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Ohio State vs Purdue Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 01 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 82-74
36-31 46-43
Position#104
Record17-11
FormWLWLL
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game73.1
vs
Position#31
Record22-6
FormWWLWL
Points / game82.6
Allowed / game69.5
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Ohio State v Purdue
01 Mar 2026
OHIO82
PURD74
18 Feb 2024
OHIO73
PURD69
05 Jan 2023
OHIO69
PURD71
19 Jan 2021
OHIO65
PURD67
12 Mar 2020
OHIO v PURD
upcoming
15 Feb 2020
OHIO68
PURD52
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ohio State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Purdue winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ohio StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Michigan
#6
L
62-74
62
74
-12
A24/01
NCAA
Penn State
#298
W
84-78
84
78
+6
H27/01
NCAA
Wisconsin
#57
L
82-92
82
92
-10
A31/01
NCAA
Maryland
#305
W
82-62
82
62
+20
A06/02
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
61-82
61
82
-21
H08/02
NCAA
USC
#153
W
89-82
89
82
+7
H11/02
NCAA
Virginia
#19
L
66-70
66
70
-4
H15/02
NCAA
Wisconsin
#57
W
86-69
86
69
+17
H18/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#29
L
60-66
60
66
-6
A22/02
NCAA
Iowa
#81
L
57-74
57
74
-17
A26/02
NCAA
1H
2H
30-33
32-41
50-32
34-46
43-49
39-43
42-30
40-32
34-44
27-38
40-43
49-39
37-37
29-33
38-26
48-43
26-23
34-43
23-37
34-37
147.8Avg total
72.9Scored
74.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)79.573.1152.7+6.461%
Season at home (18)83.773.1156.7+10.672%
Season away (10)72.173.3145.4-1.240%
Last 10 (10)72.974.9147.8-2.040%
Last 5 (5)71.672.2143.8-0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)68.079.0147.0-11.00%
vs Similar (12)72.973.4146.3-0.533%
vs Weaker (14)86.471.0157.4+15.493%
This opponent (Purdue) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PurdueUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UCLA
#73
L
67-69
67
69
-2
A21/01
NCAA
Illinois
#35
L
82-88
82
88
-6
H24/01
NCAA
Indiana
#145
L
67-72
67
72
-5
A28/01
NCAA
Maryland
#305
W
93-63
93
63
+30
A01/02
NCAA
Oregon
#293
W
68-64
68
64
+4
H07/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#21
W
80-77 OT
80
77
+3
A11/02
NCAA
Iowa
#81
W
78-57
78
57
+21
A14/02
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
80-91
80
91
-11
H17/02
NCAA
Indiana
#145
W
93-64
93
64
+29
H21/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#29
L
74-76
74
76
-2
H27/02
NCAA
1H
2H
32-32
35-37
43-39
39-49
29-40
38-32
49-28
44-35
36-34
32-30
40-24
28-44
36-25
42-32
32-48
48-43
46-29
47-35
39-36
35-40
150.3Avg total
78.2Scored
72.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)82.669.5152.1+13.179%
Season at home (19)84.369.8154.1+14.579%
Season away (9)79.068.9147.9+10.178%
Last 10 (10)78.272.1150.3+6.150%
Last 5 (5)81.073.0154.0+8.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)68.574.0142.5-5.525%
vs Similar (8)82.973.1156.0+9.875%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)84.066.1150.1+17.989%
This opponent (Ohio State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +0.9+0.91st half: +4.7+4.72nd half2nd half: -2.9-2.92nd half: +1.1+1.1
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +0.9+0.91st half: +4.7+4.72nd half2nd half: -2.9-2.92nd half: +1.1+1.1
Ohio StatePurdue
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Ohio StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Michigan
#6
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A24/01
NCAA
Penn State
#298
W
50-32
50
32
+18
H27/01
NCAA
Wisconsin
#57
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A31/01
NCAA
Maryland
#305
W
42-30
42
30
+12
A06/02
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H08/02
NCAA
USC
#153
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H11/02
NCAA
Virginia
#19
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H15/02
NCAA
Wisconsin
#57
W
38-26
38
26
+12
H18/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#29
W
26-23
26
23
+3
A22/02
NCAA
Iowa
#81
L
23-37
23
37
-14
A26/02
NCAA
71.7Avg total
36.3Scored
35.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.334.571.7+2.850%-
