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Oldenburg vs Crailsheim Merlins Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 94-86
27-22 20-21 24-16 23-27
Position#5
Record13-7
FormWLWWL
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game82.1
vs
Position#14
Record7-14
FormLLLLL
Points / game87.3
Allowed / game91.7
GermanyBBLRound 18
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Oldenburg v Crailsheim Merlins
14 Feb 2024
OLD80
CME58
05 Mar 2023
OLD94
CME86
28 Sep 2021
OLD82
CME79
05 May 2021
OLD73
CME90
29 Apr 2020
OLD v CME
upcoming
24 Nov 2018
OLD87
CME79
05 Mar 2016
OLD83
CME57
07 Mar 2015
OLD112
CME81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Oldenburg winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Crailsheim Merlins winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OldenburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOldenburg
Date
Competition
Chemnitz
#12
W
83-81
83
81
+2
77avg 79
H03/01
BBL
Bamberg
#9
L
78-89
78
89
-11
70avg 79
A07/01
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#16
W
108-68
108
68
+40
106avg 79
H14/01
BBL
Bonn
#1
L
79-108
79
108
-29
68avg 79
A21/01
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#6
W
75-71
75
71
+4
78avg 79
A28/01
BBL
Rostock
#8
W
80-73
80
73
+7
64avg 79
A05/02
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
81-89
81
89
-8
no box
A11/02
BBL
Frankfurt
#17
W
87-79
87
79
+8
85avg 79
H14/02
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#3
W
92-86
92
86
+6
no box
H18/02
German Cup
Bayern
#1
L
78-90
78
90
-12
no box
A19/02
German Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-19
25-11
24-24
20-27
17-20
23-29
19-21
19-19
28-18
21-20
20-13
39-17
29-30
12-31
17-22
21-25
16-17
10-19
21-16
28-19
15-18
18-19
23-19
24-17
22-32
20-21
21-21
18-15
19-19
27-22
21-22
20-16
23-28
14-21
29-20
26-17
16-24
19-19
19-22
24-25
167.5Avg total
84.1Scored
83.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)85.082.1167.1+3.065%
Season at home (9)87.278.4165.7+8.878%
Season away (11)83.385.1168.4-1.855%
Last 10 (10)84.183.4167.5+0.760%
Last 5 (5)83.683.4167.0+0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)82.892.3175.2-9.517%
vs Similar (9)87.180.8167.9+6.378%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)87.981.4169.2+6.579%
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crailsheim MerlinsGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMerlins
Date
Competition
BC Kalev/Cramo
#2
L
78-90
78
90
-12
no box
A18/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Ludwigsburg
#6
W
106-87
106
87
+19
103avg 77
H21/01
BBL
Den Bosch
#26
W
102-97
102
97
+5
no box
A25/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Alba Berlin
#2
L
77-100
77
100
-23
69avg 77
A28/01
BBL
BC Kalev/Cramo
#2
L
76-79
76
79
-3
no box
H01/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Chemnitz
#12
L
79-82
79
82
-3
73avg 77
H05/02
BBL
Gaziantep
#4
L
95-97
95
97
-2
no box
H08/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Gottingen
#7
L
79-92
79
92
-13
70avg 77
A11/02
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
85-91
85
91
-6
73avg 77
H14/02
BBL
Bonn
#1
L
83-101
83
101
-18
80avg 77
A02/03
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-22
14-19
15-20
33-29
26-9
22-30
22-26
36-22
33-27
27-20
20-20
22-30
25-16
12-32
26-27
14-25
13-21
28-18
17-18
18-22
20-23
22-27
16-14
21-18
14-26
23-24
24-15
34-32
18-24
24-25
18-22
19-21
16-16
24-27
19-23
26-25
22-32
22-30
13-17
26-22
177.6Avg total
86.0Scored
91.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)87.391.7179.0-4.433%
Season at home (10)91.691.7183.3-0.140%
Season away (11)83.591.7175.2-8.327%
Last 10 (10)86.091.6177.6-5.620%
Last 5 (5)84.292.6176.8-8.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)84.295.4179.6-11.210%
vs Similar (14)90.690.1180.7+0.450%
vs Weaker (6)83.876.2160.0+7.767%
This opponent (Oldenburg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: -3.4-3.4Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +4.2+4.2Q4: +0.3+0.3
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: -3.4-3.4Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +4.2+4.2Q4: +0.3+0.3
OldenburgCrailsheim Merlins
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OldenburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chemnitz
#12
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H03/01
BBL
Bamberg
#9
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A07/01
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#16
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H14/01
BBL
Bonn
#1
L
41-61
41
61
-20
A21/01
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#6
L
26-36
26
36
-10
A28/01
BBL
Rostock
#8
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A05/02
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
42-53
42
53
-11
A11/02
BBL
Frankfurt
#17
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H14/02
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#3
L
37-49
37
49
-12
H18/02
German Cup
Bayern
#1
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A19/02
German Cup
82.5Avg total
38.8Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.043.985.9-1.943%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.742.686.3+1.157%-
Last 30 away (16)40.645.185.6-4.531%-
Last 10 (10)38.843.782.5-4.930%-
