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Ohio State vs Virginia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 15 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 66-70
37-37 29-33
Position#104
Record16-8
FormWLWLW
Points / game81.6
Allowed / game73.7
Ohio State
USA
vs
Virginia 🏆
USA
Position#19
Record21-4
FormWWWWW
Points / game80.8
Allowed / game69.0
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ohio State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virginia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ohio StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oregon
#293
W
72-62
72
62
+10
A09/01
NCAA
Washington
#218
L
74-81
74
81
-7
A11/01
NCAA
UCLA
#73
W
86-74
86
74
+12
H17/01
NCAA
Minnesota
#235
W
82-74 OT
82
74
+8
H20/01
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
62-74
62
74
-12
A24/01
NCAA
Penn State
#298
W
84-78
84
78
+6
H27/01
NCAA
Wisconsin
#57
L
82-92
82
92
-10
A31/01
NCAA
Maryland
#305
W
82-62
82
62
+20
A06/02
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
61-82
61
82
-21
H08/02
NCAA
USC
#153
W
89-82
89
82
+7
H11/02
NCAA
1H
2H
34-29
38-33
38-36
36-45
42-36
44-38
31-28
36-39
30-33
32-41
50-32
34-46
43-49
39-43
42-30
40-32
34-44
27-38
40-43
49-39
153.5Avg total
77.4Scored
76.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)81.673.7155.3+7.967%
Season at home (16)84.673.5158.1+11.175%
Season away (8)75.574.1149.6+1.450%
Last 10 (10)77.476.1153.5+1.360%
Last 5 (5)79.679.2158.8+0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)68.079.0147.0-11.00%
vs Similar ◀ (12)76.678.1154.7-1.542%
vs Weaker (14)86.471.0157.4+15.493%
This opponent (Virginia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VirginiaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
California
#79
W
84-60
84
60
+24
H08/01
NCAA
Stanford
#103
W
70-55
70
55
+15
H10/01
NCAA
Louisville
#53
W
79-70
79
70
+9
A14/01
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
W
72-68
72
68
+4
A17/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#45
L
80-85
80
85
-5
H24/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#269
W
100-97 OT
100
97
+3
A28/01
NCAA
Boston College
#308
W
73-66
73
66
+7
A31/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#282
W
67-47
67
47
+20
H04/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#236
W
72-59
72
59
+13
H07/02
NCAA
Florida State
#167
W
61-58
61
58
+3
A11/02
NCAA
1H
2H
43-33
41-27
41-34
29-21
33-28
46-42
40-37
32-31
43-34
37-51
35-44
38-29
27-32
46-34
33-20
34-27
38-35
34-24
32-32
29-26
142.3Avg total
75.8Scored
66.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)80.869.0149.8+11.884%
Season at home (16)83.264.7147.9+18.588%
Season away (9)76.476.7153.1-0.278%
Last 10 (10)75.866.5142.3+9.390%
Last 5 (5)74.665.4140.0+9.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)70.573.0143.5-2.550%
vs Similar ◀ (8)73.170.0143.1+3.162%
vs Weaker (20)81.268.6149.8+12.685%
This opponent (Ohio State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +2.4+2.41st half: +3.6+3.62nd half2nd half: -1.9-1.92nd half: +5.4+5.4
-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +2.4+2.41st half: +3.6+3.62nd half2nd half: -1.9-1.92nd half: +5.4+5.4
Ohio StateVirginia
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Ohio StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oregon
#293
W
34-29
34
29
+5
A09/01
NCAA
Washington
#218
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A11/01
NCAA
UCLA
#73
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H17/01
NCAA
Minnesota
#235
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H20/01
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A24/01
NCAA
Penn State
#298
W
50-32
50
32
+18
H27/01
NCAA
Wisconsin
#57
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A31/01
NCAA
Maryland
#305
W
42-30
42
30
+12
A06/02
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H08/02
NCAA
USC
#153
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H11/02
NCAA
74.4Avg total
38.4Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.034.972.9+3.150%-
Last 30 at home (19)39.334.774.0+4.553%-
Last 30 away (11)35.735.270.9+0.545%-
Last 10 (10)38.436.074.4+2.460%-
Last 5 (5)41.839.681.4+2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)34.240.875.0-6.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)35.234.669.8+0.650%-
vs Weaker (14)41.433.574.9+7.964%-
This opponent (Virginia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VirginiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
California
#79
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H08/01
NCAA
Stanford
#103
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H10/01
NCAA
Louisville
#53
W
33-28
33
28
+5
A14/01
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A17/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#45
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H24/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#269
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A28/01
NCAA
Boston College
#308
L
27-32
27
32
-5
A31/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#282
W
33-20
33
20
+13
H04/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#236
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H07/02
NCAA
Florida State
#167
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A11/02
NCAA
69.4Avg total
36.5Scored
32.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.930.768.6+7.173%-
Last 30 at home (18)40.529.970.4+10.689%-
Last 30 away (12)33.932.065.9+1.950%-
Last 10 (10)36.532.969.4+3.670%-
Last 5 (5)33.032.665.6+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)38.030.068.0+8.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)35.030.265.2+4.862%-
vs Weaker (20)39.031.070.0+8.075%-
This opponent (Ohio State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Ohio State wins
0
Virginia wins
No previous meetings.
