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Ohio State vs Michigan State Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 23 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 18:00
Scheduled
Position#224
Record2-2
FormLLWWL
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game79.2
Ohio State
USA
vs
Michigan State
USA
Position#28
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game93.0
Allowed / game66.2
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Ohio State v Michigan State
23 Jan 2027
OHIO v MICH
upcoming
03 Jan 2025
OHIO62
MICH69
12 Feb 2023
OHIO41
MICH62
03 Mar 2022
OHIO80
MICH69
31 Jan 2021
OHIO79
MICH62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ohio State win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Michigan State win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ohio StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Purdue
#31
W
82-74
82
74
+8
H01/03
NCAA
Penn State
#298
W
94-62
94
62
+32
A05/03
NCAA
Indiana
#145
W
91-78
91
78
+13
H07/03
NCAA
Iowa
#81
W
72-69
72
69
+3
H12/03
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
67-71
67
71
-4
A13/03
NCAA
TCU
#77
L
64-66
64
66
-2
H19/03
NCAA
Brigham Young
#51
L
83-94
83
94
-11
A03/11
NCAA
Youngstown State
#242
W
89-65
89
65
+24
H06/11
NCAA
Marshall
#301
W
84-74
84
74
+10
H09/11
NCAA
Uconn
#30
L
68-84
68
84
-16
A14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
36-31
46-43
45-21
49-41
50-33
41-45
34-30
38-39
35-39
32-32
24-39
40-27
37-34
46-60
38-33
51-32
45-27
39-47
40-42
28-42
153.1Avg total
79.4Scored
73.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)81.079.2160.2+1.850%
Season at home (2)86.569.5156.0+17.0100%
Season away (2)75.589.0164.5-13.50%
Last 10 (10)79.473.7153.1+5.760%
Last 5 (5)77.676.6154.2+1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)71.579.9151.4-8.412%
vs Similar (13)75.574.8150.2+0.746%
vs Weaker (9)84.669.0153.6+15.6100%
This opponent (Michigan State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Michigan StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rutgers
#267
W
91-87
91
87
+4
H06/03
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
80-90
80
90
-10
A08/03
NCAA
UCLA
#73
L
84-88
84
88
-4
H14/03
NCAA
North Dakota St
#30
W
92-67
92
67
+25
H19/03
NCAA
Louisville
#53
W
77-69
77
69
+8
H21/03
NCAA
Uconn
#11
L
63-67
63
67
-4
A28/03
NCAA
Quinnipiac
#243
W
96-59
96
59
+37
H03/11
NCAA
Toledo
#262
W
91-61
91
61
+30
H06/11
NCAA
Duke
#87
W
79-73
79
73
+6
A11/11
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#255
W
106-72
106
72
+34
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
31-30
60-57
41-42
39-48
33-44
51-44
45-25
47-42
36-31
41-38
27-35
36-32
52-24
44-35
48-25
43-36
34-25
45-48
59-44
47-28
159.2Avg total
85.9Scored
73.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)93.066.2159.2+26.8100%
Season at home (3)97.764.0161.7+33.7100%
Season away (1)79.073.0152.0+6.0100%
Last 10 (10)85.973.3159.2+12.670%
Last 5 (5)87.066.4153.4+20.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)78.882.0160.8-3.250%
vs Similar (7)71.669.6141.1+2.057%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)85.568.1153.6+17.589%
This opponent (Ohio State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +5.5+5.51st half: +8.1+8.12nd half2nd half: +0.2+0.22nd half: +4.5+4.5
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +5.5+5.51st half: +8.1+8.12nd half2nd half: +0.2+0.22nd half: +4.5+4.5
Ohio StateMichigan State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Ohio StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Purdue
#31
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H01/03
NCAA
Penn State
#298
W
45-21
45
21
+24
A05/03
NCAA
Indiana
#145
W
50-33
50
33
+17
H07/03
NCAA
Iowa
#81
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H12/03
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A13/03
NCAA
TCU
#77
L
24-39
24
39
-15
H19/03
NCAA
Brigham Young
#51
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A03/11
NCAA
Youngstown State
