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Oklahoma City Blue vs Mexico City Capitanes Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 20 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 01:00
Projected 100-106
Projected total 205.3
Scheduled
Position#26
Record1-4
FormLLLLW
Points / game93.4
Allowed / game103.0
Vs
33%
67%
■ OKLA 33%■ MEXI 67%
Pythia win probability
Position#12
Record3-2
FormWWWLL
Points / game95.6
Allowed / game94.2
USANBA - G League
Other2026-27
Meetings · Oklahoma City Blue v Mexico City Capitanes
19 Nov 2026
OKLA v MEXI
upcoming
06 Nov 2026
OKLA79
MEXI94
30 Dec 2025
OKLA90
MEXI102
29 Dec 2025
OKLA123
MEXI130
06 Dec 2024
OKLA98
MEXI94
24 Jan 2024
OKLA114
MEXI91
21 Jan 2024
OKLA128
MEXI105
Sections
Game preview & prediction

On 19 November 2026 the Oklahoma City Blue host the Mexico City Capitanes in an NBA G League clash, with the Capitanes the clear favourite as the model predicts a 67% chance of victory versus the Blue's 33% probability. The Blue enter the game with a 1-4 record, averaging 93.4 points and conceding 103.0, while their home form is 0-2 with 77.5 points scored and 93.5 allowed; their last five games included a win over Memphis Hustle 108-103 away and losses to the Hustle 115-128 and the Rio Grande Valley Vipers 76-93 at home. The Capitanes are 3-2 overall, scoring 95.6 and allowing 94.2, and their road record is 1-2 with 91.3 points for and 95.7 against; in their last five they won three, including a 97-93 home win over Texas Legends, but lost to Birmingham Squadron 86-99 and Osceola Magic 94-109. Head-to-head history shows six wins for the Capitanes and four for the Blue, the most recent being a 94-79 Capitanes victory on 6 November. Pythia projects a 100-106 score, a total of 205.3 points, and a 4% chance of overtime, with the Capitanes covering the spread and the over on the total. The Capitanes' recent win over the Blue suggests they will likely repeat that success.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Oklahoma City Blue win
32.9%fair 3.04
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Mexico City Capitanes win
67.1%fair 1.49
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 10 Nov 07:33 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Oklahoma City BlueUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Memphis Hustle
#26
L
108-115
108
115
-7
A22/03
NBA - G League
Memphis Hustle
#26
W
125-115
125
115
+10
A22/03
NBA - G League
Rio Grande Valley Vipers
#8
L
105-120
105
120
-15
H25/03
NBA - G League
Iowa Wolves
#11
L
106-133
106
133
-27
A26/03
NBA - G League
Iowa Wolves
#11
L
117-132
117
132
-15
A28/03
NBA - G League
Mexico City Capitanes
#12
L
79-94
79
94
-15
H07/11
NBA - G League
Osceola Magic
#5
L
89-97
89
97
-8
A08/11
NBA - G League
Rio Grande Valley Vipers
#19
L
76-93
76
93
-17
H10/11
NBA - G League
Memphis Hustle
#20
L
115-128
115
128
-13
A13/11
NBA - G League
Memphis Hustle
#20
W
108-103
108
103
+5
A14/11
NBA - G League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-36
32-28
15-33
30-18
37-25
37-35
28-25
23-30
30-39
29-35
15-25
31-21
29-30
23-36
29-31
25-36
24-34
30-32
35-34
28-32
21-28
14-16
22-27
22-23
31-22
13-21
26-27
19-27
17-27
22-29
21-19
16-18
26-32
34-38
22-31
33-27
–
–
–
–
215.8Avg total
102.8Scored
113.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)93.4103.0196.4-9.620%
Season at home (2)77.593.5171.0-16.00%
Season away (3)104.0109.3213.3-5.333%
Last 10 (10)102.8113.0215.8-10.220%
Last 5 (5)93.4103.0196.4-9.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)111.2117.2228.4-6.033%
vs Similar (6)117.2118.0235.2-0.850%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Mexico City Capitanes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mexico City CapitanesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sioux Falls Skyforce
#16
W
116-105
116
105
+11
A22/03
NBA - G League
Valley Suns
#31
W
112-99
112
99
+13
A25/03
NBA - G League
Valley Suns
#31
L
94-114
94
114
-20
A26/03
NBA - G League
Austin Toros Spurs
#3
L
86-118
86
118
-32
A29/03
NBA - G League
Rip City Remix
#12
L
