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Ole Miss vs Mississippi St. Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 78-90
0-0 28-47 0-0 50-43
Position#259
Record11-13
FormLLLLL
Points / game73.9
Allowed / game73.0
vs
Position#257
Record12-12
FormLWLLL
Points / game77.5
Allowed / game77.7
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Ole Miss v Mississippi St.
14 Feb 2026
OLE 78
MISS90
15 Feb 2025
OLE 71
MISS81
30 Jan 2024
OLE 86
MISS82
18 Feb 2023
OLE 61
MISS69
08 Jan 2022
OLE 82
MISS72
20 Feb 2021
OLE 56
MISS66
11 Feb 2020
OLE 83
MISS58
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ole Miss winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mississippi St. winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ole MissUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas
#36
L
87-94
87
94
-7
H08/01
NCAA
Missouri
#111
W
76-69
76
69
+7
H10/01
NCAA
Georgia
#68
W
97-95 OT
97
95
+2
A15/01
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#257
W
68-67
68
67
+1
A18/01
NCAA
Auburn
#188
L
66-78
66
78
-12
H21/01
NCAA
Kentucky
#107
L
63-72
63
72
-9
A24/01
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#37
L
68-71
68
71
-3
A31/01
NCAA
Tennessee
#67
L
66-84
66
84
-18
A04/02
NCAA
Texas
#135
L
68-79
68
79
-11
A07/02
NCAA
Alabama
#48
L
74-93
74
93
-19
H12/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
32-42
0-0
55-52
0-0
37-36
0-0
39-33
0-0
35-40
0-0
52-47
0-0
27-30
0-0
41-37
0-0
27-28
0-0
39-50
0-0
23-29
0-0
40-43
0-0
23-31
0-0
45-40
0-0
25-26
0-0
41-58
0-0
25-37
0-0
43-42
0-0
30-32
0-0
44-61
153.5Avg total
73.3Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)73.973.0146.9+0.946%
Season at home (14)77.470.4147.8+7.164%
Season away (10)68.976.7145.6-7.820%
Last 10 (10)73.380.2153.5-6.930%
Last 5 (5)67.879.8147.6-12.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)71.178.2149.4-7.118%
vs Similar ◀ (8)74.871.0145.8+3.888%
vs Weaker (5)81.860.2142.0+21.680%
This opponent (Mississippi St.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mississippi St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma
#154
W
72-53
72
53
+19
H08/01
NCAA
Kentucky
#107
L
68-92
68
92
-24
A11/01
NCAA
Alabama
#48
L
82-97
82
97
-15
H14/01
NCAA
Ole Miss
#259
L
67-68
67
68
-1
H18/01
NCAA
Texas A&M
#82
L
68-88
68
88
-20
A22/01
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#37
L
56-88
56
88
-32
H24/01
NCAA
LSU
#230
W
80-66
80
66
+14
A29/01
NCAA
Missouri
#111
L
79-84
79
84
-5
A31/01
NCAA
Arkansas
#36
L
68-88
68
88
-20
H07/02
NCAA
Tennessee
#67
L
64-73
64
73
-9
H12/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
27-27
0-0
45-26
0-0
39-44
0-0
29-48
0-0
34-36
0-0
48-61
0-0
30-27
0-0
37-41
0-0
33-44
0-0
35-44
0-0
30-51
0-0
26-37
0-0
44-21
0-0
36-45
0-0
35-42
0-0
44-42
0-0
30-43
0-0
38-45
0-0
28-39
0-0
36-34
150.1Avg total
70.4Scored
79.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)77.577.7155.2-0.250%
Season at home (15)76.174.1150.3+2.053%
Season away (9)79.883.7163.4-3.944%
Last 10 (10)70.479.7150.1-9.320%
Last 5 (5)69.479.8149.2-10.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)75.981.7157.6-5.831%
vs Similar ◀ (11)79.876.0155.8+3.855%
vs Weaker (3)86.064.3150.3+21.7100%
This opponent (Ole Miss) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -4.7-4.7Q2: -4.4-4.4Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: -4.9-4.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -4.7-4.7Q2: -4.4-4.4Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: -4.9-4.9
Ole MissMississippi St.
