5-9.6
14 Galatasaray134931%82.087.5-5.5
15 Bursaspor113827%79.787.5-7.8
16 Fethiye Bld.1331023%73.689.5-15.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
OGM Ormanspor2129132285
Afyon Belediye24174515101
← all games of the day
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