Last 30 at home (19)39.634.473.9+5.253%-
Last 30 away (11)33.334.667.9-1.445%-
Last 10 (10)36.335.471.7+0.940%-
Last 5 (5)32.833.266.0-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)34.240.875.0-6.50%-
vs Similar (12)33.433.566.9-0.150%-
vs Weaker (14)41.433.574.9+7.964%-
This opponent (Purdue) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PurdueLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UCLA
#73
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A21/01
NCAA
Illinois
#35
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H24/01
NCAA
Indiana
#145
L
29-40
29
40
-11
A28/01
NCAA
Maryland
#305
W
49-28
49
28
+21
A01/02
NCAA
Oregon
#293
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H07/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#21
W
40-24
40
24
+16
A11/02
NCAA
Iowa
#81
W
36-25
36
25
+11
A14/02
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
32-48
32
48
-16
H17/02
NCAA
Indiana
#145
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H21/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#29
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H27/02
NCAA
71.7Avg total
38.2Scored
33.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.132.072.1+8.180%-
Last 30 at home (20)41.032.273.2+8.880%-
Last 30 away (10)38.331.669.9+6.780%-
Last 10 (10)38.233.571.7+4.770%-
Last 5 (5)38.632.471.0+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)33.033.066.0+0.050%-
vs Similar (8)41.633.074.6+8.688%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)41.131.372.4+9.783%-
This opponent (Ohio State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Ohio State wins
6
Purdue wins
DateGameScore
22/01/25Purdue v Ohio State70-73
18/02/24Ohio State v Purdue73-69
11/03/23Purdue v Ohio State80-66
19/02/23Purdue v Ohio State82-55
06/01/23Ohio State v Purdue69-71
30/01/22Purdue v Ohio State81-78
12/03/21Purdue v Ohio State78-87 OT
19/01/21Ohio State v Purdue65-67
17/12/20Purdue v Ohio State67-60
15/02/20Ohio State v Purdue68-52
Ohio Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/02/26AIowa57-74
22/02/26AMichigan State60-66
18/02/26HWisconsin86-69
15/02/26HVirginia66-70
11/02/26HUSC89-82
08/02/26HMichigan61-82
06/02/26AMaryland82-62
31/01/26AWisconsin82-92
27/01/26HPenn State84-78
24/01/26AMichigan62-74
Purduelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/02/26HMichigan State74-76
21/02/26HIndiana93-64
17/02/26HMichigan80-91
14/02/26AIowa78-57
11/02/26ANebraska80-77 OT
07/02/26HOregon68-64
01/02/26AMaryland93-63
28/01/26AIndiana67-72
24/01/26HIllinois82-88
21/01/26AUCLA67-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ohio State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL61%
HomeWLWLW72%
AwayLLWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281810
Win %61%72%40%
Points / game79.583.772.1
Allowed / game73.173.173.3
Point differential+6.4+10.6-1.2
Avg total152.7156.7145.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%44%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)40% (5)50% (2)
Overtime %7%11%0%
Purdue
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL79%
HomeLWLWL79%
AwayLLWWW78%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games28199
Win %79%79%78%
Points / game82.684.379.0
Allowed / game69.569.868.9
Point differential+13.1+14.5+10.1
Avg total152.1154.1147.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%53%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %4%0%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Michigan2927293%89.068.7+20.2
2 Nebraska2925486%78.665.4+13.1
3 Michigan State2823582%78.466.4+11.9
4 Purdue2822679%82.669.5+13.1
5 Illinois2922776%84.669.6+15.1
6 Iowa2920969%75.765.0+10.7
7 Wisconsin2920969%83.076.0+6.9
8 UCLA29191066%77.871.7+6.1
9 USC29181162%79.276.9+2.2
10 Indiana28171161%79.372.1+7.2
11 Ohio State28171161%79.573.1+6.4
12 Washington29141548%76.272.7+3.5
13 Minnesota29141548%71.068.2+2.8
14 Northwestern29131645%73.772.5+1.2
15 Penn State29121741%74.879.1-4.4
16 Rutgers29121741%70.275.4-5.2
17 Oregon29111838%71.373.7-2.4
18 Maryland29111838%70.777.1-6.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Ohio State364682
Purdue314374
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