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Ole Miss vs Alcorn State Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 30 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 79-43
0-0 37-25 0-0 42-18
Position#259
Record7-5
FormLLWWL
Points / game74.2
Allowed / game68.4
vs
Position#348
Record1-10
FormLWLLL
Points / game65.5
Allowed / game92.4
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Ole Miss v Alcorn State
02 Nov 2026
OLE 99
ALCO58
29 Dec 2025
OLE 79
ALCO43
07 Nov 2022
OLE 73
ALCO58
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ole Miss winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alcorn State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ole MissUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Memphis
#277
W
83-77
83
77
+6
H12/11
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#356
W
82-60
82
60
+22
H15/11
NCAA
Austin Peay
#49
W
72-65
72
65
+7
H19/11
NCAA
Iowa
#81
L
69-74
69
74
-5
A26/11
NCAA
Utah Utes
#333
L
74-75
74
75
-1
H27/11
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#38
L
66-75
66
75
-9
H03/12
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
L
58-63
58
63
-5
A07/12
NCAA
Southern Miss
#174
W
71-67
71
67
+4
H13/12
NCAA
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
#172
W
80-66
80
66
+14
H18/12
NCAA
NC State
#128
L
62-76
62
76
-14
A21/12
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
42-33
0-0
41-44
0-0
38-28
0-0
44-32
0-0
31-23
0-0
41-42
0-0
31-31
0-0
38-43
0-0
34-42
0-0
40-33
0-0
26-42
0-0
40-33
0-0
25-33
0-0
33-30
0-0
31-29
0-0
40-38
0-0
44-29
0-0
36-37
0-0
26-45
0-0
36-31
141.5Avg total
71.7Scored
69.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)74.268.4142.7+5.858%
Season at home (9)78.067.6145.6+10.478%
Season away (3)63.071.0134.0-8.00%
Last 10 (10)71.769.8141.5+1.950%
Last 5 (5)67.469.4136.8-2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)71.377.9149.2-6.623%
vs Similar (11)77.373.8151.1+3.573%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)79.066.0145.0+13.083%
This opponent (Alcorn State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alcorn StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Alabama
#120
L
70-76
70
76
-6
A07/11
NCAA
Minnesota
#235
L
50-95
50
95
-45
A08/11
NCAA
Maryland
#305
L
64-84
64
84
-20
A12/11
NCAA
Howard
#55
L
64-72
64
72
-8
A14/11
NCAA
LSU
#230
L
81-107
81
107
-26
A19/11
NCAA
Oklahoma
#154
L
53-72
53
72
-19
A23/11
NCAA
Indiana State
#311
W
81-74
81
74
+7
H28/11
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
L
58-83
58
83
-25
A29/11
NCAA
Iowa State
#34
L
68-132
68
132
-64
A04/12
NCAA
Baylor
#200
L
56-113
56
113
-57
A20/12
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
40-34
0-0
30-42
0-0
17-48
0-0
33-47
0-0
27-33
0-0
37-51
0-0
23-28
0-0
41-44
0-0
44-50
0-0
37-57
0-0
33-35
0-0
20-37
0-0
36-16
0-0
45-58
0-0
30-37
0-0
28-46
0-0
28-65
0-0
40-67
0-0
30-55
0-0
26-58
155.3Avg total
64.5Scored
90.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)65.592.4157.9-26.89%
Season at home (1)81.074.0155.0+7.0100%
Season away (10)64.094.2158.2-30.20%
Last 10 (10)64.590.8155.3-26.310%
Last 5 (5)63.294.8158.0-31.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)64.684.3148.9-19.819%
vs Similar (10)69.167.4136.5+1.750%
vs Weaker (4)75.556.5132.0+19.0100%
This opponent (Ole Miss) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-21-11+0+11+21Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: -9.3-9.3Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: -17.0-17.0
-21-11+0+11+21Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: -9.3-9.3Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: -17.0-17.0
Ole MissAlcorn State
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Ole MissLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Memphis
#277
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H12/11
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#356
W
38-28
38
28
+10
H15/11
NCAA
Austin Peay
#49
W
31-23
31
23
+8
H19/11
NCAA
Iowa
#81
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A26/11
NCAA
Utah Utes
#333
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H27/11
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#38
L
26-42
26
42
-16
H03/12
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
L
25-33
25
33
-8
A07/12
NCAA
Southern Miss
#174
W
31-29
31
29
+2
H13/12
NCAA
