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Michigan vs Purdue Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 25 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 76-84
36-47 40-37
Position#347
Record8-19
FormWLLLL
Points / game74.7
Allowed / game78.8
Michigan
USA
vs
Purdue 🏆
USA
Position#8
Record24-3
FormWWWLW
Points / game84.9
Allowed / game69.9
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Michigan v Purdue
08 Jan 2027
MICH v PURD
upcoming
15 Mar 2026
MICH72
PURD80
14 Mar 2025
MICH86
PURD68
11 Feb 2025
MICH75
PURD73
25 Feb 2024
MICH76
PURD84
26 Jan 2023
MICH70
PURD75
10 Feb 2022
MICH82
PURD58
09 Jan 2020
MICH84
PURD78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Michigan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Purdue winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MichiganUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois
#27
L
73-88
73
88
-15
H19/01
NCAA
Purdue
#8
L
67-99
67
99
-32
A24/01
NCAA
Iowa
#162
L
78-88
78
88
-10
H27/01
NCAA
Michigan State
#154
L
62-81
62
81
-19
A31/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#241
L
59-69
59
69
-10
H03/02
NCAA
Wisconsin
#117
W
72-68
72
68
+4
H08/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#62
L
59-79
59
79
-20
A10/02
NCAA
Illinois
#27
L
68-97
68
97
-29
A14/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#154
L
63-73
63
73
-10
H18/02
NCAA
Northwestern
#86
L
62-76
62
76
-14
A23/02
NCAA
1H
2H
36-37
37-51
25-49
42-50
44-42
34-46
35-33
27-48
39-30
20-39
37-33
35-35
25-45
34-34
29-47
39-50
37-39
26-34
34-37
28-39
148.1Avg total
66.3Scored
81.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)74.778.8153.5-4.030%
Season at home (16)78.277.5155.7+0.738%
Season away (11)69.780.6150.4-10.918%
Last 10 (10)66.381.8148.1-15.510%
Last 5 (5)64.878.6143.4-13.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)74.479.3153.7-4.827%
vs Similar (3)66.064.7130.7+1.333%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Purdue) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PurdueUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana
#153
W
87-66
87
66
+21
A17/01
NCAA
Iowa
#162
W
84-70
84
70
+14
A20/01
NCAA
Michigan
#347
W
99-67
99
67
+32
H24/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#241
W
68-60
68
60
+8
A28/01
NCAA
Northwestern
#86
W
105-96 OT
105
96
+9
H31/01
NCAA
Wisconsin
#117
W
75-69
75
69
+6
A04/02
NCAA
Indiana
#153
W
79-59
79
59
+20
H11/02
NCAA
Minnesota
#163
W
84-76
84
76
+8
H16/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#123
L
69-73
69
73
-4
A18/02
NCAA
Rutgers
#241
W
96-68
96
68
+28
H23/02
NCAA
1H
2H
51-29
36-37
47-34
37-36
49-25
50-42
33-20
35-40
47-39
34-42
34-32
41-37
37-25
42-34
35-43
49-33
30-35
39-38
52-33
44-35
155.0Avg total
84.6Scored
70.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)84.969.9154.7+15.089%
Season at home (17)90.069.2159.2+20.8100%
Season away (10)76.170.9147.0+5.270%
Last 10 (10)84.670.4155.0+14.290%
Last 5 (5)80.669.0149.6+11.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)84.065.7149.7+18.3100%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)83.070.2153.2+12.883%
This opponent (Michigan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-13-6+0+6+131st half1st half: -5.1-5.11st half: +10.0+10.02nd half2nd half: -10.4-10.42nd half: +3.3+3.3
-13-6+0+6+131st half1st half: -5.1-5.11st half: +10.0+10.02nd half2nd half: -10.4-10.42nd half: +3.3+3.3
MichiganPurdue
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
MichiganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois
#27
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H19/01
NCAA
Purdue
#8
L
25-49
25
49
-24
A24/01
NCAA
Iowa
#162
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H27/01
NCAA
Michigan State
#154
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A31/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#241
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H03/02
NCAA
Wisconsin
#117
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H08/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#62
L
25-45
25
45
-20
A10/02
NCAA
Illinois
#27
L
29-47
29
47
-18
A14/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#154
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H18/02
