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Ohio State vs Michigan Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 03 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 84-61
32-27 52-34
Position#123
Record17-12
FormLWLWW
Points / game74.2
Allowed / game69.9
Ohio State 🏆
USA
vs
Michigan
USA
Position#347
Record8-21
FormLLLLL
Points / game74.0
Allowed / game79.1
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Ohio State v Michigan
08 Feb 2026
OHIO61
MICH82
16 Feb 2025
OHIO83
MICH86
03 Mar 2024
OHIO84
MICH61
06 Mar 2022
OHIO69
MICH75
21 Feb 2021
OHIO87
MICH92
01 Mar 2020
OHIO77
MICH63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ohio State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Michigan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ohio StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northwestern
#86
L
58-83
58
83
-25
A28/01
NCAA
Illinois
#27
L
75-87
75
87
-12
H31/01
NCAA
Iowa
#162
L
77-79
77
79
-2
A03/02
NCAA
Indiana
#153
L
73-76
73
76
-3
H07/02
NCAA
Maryland
#215
W
79-75 OT
79
75
+4
H10/02
NCAA
Wisconsin
#117
L
54-62
54
62
-8
A14/02
NCAA
Purdue
#8
W
73-69
73
69
+4
H18/02
NCAA
Minnesota
#163
L
79-88
79
88
-9
A23/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#154
W
60-57
60
57
+3
A25/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#62
W
78-69
78
69
+9
H29/02
NCAA
1H
2H
30-41
28-42
34-41
41-46
38-36
39-43
42-29
31-47
33-32
28-29
21-34
33-28
35-30
38-39
34-42
45-46
22-32
38-25
39-37
39-32
145.1Avg total
70.6Scored
74.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)74.269.9144.0+4.359%
Season at home (17)77.268.0145.2+9.276%
Season away (12)69.872.5142.3-2.733%
Last 10 (10)70.674.5145.1-3.940%
Last 5 (5)68.869.0137.8-0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)71.378.7150.0-7.333%
vs Similar (17)73.972.1146.0+1.853%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)74.764.4139.1+10.370%
This opponent (Michigan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MichiganUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iowa
#162
L
78-88
78
88
-10
H27/01
NCAA
Michigan State
#154
L
62-81
62
81
-19
A31/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#241
L
59-69
59
69
-10
H03/02
NCAA
Wisconsin
#117
W
72-68
72
68
+4
H08/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#62
L
59-79
59
79
-20
A10/02
NCAA
Illinois
#27
L
68-97
68
97
-29
A14/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#154
L
63-73
63
73
-10
H18/02
NCAA
Northwestern
#86
L
62-76
62
76
-14
A23/02
NCAA
Purdue
#8
L
76-84
76
84
-8
H25/02
NCAA
Rutgers
#241
L
52-82
52
82
-30
A01/03
NCAA
1H
2H
44-42
34-46
35-33
27-48
39-30
20-39
37-33
35-35
25-45
34-34
29-47
39-50
37-39
26-34
34-37
28-39
36-47
40-37
26-41
26-41
144.8Avg total
65.1Scored
79.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)74.079.1153.1-5.128%
Season at home (17)78.177.9155.9+0.235%
Season away (12)68.280.8149.0-12.517%
Last 10 (10)65.179.7144.8-14.610%
Last 5 (5)64.282.4146.6-18.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)73.779.5153.2-5.925%
vs Similar (2)74.066.0140.0+8.050%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Ohio State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: -2.6-2.61st half: -5.2-5.22nd half2nd half: -1.7-1.72nd half: -9.4-9.4
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: -2.6-2.61st half: -5.2-5.22nd half2nd half: -1.7-1.72nd half: -9.4-9.4
Ohio StateMichigan
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Ohio StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northwestern
#86
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A28/01
NCAA
Illinois
#27
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H31/01
NCAA
Iowa
#162
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A03/02
NCAA
Indiana
#153
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H07/02
NCAA
Maryland
#215
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H10/02
NCAA
Wisconsin
#117
L
21-34
21
34
-13
A14/02
NCAA
Purdue
#8
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H18/02
NCAA
Minnesota
#163
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A23/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#154
L
22-32
22
32
-10
A25/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#62
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H29/02
NCAA
68.2Avg total
32.8Scored
