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Illinois vs Michigan Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 14 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 97-68
47-29 50-39
Position#27
Record17-6
FormLWWWL
Points / game82.4
Allowed / game70.4
Illinois 🏆
USA
vs
Michigan
USA
Position#347
Record8-16
FormLLLWL
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game78.4
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Illinois v Michigan
27 Feb 2026
ILLI70
MICH84
13 Feb 2024
ILLI97
MICH68
02 Mar 2023
ILLI91
MICH87
14 Jan 2022
ILLI68
MICH53
11 Dec 2019
ILLI71
MICH62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illinois winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Michigan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

IllinoisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Purdue
#8
L
78-83
78
83
-5
A06/01
NCAA
Michigan State
#154
W
71-68
71
68
+3
H12/01
NCAA
Maryland
#215
L
67-76
67
76
-9
H14/01
NCAA
Michigan
#347
W
88-73
88
73
+15
A19/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#241
W
86-63
86
63
+23
H21/01
NCAA
Northwestern
#86
L
91-96 OT
91
96
-5
A25/01
NCAA
Indiana
#153
W
70-62
70
62
+8
H27/01
NCAA
Ohio State
#123
W
87-75
87
75
+12
A31/01
NCAA
Nebraska
#62
W
87-84 OT
87
84
+3
H04/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#154
L
80-88
80
88
-8
A10/02
NCAA
1H
2H
32-47
46-36
37-34
34-34
39-37
28-39
37-36
51-37
40-28
46-35
32-34
44-42
38-34
32-28
41-34
46-41
34-36
39-37
41-44
39-44
157.3Avg total
80.5Scored
76.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)82.470.4152.9+12.074%
Season at home (16)82.366.3148.6+16.088%
Season away (7)82.779.9162.6+2.943%
Last 10 (10)80.576.8157.3+3.760%
Last 5 (5)83.081.0164.0+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (14)75.676.8152.4-1.243%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)83.966.4150.4+17.588%
This opponent (Michigan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MichiganUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Penn State
#216
L
73-79
73
79
-6
A07/01
NCAA
Maryland
#215
L
57-64
57
64
-7
A12/01
NCAA
Ohio State
#123
W
73-65
73
65
+8
H15/01
NCAA
Illinois
#27
L
73-88
73
88
-15
H19/01
NCAA
Purdue
#8
L
67-99
67
99
-32
A24/01
NCAA
Iowa
#162
L
78-88
78
88
-10
H27/01
NCAA
Michigan State
#154
L
62-81
62
81
-19
A31/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#241
L
59-69
59
69
-10
H03/02
NCAA
Wisconsin
#117
W
72-68
72
68
+4
H08/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#62
L
59-79
59
79
-20
A10/02
NCAA
1H
2H
37-27
36-52
33-21
24-43
37-28
36-37
36-37
37-51
25-49
42-50
44-42
34-46
35-33
27-48
39-30
20-39
37-33
35-35
25-45
34-34
145.3Avg total
67.3Scored
78.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)76.078.4154.4-2.333%
Season at home (15)79.277.8157.0+1.440%
Season away (9)70.879.3150.1-8.622%
Last 10 (10)67.378.0145.3-10.720%
Last 5 (5)66.077.0143.0-11.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)75.778.9154.7-3.230%
vs Similar (6)74.273.2147.3+1.033%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Illinois) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: +0.7+0.71st half: +0.3+0.32nd half2nd half: +3.2+3.22nd half: -11.0-11.0
-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: +0.7+0.71st half: +0.3+0.32nd half2nd half: +3.2+3.22nd half: -11.0-11.0
IllinoisMichigan
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
IllinoisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Purdue
#8
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A06/01
NCAA
Michigan State
#154
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H12/01
NCAA
Maryland
#215
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H14/01
NCAA
Michigan
#347
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A19/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#241
W
40-28
40
28
+12
H21/01
NCAA
Northwestern
#86
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A25/01
NCAA
Indiana
#153
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H27/01
NCAA
Ohio State
#123
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A31/01
NCAA
Nebraska
#62
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H04/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#154
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A10/02
