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Oldenburg vs Crailsheim Merlins Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 05 May 2021
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 73-90
17-23 16-24 20-20 20-23
Position#3
Record23-8
FormWLWLW
Points / game93.3
Allowed / game84.2
vs
Position#5
Record22-10
FormLWWLW
Points / game86.8
Allowed / game82.9
GermanyBBLRound 33
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Oldenburg v Crailsheim Merlins
14 Feb 2024
OLD80
CME58
05 Mar 2023
OLD94
CME86
28 Sep 2021
OLD82
CME79
05 May 2021
OLD73
CME90
29 Apr 2020
OLD v CME
upcoming
24 Nov 2018
OLD87
CME79
05 Mar 2016
OLD83
CME57
07 Mar 2015
OLD112
CME81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Oldenburg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Crailsheim Merlins winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OldenburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#1
W
89-81
89
81
+8
A09/03
BBL
Bayern
#4
L
102-108
102
108
-6
A14/03
BBL
Vechta
#18
W
101-71
101
71
+30
H19/03
BBL
Chemnitz
#14
W
98-92 OT
98
92
+6
A26/03
BBL
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#16
W
116-66
116
66
+50
A04/04
BBL
Bonn
#13
W
106-87
106
87
+19
H10/04
BBL
Hamburg
#7
L
74-80
74
80
-6
A14/04
BBL
Bamberg
#8
W
100-99
100
99
+1
H19/04
BBL
Ulm
#6
L
75-93
75
93
-18
H24/04
BBL
Frankfurt
#12
W
82-59
82
59
+23
A02/05
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-19
22-13
18-17
25-32
20-18
22-28
32-23
28-39
32-19
31-17
21-18
17-17
23-16
21-23
21-16
17-27
24-19
24-13
30-12
38-22
20-22
35-20
20-18
31-27
19-23
18-16
8-15
29-26
25-23
25-22
26-24
24-30
26-21
15-20
20-20
14-32
19-9
26-17
14-16
23-17
177.9Avg total
94.3Scored
83.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)93.384.2177.4+9.174%
Season at home (15)94.885.0179.8+9.873%
Season away (16)91.883.4175.2+8.475%
Last 10 (10)94.383.6177.9+10.770%
Last 5 (5)87.483.6171.0+3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)87.992.4180.2-4.538%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)94.481.2175.6+13.286%
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crailsheim MerlinsGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ludwigsburg
#2
W
68-58
68
58
+10
H14/03
BBL
Bayern
#4
L
74-79
74
79
-5
H21/03
BBL
Giessen
#17
W
102-77
102
77
+25
H27/03
BBL
Frankfurt
#12
L
84-92
84
92
-8
A04/04
BBL
Bonn
#13
W
91-88
91
88
+3
H07/04
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#15
L
77-82
77
82
-5
H09/04
BBL
Chemnitz
#14
W
85-73
85
73
+12
A14/04
BBL
Vechta
#18
W
98-81
98
81
+17
H24/04
BBL
Ulm
#6
L
78-93
78
93
-15
A29/04
BBL
Hamburg
#7
W
85-79
85
79
+6
H02/05
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-18
26-8
15-14
13-18
15-16
20-15
20-27
19-21
22-22
26-20
29-9
25-26
22-21
22-21
15-21
25-29
25-16
15-31
20-16
31-25
20-21
20-27
16-19
21-15
15-27
23-14
21-13
26-19
25-15
20-22
25-27
28-17
17-21
26-23
21-28
14-21
23-17
24-25
16-20
22-17
164.4Avg total
84.2Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)86.882.9169.8+3.969%
Season at home (17)85.180.1165.2+5.176%
Season away (15)88.786.2174.9+2.560%
Last 10 (10)84.280.2164.4+4.060%
Last 5 (5)84.681.6166.2+3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)79.087.6166.6-8.643%
vs Similar (6)82.787.3170.0-4.750%
vs Weaker (17)90.879.8170.6+11.182%
This opponent (Oldenburg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.3+4.3Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: +5.0+5.0Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: +1.6+1.6
OldenburgCrailsheim Merlins
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OldenburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#1
W
46-32
46
32
+14
A09/03
BBL
Bayern
#4
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A14/03
BBL
Vechta
#18
W
63-36
63
36
+27
H19/03
BBL
Chemnitz
#14
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A26/03
BBL
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#16
W
48-32
48
32
+16
A04/04
BBL
Bonn
#13
W
55-42
55
42
+13
H10/04
BBL
Hamburg
#7
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A14/04
BBL
Bamberg
#8
W
50-45
50
45
+5
H19/04
BBL
Ulm
#6
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H24/04
BBL
Frankfurt
#12
W
45-26
45
26
+19
A02/05
BBL
84.9Avg total
47.1Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.741.487.0+4.353%-
Last 30 at home (15)49.342.992.2+6.360%-
Last 30 away (15)42.139.881.9+2.347%-
Last 10 (10)47.137.884.9+9.370%-
Last 5 (5)45.638.684.2+7.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)42.247.189.4-4.925%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)46.939.386.2+7.664%-
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crailsheim MerlinsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ludwigsburg
#2
W
40-26
40
26
+14
H14/03
BBL
Bayern
#4
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H21/03
BBL
Giessen
#17
W
48-42
48
42
+6
H27/03
BBL
Frankfurt
#12
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A04/04
