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NC State vs Pittsburgh Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 11 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 98-88
51-50 47-38
Position#128
Record19-12
FormWLLLL
Points / game83.5
Allowed / game76.0
NC State 🏆
USA
vs
Pittsburgh
USA
Position#282
Record13-19
FormLWLWW
Points / game70.0
Allowed / game71.0
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · NC State v Pittsburgh
06 Jan 2027
NC S v PITT
upcoming
11 Mar 2026
NC S98
PITT88
05 Mar 2025
NC S71
PITT63
07 Feb 2024
NC S64
PITT67
02 Dec 2022
NC S60
PITT68
28 Feb 2021
NC S65
PITT62
11 Mar 2020
NC S73
PITT58
29 Feb 2020
NC S77
PITT73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

NC State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pittsburgh winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NC StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wake Forest
#190
W
96-78
96
78
+18
A31/01
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
W
84-83
84
83
+1
A04/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#122
W
82-73
82
73
+9
H07/02
NCAA
Louisville
#53
L
77-118
77
118
-41
A10/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#38
L
76-77
76
77
-1
H14/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#45
W
82-58
82
58
+24
H18/02
NCAA
Virginia
#19
L
61-90
61
90
-29
A25/02
NCAA
Notre Dame
#269
L
90-96 OT
90
96
-6
A28/02
NCAA
Duke
#8
L
64-93
64
93
-29
H03/03
NCAA
Stanford
#103
L
84-85
84
85
-1
H07/03
NCAA
1H
2H
49-31
47-47
34-42
50-41
36-24
46-49
36-56
41-62
42-37
34-40
42-26
40-32
19-32
42-58
44-38
37-43
30-47
34-46
34-37
50-48
164.7Avg total
79.6Scored
85.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)83.576.0159.5+7.561%
Season at home (19)83.170.9154.0+12.163%
Season away (12)84.384.0168.3+0.358%
Last 10 (10)79.685.1164.7-5.540%
Last 5 (5)76.284.4160.6-8.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)70.5105.5176.0-35.00%
vs Similar (16)79.776.8156.5+2.950%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)88.370.8159.2+17.583%
This opponent (Pittsburgh) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PittsburghUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virginia
#19
L
47-67
47
67
-20
A04/02
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
L
67-86
67
86
-19
H07/02
NCAA
Duke
#8
L
54-70
54
70
-16
H11/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#45
L
65-79
65
79
-14
A14/02
NCAA
Notre Dame
#269
W
73-68
73
68
+5
H21/02
NCAA
Stanford
#103
L
67-75
67
75
-8
A26/02
NCAA
California
#79
W
72-56
72
56
+16
A28/02
NCAA
Florida State
#167
L
74-75
74
75
-1
H05/03
NCAA
Syracuse
#236
W
71-69 OT
71
69
+2
A07/03
NCAA
Stanford
#103
W
64-63
64
63
+1
A10/03
NCAA
1H
2H
20-33
27-34
32-34
35-52
29-35
25-35
32-46
33-33
23-20
50-48
34-32
33-43
34-26
38-30
30-46
44-29
28-31
37-34
31-23
33-40
136.2Avg total
65.4Scored
70.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)70.071.0141.0-1.041%
Season at home (18)73.673.3146.9+0.244%
Season away (14)65.468.0133.4-2.636%
Last 10 (10)65.470.8136.2-5.440%
Last 5 (5)69.667.6137.2+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)64.174.9139.1-10.817%
vs Similar (9)74.071.7145.7+2.356%
vs Weaker (3)89.053.0142.0+36.0100%
This opponent (NC State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -0.4-0.41st half: -3.3-3.32nd half2nd half: -4.5-4.52nd half: -2.3-2.3
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -0.4-0.41st half: -3.3-3.32nd half2nd half: -4.5-4.52nd half: -2.3-2.3
NC StatePittsburgh
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
NC StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wake Forest
#190
W
49-31
49
31
+18
A31/01
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A04/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#122
W
36-24
36
24
+12
H07/02
NCAA
Louisville
#53
L
36-56
36
56
-20
A10/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#38
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H14/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#45
W
42-26
42
26
+16
H18/02
NCAA
Virginia
#19
L
19-32
19
32
-13
A25/02
NCAA
Notre Dame
#269
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A28/02
NCAA
Duke
#8
L
30-47
30
47
-17
H03/03
NCAA
Stanford
#103
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H07/03
NCAA
73.6Avg total