Last 5 (5)38.644.683.2-6.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)39.850.290.0-10.30%-
vs Similar (9)41.342.283.6-0.944%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)43.442.385.6+1.164%-
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crailsheim MerlinsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Kalev/Cramo
#2
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A18/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Ludwigsburg
#6
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H21/01
BBL
Den Bosch
#26
W
60-47
60
47
+13
A25/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Alba Berlin
#2
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A28/01
BBL
BC Kalev/Cramo
#2
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H01/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Chemnitz
#12
L
42-50
42
50
-8
H05/02
BBL
Gaziantep
#4
L
37-50
37
50
-13
H08/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Gottingen
#7
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A11/02
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H14/02
BBL
Bonn
#1
L
44-62
44
62
-18
A02/03
BBL
88.9Avg total
42.1Scored
46.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.643.987.5-0.350%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.141.385.4+2.960%-
Last 30 away (15)43.146.589.7-3.440%-
Last 10 (10)42.146.888.9-4.730%-
Last 5 (5)41.050.891.8-9.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)40.048.288.2-8.220%-
vs Similar (14)45.944.590.4+1.457%-
vs Weaker (6)44.335.379.7+9.083%-
This opponent (Oldenburg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Oldenburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oldenburg: 83.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.519.4
56.2%
54.4%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.79.1
31.7%
35.4%27.3
🏀 Free throws21.817.7
81.2%
75.8%17.7
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Crailsheim Merlinstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crailsheim Merlins: 86.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.018.5
52.9%
54.4%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.611.5
38.9%
35.4%34.5
🏀 Free throws18.014.9
82.8%
75.8%14.9
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Mar 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Oldenburg
LWWLWWLWLW
Crailsheim Merlins
LLLLLLLWWL
#5
League position
#14
+1.4
Net rating
-3.5
113.8
Offensive rating
114.8
112.4
Defensive rating
118.3
52.3%
Effective FG%
55.3%
56.9%
Opp. effective FG%
54.4%
17.1%
Turnover %
16.4%
33.6%
Off. rebound %
28.2%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.28
31.7%
3-point %
38.9%
61.4%
Assist %
57.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence113.8 · 114.8Defence112.4 · 118.3Shooting52.3% · 55.3%3-point %31.7% · 38.9%Ball care17.1% · 16.4%Off. rebounds33.6% · 28.2%Free throws0.34 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)60% · 20%
■ Oldenburg   ■ Crailsheim Merlins
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Oldenburg wins
4
Crailsheim Merlins wins
Oldenburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/02/23ABayern78-90
18/02/23HLudwigsburg92-86
14/02/23HFrankfurt87-79
11/02/23AAlba Berlin81-89
05/02/23ARostock80-73
28/01/23ALudwigsburg75-71
21/01/23ABonn79-108
14/01/23HSyntainics MBC108-68
07/01/23ABamberg78-89
03/01/23HChemnitz83-81
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/23ABonn83-101
14/02/23HAlba Berlin85-91
11/02/23AGottingen79-92
08/02/23HGaziantep95-97
05/02/23HChemnitz79-82
01/02/23HBC Kalev/Cramo76-79
28/01/23AAlba Berlin77-100
25/01/23ADen Bosch102-97
21/01/23HLudwigsburg106-87
18/01/23ABC Kalev/Cramo78-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Oldenburg
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW65%
HomeWLWWW78%
AwayLLWWL55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20911
Win %65%78%55%
Points / game85.087.283.3
Allowed / game82.178.485.1
Point differential+3.0+8.8-1.8
Avg total167.2165.7168.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%22%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)67% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %5%0%9%
Crailsheim Merlins
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL33%
HomeLWWLL40%
AwayWWLLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %33%40%27%
Points / game87.391.683.5
Allowed / game91.791.791.7
Point differential-4.4-0.1-8.3
Avg total179.0183.3175.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%20%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bonn2119290%90.174.2+16.0
2 Alba Berlin2018290%90.179.6+10.5
3 Bayern2115671%82.176.6+5.5
4 Oldenburg2013765%85.082.1+3.0
5 Gottingen2013765%87.185.3+1.8
6 Ludwigsburg1912763%88.885.0+3.8
7 Ulm21111052%87.685.6+2.0
8 Chemnitz20101050%84.082.8+1.1
9 Bamberg22111150%87.086.0+1.0
10 Wurzburg22111150%83.683.6+0.0
11 Rostock22101245%84.489.2-4.8
12 Syntainics MBC2191243%83.487.7-4.3
13 Hamburg2281436%82.885.7-2.9
14 Crailsheim Merlins2171433%87.391.7-4.4
15 Heidelberg2171433%86.291.1-4.9
16 Basketball Braunschweig2261627%79.184.8-5.6
17 Frankfurt2151624%79.687.2-7.6
18 Bayreuth2031715%80.889.7-8.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Oldenburg2720242394
Crailsheim Merlins2221162786
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