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Ohio State vs Oregon Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 30 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 21:00
Scheduled
Position#224
Record2-2
FormLLWWL
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game79.2
vs
Position#31
Record3-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game95.0
Allowed / game68.7
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Ohio State v Oregon
30 Dec 2026
OHIO v OREG
upcoming
09 Jan 2025
OHIO71
OREG73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ohio State win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Oregon win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ohio StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Purdue
#31
W
82-74
82
74
+8
H01/03
NCAA
Penn State
#298
W
94-62
94
62
+32
A05/03
NCAA
Indiana
#145
W
91-78
91
78
+13
H07/03
NCAA
Iowa
#81
W
72-69
72
69
+3
H12/03
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
67-71
67
71
-4
A13/03
NCAA
TCU
#77
L
64-66
64
66
-2
H19/03
NCAA
Brigham Young
#51
L
83-94
83
94
-11
A03/11
NCAA
Youngstown State
#242
W
89-65
89
65
+24
H06/11
NCAA
Marshall
#301
W
84-74
84
74
+10
H09/11
NCAA
Uconn
#30
L
68-84
68
84
-16
A14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
36-31
46-43
45-21
49-41
50-33
41-45
34-30
38-39
35-39
32-32
24-39
40-27
37-34
46-60
38-33
51-32
45-27
39-47
40-42
28-42
153.1Avg total
79.4Scored
73.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)81.079.2160.2+1.850%
Season at home (2)86.569.5156.0+17.0100%
Season away (2)75.589.0164.5-13.50%
Last 10 (10)79.473.7153.1+5.760%
Last 5 (5)77.676.6154.2+1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)71.579.9151.4-8.412%
vs Similar (13)75.574.8150.2+0.746%
vs Weaker (9)84.669.0153.6+15.6100%
This opponent (Oregon) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OregonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota
#235
L
44-61
44
61
-17
H18/02
NCAA
USC
#153
W
71-70
71
70
+1
A21/02
NCAA
Wisconsin
#57
W
85-71
85
71
+14
H26/02
NCAA
Northwestern
#251
L
62-63
62
63
-1
A28/02
NCAA
Illinois
#35
L
54-80
54
80
-26
A04/03
NCAA
Washington
#218
W
85-79
85
79
+6
H08/03
NCAA
Maryland
#305
L
60-70
60
70
-10
H10/03
NCAA
Montana
#195
W
87-69
87
69
+18
H03/11
NCAA
East. Washington
#308
W
98-71
98
71
+27
H06/11
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#387
W
100-66
100
66
+34
H12/11
NCAA
1H
2H
17-22
27-39
35-32
36-38
30-33
55-38
36-29
26-34
21-41
33-39
44-30
41-49
12-33
48-37
40-31
47-38
53-39
45-32
50-28
50-38
144.6Avg total
74.6Scored
70.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)95.068.7163.7+26.3100%
Season at home (3)95.068.7163.7+26.3100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)74.670.0144.6+4.660%
Last 5 (5)86.071.0157.0+15.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)67.676.6144.2-8.917%
vs Similar (9)75.670.9146.4+4.756%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)95.068.7163.7+26.3100%
This opponent (Ohio State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +5.5+5.51st half: +2.0+2.02nd half2nd half: +0.2+0.22nd half: +2.6+2.6
-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +5.5+5.51st half: +2.0+2.02nd half2nd half: +0.2+0.22nd half: +2.6+2.6
Ohio StateOregon
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Ohio StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Purdue
#31
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H01/03
NCAA
Penn State
#298
W
45-21
45
21
+24
A05/03
NCAA
Indiana
#145
W
50-33
50
33
+17
H07/03
NCAA
Iowa
#81
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H12/03
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A13/03
NCAA
TCU
#77
L
24-39
24
39
-15
H19/03
NCAA
Brigham Young
#51
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A03/11
NCAA
Youngstown State
#242
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H06/11
NCAA
Marshall
#301
W
45-27
45
27
+18
H09/11
NCAA
Uconn
#30
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A14/11
NCAA
71.3Avg total
38.4Scored
32.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.634.571.1+2.253%-
Last 30 at home (18)37.234.471.6+2.756%-
Last 30 away (12)35.834.570.3+1.350%-
Last 10 (10)38.432.971.3+5.570%-
Last 5 (5)36.835.071.8+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)35.638.674.2-3.025%-
vs Similar (13)35.234.269.4+1.154%-
vs Weaker (9)39.631.270.8+8.378%-
This opponent (Oregon) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OregonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota
#235
L
17-22
17
22
-5
H18/02
NCAA
USC
#153
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A21/02
NCAA
Wisconsin
#57
L
30-33
30
33
-3
H26/02
NCAA
Northwestern
#251
W
36-29
36
29
+7
A28/02
NCAA
Illinois
#35
L
21-41
21
41
-20
A04/03
NCAA
Washington
#218
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H08/03
NCAA
Maryland
#305
L
12-33
12
33
-21
H10/03
NCAA
Montana
#195
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H03/11
NCAA
East. Washington
#308
W
53-39
53
39
+14
H06/11
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#387
W
50-28
50
28
+22
H12/11
NCAA
65.6Avg total
33.8Scored
31.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.434.769.1-0.343%-
Last 30 at home (19)36.333.669.9+2.647%-
Last 30 away (11)31.336.567.8-5.336%-
Last 10 (10)33.831.865.6+2.060%-
Last 5 (5)39.832.272.0+7.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)31.634.966.5-3.422%-
vs Similar (9)35.834.970.7+0.967%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)47.732.780.3+15.0100%-
This opponent (Ohio State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Ohio State wins
1
Oregon wins
DateGameScore
09/01/26Oregon v Ohio State62-72
09/01/25Ohio State v Oregon71-73
Ohio Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AUconn68-84
09/11/26HMarshall84-74
06/11/26HYoungstown State89-65
03/11/26ABrigham Young83-94
19/03/26HTCU64-66
13/03/26AMichigan67-71
12/03/26HIowa72-69
07/03/26HIndiana91-78
05/03/26APenn State94-62
01/03/26HPurdue82-74
Oregonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26HMiss. Valley St.100-66
06/11/26HEast. Washington98-71
03/11/26HMontana87-69
10/03/26HMaryland60-70
08/03/26HWashington85-79
04/03/26AIllinois54-80
28/02/26ANorthwestern62-63
26/02/26HWisconsin85-71
21/02/26AUSC71-70
18/02/26HMinnesota44-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ohio State
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWL50%
HomeWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game81.086.575.5
Allowed / game79.269.589.0
Point differential+1.8+17.0-13.5
Avg total160.2156.0164.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Oregon
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games33-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game95.095.0-
Allowed / game68.768.7-
Point differential+26.3+26.3-
Avg total163.7163.7-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UCLA330100%101.358.3+43.0
2 Nebraska330100%89.060.7+28.3
3 Rutgers330100%84.756.3+28.3
4 Michigan State440100%93.066.2+26.8
5 Oregon330100%95.068.7+26.3
6 Indiana440100%89.068.0+21.0
7 Wisconsin330100%79.058.0+21.0
8 Minnesota440100%78.858.5+20.2
9 USC330100%88.371.3+17.0
10 Washington220100%83.570.0+13.5
11 Illinois43175%104.571.2+33.2
12 Purdue43175%78.569.0+9.5
13 Northwestern43175%70.861.8+9.0
14 Iowa32167%85.064.7+20.3
15 Michigan32167%81.774.3+7.3
16 Penn State53260%77.675.6+2.0
17 Ohio State42250%81.079.2+1.8
18 Maryland31233%84.380.0+4.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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