Crailsheim Merlins vs Bayern Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 Nov 2018

Tip-off: 17:00

Final 71-96

18-24 28-33 18-17 7-22

Position#16

Record1-5

FormLLWLL

Points / game82.5

Allowed / game90.2

Crailsheim Merlins

Bayern 🏆

Position#1

Record5-0

FormLWWWL

Points / game88.0

Allowed / game73.4

BBLRound 8

Domestic2018-19

Meetings · Crailsheim Merlins v Bayern

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Crailsheim Merlins winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Bayern winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Crailsheim Merlins Germany

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormMerlins

Date

Competition

Trier

82-67

+15

no box

H27/04

Pro A

Trier

97-75

+22

no box

A29/04

Pro A

Vechta

87-103

103

-16

no box

H04/05

Pro A

Vechta

71-62

no box

A06/05

Pro A

Bremerhaven

#17

80-93

-13

no box

A28/09

BBL

Giessen

#13

90-92

-2

no box

H03/10

BBL

Alba Berlin

76-115

115

-39

no box

A12/10

BBL

Jena

#18

101-78

101

+23

no box

H20/10

BBL

Gottingen

#14

80-93

-13

no box

A28/10

BBL

Vechta

68-70

-2

no box

H02/11

BBL

23-17

19-13

22-19

18-18

23-26

17-16

29-20

28-13

22-22

19-22

22-31

24-28

24-20

20-17

16-15

11-10

16-21

28-17

12-29

24-26

14-28

26-24

33-22

17-18

15-33

16-20

22-27

23-35

23-16

27-17

29-17

22-28

15-26

20-24

22-17

23-26

19-14

15-15

19-18

15-23

168.0Avg total

83.2Scored

84.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (6)	82.5	90.2	172.7	-7.7	17%
Season at home (3)	86.3	80.0	166.3	+6.3	33%
Season away (3)	78.7	100.3	179.0	-21.7	0%
Last 10 (10)	83.2	84.8	168.0	-1.6	40%
Last 5 (5)	83.0	89.6	172.6	-6.6	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)	72.0	92.5	164.5	-20.5	0%
vs Similar (6)	81.0	88.2	169.2	-7.2	17%
vs Weaker (22)	96.1	76.9	173.0	+19.3	91%

This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Bayern

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormBayern

Date

Competition

Vechta

79-66

+13

no box

H03/10

BBL

Giessen

#13

106-92

106

+14

no box

H07/10

German Cup

Anadolu Efes

71-90

-19

94avg 101

H11/10

Euroleague

Basketball Braunschweig

87-61

+26

no box

A14/10

BBL

Panathinaikos

80-79

104avg 101

H16/10

Euroleague

Barcelona

73-83

-10

93avg 101

A18/10

Euroleague

Bonn

102-91

102

+11

no box

H21/10

BBL

Baskonia

77-71

106avg 101

H25/10

Euroleague

Bremerhaven

#17

89-72

+17

no box

A28/10

BBL

Fenerbahce

84-88

-4

108avg 101

A01/11

Euroleague

21-13

17-13

18-18

23-22

28-17

32-16

22-27

24-32

19-18

18-26

14-28

20-18

19-9

17-19

27-19

24-14

20-20

20-21

16-17

24-21

17-26

19-18

18-21

19-18

25-22

25-17

29-27

23-25

20-11

23-21

18-20

16-19

15-12

23-29

30-19

21-12

26-28

22-23

17-14

19-23

164.1Avg total

84.8Scored

79.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (5)	88.0	73.4	161.4	+14.6	100%
Season at home (2)	90.5	78.5	169.0	+12.0	100%
Season away (3)	86.3	70.0	156.3	+16.3	100%
Last 10 (10)	84.8	79.3	164.1	+5.5	70%
Last 5 (5)	85.0	81.0	166.0	+4.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	77.5	89.0	166.5	-11.5	0%
vs Similar (8)	83.4	78.9	162.2	+4.5	62%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	87.6	74.4	162.0	+13.3	84%

This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Crailsheim MerlinsBayern

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.8	20.3	43.1	+2.5	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.3	20.0	43.3	+3.3	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.3	20.5	42.9	+1.8	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	22.3	41.7	-2.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	23.4	40.6	-6.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)	17.0	23.5	40.5	-6.5	50%	-
vs Similar (6)	19.2	23.2	42.3	-4.0	33%	-
vs Weaker (22)	24.3	19.2	43.5	+5.1	77%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	18.4	39.9	+3.1	70%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	22.2	18.5	40.6	+3.7	71%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.5	18.3	38.8	+2.2	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	17.6	38.6	+3.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	19.8	40.4	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	22.5	23.0	45.5	-0.5	50%	-
vs Similar (8)	21.9	16.6	38.5	+5.2	75%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	20.8	18.7	39.6	+2.1	68%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.0	19.3	42.3	+3.7	73%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	24.1	18.5	42.6	+5.5	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.9	20.1	42.0	+1.9	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	18.5	39.2	+2.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	20.0	40.8	+0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)	15.5	17.5	33.0	-2.0	0%	-
vs Similar (6)	21.3	20.2	41.5	+1.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (22)	24.1	19.2	43.4	+4.9	86%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.4	18.8	41.2	+3.6	67%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	23.5	18.6	42.2	+4.9	82%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.9	19.1	40.0	+1.8	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	20.3	41.9	+1.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	21.6	44.0	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	20.0	24.5	44.5	-4.5	0%	-
vs Similar (8)	20.5	19.5	40.0	+1.0	62%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	22.9	18.1	41.1	+4.8	74%	-

