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Purdue vs Ohio State Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 12 Mar 2021
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 78-87 (OT)
31-49 41-23 6-15
Position#97
Record18-8
FormWWWWW
Points / game70.8
Allowed / game65.5
Purdue
USA
vs
Ohio State 🏆
USA
Position#70
Record19-8
FormLLLLW
Points / game76.9
Allowed / game70.1
USANCAA
Other2020-21
Meetings · Purdue v Ohio State
12 Jan 2027
PURD v OHIO
upcoming
21 Jan 2025
PURD70
OHIO73
11 Mar 2023
PURD80
OHIO66
19 Feb 2023
PURD82
OHIO55
30 Jan 2022
PURD81
OHIO78
12 Mar 2021
PURD78
OHIO87
16 Dec 2020
PURD67
OHIO60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Purdue winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ohio State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PurdueUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Michigan
#16
L
53-70
53
70
-17
H23/01
NCAA
Minnesota
#193
W
81-62
81
62
+19
H31/01
NCAA
Maryland
#150
L
60-61
60
61
-1
A02/02
NCAA
Northwestern
#265
W
75-70
75
70
+5
H06/02
NCAA
Minnesota
#193
L
68-71
68
71
-3
A11/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#159
W
75-65
75
65
+10
H17/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#316
W
75-58
75
58
+17
A20/02
NCAA
Penn State
#226
W
73-52
73
52
+21
A27/02
NCAA
Wisconsin
#131
W
73-69
73
69
+4
H03/03
NCAA
Indiana
#220
W
67-58
67
58
+9
H06/03
NCAA
1H
2H
21-34
32-36
30-35
51-27
27-24
33-37
35-32
40-38
32-30
36-41
30-27
45-38
40-37
35-21
41-26
32-26
30-28
43-41
29-20
38-38
133.6Avg total
70.0Scored
63.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)70.865.5136.3+5.369%
Season at home (13)74.064.5138.5+9.592%
Season away (13)67.766.5134.2+1.246%
Last 10 (10)70.063.6133.6+6.470%
Last 5 (5)72.660.4133.0+12.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)60.867.5128.2-6.825%
vs Similar ◀ (14)69.967.2137.1+2.764%
vs Weaker (12)73.862.6136.3+11.283%
This opponent (Ohio State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ohio StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Michigan State
#159
W
79-62
79
62
+17
H31/01
NCAA
Iowa
#47
W
89-85
89
85
+4
A05/02
NCAA
Maryland
#150
W
73-65
73
65
+8
A09/02
NCAA
Indiana
#220
W
78-59
78
59
+19
H13/02
NCAA
Penn State
#226
W
92-82
92
82
+10
A19/02
NCAA
Michigan
#16
L
87-92
87
92
-5
H21/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#159
L
67-71
67
71
-4
A26/02
NCAA
Iowa
#47
L
57-73
57
73
-16
H28/02
NCAA
Illinois
#21
L
68-73
68
73
-5
H06/03
NCAA
Minnesota
#193
W
79-75
79
75
+4
H11/03
NCAA
1H
2H
42-30
37-32
42-45
47-40
35-30
38-35
38-28
40-31
47-43
45-39
43-45
44-47
38-33
29-38
28-42
29-31
37-41
31-32
39-27
40-48
150.6Avg total
76.9Scored
73.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)76.970.1147.0+6.870%
Season at home (16)77.267.4144.7+9.875%
Season away (11)76.574.0150.5+2.564%
Last 10 (10)76.973.7150.6+3.260%
Last 5 (5)71.676.8148.4-5.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)77.680.8158.4-3.240%
vs Similar ◀ (9)71.464.6136.0+6.967%
vs Weaker (16)78.969.6148.6+9.381%
This opponent (Purdue) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: +2.2+2.21st half: +2.5+2.52nd half2nd half: +4.2+4.22nd half: +0.7+0.7
-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: +2.2+2.21st half: +2.5+2.52nd half2nd half: +4.2+4.22nd half: +0.7+0.7
PurdueOhio State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
PurdueLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Michigan
#16
L
21-34
21
34
-13
H23/01
NCAA
Minnesota
#193
L
30-35
30
35
-5
H31/01
NCAA
Maryland
#150
W
27-24
27
24
+3
A02/02
NCAA
Northwestern
#265
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H06/02
NCAA
Minnesota
#193
W
32-30
32
30
+2
A11/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#159
W
30-27
30
27
+3
H17/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#316
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A20/02
NCAA
Penn State
#226
W
41-26
41
26
+15
A27/02
NCAA
Wisconsin
#131
W
30-28
30
28
+2
H03/03
NCAA
Indiana
#220
W
29-20
29
20
+9
H06/03
NCAA
60.8Avg total
31.5Scored
