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Ohio State vs Michigan Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 08 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 61-82
34-44 27-38
Position#104
Record15-7
FormWLWLW
Points / game82.2
Allowed / game73.0
Ohio State
USA
vs
Michigan 🏆
USA
Position#6
Record21-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game91.4
Allowed / game68.9
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Ohio State v Michigan
08 Feb 2026
OHIO61
MICH82
16 Feb 2025
OHIO83
MICH86
03 Mar 2024
OHIO84
MICH61
06 Mar 2022
OHIO69
MICH75
21 Feb 2021
OHIO87
MICH92
01 Mar 2020
OHIO77
MICH63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ohio State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Michigan winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ohio StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rutgers
#267
W
80-73
80
73
+7
A03/01
NCAA
Nebraska
#21
L
69-72
69
72
-3
H05/01
NCAA
Oregon
#293
W
72-62
72
62
+10
A09/01
NCAA
Washington
#218
L
74-81
74
81
-7
A11/01
NCAA
UCLA
#73
W
86-74
86
74
+12
H17/01
NCAA
Minnesota
#235
W
82-74 OT
82
74
+8
H20/01
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
62-74
62
74
-12
A24/01
NCAA
Penn State
#298
W
84-78
84
78
+6
H27/01
NCAA
Wisconsin
#57
L
82-92
82
92
-10
A31/01
NCAA
Maryland
#305
W
82-62
82
62
+20
A06/02
NCAA
1H
2H
37-41
43-32
31-38
38-34
34-29
38-33
38-36
36-45
42-36
44-38
31-28
36-39
30-33
32-41
50-32
34-46
43-49
39-43
42-30
40-32
151.5Avg total
77.3Scored
74.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)82.273.0155.1+9.268%
Season at home (14)86.072.3158.3+13.779%
Season away (8)75.574.1149.6+1.450%
Last 10 (10)77.374.2151.5+3.160%
Last 5 (5)78.476.0154.4+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)70.378.0148.3-7.70%
vs Similar (13)77.178.7155.8-1.638%
vs Weaker (14)86.770.1156.8+16.693%
This opponent (Michigan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MichiganUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
USC
#153
W
96-66
96
66
+30
H03/01
NCAA
Penn State
#298
W
74-72
74
72
+2
A07/01
NCAA
Wisconsin
#57
L
88-91
88
91
-3
H10/01
NCAA
Washington
#218
W
82-72
82
72
+10
A15/01
NCAA
Oregon
#293
W
81-71
81
71
+10
A17/01
NCAA
Indiana
#145
W
86-72
86
72
+14
H21/01
NCAA
Ohio State
#104
W
74-62
74
62
+12
H24/01
NCAA
Nebraska
#21
W
75-72
75
72
+3
H28/01
NCAA
Michigan State
#29
W
83-71
83
71
+12
A31/01
NCAA
Penn State
#298
W
110-69
110
69
+41
H05/02
NCAA
1H
2H
49-31
47-35
40-31
34-41
38-37
50-54
39-30
43-42
40-41
41-30
40-29
46-43
33-30
41-32
48-50
27-22
42-26
41-45
56-24
54-45
156.7Avg total
84.9Scored
71.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)91.468.9160.3+22.595%
Season at home (15)94.767.5162.1+27.293%
Season away (7)84.372.0156.3+12.3100%
Last 10 (10)84.971.8156.7+13.190%
Last 5 (5)85.669.2154.8+16.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)68.274.6142.8-6.440%
vs Similar (4)84.265.2149.5+19.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)90.969.3160.2+21.695%
This opponent (Ohio State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +2.6+2.61st half: +9.6+9.62nd half2nd half: -0.3-0.32nd half: +3.5+3.5
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +2.6+2.61st half: +9.6+9.62nd half2nd half: -0.3-0.32nd half: +3.5+3.5
Ohio StateMichigan
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Ohio StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rutgers
#267
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A03/01
NCAA
Nebraska
#21
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H05/01
NCAA
Oregon
#293
W
34-29
34
29
+5
A09/01
NCAA
Washington
#218
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A11/01
NCAA
UCLA
#73
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H17/01
NCAA
Minnesota
#235
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H20/01
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A24/01
NCAA
Penn State
#298
W
50-32
50
32
+18
H27/01
NCAA
Wisconsin
#57
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A31/01
NCAA
Maryland
#305
W
42-30
42
30
+12
A06/02
NCAA
73.0Avg total
37.8Scored
35.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.534.773.2+3.853%-