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
#172
W
44-29
44
29
+15
H18/12
NCAA
NC State
#128
L
26-45
26
45
-19
A21/12
NCAA
66.3Avg total
32.8Scored
33.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.834.570.3+1.350%-
Last 30 at home (18)38.233.271.4+4.967%-
Last 30 away (12)32.236.368.6-4.125%-
Last 10 (10)32.833.566.3-0.750%-
Last 5 (5)30.435.666.0-5.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)31.236.267.5-5.023%-
vs Similar (11)39.033.272.2+5.873%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)39.833.072.8+6.867%-
This opponent (Alcorn State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alcorn StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Alabama
#120
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A07/11
NCAA
Minnesota
#235
L
17-48
17
48
-31
A08/11
NCAA
Maryland
#305
L
27-33
27
33
-6
A12/11
NCAA
Howard
#55
L
23-28
23
28
-5
A14/11
NCAA
LSU
#230
L
44-50
44
50
-6
A19/11
NCAA
Oklahoma
#154
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A23/11
NCAA
Indiana State
#311
W
36-16
36
16
+20
H28/11
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A29/11
NCAA
Iowa State
#34
L
28-65
28
65
-37
A04/12
NCAA
Baylor
#200
L
30-55
30
55
-25
A20/12
NCAA
70.9Avg total
30.8Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.834.666.4-2.843%-
Last 30 at home (10)33.727.661.3+6.170%-
Last 30 away (20)30.938.169.0-7.230%-
Last 10 (10)30.840.170.9-9.320%-
Last 5 (5)31.441.673.0-10.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)30.838.969.7-8.131%-
vs Similar (10)32.031.163.1+0.950%-
vs Weaker (4)35.226.261.5+9.075%-
This opponent (Ole Miss) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Ole Miss wins
0
Alcorn State wins
DateGameScore
08/11/22Ole Miss v Alcorn State73-58
Ole Misslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/25ANC State62-76
18/12/25HAlabama A&M Bulldogs80-66
13/12/25HSouthern Miss71-67
07/12/25ASt. John's (N.Y.)58-63
03/12/25HMiami (FL)66-75
27/11/25HUtah Utes74-75
26/11/25AIowa69-74
19/11/25HAustin Peay72-65
15/11/25HCSU Bakersfield82-60
12/11/25HMemphis83-77
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/25ABaylor56-113
04/12/25AIowa State68-132
29/11/25ALouisiana Tech58-83
28/11/25HIndiana State81-74
23/11/25AOklahoma53-72
19/11/25ALSU81-107
14/11/25AHoward64-72
12/11/25AMaryland64-84
08/11/25AMinnesota50-95
07/11/25ASouth Alabama70-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ole Miss
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL58%
HomeWLLWW78%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1293
Win %58%78%0%
Points / game74.278.063.0
Allowed / game68.467.671.0
Point differential+5.8+10.4-8.0
Avg total142.7145.6134.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%44%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)50% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Alcorn State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL9%
HomeW100%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11110
Win %9%100%0%
Points / game65.581.064.0
Allowed / game92.474.094.2
Point differential-26.8+7.0-30.2
Avg total157.9155.0158.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Vanderbilt13130100%94.270.7+23.5
2 Georgia1312192%99.072.0+27.0
3 LSU1211192%88.971.8+17.2
4 Missouri1310377%83.871.5+12.3
5 Texas A&M129375%95.076.8+18.2
6 Tennessee129375%82.264.5+17.7
7 Arkansas129375%89.574.9+14.6
8 Oklahoma129375%86.972.7+14.2
9 Alabama129375%93.981.9+12.0
10 Kentucky139469%84.967.8+17.2
11 Texas139469%87.971.3+16.6
12 Florida139469%85.170.4+14.7
13 Mississippi St.139469%81.274.6+6.5
14 South Carolina128467%79.868.3+11.4
15 Auburn128467%84.277.8+6.5
16 Ole Miss127558%74.268.4+5.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Southwestern Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alabama A&M Bulldogs126650%66.271.9-5.8
2 Prairie View A&M125742%84.378.4+5.9
3 Grambling St.125742%70.873.7-2.9
4 Southern Univ.134931%83.083.2-0.2
5 Bethune-Cookman123925%70.784.2-13.5
6 Alabama State1331023%74.383.7-9.4
7 Arkansas-Pine Bluff1331023%78.890.5-11.7
8 Florida A&M102820%64.583.3-18.8
9 Texas Southern101910%70.987.9-17.0
10 Alcorn State111109%65.592.4-26.8
11 Jackson State121118%60.888.8-28.1
12 Miss. Valley St.131128%64.290.3-26.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ole Miss03704279
Alcorn State02501843
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