108-113
108
113
-5
H02/04
NBA - G League
Oklahoma City Blue
#26
W
94-79
94
79
+15
A07/11
NBA - G League
Texas Legends
#23
W
107-91
107
91
+16
H09/11
NBA - G League
Texas Legends
#23
W
97-93
97
93
+4
H11/11
NBA - G League
Osceola Magic
#5
L
94-109
94
109
-15
A13/11
NBA - G League
Birmingham Squadron
#13
L
86-99
86
99
-13
A14/11
NBA - G League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-32
32-31
27-18
32-24
24-27
23-19
36-30
29-23
20-31
21-23
22-26
31-34
19-33
26-32
16-27
25-26
24-38
31-16
26-34
27-25
28-21
16-14
27-22
23-22
30-24
27-34
25-14
25-19
25-19
31-24
21-21
20-29
19-31
23-34
30-25
22-19
18-19
29-25
19-27
20-28
201.4Avg total
99.4Scored
102.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)95.694.2189.8+1.460%
Season at home (2)102.092.0194.0+10.0100%
Season away (3)91.395.7187.0-4.333%
Last 10 (10)99.4102.0201.4-2.650%
Last 5 (5)95.694.2189.8+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)104.0115.7219.7-11.733%
vs Similar (18)109.2112.2221.4-2.950%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)107.8102.9210.7+4.978%
This opponent (Oklahoma City Blue) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 226
Over 226
13.3%
Under 226
86.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 231
Over 231
8.5%
Under 231
91.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 236
Over 236
5.1%
Under 236
94.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Oklahoma City Blue total 113
Over 113
12.5%
Under 113
87.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oklahoma City Blue total 117
Over 117
6.8%
Under 117
93.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oklahoma City Blue total 121
Over 121
3.4%
Under 121
96.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mexico City Capitanes total 110
Over 110
34.8%
Under 110
65.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mexico City Capitanes total 114
Over 114
22.9%
Under 114
77.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mexico City Capitanes total 118
Over 118
13.8%
Under 118
86.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Oklahoma City Blue -3
OKLA -3
25.9%
MEXI +3
74.1%
Best 5 market prices
OKLA
No market prices yet.
MEXI
No market prices yet.
Spread Oklahoma City Blue 0
OKLA 0
32.9%
MEXI 0
67.1%
Best 5 market prices
OKLA
No market prices yet.
MEXI
No market prices yet.
Spread Oklahoma City Blue +3
OKLA +3
40.1%
MEXI -3
59.9%
Best 5 market prices
OKLA
No market prices yet.
MEXI
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: -4.3-4.3Q2Q2: -4.0-4.0Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: -4.3-4.3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +0.5+0.5
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: -4.3-4.3Q2Q2: -4.0-4.0Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: -4.3-4.3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +0.5+0.5
Oklahoma City BlueMexico City Capitanes
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Oklahoma City BlueLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Memphis Hustle
#26
L
63-64
63
64
-1
A22/03
NBA - G League
Memphis Hustle
#26
W
74-60
74
60
+14
A22/03
NBA - G League
Rio Grande Valley Vipers
#8
L
59-74
59
74
-15
H25/03
NBA - G League
Iowa Wolves
#11
L
52-66
52
66
-14
A26/03
NBA - G League
Iowa Wolves
#11
L
54-66
54
66
-12
A28/03
NBA - G League
Mexico City Capitanes
#12
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H07/11
NBA - G League
Osceola Magic
#5
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A08/11
NBA - G League
Rio Grande Valley Vipers
#19
L
39-56
39
56
-17
H10/11
NBA - G League
Memphis Hustle
#20
L
60-70
60
70
-10
A13/11
NBA - G League
113.7Avg total
53.3Scored
60.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)56.961.2118.1-4.334%-
Last 30 at home (14)54.362.1116.4-7.829%-
Last 30 away (15)59.460.4119.8-1.040%-
Last 10 (9)53.360.3113.7-7.022%-
Last 5 (5)46.455.8102.2-9.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)55.560.8116.3-5.330%-
vs Similar (6)62.562.7125.2-0.250%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Mexico City Capitanes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mexico City CapitanesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sioux Falls Skyforce