Crailsheim MerlinsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Trier

42-30

+12

H27/04

Pro A

Trier

40-42

-2

A29/04

Pro A

Vechta

41-44

-3

H04/05

Pro A

Vechta

44-37

A06/05

Pro A

Bremerhaven

#17

44-38

A28/09

BBL

Giessen

#13

40-52

-12

H03/10

BBL

Alba Berlin

31-53

-22

A12/10

BBL

Jena

#18

50-33

+17

H20/10

BBL

Gottingen

#14

35-50

-15

A28/10

BBL

Vechta

34-29

H02/11

BBL

80.9Avg total

40.1Scored

40.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.8	39.6	85.4	+6.2	73%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	47.3	38.5	85.9	+8.8	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	44.3	40.6	84.9	+3.7	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.1	40.8	80.9	-0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.0	43.4	81.4	-5.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)	32.5	41.0	73.5	-8.5	50%	-
vs Similar (6)	40.5	43.3	83.8	-2.8	33%	-
vs Weaker (22)	48.5	38.4	86.9	+10.0	86%	-

This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Vechta

38-26

+12

H03/10

BBL

Giessen

#13

60-33

+27

H07/10

German Cup

Anadolu Efes

37-44

-7

H11/10

Euroleague

Basketball Braunschweig

36-28

A14/10

BBL

Panathinaikos

40-41

-1

H16/10

Euroleague

Barcelona

36-44

-8

A18/10

Euroleague

Bonn

50-39

+11

H21/10

BBL

Baskonia

43-32

+11

H25/10

Euroleague

Bremerhaven

#17

38-41

-3

A28/10

BBL

Fenerbahce

48-51

-3

A01/11

Euroleague

80.5Avg total

42.6Scored

37.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.9	37.2	81.1	+6.6	67%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	45.7	37.1	82.8	+8.6	71%	-
Last 30 away (13)	41.5	37.4	78.8	+4.1	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.6	37.9	80.5	+4.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.0	41.4	84.4	+1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	42.5	47.5	90.0	-5.0	0%	-
vs Similar (8)	42.4	36.1	78.5	+6.2	62%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	43.8	36.8	80.6	+6.9	74%	-

This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.6	20.3	43.0	+2.3	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.9	20.3	43.2	+2.5	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.4	20.3	42.7	+2.1	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.6	21.5	44.1	+1.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.0	20.2	45.2	+4.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)	20.5	22.5	43.0	-2.0	50%	-
vs Similar (6)	20.8	22.5	43.3	-1.7	50%	-
vs Weaker (22)	23.3	19.5	42.9	+3.8	64%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.8	19.9	41.7	+1.9	50%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	22.5	20.3	42.8	+2.2	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.8	19.4	40.2	+1.5	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	21.0	41.9	-0.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	20.2	42.6	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	15.5	21.0	36.5	-5.5	50%	-
vs Similar (8)	20.5	20.2	40.8	+0.2	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	23.0	19.3	42.3	+3.7	58%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.1	20.3	43.3	+2.8	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.2	19.7	41.9	+2.5	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	23.9	20.8	44.7	+3.1	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	22.5	43.0	-2.0	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	26.0	46.0	-6.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)	19.0	29.0	48.0	-10.0	0%	-
vs Similar (6)	19.7	22.3	42.0	-2.7	17%	-
vs Weaker (22)	24.4	18.9	43.3	+5.5	73%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	19.4	39.9	+1.1	63%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.9	21.8	43.8	+0.1	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.6	16.2	34.8	+2.5	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	20.4	41.7	+0.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	19.4	39.0	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	19.5	20.5	40.0	-1.0	50%	-
vs Similar (8)	19.5	20.1	39.6	-0.6	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	20.8	18.3	39.1	+2.6	74%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.7	40.6	86.3	+5.1	73%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	45.1	40.1	85.1	+5.0	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	46.3	41.1	87.5	+5.2	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.1	44.0	87.1	-0.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.0	46.2	91.2	-1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)	39.5	51.5	91.0	-12.0	0%	-
vs Similar (6)	40.5	44.8	85.3	-4.3	50%	-
vs Weaker (22)	47.7	38.5	86.1	+9.2	86%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.3	39.3	81.6	+3.0	57%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	44.5	42.1	86.6	+2.4	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	39.5	35.5	75.0	+3.9	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.2	41.4	83.6	+0.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.0	39.6	81.6	+2.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	35.0	41.5	76.5	-6.5	0%	-
vs Similar (8)	40.0	40.4	80.4	-0.4	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	43.8	37.5	81.4	+6.3	68%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Crailsheim Merlinstheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 81.1 points a game scored