BBL
Bonn
#13
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H07/04
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#15
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H09/04
BBL
Chemnitz
#14
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A14/04
BBL
Vechta
#18
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H24/04
BBL
Ulm
#6
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A29/04
BBL
Hamburg
#7
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H02/05
BBL
82.0Avg total
42.0Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.639.982.5+2.657%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.437.679.0+3.869%-
Last 30 away (14)43.942.686.5+1.443%-
Last 10 (10)42.040.082.0+2.060%-
Last 5 (5)42.642.485.0+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)39.340.780.0-1.443%-
vs Similar (6)39.743.282.8-3.550%-
vs Weaker (17)44.938.583.4+6.565%-
This opponent (Oldenburg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Oldenburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oldenburg: 92.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.3 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.9 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.520.0
58.0%
54.2%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.513.1
43.0%
37.1%39.3
🏀 Free throws17.112.9
75.4%
78.0%12.9
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Crailsheim Merlinstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crailsheim Merlins: 83.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.9 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.717.0
55.4%
54.2%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.311.6
38.3%
37.1%34.8
🏀 Free throws19.914.8
74.4%
78.0%14.8
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 May 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Oldenburg
WLWLWWWWLW
Crailsheim Merlins
WLWWLWLWLW
#3
League position
#5
+11.6
Net rating
+6.2
121.3
Offensive rating
112.7
109.7
Defensive rating
106.5
61.0%
Effective FG%
56.4%
55.0%
Opp. effective FG%
52.2%
15.2%
Turnover %
20.2%
25.4%
Off. rebound %
33.6%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.33
43.0%
3-point %
38.3%
63.1%
Assist %
57.0%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence121.3 · 112.7Defence109.7 · 106.5Shooting61.0% · 56.4%3-point %43.0% · 38.3%Ball care15.2% · 20.2%Off. rebounds25.4% · 33.6%Free throws0.26 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Oldenburg   ■ Crailsheim Merlins
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Oldenburg wins
2
Crailsheim Merlins wins
Oldenburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/05/21AFrankfurt82-59
24/04/21HUlm75-93
19/04/21HBamberg100-99
14/04/21AHamburg74-80
10/04/21HBonn106-87
04/04/21As.Oliver Wurzburg116-66
26/03/21AChemnitz98-92 OT
19/03/21HVechta101-71
14/03/21ABayern102-108
09/03/21AAlba Berlin89-81
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/05/21HHamburg85-79
29/04/21AUlm78-93
24/04/21HVechta98-81
14/04/21AChemnitz85-73
09/04/21HSyntainics MBC77-82
07/04/21HBonn91-88
04/04/21AFrankfurt84-92
27/03/21HGiessen102-77
21/03/21HBayern74-79
14/03/21HLudwigsburg68-58

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Oldenburg
BBL 2020-21
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW74%
HomeWWWWL73%
AwayLWWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311516
Win %74%73%75%
Points / game93.394.891.8
Allowed / game84.285.083.4
Point differential+9.1+9.8+8.4
Avg total177.4179.8175.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%40%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (8)60% (5)100% (3)
Overtime %3%0%6%
Crailsheim Merlins
BBL 2020-21
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW69%
HomeWWLWW76%
AwayLLLWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321715
Win %69%76%60%
Points / game86.885.188.7
Allowed / game82.980.186.2
Point differential+3.9+5.1+2.5
Avg total169.8165.2174.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%41%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)60% (5)100% (1)
Overtime %3%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Ludwigsburg3329488%89.077.1+11.9
2 Alba Berlin3327682%86.375.9+10.4
3 Bayern3224875%87.579.1+8.3
4 Oldenburg3123874%93.384.2+9.1
5 Crailsheim Merlins32221069%86.882.9+3.9
6 Ulm32211166%87.978.2+9.7
7 Hamburg33211264%84.979.6+5.3
8 Bamberg32171553%84.982.2+2.8
9 Basketball Braunschweig32141844%83.487.2-3.8
10 Bayreuth33141942%83.984.3-0.4
11 Gottingen31121939%83.789.8-6.1
12 Bonn32122038%82.584.5-2.0
13 Frankfurt32112134%75.783.1-7.4
14 Chemnitz32112134%78.987.7-8.7
15 s.Oliver Wurzburg3192229%78.287.5-9.3
16 Syntainics MBC3292328%83.290.2-7.0
17 Giessen3382524%85.593.6-8.1
18 Vechta3252716%79.388.7-9.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Oldenburg1716202073
Crailsheim Merlins2324202390
← all games of the day
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