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Ole MissLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas
#36
L
32-42
32
42
-10
H08/01
NCAA
Missouri
#111
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H10/01
NCAA
Georgia
#68
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A15/01
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#257
L
27-30
27
30
-3
A18/01
NCAA
Auburn
#188
L
27-28
27
28
-1
H21/01
NCAA
Kentucky
#107
L
23-29
23
29
-6
A24/01
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#37
L
23-31
23
31
-8
A31/01
NCAA
Tennessee
#67
L
25-26
25
26
-1
A04/02
NCAA
Texas
#135
L
25-37
25
37
-12
A07/02
NCAA
Alabama
#48
L
30-32
30
32
-2
H12/02
NCAA
61.5Avg total
28.4Scored
33.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.132.665.7+0.543%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.731.668.3+5.169%-
Last 30 away (14)29.133.762.8-4.614%-
Last 10 (10)28.433.161.5-4.710%-
Last 5 (5)25.231.056.2-5.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)29.434.263.5-4.818%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)36.830.667.4+6.175%-
vs Weaker (5)40.230.470.6+9.880%-
This opponent (Mississippi St.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mississippi St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma
#154
D
27-27
27
27
+0
H08/01
NCAA
Kentucky
#107
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A11/01
NCAA
Alabama
#48
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H14/01
NCAA
Ole Miss
#259
W
30-27
30
27
+3
H18/01
NCAA
Texas A&M
#82
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A22/01
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#37
L
30-51
30
51
-21
H24/01
NCAA
LSU
#230
W
44-21
44
21
+23
A29/01
NCAA
Missouri
#111
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A31/01
NCAA
Arkansas
#36
L
30-43
30
43
-13
H07/02
NCAA
Tennessee
#67
L
28-39
28
39
-11
H12/02
NCAA
70.4Avg total
33.0Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.336.672.9-0.340%-
Last 30 at home (19)35.235.170.3+0.147%-
Last 30 away (11)38.339.377.5-1.027%-
Last 10 (10)33.037.470.4-4.420%-
Last 5 (5)33.439.272.6-5.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)36.138.274.3-2.131%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)35.835.571.3+0.445%-
vs Weaker (3)39.032.771.7+6.367%-
This opponent (Ole Miss) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Ole Miss wins
7
Mississippi St. wins
Ole Misslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/02/26HAlabama74-93
07/02/26ATexas68-79
04/02/26ATennessee66-84
31/01/26AVanderbilt68-71
24/01/26AKentucky63-72
21/01/26HAuburn66-78
18/01/26AMississippi St.68-67
15/01/26AGeorgia97-95 OT
10/01/26HMissouri76-69
08/01/26HArkansas87-94
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/02/26HTennessee64-73
07/02/26HArkansas68-88
31/01/26AMissouri79-84
29/01/26ALSU80-66
24/01/26HVanderbilt56-88
22/01/26ATexas A&M68-88
18/01/26HOle Miss67-68
14/01/26HAlabama82-97
11/01/26AKentucky68-92
08/01/26HOklahoma72-53

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ole Miss
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL46%
HomeWLWLL64%
AwayWLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241410
Win %46%64%20%
Points / game73.977.468.9
Allowed / game73.070.476.7
Point differential+0.9+7.1-7.8
Avg total146.9147.8145.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%36%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)50% (2)40% (5)
Overtime %4%0%10%
Mississippi St.
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL50%
HomeLLLLL53%
AwayWLLWL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games24159
Win %50%53%44%
Points / game77.576.179.8
Allowed / game77.774.183.7
Point differential-0.2+2.0-3.9
Avg total155.2150.3163.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%27%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)60% (5)33% (3)
Overtime %12%13%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Vanderbilt2521484%88.473.6+14.8
2 Florida2519676%86.571.4+15.0
3 Arkansas2418675%88.876.5+12.2
4 Tennessee2518772%81.069.3+11.8
5 Alabama2417771%91.983.0+8.9
6 Missouri2417771%80.573.9+6.7
7 Georgia2517868%90.378.4+12.0
8 Texas A&M2517868%89.878.6+11.2
9 Kentucky2517868%81.672.2+9.5
10 Texas2415962%85.274.6+10.6
11 Auburn24141058%84.378.7+5.7
12 LSU25141156%80.775.3+5.4
13 Oklahoma25131252%83.477.7+5.7
14 Mississippi St.24121250%77.577.7-0.2
15 South Carolina24111346%76.575.4+1.1
16 Ole Miss24111346%73.973.0+0.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ole Miss02805078
Mississippi St.04704390
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