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Ohio State vs Michigan State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 62-69
29-37 33-32
Position#172
Record9-4
FormWLWWW
Points / game82.8
Allowed / game69.8
Ohio State
USA
vs
Michigan State 🏆
USA
Position#17
Record11-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game67.1
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Ohio State v Michigan State
23 Jan 2027
OHIO v MICH
upcoming
03 Jan 2025
OHIO62
MICH69
12 Feb 2023
OHIO41
MICH62
03 Mar 2022
OHIO80
MICH69
31 Jan 2021
OHIO79
MICH62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ohio State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Michigan State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ohio StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Evansville
#319
W
80-30
80
30
+50
H20/11
NCAA
Campbell
#222
W
104-60
104
60
+44
H22/11
NCAA
Wisc. Green Bay
#366
W
102-69
102
69
+33
H26/11
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#173
L
90-91 OT
90
91
-1
H29/11
NCAA
Maryland
#35
L
59-83
59
83
-24
A04/12
NCAA
Rutgers
#224
W
80-66
80
66
+14
H07/12
NCAA
Auburn
#12
L
53-91
53
91
-38
H14/12
NCAA
Valparaiso
#248
W
95-73
95
73
+22
H18/12
NCAA
Kentucky
#71
W
85-65
85
65
+20
A21/12
NCAA
Indiana State
#254
W
103-83
103
83
+20
H29/12
NCAA
1H
2H
28-14
52-16
53-27
51-33
42-32
60-37
48-39
29-38
17-50
42-33
39-31
41-35
21-49
32-42
41-30
54-43
39-30
46-35
52-47
51-36
156.2Avg total
85.1Scored
71.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)82.869.8152.6+12.969%
Season at home (10)86.868.2155.0+18.680%
Season away (3)69.375.3144.7-6.033%
Last 10 (10)85.171.1156.2+14.070%
Last 5 (5)83.275.6158.8+7.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)66.881.4148.2-14.620%
vs Similar (15)77.371.8149.1+5.560%
vs Weaker (9)85.265.3150.6+19.978%
This opponent (Michigan State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Michigan StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bowling Green
#257
W
86-72
86
72
+14
H16/11
NCAA
Samford
#61
W
83-75
83
75
+8
H20/11
NCAA
Colorado
#278
W
72-56
72
56
+16
H25/11
NCAA
Memphis
#15
L
63-71
63
71
-8
H26/11
NCAA
North Carolina
#111
W
94-91 OT
94
91
+3
A28/11
NCAA
Minnesota
#226
W
90-72
90
72
+18
A05/12
NCAA
Nebraska
#158
W
89-52
89
52
+37
H07/12
NCAA
Oakland
#220
W
77-58
77
58
+19
H18/12
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#162
W
86-69
86
69
+17
H21/12
NCAA
Western Michigan
#305
W
80-62
80
62
+18
H30/12
NCAA
1H
2H
43-43
43-29
38-28
45-47
38-25
34-31
31-34
32-37
43-34
39-48
42-30
48-42
41-31
48-21
31-30
46-28
42-29
44-40
37-24
43-38
149.8Avg total
82.0Scored
67.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)82.067.1149.1+14.985%
Season at home (11)80.264.5144.6+15.782%
Season away (2)92.081.5173.5+10.5100%
Last 10 (10)82.067.8149.8+14.290%
Last 5 (5)84.462.6147.0+21.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)68.377.3145.7-9.00%
vs Similar (11)67.664.8132.5+2.864%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)80.166.2146.2+13.981%
This opponent (Ohio State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: +3.1+3.11st half: +7.8+7.82nd half2nd half: +11.0+11.02nd half: +6.1+6.1
-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: +3.1+3.11st half: +7.8+7.82nd half2nd half: +11.0+11.02nd half: +6.1+6.1
Ohio StateMichigan State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Ohio StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Evansville
#319
W
28-14
28
14
+14
H20/11
NCAA
Campbell
#222
W
53-27
53
27
+26
H22/11
NCAA
Wisc. Green Bay
#366
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H26/11
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#173
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H29/11
NCAA
Maryland
#35
L
17-50
17
50
-33
A04/12
NCAA
Rutgers
#224
W
39-31
39
31
+8
H07/12
NCAA
Auburn
#12
L
21-49
21
49
-28
H14/12
NCAA
Valparaiso
#248
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H18/12
NCAA
Kentucky
#71
W
39-30
39
30
+9
A21/12
NCAA
Indiana State
#254
W
52-47
52
47
+5
H29/12
NCAA
72.9Avg total
38.0Scored
34.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.133.768.8+1.467%-
Last 30 at home (19)38.432.570.9+5.884%-
