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Michigan State vs Ohio State Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 22 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 66-60
0-0 23-26 0-0 43-34
Position#29
Record21-5
FormLLWLW
Points / game78.9
Allowed / game66.4
Michigan State 🏆
USA
vs
Ohio State
USA
Position#104
Record17-9
FormWLWLW
Points / game81.2
Allowed / game73.4
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Michigan State v Ohio State
22 Feb 2026
MICH66
OHIO60
25 Feb 2024
MICH57
OHIO60
10 Mar 2023
MICH58
OHIO68
04 Mar 2023
MICH84
OHIO78
25 Feb 2021
MICH71
OHIO67
08 Mar 2020
MICH80
OHIO69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Michigan State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ohio State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Michigan StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana
#145
W
81-60
81
60
+21
H14/01
NCAA
Washington
#218
W
80-63
80
63
+17
A17/01
NCAA
Oregon
#293
W
68-52
68
52
+16
A21/01
NCAA
Maryland
#305
W
91-48
91
48
+43
H24/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#267
W
88-79 OT
88
79
+9
A27/01
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
71-83
71
83
-12
H31/01
NCAA
Minnesota
#235
L
73-76
73
76
-3
A05/02
NCAA
Illinois
#35
W
85-82 OT
85
82
+3
H08/02
NCAA
Wisconsin
#57
L
71-92
71
92
-21
A14/02
NCAA
UCLA
#73
W
82-59
82
59
+23
H18/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
39-32
0-0
42-28
0-0
39-31
0-0
41-32
0-0
28-26
0-0
40-26
0-0
46-23
0-0
45-25
0-0
28-37
0-0
45-36
0-0
26-42
0-0
45-41
0-0
21-32
0-0
52-44
0-0
35-39
0-0
36-32
0-0
34-51
0-0
37-41
0-0
43-23
0-0
39-36
148.4Avg total
79.0Scored
69.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)78.966.4145.3+12.581%
Season at home (17)80.565.4145.9+15.188%
Season away (9)76.068.2144.2+7.867%
Last 10 (10)79.069.4148.4+9.670%
Last 5 (5)76.478.4154.8-2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)72.077.0149.0-5.033%
vs Similar ◀ (8)70.465.1135.5+5.262%
vs Weaker (19)82.565.2147.7+17.395%
This opponent (Ohio State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ohio StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UCLA
#73
W
86-74
86
74
+12
H17/01
NCAA
Minnesota
#235
W
82-74 OT
82
74
+8
H20/01
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
62-74
62
74
-12
A24/01
NCAA
Penn State
#298
W
84-78
84
78
+6
H27/01
NCAA
Wisconsin
#57
L
82-92
82
92
-10
A31/01
NCAA
Maryland
#305
W
82-62
82
62
+20
A06/02
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
61-82
61
82
-21
H08/02
NCAA
USC
#153
W
89-82
89
82
+7
H11/02
NCAA
Virginia
#19
L
66-70
66
70
-4
H15/02
NCAA
Wisconsin
#57
W
86-69
86
69
+17
H18/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
42-36
0-0
44-38
0-0
31-28
0-0
36-39
0-0
30-33
0-0
32-41
0-0
50-32
0-0
34-46
0-0
43-49
0-0
39-43
0-0
42-30
0-0
40-32
0-0
34-44
0-0
27-38
0-0
40-43
0-0
49-39
0-0
37-37
0-0
29-33
0-0
38-26
0-0
48-43
153.7Avg total
78.0Scored
75.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)81.273.4154.5+7.865%
Season at home (18)83.773.1156.7+10.672%
Season away (8)75.574.1149.6+1.450%
Last 10 (10)78.075.7153.7+2.360%
Last 5 (5)76.873.0149.8+3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)68.079.0147.0-11.00%
vs Similar ◀ (12)80.178.1158.2+2.050%
vs Weaker (14)86.471.0157.4+15.493%
This opponent (Michigan State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +8.1+8.1Q4: -1.4-1.4
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +8.1+8.1Q4: -1.4-1.4
Michigan StateOhio State
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Michigan StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana
#145
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H14/01
NCAA
Washington
#218
W
39-31
39
31
+8
A17/01
NCAA
Oregon
#293
W
28-26
28
26
+2
A21/01
NCAA
Maryland
#305
W
46-23
46
23
+23
H24/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#267
L
28-37
28
37
-9
A27/01
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
26-42
26
42
-16
H31/01
NCAA
Minnesota
#235
L
21-32
21
32
-11
A05/02
NCAA
Illinois
#35
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H08/02
NCAA
Wisconsin
#57
L
34-51
34
51
-17
A14/02
NCAA
UCLA
#73
W
43-23
43
23
+20
H18/02
NCAA
67.5Avg total
33.9Scored
33.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.431.868.2+4.660%-