#242
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H06/11
NCAA
Marshall
#301
W
45-27
45
27
+18
H09/11
NCAA
Uconn
#30
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A14/11
NCAA
71.3Avg total
38.4Scored
32.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.634.571.1+2.253%-
Last 30 at home (18)37.234.471.6+2.756%-
Last 30 away (12)35.834.570.3+1.350%-
Last 10 (10)38.432.971.3+5.570%-
Last 5 (5)36.835.071.8+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)35.638.674.2-3.025%-
vs Similar (13)35.234.269.4+1.154%-
vs Weaker (9)39.631.270.8+8.378%-
This opponent (Michigan State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Michigan StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rutgers
#267
W
31-30
31
30
+1
H06/03
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A08/03
NCAA
UCLA
#73
L
33-44
33
44
-11
H14/03
NCAA
North Dakota St
#30
W
45-25
45
25
+20
H19/03
NCAA
Louisville
#53
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H21/03
NCAA
Uconn
#11
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A28/03
NCAA
Quinnipiac
#243
W
52-24
52
24
+28
H03/11
NCAA
Toledo
#262
W
48-25
48
25
+23
H06/11
NCAA
Duke
#87
W
34-25
34
25
+9
A11/11
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#255
W
59-44
59
44
+15
H14/11
NCAA
73.1Avg total
40.6Scored
32.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.733.571.2+4.257%-
Last 30 at home (18)40.532.172.6+8.472%-
Last 30 away (12)33.535.669.1-2.133%-
Last 10 (10)40.632.573.1+8.170%-
Last 5 (5)44.030.674.6+13.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)34.037.071.0-3.025%-
vs Similar (7)33.434.367.7-0.929%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)40.132.472.5+7.674%-
This opponent (Ohio State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Ohio State wins
6
Michigan State wins
DateGameScore
22/02/26Michigan State v Ohio State66-60
04/01/25Ohio State v Michigan State62-69
25/02/24Michigan State v Ohio State57-60
10/03/23Michigan State v Ohio State58-68
04/03/23Michigan State v Ohio State84-78
12/02/23Ohio State v Michigan State41-62
04/03/22Ohio State v Michigan State80-69
26/02/21Michigan State v Ohio State71-67
31/01/21Ohio State v Michigan State79-62
08/03/20Michigan State v Ohio State80-69
Ohio Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AUconn68-84
09/11/26HMarshall84-74
06/11/26HYoungstown State89-65
03/11/26ABrigham Young83-94
19/03/26HTCU64-66
13/03/26AMichigan67-71
12/03/26HIowa72-69
07/03/26HIndiana91-78
05/03/26APenn State94-62
01/03/26HPurdue82-74
Michigan Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HNorthern Iowa106-72
11/11/26ADuke79-73
06/11/26HToledo91-61
03/11/26HQuinnipiac96-59
28/03/26AUconn63-67
21/03/26HLouisville77-69
19/03/26HNorth Dakota St92-67
14/03/26HUCLA84-88
08/03/26AMichigan80-90
06/03/26HRutgers91-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ohio State
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWL50%
HomeWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game81.086.575.5
Allowed / game79.269.589.0
Point differential+1.8+17.0-13.5
Avg total160.2156.0164.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Michigan State
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game93.097.779.0
Allowed / game66.264.073.0
Point differential+26.8+33.7+6.0
Avg total159.2161.7152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UCLA330100%101.358.3+43.0
2 Nebraska330100%89.060.7+28.3
3 Rutgers330100%84.756.3+28.3
4 Michigan State440100%93.066.2+26.8
5 Oregon330100%95.068.7+26.3
6 Indiana440100%89.068.0+21.0
7 Wisconsin330100%79.058.0+21.0
8 Minnesota440100%78.858.5+20.2
9 USC330100%88.371.3+17.0
10 Washington220100%83.570.0+13.5
11 Illinois43175%104.571.2+33.2
12 Purdue43175%78.569.0+9.5
13 Northwestern43175%70.861.8+9.0
14 Iowa32167%85.064.7+20.3
15 Michigan32167%81.774.3+7.3
16 Penn State53260%77.675.6+2.0
17 Ohio State42250%81.079.2+1.8
18 Maryland31233%84.380.0+4.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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