Last 30 away (11)29.535.765.3-6.236%-
Last 10 (10)38.034.972.9+3.180%-
Last 5 (5)38.437.475.8+1.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)27.240.267.4-13.020%-
vs Similar (15)35.533.268.7+2.367%-
vs Weaker (9)37.930.468.3+7.489%-
This opponent (Michigan State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Michigan StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bowling Green
#257
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H16/11
NCAA
Samford
#61
W
38-28
38
28
+10
H20/11
NCAA
Colorado
#278
W
38-25
38
25
+13
H25/11
NCAA
Memphis
#15
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H26/11
NCAA
North Carolina
#111
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A28/11
NCAA
Minnesota
#226
W
42-30
42
30
+12
A05/12
NCAA
Nebraska
#158
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H07/12
NCAA
Oakland
#220
W
31-30
31
30
+1
H18/12
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#162
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H21/12
NCAA
Western Michigan
#305
W
37-24
37
24
+13
H30/12
NCAA
69.4Avg total
38.6Scored
30.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.532.468.0+3.160%-
Last 30 at home (18)35.231.666.8+3.661%-
Last 30 away (12)36.033.769.7+2.358%-
Last 10 (10)38.630.869.4+7.880%-
Last 5 (5)38.628.867.4+9.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)31.037.368.3-6.30%-
vs Similar (11)33.731.665.4+2.164%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)37.632.169.7+5.669%-
This opponent (Ohio State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Ohio State wins
4
Michigan State wins
DateGameScore
25/02/24Michigan State v Ohio State57-60
10/03/23Michigan State v Ohio State58-68
04/03/23Michigan State v Ohio State84-78
12/02/23Ohio State v Michigan State41-62
04/03/22Ohio State v Michigan State80-69
26/02/21Michigan State v Ohio State71-67
31/01/21Ohio State v Michigan State79-62
08/03/20Michigan State v Ohio State80-69
Ohio Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/24HIndiana State103-83
21/12/24AKentucky85-65
18/12/24HValparaiso95-73
14/12/24HAuburn53-91
07/12/24HRutgers80-66
04/12/24AMaryland59-83
29/11/24HPittsburgh90-91 OT
26/11/24HWisc. Green Bay102-69
22/11/24HCampbell104-60
20/11/24HEvansville80-30
Michigan Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/24HWestern Michigan80-62
21/12/24HFlorida Atlantic86-69
18/12/24HOakland77-58
07/12/24HNebraska89-52
05/12/24AMinnesota90-72
28/11/24ANorth Carolina94-91 OT
26/11/24HMemphis63-71
25/11/24HColorado72-56
20/11/24HSamford83-75
16/11/24HBowling Green86-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ohio State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW69%
HomeLWLWW80%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games13103
Win %69%80%33%
Points / game82.886.869.3
Allowed / game69.868.275.3
Point differential+12.9+18.6-6.0
Avg total152.6155.0144.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%70%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %8%10%0%
Michigan State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW85%
HomeLWWWW82%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games13112
Win %85%82%100%
Points / game82.080.292.0
Allowed / game67.164.581.5
Point differential+14.9+15.7+10.5
Avg total149.1144.6173.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+69%73%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %8%0%50%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Penn State1412286%87.967.9+20.0
2 Oregon1412286%79.468.7+10.6
3 UCLA1311285%77.458.7+18.7
4 Michigan State1311285%82.067.1+14.9
5 Nebraska1311285%77.765.1+12.6
6 Maryland1411379%85.962.1+23.9
7 Wisconsin1411379%83.971.9+12.0
8 Indiana1411379%79.170.2+8.9
9 Illinois1310377%88.266.5+21.7
10 Michigan1310377%84.066.6+17.4
11 Iowa1410471%89.477.1+12.2
12 Northwestern1410471%75.065.3+9.7
13 Purdue1410471%77.370.4+6.9
14 Ohio State139469%82.869.8+12.9
15 USC139469%76.468.4+8.0
16 Washington139469%74.069.1+4.9
17 Rutgers148657%79.375.0+4.3
18 Minnesota148657%67.465.1+2.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Ohio State293362
Michigan State373269
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