NCAA
73.5Avg total
37.1Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.434.070.3+2.460%-
Last 30 at home (20)37.531.569.0+6.070%-
Last 30 away (10)34.138.973.0-4.840%-
Last 10 (10)37.136.473.5+0.760%-
Last 5 (5)37.236.473.6+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (14)32.637.470.0-4.729%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)39.631.070.6+8.688%-
This opponent (Michigan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MichiganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Penn State
#216
W
37-27
37
27
+10
A07/01
NCAA
Maryland
#215
W
33-21
33
21
+12
A12/01
NCAA
Ohio State
#123
W
37-28
37
28
+9
H15/01
NCAA
Illinois
#27
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H19/01
NCAA
Purdue
#8
L
25-49
25
49
-24
A24/01
NCAA
Iowa
#162
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H27/01
NCAA
Michigan State
#154
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A31/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#241
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H03/02
NCAA
Wisconsin
#117
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H08/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#62
L
25-45
25
45
-20
A10/02
NCAA
69.3Avg total
34.8Scored
34.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.434.671.0+1.863%-
Last 30 at home (18)39.434.974.3+4.572%-
Last 30 away (12)31.834.266.0-2.350%-
Last 10 (10)34.834.569.3+0.370%-
Last 5 (5)36.036.672.6-0.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)37.035.772.7+1.365%-
vs Similar (6)33.329.262.5+4.267%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Illinois) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Illinois wins
0
Michigan wins
DateGameScore
19/01/24Michigan v Illinois73-88
03/03/23Illinois v Michigan91-87 OT
27/02/22Michigan v Illinois85-93
15/01/22Illinois v Michigan68-53
03/03/21Michigan v Illinois53-76
25/01/20Michigan v Illinois62-64
12/12/19Illinois v Michigan71-62
Illinoislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/02/24AMichigan State80-88
04/02/24HNebraska87-84 OT
31/01/24AOhio State87-75
27/01/24HIndiana70-62
25/01/24ANorthwestern91-96 OT
21/01/24HRutgers86-63
19/01/24AMichigan88-73
14/01/24HMaryland67-76
12/01/24HMichigan State71-68
06/01/24APurdue78-83
Michiganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/02/24ANebraska59-79
08/02/24HWisconsin72-68
03/02/24HRutgers59-69
31/01/24AMichigan State62-81
27/01/24HIowa78-88
24/01/24APurdue67-99
19/01/24HIllinois73-88
15/01/24HOhio State73-65
12/01/24AMaryland57-64
07/01/24APenn State73-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illinois
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL74%
HomeWLWWW88%
AwayLWLWL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games23167
Win %74%88%43%
Points / game82.482.382.7
Allowed / game70.466.379.9
Point differential+12.0+16.0+2.9
Avg total152.9148.6162.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%62%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %9%6%14%
Michigan
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL33%
HomeWLLLW40%
AwayLLLLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games24159
Win %33%40%22%
Points / game76.079.270.8
Allowed / game78.477.879.3
Point differential-2.3+1.4-8.6
Avg total154.4157.0150.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%20%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)33% (6)0% (1)
Overtime %8%7%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Purdue2422292%85.169.5+15.5
2 Illinois2317674%82.470.4+12.0
3 Northwestern2417771%74.969.8+5.2
4 Nebraska2517868%77.370.8+6.5
5 Wisconsin2416867%74.368.4+5.9
6 Oregon2416867%77.072.5+4.5
7 Minnesota2315865%76.168.6+7.5
8 Michigan State2415962%75.165.6+9.5
9 Iowa24141058%84.278.1+6.1
10 Ohio State24141058%75.370.0+5.2
11 Indiana24141058%73.074.4-1.5
12 Rutgers23131057%66.965.0+2.0
13 Maryland24131154%69.163.7+5.4
14 Washington24131154%80.876.7+4.0
15 UCLA24131154%66.264.0+2.2
16 Penn State24121250%76.073.3+2.7
17 USC2491538%74.475.3-1.0
18 Michigan2481633%76.078.4-2.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Illinois475097
Michigan293968
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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