29.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.631.063.7+1.663%-
Last 30 at home (16)32.430.262.6+2.269%-
Last 30 away (14)32.932.064.9+0.957%-
Last 10 (10)31.529.360.8+2.280%-
Last 5 (5)34.027.661.6+6.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)27.534.061.5-6.525%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)32.930.663.5+2.464%-
vs Weaker (12)34.030.664.6+3.475%-
This opponent (Ohio State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ohio StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Michigan State
#159
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H31/01
NCAA
Iowa
#47
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A05/02
NCAA
Maryland
#150
W
35-30
35
30
+5
A09/02
NCAA
Indiana
#220
W
38-28
38
28
+10
H13/02
NCAA
Penn State
#226
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A19/02
NCAA
Michigan
#16
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H21/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#159
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A26/02
NCAA
Iowa
#47
L
28-42
28
42
-14
H28/02
NCAA
Illinois
#21
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H06/03
NCAA
Minnesota
#193
W
39-27
39
27
+12
H11/03
NCAA
75.3Avg total
38.9Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.933.970.8+3.060%-
Last 30 at home (18)36.632.769.3+3.967%-
Last 30 away (12)37.435.873.2+1.750%-
Last 10 (10)38.936.475.3+2.560%-
Last 5 (5)37.037.674.6-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)38.640.278.8-1.620%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)34.132.666.7+1.667%-
vs Weaker (16)38.032.770.7+5.369%-
This opponent (Purdue) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Purdue wins
1
Ohio State wins
DateGameScore
19/01/21Ohio State v Purdue65-67
17/12/20Purdue v Ohio State67-60
15/02/20Ohio State v Purdue68-52
Purduelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/03/21HIndiana67-58
03/03/21HWisconsin73-69
27/02/21APenn State73-52
20/02/21ANebraska75-58
17/02/21HMichigan State75-65
11/02/21AMinnesota68-71
06/02/21HNorthwestern75-70
02/02/21AMaryland60-61
31/01/21HMinnesota81-62
23/01/21HMichigan53-70
Ohio Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/21HMinnesota79-75
06/03/21HIllinois68-73
28/02/21HIowa57-73
26/02/21AMichigan State67-71
21/02/21HMichigan87-92
19/02/21APenn State92-82
13/02/21HIndiana78-59
09/02/21AMaryland73-65
05/02/21AIowa89-85
31/01/21HMichigan State79-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Purdue
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW69%
HomeWWWWW92%
AwayWLLWW46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %69%92%46%
Points / game70.874.067.7
Allowed / game65.564.566.5
Point differential+5.3+9.5+1.2
Avg total136.3138.5134.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%38%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)100% (3)33% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ohio State
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW70%
HomeWLLLW75%
AwayWWWWL64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271611
Win %70%75%64%
Points / game76.977.276.5
Allowed / game70.167.474.0
Point differential+6.8+9.8+2.5
Avg total147.0144.7150.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%50%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)40% (5)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Michigan2320387%76.765.3+11.4
2 Oregon2520580%74.867.1+7.7
3 USC2822679%74.964.9+10.1
4 Illinois2620677%80.768.5+12.2
5 Iowa2720774%85.072.1+12.9
6 Ohio State2719870%76.970.1+6.8
7 Purdue2618869%70.865.5+5.3
8 UCLA2617965%72.868.5+4.3
9 Wisconsin28171161%70.164.4+5.7
10 Rutgers25151060%70.067.4+2.7
11 Michigan State27151256%69.070.6-1.5
12 Maryland29161355%68.865.0+3.8
13 Minnesota29141548%72.573.2-0.7
14 Indiana27121544%69.769.4+0.3
15 Penn State25111444%72.673.0-0.4
16 Northwestern2491538%70.270.0+0.2
17 Nebraska2772026%70.074.2-4.3
18 Washington2652119%67.777.4-9.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
Purdue3141678
Ohio State49231587
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