Ohio Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/26HUSC89-82
08/02/26HMichigan61-82
06/02/26AMaryland82-62
31/01/26AWisconsin82-92
27/01/26HPenn State84-78
24/01/26AMichigan62-74
20/01/26HMinnesota82-74 OT
17/01/26HUCLA86-74
11/01/26AWashington74-81
09/01/26AOregon72-62
Virginialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/26AFlorida State61-58
07/02/26HSyracuse72-59
04/02/26HPittsburgh67-47
31/01/26ABoston College73-66
28/01/26ANotre Dame100-97 OT
24/01/26HNorth Carolina80-85
17/01/26ASMU Mustangs72-68
14/01/26ALouisville79-70
10/01/26HStanford70-55
08/01/26HCalifornia84-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ohio State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW67%
HomeWWWLW75%
AwayWLLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games24168
Win %67%75%50%
Points / game81.684.675.5
Allowed / game73.773.574.1
Point differential+7.9+11.1+1.4
Avg total155.3158.1149.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%44%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %8%12%0%
Virginia
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW84%
HomeWWLWW88%
AwayWWWWW78%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games25169
Win %84%88%78%
Points / game80.883.276.4
Allowed / game69.064.776.7
Point differential+11.8+18.5-0.2
Avg total149.8147.9153.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%75%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)50% (2)100% (3)
Overtime %8%0%22%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Michigan2524196%90.668.3+22.3
2 Nebraska2522388%79.466.0+13.4
3 Purdue2521484%82.668.6+14.0
4 Illinois2520580%84.768.9+15.8
5 Michigan State2520580%78.866.7+12.1
6 Iowa2518772%77.064.9+12.1
7 Wisconsin2518772%83.775.6+8.1
8 USC2518772%81.375.8+5.4
9 Indiana2517868%81.571.4+10.2
10 UCLA2517868%77.970.5+7.4
11 Ohio State2416867%81.673.7+7.9
12 Washington25121348%77.273.0+4.1
13 Minnesota24111346%71.568.9+2.6
14 Penn State26111542%75.479.0-3.6
15 Maryland24101442%72.078.6-6.6
16 Northwestern26101638%74.073.0+1.0
17 Rutgers2491538%70.176.4-6.3
18 Oregon2591636%72.274.9-2.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke2523292%82.263.1+19.1
2 Virginia2521484%80.869.0+11.8
3 Miami (FL)2520580%83.670.1+13.5
4 North Carolina2520580%81.870.4+11.4
5 Clemson2620677%74.864.7+10.1
6 Louisville2519676%86.970.9+16.0
7 NC State2618869%85.074.4+10.6
8 California2618869%79.073.0+6.0
9 SMU Mustangs2517868%86.277.6+8.6
10 Virginia Tech2617965%79.274.7+4.4
11 Stanford26161062%75.472.5+2.9
12 Syracuse26151158%76.572.2+4.3
13 Wake Forest25131252%79.777.0+2.7
14 Florida State25121348%80.478.4+2.0
15 Notre Dame26121446%74.773.4+1.2
16 Georgia Tech26111542%74.576.3-1.8
17 Boston College2591636%67.469.3-1.9
18 Pittsburgh2691735%69.971.8-1.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Ohio State372966
Virginia373370
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