Last 30 at home (19)40.134.474.5+5.758%-
Last 30 away (11)35.735.270.9+0.545%-
Last 10 (10)37.835.273.0+2.660%-
Last 5 (5)39.234.473.6+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)34.339.774.0-5.30%-
vs Similar (13)35.535.370.8+0.246%-
vs Weaker (14)42.233.075.2+9.271%-
This opponent (Michigan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MichiganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
USC
#153
W
49-31
49
31
+18
H03/01
NCAA
Penn State
#298
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A07/01
NCAA
Wisconsin
#57
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H10/01
NCAA
Washington
#218
W
39-30
39
30
+9
A15/01
NCAA
Oregon
#293
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A17/01
NCAA
Indiana
#145
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H21/01
NCAA
Ohio State
#104
W
33-30
33
30
+3
H24/01
NCAA
Nebraska
#21
L
48-50
48
50
-2
H28/01
NCAA
Michigan State
#29
W
42-26
42
26
+16
A31/01
NCAA
Penn State
#298
W
56-24
56
24
+32
H05/02
NCAA
75.4Avg total
42.5Scored
32.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.833.075.8+9.770%-
Last 30 at home (19)45.031.376.3+13.784%-
Last 30 away (11)38.936.175.0+2.845%-
Last 10 (10)42.532.975.4+9.680%-
Last 5 (5)43.831.875.6+12.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)31.634.866.4-3.240%-
vs Similar (4)37.231.869.0+5.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)46.532.979.3+13.681%-
This opponent (Ohio State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Ohio State wins
6
Michigan wins
DateGameScore
24/01/26Michigan v Ohio State74-62
16/02/25Ohio State v Michigan83-86
03/03/24Ohio State v Michigan84-61
15/01/24Michigan v Ohio State73-65
05/02/23Michigan v Ohio State77-69
06/03/22Ohio State v Michigan69-75
12/02/22Michigan v Ohio State57-68
13/03/21Michigan v Ohio State67-68
21/02/21Ohio State v Michigan87-92
01/03/20Ohio State v Michigan77-63
Ohio Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/02/26AMaryland82-62
31/01/26AWisconsin82-92
27/01/26HPenn State84-78
24/01/26AMichigan62-74
20/01/26HMinnesota82-74 OT
17/01/26HUCLA86-74
11/01/26AWashington74-81
09/01/26AOregon72-62
05/01/26HNebraska69-72
03/01/26ARutgers80-73
Michiganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/02/26HPenn State110-69
31/01/26AMichigan State83-71
28/01/26HNebraska75-72
24/01/26HOhio State74-62
21/01/26HIndiana86-72
17/01/26AOregon81-71
15/01/26AWashington82-72
10/01/26HWisconsin88-91
07/01/26APenn State74-72
03/01/26HUSC96-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ohio State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW68%
HomeWLWWW79%
AwayWLLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22148
Win %68%79%50%
Points / game82.286.075.5
Allowed / game73.072.374.1
Point differential+9.2+13.7+1.4
Avg total155.1158.3149.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%50%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %9%14%0%
Michigan
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW95%
HomeLWWWW93%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22157
Win %95%93%100%
Points / game91.494.784.3
Allowed / game68.967.572.0
Point differential+22.5+27.2+12.3
Avg total160.3162.1156.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+77%80%71%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)67% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %5%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Michigan2221195%91.468.9+22.5
2 Nebraska2321291%80.066.1+13.9
3 Illinois2420483%84.567.9+16.6
4 Michigan State2420483%79.165.6+13.5
5 Purdue2319483%83.068.7+14.2
6 Iowa2217577%78.263.5+14.7
7 USC2418675%81.275.3+6.0
8 UCLA2417771%78.869.8+9.0
9 Wisconsin2316770%83.075.2+7.8
10 Ohio State2215768%82.273.0+9.2
11 Indiana2416867%81.171.2+9.8
12 Washington24121250%77.973.5+4.4
13 Minnesota23111248%72.069.0+3.0
14 Northwestern23101343%75.272.5+2.7
15 Penn State24101442%76.179.6-3.5
16 Rutgers2491538%70.176.4-6.3
17 Maryland2281436%72.079.8-7.8
18 Oregon2381535%71.774.3-2.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Ohio State342761
Michigan443882
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