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Ole Miss vs NC State Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 20 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Scheduled
Position#4
Record3-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game94.0
Allowed / game56.3
Ole Miss
USA
vs
NC State
USA
Position#46
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game83.8
Allowed / game62.2
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Ole Miss v NC State
19 Dec 2026
OLE v NC S
upcoming
28 Nov 2023
OLE 72
NC S52
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ole Miss win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
NC State win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ole MissUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Auburn
#188
W
85-79
85
79
+6
A01/03
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#37
L
86-89 OT
86
89
-3
H04/03
NCAA
South Carolina
#278
L
61-64
61
64
-3
H07/03
NCAA
Texas
#135
W
76-66
76
66
+10
A11/03
NCAA
Georgia
#68
W
76-72
76
72
+4
A12/03
NCAA
Alabama
#48
W
80-79
80
79
+1
A13/03
NCAA
Arkansas
#36
L
90-93 OT
90
93
-3
A14/03
NCAA
Alcorn State
#389
W
99-58
99
58
+41
H03/11
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#191
W
92-60
92
60
+32
H07/11
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#296
W
91-51
91
51
+40
H11/11
NCAA
1H
2H
38-37
47-42
37-33
39-43
28-34
33-30
41-30
35-36
34-20
42-52
47-41
33-38
36-37
43-42
52-31
47-27
47-24
45-36
49-20
42-31
154.7Avg total
83.6Scored
71.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)94.056.3150.3+37.7100%
Season at home (3)94.056.3150.3+37.7100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)83.671.1154.7+12.570%
Last 5 (5)90.468.2158.6+22.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)74.981.5156.4-6.624%
vs Similar (9)76.076.2152.2-0.256%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)90.253.0143.2+37.2100%
This opponent (NC State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NC StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Notre Dame
#269
L
90-96 OT
90
96
-6
A28/02
NCAA
Duke
#8
L
64-93
64
93
-29
H03/03
NCAA
Stanford
#103
L
84-85
84
85
-1
H07/03
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#282
W
98-88
98
88
+10
H11/03
NCAA
Virginia
#19
L
74-81
74
81
-7
A12/03
NCAA
Texas
#135
L
66-68
66
68
-2
H18/03
NCAA
Campbell
#316
W
83-64
83
64
+19
H03/11
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#283
W
77-63
77
63
+14
H07/11
NCAA
Presbyterian
#379
W
94-60
94
60
+34
H11/11
NCAA
Troy
#325
W
81-62
81
62
+19
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
44-38
37-43
30-47
34-46
34-37
50-48
51-50
47-38
32-33
42-48
29-30
37-38
41-19
42-45
35-36
42-27
46-19
48-41
36-27
45-35
157.1Avg total
81.1Scored
76.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)83.862.2146.0+21.5100%
Season at home (4)83.862.2146.0+21.5100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)81.176.0157.1+5.150%
Last 5 (5)80.263.4143.6+16.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)70.5105.5176.0-35.00%
vs Similar (12)75.974.1150.0+1.842%
vs Weaker (16)86.470.2156.6+16.288%
This opponent (Ole Miss) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-13-6+0+6+131st half1st half: +10.2+10.21st half: +4.2+4.22nd half2nd half: +2.9+2.92nd half: +1.5+1.5
-13-6+0+6+131st half1st half: +10.2+10.21st half: +4.2+4.22nd half2nd half: +2.9+2.92nd half: +1.5+1.5
Ole MissNC State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Ole MissLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Auburn
#188
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A01/03
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#37
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H04/03
NCAA
South Carolina
#278
L
28-34
28
34
-6
H07/03
NCAA
Texas
#135
W
41-30
41
30
+11
A11/03
NCAA
Georgia
#68
W
34-20
34
20
+14
A12/03
NCAA
Alabama
#48
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A13/03
NCAA
Arkansas
#36
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A14/03
NCAA
Alcorn State
#389
W
52-31
52
31
+21
H03/11
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#191
W
47-24
47
24
+23
H07/11
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#296
W
49-20
49
20
+29
H11/11
NCAA