NCAA
Northwestern
#86
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A23/02
NCAA
73.3Avg total
34.1Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.635.772.3+0.960%-
Last 30 at home (18)39.535.675.1+3.967%-
Last 30 away (12)32.236.068.2-3.850%-
Last 10 (10)34.139.273.3-5.140%-
Last 5 (5)32.440.272.6-7.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)36.636.372.9+0.358%-
vs Similar (3)35.728.764.3+7.0100%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Purdue) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PurdueLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana
#153
W
51-29
51
29
+22
A17/01
NCAA
Iowa
#162
W
47-34
47
34
+13
A20/01
NCAA
Michigan
#347
W
49-25
49
25
+24
H24/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#241
W
33-20
33
20
+13
A28/01
NCAA
Northwestern
#86
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H31/01
NCAA
Wisconsin
#117
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A04/02
NCAA
Indiana
#153
W
37-25
37
25
+12
H11/02
NCAA
Minnesota
#163
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H16/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#123
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A18/02
NCAA
Rutgers
#241
W
52-33
52
33
+19
H23/02
NCAA
73.0Avg total
41.5Scored
31.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.231.172.3+10.177%-
Last 30 at home (20)43.231.174.3+12.180%-
Last 30 away (10)37.231.068.2+6.270%-
Last 10 (10)41.531.573.0+10.080%-
Last 5 (5)37.633.671.2+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)41.530.371.8+11.267%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)41.131.372.4+9.879%-
This opponent (Michigan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Michigan wins
3
Purdue wins
DateGameScore
24/01/24Purdue v Michigan99-67
27/01/23Michigan v Purdue70-75
11/02/22Michigan v Purdue82-58
05/02/22Purdue v Michigan82-76
23/01/21Purdue v Michigan53-70
22/02/20Purdue v Michigan63-71
10/01/20Michigan v Purdue84-78 OT
Michiganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/02/24ANorthwestern62-76
18/02/24HMichigan State63-73
14/02/24AIllinois68-97
10/02/24ANebraska59-79
08/02/24HWisconsin72-68
03/02/24HRutgers59-69
31/01/24AMichigan State62-81
27/01/24HIowa78-88
24/01/24APurdue67-99
19/01/24HIllinois73-88
Purduelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/02/24HRutgers96-68
18/02/24AOhio State69-73
16/02/24HMinnesota84-76
11/02/24HIndiana79-59
04/02/24AWisconsin75-69
31/01/24HNorthwestern105-96 OT
28/01/24ARutgers68-60
24/01/24HMichigan99-67
20/01/24AIowa84-70
17/01/24AIndiana87-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Michigan
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL30%
HomeLLLWL38%
AwayLLLLL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271611
Win %30%38%18%
Points / game74.778.269.7
Allowed / game78.877.580.6
Point differential-4.0+0.7-10.9
Avg total153.5155.7150.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%19%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)33% (6)0% (1)
Overtime %7%6%9%
Purdue
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW89%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWL70%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271710
Win %89%100%70%
Points / game84.990.076.1
Allowed / game69.969.270.9
Point differential+15.0+20.8+5.2
Avg total154.7159.2147.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%65%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %7%6%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Purdue2724389%84.969.9+15.0
2 Illinois2720774%83.872.0+11.8
3 Nebraska2719870%77.370.0+7.3
4 Northwestern2719870%74.469.3+5.1
5 Wisconsin2718967%74.368.7+5.6
6 Oregon2718967%75.971.6+4.3
7 Minnesota2617965%76.769.7+7.1
8 Michigan State27171063%75.066.2+8.8
9 Iowa28161257%83.578.8+4.8
10 Ohio State27151256%74.670.4+4.2
11 Maryland28151354%69.664.3+5.3
12 Washington28151354%80.877.2+3.6
13 UCLA27141352%65.964.0+1.8
14 Rutgers27141352%66.166.4-0.3
15 Indiana27141352%72.975.2-2.3
16 Penn State28141450%75.673.9+1.7
17 USC27111641%74.274.8-0.6
18 Michigan2781930%74.778.8-4.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Michigan364076
Purdue473784
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