#16
L
57-63
57
63
-6
A22/03
NBA - G League
Valley Suns
#31
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A25/03
NBA - G League
Valley Suns
#31
L
41-54
41
54
-13
A26/03
NBA - G League
Austin Toros Spurs
#3
L
45-65
45
65
-20
A29/03
NBA - G League
Rip City Remix
#12
W
55-54
55
54
+1
H02/04
NBA - G League
Oklahoma City Blue
#26
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A07/11
NBA - G League
Texas Legends
#23
L
57-58
57
58
-1
H09/11
NBA - G League
Texas Legends
#23
W
56-43
56
43
+13
H11/11
NBA - G League
Osceola Magic
#5
L
42-65
42
65
-23
A13/11
NBA - G League
Birmingham Squadron
#13
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A14/11
NBA - G League
101.8Avg total
49.1Scored
52.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.556.8109.3-4.237%-
Last 30 at home (13)56.958.1115.0-1.238%-
Last 30 away (17)49.255.8104.9-6.635%-
Last 10 (10)49.152.7101.8-3.650%-
Last 5 (5)49.249.098.2+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)46.360.0106.3-13.733%-
vs Similar (18)53.959.2113.2-5.333%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)51.850.8102.6+1.044%-
This opponent (Oklahoma City Blue) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AMemphis Hustle108-103
13/11/26AMemphis Hustle115-128
10/11/26HRio Grande Valley Vipers76-93
08/11/26AOsceola Magic89-97
07/11/26HMexico City Capitanes79-94
28/03/26AIowa Wolves117-132
26/03/26AIowa Wolves106-133
25/03/26HRio Grande Valley Vipers105-120
22/03/26AMemphis Hustle125-115
22/03/26AMemphis Hustle108-115
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ABirmingham Squadron86-99
13/11/26AOsceola Magic94-109
11/11/26HTexas Legends97-93
09/11/26HTexas Legends107-91
07/11/26AOklahoma City Blue94-79
02/04/26HRip City Remix108-113
29/03/26AAustin Toros Spurs86-118
26/03/26AValley Suns94-114
25/03/26AValley Suns112-99
22/03/26ASioux Falls Skyforce116-105

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Oklahoma City Blue
NBA - G League 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW20%
HomeLL0%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %20%0%33%
Points / game93.477.5104.0
Allowed / game103.093.5109.3
Point differential-9.6-16.0-5.3
Avg total196.4171.0213.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mexico City Capitanes
NBA - G League 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL60%
HomeWW100%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %60%100%33%
Points / game95.6102.091.3
Allowed / game94.292.095.7
Point differential+1.4+10.0-4.3
Avg total189.8194.0187.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Maine Celtics330100%120.3101.0+19.3
2 Wisconsin Herd220100%142.0127.0+15.0
3 Windy City Bulls330100%125.3114.3+11.0
4 Sioux Falls Skyforce220100%125.0115.0+10.0
5 Osceola Magic330100%102.393.7+8.7
6 Austin Toros Spurs220100%118.5113.0+5.5
7 Long Island Nets43175%117.0109.5+7.5
8 South Bay Lakers43175%115.8109.2+6.5
9 San Diego Clippers43175%123.5121.0+2.5
10 Stockton Kings32167%125.3125.3+0.0
11 Greensboro Swarm53260%113.2106.0+7.2
12 Mexico City Capitanes53260%95.694.2+1.4
13 Birmingham Squadron21150%104.5101.5+3.0
14 Motor City Cruise21150%129.5128.0+1.5
15 Delaware Blue Coats21150%131.5132.0-0.5
16 Santa Cruz Warriors21150%117.0117.5-0.5
17 College Park Skyhawks42250%118.8125.0-6.2
18 Noblesville Boom52340%119.0120.0-1.0
19 Rio Grande Valley Vipers31233%102.799.3+3.3
20 Memphis Hustle31233%109.7108.0+1.7
21 Salt Lake City Stars31233%104.7104.7+0.0
22 Rip City Remix31233%113.0116.3-3.3
23 Texas Legends31233%95.3101.0-5.7
24 Raptors 90541325%116.8124.8-8.0
25 Iowa Wolves41325%118.8128.8-10.0
26 Oklahoma City Blue51420%93.4103.0-9.6
27 Grand Rapids Gold3030%114.3121.3-7.0
28 Valley Suns3030%115.0123.3-8.3
29 Westchester3030%94.0107.7-13.7
30 Cleveland Charge1010%122.0142.0-20.0
31 Capital City Go-Go1010%122.0147.0-25.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 31 teams: scroll the table.
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