35.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.431.866.3+2.660%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.929.866.8+7.176%-
Last 30 away (13)31.234.565.6-3.338%-
Last 10 (10)32.835.468.2-2.650%-
Last 5 (5)30.235.065.2-4.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)34.337.772.0-3.333%-
vs Similar (17)33.833.267.1+0.653%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)35.527.763.2+7.880%-
This opponent (Michigan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MichiganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iowa
#162
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H27/01
NCAA
Michigan State
#154
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A31/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#241
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H03/02
NCAA
Wisconsin
#117
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H08/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#62
L
25-45
25
45
-20
A10/02
NCAA
Illinois
#27
L
29-47
29
47
-18
A14/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#154
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H18/02
NCAA
Northwestern
#86
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A23/02
NCAA
Purdue
#8
L
36-47
36
47
-11
H25/02
NCAA
Rutgers
#241
L
26-41
26
41
-15
A01/03
NCAA
73.6Avg total
34.2Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.436.472.8-0.057%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.936.576.4+3.565%-
Last 30 away (13)31.836.468.2-4.646%-
Last 10 (10)34.239.473.6-5.240%-
Last 5 (5)32.442.274.6-9.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)36.236.973.0-0.754%-
vs Similar (2)39.530.570.0+9.0100%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Ohio State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Ohio State wins
4
Michigan wins
DateGameScore
15/01/24Michigan v Ohio State73-65
05/02/23Michigan v Ohio State77-69
06/03/22Ohio State v Michigan69-75
12/02/22Michigan v Ohio State57-68
13/03/21Michigan v Ohio State67-68
21/02/21Ohio State v Michigan87-92
01/03/20Ohio State v Michigan77-63
05/02/20Michigan v Ohio State58-61
Ohio Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/02/24HNebraska78-69
25/02/24AMichigan State60-57
23/02/24AMinnesota79-88
18/02/24HPurdue73-69
14/02/24AWisconsin54-62
10/02/24HMaryland79-75 OT
07/02/24HIndiana73-76
03/02/24AIowa77-79
31/01/24HIllinois75-87
28/01/24ANorthwestern58-83
Michiganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/24ARutgers52-82
25/02/24HPurdue76-84
23/02/24ANorthwestern62-76
18/02/24HMichigan State63-73
14/02/24AIllinois68-97
10/02/24ANebraska59-79
08/02/24HWisconsin72-68
03/02/24HRutgers59-69
31/01/24AMichigan State62-81
27/01/24HIowa78-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ohio State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW59%
HomeLLWWW76%
AwayLLLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291712
Win %59%76%33%
Points / game74.277.269.8
Allowed / game69.968.072.5
Point differential+4.3+9.2-2.7
Avg total144.0145.2142.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%47%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)75% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %7%6%8%
Michigan
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL28%
HomeLLWLL35%
AwayLLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291712
Win %28%35%17%
Points / game74.078.168.2
Allowed / game79.177.980.8
Point differential-5.1+0.2-12.5
Avg total153.1155.9149.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%18%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)33% (6)0% (1)
Overtime %7%6%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Purdue2926390%84.770.2+14.4
2 Illinois2922776%84.873.2+11.6
3 Nebraska2920969%76.869.8+7.1
4 Northwestern2920969%74.469.6+4.8
5 Oregon29191066%76.272.6+3.6
6 Minnesota29181162%76.671.0+5.6
7 Wisconsin29181162%74.469.6+4.8
8 Iowa30181260%83.878.9+5.0
9 Michigan State29171259%74.466.5+7.9
10 Ohio State29171259%74.269.9+4.3
11 Indiana29161355%73.275.1-1.9
12 Rutgers28151354%66.765.9+0.8
13 Washington30161453%81.077.3+3.7
14 Maryland30151550%69.665.0+4.6
15 UCLA29141548%66.265.5+0.7
16 Penn State30141647%75.674.5+1.1
17 USC29121741%74.474.8-0.4
18 Michigan2982128%74.079.1-5.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Ohio State325284
Michigan273461
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