36.6Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.934.572.4+3.567%-
Last 30 at home (18)37.932.870.7+5.172%-
Last 30 away (12)38.037.075.0+1.058%-
Last 10 (10)36.637.073.6-0.450%-
Last 5 (5)33.836.069.8-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)33.051.584.5-18.50%-
vs Similar (16)34.933.768.6+1.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)42.832.775.4+10.1100%-
This opponent (Pittsburgh) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PittsburghLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virginia
#19
L
20-33
20
33
-13
A04/02
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H07/02
NCAA
Duke
#8
L
29-35
29
35
-6
H11/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#45
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A14/02
NCAA
Notre Dame
#269
W
23-20
23
20
+3
H21/02
NCAA
Stanford
#103
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A26/02
NCAA
California
#79
W
34-26
34
26
+8
A28/02
NCAA
Florida State
#167
L
30-46
30
46
-16
H05/03
NCAA
Syracuse
#236
L
28-31
28
31
-3
A07/03
NCAA
Stanford
#103
W
31-23
31
23
+8
A10/03
NCAA
61.9Avg total
29.3Scored
32.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.533.966.4-1.440%-
Last 30 at home (16)33.635.869.4-2.238%-
Last 30 away (14)31.331.763.0-0.443%-
Last 10 (10)29.332.661.9-3.340%-
Last 5 (5)31.431.663.0-0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)30.335.265.4-4.933%-
vs Similar (9)32.933.966.8-1.033%-
vs Weaker (3)45.026.371.3+18.7100%-
This opponent (NC State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
NC State wins
4
Pittsburgh wins
DateGameScore
24/01/26Pittsburgh v NC State72-81
06/03/25NC State v Pittsburgh71-63
10/03/24Pittsburgh v NC State81-73
08/02/24NC State v Pittsburgh64-67
03/12/22NC State v Pittsburgh60-68
12/02/22Pittsburgh v NC State71-69
28/02/21NC State v Pittsburgh65-62
17/02/21Pittsburgh v NC State73-74
11/03/20NC State v Pittsburgh73-58
29/02/20NC State v Pittsburgh77-73
NC Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/26HStanford84-85
03/03/26HDuke64-93
28/02/26ANotre Dame90-96 OT
25/02/26AVirginia61-90
18/02/26HNorth Carolina82-58
14/02/26HMiami (FL)76-77
10/02/26ALouisville77-118
07/02/26HVirginia Tech82-73
04/02/26ASMU Mustangs84-83
31/01/26AWake Forest96-78
Pittsburghlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/26AStanford64-63
07/03/26ASyracuse71-69 OT
05/03/26HFlorida State74-75
28/02/26ACalifornia72-56
26/02/26AStanford67-75
21/02/26HNotre Dame73-68
14/02/26ANorth Carolina65-79
11/02/26HDuke54-70
07/02/26HSMU Mustangs67-86
04/02/26AVirginia47-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

NC State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL61%
HomeWLWLL63%
AwayWWLLL58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311912
Win %61%63%58%
Points / game83.583.184.3
Allowed / game76.070.984.0
Point differential+7.5+12.1+0.3
Avg total159.5154.0168.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%53%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)0% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %10%5%17%
Pittsburgh
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW41%
HomeWLLWL44%
AwayLLWWW36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321814
Win %41%44%36%
Points / game70.073.665.4
Allowed / game71.073.368.0
Point differential-1.0+0.2-2.6
Avg total141.0146.9133.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%28%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)60% (5)67% (3)
Overtime %6%6%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke3129294%82.962.5+20.5
2 Virginia3227584%80.069.4+10.6
3 Miami (FL)3124777%82.770.7+12.0
4 North Carolina3124777%79.871.0+8.8
5 Louisville3122971%85.972.5+13.4
6 Clemson3122971%74.566.3+8.2
7 California31211068%77.572.5+5.0
8 SMU Mustangs32201262%85.078.1+6.9
9 Stanford32201262%76.072.7+3.3
10 NC State31191261%83.576.0+7.5
11 Virginia Tech32191359%78.874.9+3.9
12 Florida State31171455%79.977.5+2.4
13 Wake Forest32171553%79.477.2+2.1
14 Syracuse32151747%75.074.2+0.8
15 Notre Dame31131842%74.575.3-0.9
16 Pittsburgh32131941%70.071.0-1.0
17 Boston College31112035%67.470.7-3.3
18 Georgia Tech31112035%73.877.4-3.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
NC State514798
Pittsburgh503888
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