🏀🏀57%

🏀🏀🏀25%

🏀18%

🏀🏀 2-pointers46.2 pts a game · 57% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.3 pts a game · 25% of the points

🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 18% of the points

League average for comparison: 83.5 points a game

47%

35%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.4	23.1	57.1%	54.1%	46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	19.7	6.8	34.5%	33.9%	20.3
🏀 Free throws	18.2	14.6	79.9%	73.5%	14.6

They take 60.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.3	21.9	60.2%	54.1%	43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.3	8.7	35.6%	33.9%	26.0
🏀 Free throws	17.2	13.1	76.1%	73.5%	13.1

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.3	21.9	60.2%	54.1%	43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.3	8.7	35.6%	33.9%	26.0
🏀 Free throws	17.2	13.1	76.1%	73.5%	13.1

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Crailsheim Merlins wins

Bayern wins

Date	Game	Score
22/04/16	Crailsheim Merlins v Bayern	78-89
29/11/15	Bayern v Crailsheim Merlins	106-59
28/03/15	Bayern v Crailsheim Merlins	110-76
23/11/14	Crailsheim Merlins v Bayern	66-103

Crailsheim Merlinslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
02/11/18	H	Vechta	68-70
28/10/18	A	Gottingen	80-93
20/10/18	H	Jena	101-78
12/10/18	A	Alba Berlin	76-115
03/10/18	H	Giessen	90-92
28/09/18	A	Bremerhaven	80-93
06/05/18	A	Vechta	71-62
04/05/18	H	Vechta	87-103
29/04/18	A	Trier	97-75
27/04/18	H	Trier	82-67

Bayernlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
01/11/18	A	Fenerbahce	84-88
28/10/18	A	Bremerhaven	89-72
25/10/18	H	Baskonia	77-71
21/10/18	H	Bonn	102-91
18/10/18	A	Barcelona	73-83
16/10/18	H	Panathinaikos	80-79
14/10/18	A	Basketball Braunschweig	87-61
11/10/18	H	Anadolu Efes	71-90
07/10/18	H	Giessen	106-92
03/10/18	H	Vechta	79-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Crailsheim Merlins

BBL 2018-19

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLL	17%
Home	LWL	33%
Away	LLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	6	3	3
Win %	17%	33%	0%
Points / game	82.5	86.3	78.7
Allowed / game	90.2	80.0	100.3
Point differential	-7.7	+6.3	-21.7
Avg total	172.7	166.3	179.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	17%	33%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (2)	0% (2)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Bayern

BBL 2018-19

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	100%
Home	WW	100%
Away	WWW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	5	2	3
Win %	100%	100%	100%
Points / game	88.0	90.5	86.3
Allowed / game	73.4	78.5	70.0
Point differential	+14.6	+12.0	+16.3
Avg total	161.4	169.0	156.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	80%	100%	67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Alba Berlin	5	5	0	100%	100.0	70.6	+29.4
2	Bayern	5	5	0	100%	88.0	73.4	+14.6
3	Giessen	6	5	1	83%	90.7	87.2	+3.5
4	Oldenburg	5	4	1	80%	93.4	79.2	+14.2
5	Bamberg	5	4	1	80%	84.8	84.8	+0.0
6	Gottingen	6	4	2	67%	84.7	79.2	+5.5
7	Bonn	6	3	3	50%	82.5	83.2	-0.7
8	Bremerhaven	6	3	3	50%	83.0	85.2	-2.2
9	Vechta	6	3	3	50%	79.8	82.8	-3.0
10	s.Oliver Wurzburg	5	2	3	40%	80.2	80.8	-0.6
11	Bayreuth	5	2	3	40%	78.6	79.8	-1.2
12	Frankfurt	5	2	3	40%	76.0	81.6	-5.6
13	Jena	5	2	3	40%	76.6	89.0	-12.4
14	Ludwigsburg	6	2	4	33%	78.5	79.7	-1.2
15	Ulm	5	1	4	20%	85.8	89.8	-4.0
16	Crailsheim Merlins	6	1	5	17%	82.5	90.2	-7.7
17	Basketball Braunschweig	6	1	5	17%	73.7	82.2	-8.5
18	Mitteldeutscher	5	0	5	0%	76.8	94.2	-17.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Crailsheim Merlins	18	28	18	7	71
Bayern	24	33	17	22	96

← all games of the day

Crailsheim Merlins vs Bayern Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

Manage Cookies

Strictly Necessary

Functionality Cookies

Performance Cookies

Third Party Marketing/Targeting

A Pro feature