Last 30 at home (20)37.931.168.9+6.870%-
Last 30 away (10)33.433.366.7+0.140%-
Last 10 (10)33.933.667.5+0.350%-
Last 5 (5)31.837.469.2-5.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)31.737.369.0-5.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)32.133.065.1-0.938%-
vs Weaker (19)38.930.469.3+8.574%-
This opponent (Ohio State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ohio StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UCLA
#73
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H17/01
NCAA
Minnesota
#235
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H20/01
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A24/01
NCAA
Penn State
#298
W
50-32
50
32
+18
H27/01
NCAA
Wisconsin
#57
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A31/01
NCAA
Maryland
#305
W
42-30
42
30
+12
A06/02
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H08/02
NCAA
USC
#153
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H11/02
NCAA
Virginia
#19
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H15/02
NCAA
Wisconsin
#57
W
38-26
38
26
+12
H18/02
NCAA
74.5Avg total
38.7Scored
35.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.935.073.9+3.853%-
Last 30 at home (20)39.934.674.5+5.255%-
Last 30 away (10)36.935.972.8+1.050%-
Last 10 (10)38.735.874.5+2.950%-
Last 5 (5)38.236.074.2+2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)34.240.875.0-6.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)37.434.972.3+2.558%-
vs Weaker (14)41.433.574.9+7.964%-
This opponent (Michigan State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Michigan State wins
4
Ohio State wins
DateGameScore
04/01/25Ohio State v Michigan State62-69
25/02/24Michigan State v Ohio State57-60
10/03/23Michigan State v Ohio State58-68
04/03/23Michigan State v Ohio State84-78
12/02/23Ohio State v Michigan State41-62
04/03/22Ohio State v Michigan State80-69
26/02/21Michigan State v Ohio State71-67
31/01/21Ohio State v Michigan State79-62
08/03/20Michigan State v Ohio State80-69
Michigan Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/02/26HUCLA82-59
14/02/26AWisconsin71-92
08/02/26HIllinois85-82 OT
05/02/26AMinnesota73-76
31/01/26HMichigan71-83
27/01/26ARutgers88-79 OT
24/01/26HMaryland91-48
21/01/26AOregon68-52
17/01/26AWashington80-63
14/01/26HIndiana81-60
Ohio Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/02/26HWisconsin86-69
15/02/26HVirginia66-70
11/02/26HUSC89-82
08/02/26HMichigan61-82
06/02/26AMaryland82-62
31/01/26AWisconsin82-92
27/01/26HPenn State84-78
24/01/26AMichigan62-74
20/01/26HMinnesota82-74 OT
17/01/26HUCLA86-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Michigan State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW81%
HomeWWLWW88%
AwayWWWLL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games26179
Win %81%88%67%
Points / game78.980.576.0
Allowed / game66.465.468.2
Point differential+12.5+15.1+7.8
Avg total145.3145.9144.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%71%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %8%6%11%
Ohio State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW65%
HomeWLWLW72%
AwayWLLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games26188
Win %65%72%50%
Points / game81.283.775.5
Allowed / game73.473.174.1
Point differential+7.8+10.6+1.4
Avg total154.5156.7149.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%44%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)40% (5)50% (2)
Overtime %8%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Michigan2725293%89.668.7+20.9
2 Nebraska2723485%78.665.6+13.1
3 Purdue2722581%82.969.3+13.7
4 Michigan State2621581%78.966.4+12.5
5 Illinois2822679%85.169.0+16.1
6 Iowa2619773%76.264.4+11.8
7 Wisconsin2618869%83.176.0+7.1
8 UCLA2718967%77.971.8+6.1
9 USC2718967%80.376.6+3.7
10 Ohio State2617965%81.273.4+7.8
11 Indiana27171063%79.772.1+7.6
12 Washington27131448%76.272.1+4.1
13 Minnesota27131448%70.967.7+3.2
14 Northwestern27111641%74.173.0+1.1
15 Rutgers27111641%70.275.7-5.4
16 Maryland27111641%71.277.5-6.3
17 Penn State28111739%74.979.5-4.6
18 Oregon27101737%71.174.2-3.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Michigan State02304366
Ohio State02603460
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