71.6Avg total
40.9Scored
30.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.633.568.1+1.047%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.932.969.8+3.960%-
Last 30 away (15)32.334.166.4-1.933%-
Last 10 (10)40.930.771.6+10.280%-
Last 5 (5)46.230.676.8+15.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)32.435.067.4-2.629%-
vs Similar (9)33.634.668.1-1.056%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)46.225.071.2+21.2100%-
This opponent (NC State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NC StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Notre Dame
#269
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A28/02
NCAA
Duke
#8
L
30-47
30
47
-17
H03/03
NCAA
Stanford
#103
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H07/03
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#282
W
51-50
51
50
+1
H11/03
NCAA
Virginia
#19
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A12/03
NCAA
Texas
#135
L
29-30
29
30
-1
H18/03
NCAA
Campbell
#316
W
41-19
41
19
+22
H03/11
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#283
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H07/11
NCAA
Presbyterian
#379
W
46-19
46
19
+27
H11/11
NCAA
Troy
#325
W
36-27
36
27
+9
H14/11
NCAA
71.4Avg total
37.8Scored
33.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.133.171.1+5.067%-
Last 30 at home (20)38.031.669.5+6.470%-
Last 30 away (10)38.236.174.3+2.160%-
Last 10 (10)37.833.671.4+4.250%-
Last 5 (5)37.426.263.6+11.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)33.051.584.5-18.50%-
vs Similar (12)33.431.965.3+1.542%-
vs Weaker (16)42.231.673.8+10.694%-
This opponent (Ole Miss) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Ole Miss wins
1
NC State wins
DateGameScore
21/12/25NC State v Ole Miss76-62
29/11/23Ole Miss v NC State72-52
Ole Misslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26HSE Louisiana91-51
07/11/26HCentral Arkansas92-60
03/11/26HAlcorn State99-58
14/03/26AArkansas90-93 OT
13/03/26AAlabama80-79
12/03/26AGeorgia76-72
11/03/26ATexas76-66
07/03/26HSouth Carolina61-64
04/03/26HVanderbilt86-89 OT
01/03/26AAuburn85-79
NC Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HTroy81-62
11/11/26HPresbyterian94-60
07/11/26HEast Tennessee St77-63
03/11/26HCampbell83-64
18/03/26HTexas66-68
12/03/26AVirginia74-81
11/03/26HPittsburgh98-88
07/03/26HStanford84-85
03/03/26HDuke64-93
28/02/26ANotre Dame90-96 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ole Miss
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games33-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game94.094.0-
Allowed / game56.356.3-
Point differential+37.7+37.7-
Avg total150.3150.3-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
NC State
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games44-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game83.883.8-
Allowed / game62.262.2-
Point differential+21.5+21.5-
Avg total146.0146.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Texas330100%100.057.0+43.0
2 Ole Miss330100%94.056.3+37.7
3 Texas A&M440100%99.267.2+32.0
4 LSU440100%90.859.5+31.2
5 Vanderbilt440100%90.260.2+30.0
6 South Carolina440100%78.856.5+22.2
7 Alabama440100%97.076.0+21.0
8 Florida440100%82.262.5+19.8
9 Tennessee330100%81.061.3+19.7
10 Georgia440100%81.870.2+11.5
11 Mississippi St.43175%87.267.5+19.8
12 Arkansas43175%83.267.8+15.5
13 Oklahoma43175%75.863.8+12.0
14 Kentucky43175%80.275.8+4.5
15 Missouri32167%97.066.0+31.0
16 Auburn32167%78.764.0+14.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Louisville220100%95.563.5+32.0
2 SMU Mustangs440100%92.067.5+24.5
3 Boston College330100%76.353.0+23.3
4 Notre Dame440100%87.564.2+23.2
5 Virginia550100%91.869.6+22.2
6 Virginia Tech440100%89.867.8+22.0
7 NC State440100%83.862.2+21.5
8 Pittsburgh440100%83.264.5+18.8
9 Georgia Tech440100%82.570.8+11.8
10 California54180%85.874.8+11.0
11 Duke43175%90.057.0+33.0
12 Miami (FL)43175%83.259.2+24.0
13 Wake Forest43175%76.262.8+13.5
14 North Carolina43175%83.870.8+13.0
15 Stanford43175%78.569.2+9.2
16 Clemson43175%84.276.8+7.5
17 Syracuse32167%85.363.3+22.0
18 Florida State42250%79.080.2-1.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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