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Olimpia Milano vs Galatasaray Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 19 Jan 2017
Tip-off: 19:15
Final 92-87
23-21 26-18 22-21 21-27
Position#16
Record4-13
FormLWLWL
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game88.6
vs
Position#12
Record5-12
FormLLLLW
Points / game78.1
Allowed / game85.3
EuropeEuroleagueRound 18
European cup2016
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olimpia Milano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Galatasaray winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Galatasaray
#12
L
80-83
80
83
-3
109avg 115
A16/12
Euroleague
Brindisi
#9
W
99-86
99
86
+13
131avg 115
H18/12
Lega A
Panathinaikos
#5
L
72-86
72
86
-14
99avg 115
H21/12
Euroleague
Barcelona
#11
L
75-89
75
89
-14
99avg 115
A23/12
Euroleague
Reggiana
#6
L
87-91
87
91
-4
116avg 115
A27/12
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#10
L
70-78
70
78
-8
91avg 115
H29/12
Euroleague
Pesaro
#15
W
88-84
88
84
+4
122avg 115
H02/01
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#3
L
79-86
79
86
-7
105avg 115
A06/01
Euroleague
Cantu
#14
W
85-79
85
79
+6
114avg 115
A10/01
Lega A
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
64-101
64
101
-37
91avg 115
A13/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-21
17-22
27-19
21-21
22-21
29-27
20-22
28-16
21-16
8-24
13-24
30-22
19-32
16-17
16-23
24-17
19-9
21-36
26-27
21-19
16-21
17-15
23-20
14-22
16-23
34-24
25-18
13-19
19-18
21-23
18-22
21-23
24-25
17-20
28-10
16-24
9-27
16-29
21-22
18-23
166.2Avg total
79.9Scored
86.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)80.588.6169.2-8.124%
Season at home (8)82.286.0168.2-3.838%
Season away (9)79.091.0170.0-12.011%
Last 10 (10)79.986.3166.2-6.430%
Last 5 (5)77.285.6162.8-8.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)79.787.5167.2-7.823%
vs Similar ◀ (8)86.886.8173.5+0.050%
vs Weaker (9)90.780.4171.1+10.289%
This opponent (Galatasaray) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GalatasarayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGalatasaray
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#16
W
83-80
83
80
+3
112avg 105
H16/12
Euroleague
Yesilgiresun
#11
W
80-74
80
74
+6
no box
H18/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Unics Kazan
#15
L
60-73
60
73
-13
83avg 105
A20/12
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#6
L
76-86
76
86
-10
no box
H22/12
Euroleague
Karsiyaka
#8
L
72-78
72
78
-6
no box
A25/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bamberg
#13
L
75-90
75
90
-15
104avg 105
H30/12
Euroleague
Darussafaka
#3
L
72-87
72
87
-15
no box
H02/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#6
L
73-84
73
84
-11
101avg 105
A05/01
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#4
L
77-80
77
80
-3
no box
A08/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Zalgiris Kaunas
#10
W
87-79
87
79
+8
115avg 105
H13/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-15
22-17
19-27
21-21
16-19
23-12
20-23
21-20
11-15
20-22
12-18
17-18
18-16
26-22
14-22
18-26
24-22
18-23
15-17
15-16
19-24
19-23
14-27
23-16
22-18
18-20
16-24
16-25
18-22
18-20
23-24
14-18
17-16
23-12
14-28
23-24
17-17
23-17
25-23
22-22
156.6Avg total
75.5Scored
81.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)78.185.3163.4-7.229%
Season at home (10)82.786.4169.1-3.750%
Season away (7)71.683.7155.3-12.10%
Last 10 (10)75.581.1156.6-5.630%
Last 5 (5)76.884.0160.8-7.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)77.987.8165.7-9.920%
vs Similar ◀ (15)77.581.5159.0-3.940%
vs Weaker (5)81.273.8155.0+7.480%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -4.1-4.1Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: -6.1-6.1Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -1.6-1.6
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -4.1-4.1Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: -6.1-6.1Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -1.6-1.6
Olimpia MilanoGalatasaray
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Galatasaray
#12
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A16/12
Euroleague
Brindisi
#9
W
51-48
51
48
+3
H18/12
Lega A
Panathinaikos
#5
L
29-40
29
40
-11
H21/12
Euroleague
Barcelona
#11
L
35-49
35
49
-14
A23/12
Euroleague
Reggiana
#6
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A27/12
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#10
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H29/12
Euroleague
Pesaro
#15
W
50-47
50
47
+3
H02/01
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#3
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A06/01
Euroleague
Cantu
#14
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A10/01
Lega A
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
25-56
25
56
-31
A13/01
Euroleague
82.6Avg total
37.6Scored
45.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.442.785.0-0.350%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.241.485.6+2.964%-
Last 30 away (16)40.843.884.6-3.138%-
Last 10 (10)37.645.082.6-7.420%-
Last 5 (5)37.845.082.8-7.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)39.342.481.7-3.138%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)41.545.086.5-3.538%-
vs Weaker (9)47.641.088.6+6.678%-
This opponent (Galatasaray) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GalatasarayLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#16
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H16/12
Euroleague
Yesilgiresun
#11
W
39-31
39
31
+8
H18/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Unics Kazan
#15
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A20/12
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#6
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H22/12
Euroleague
Karsiyaka
#8
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A25/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bamberg
#13
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H30/12
Euroleague
Darussafaka
#3
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H02/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#6
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A05/01
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#4
W
40-28
40
28
+12
A08/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Zalgiris Kaunas
#10
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H13/01
Euroleague
76.5Avg total
39.3Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.839.679.4+0.247%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.639.479.9+1.256%-
Last 30 away (14)38.939.878.7-0.936%-
Last 10 (10)39.337.276.5+2.160%-
Last 5 (5)38.837.876.6+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)39.641.481.0-1.830%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)39.339.678.9-0.347%-
vs Weaker (5)41.635.877.4+5.880%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 79.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
50%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.820.7
50.7%
50.7%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.47.7
37.7%
37.3%23.1
🏀 Free throws20.114.8
73.6%
75.6%14.8
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Galatasaraytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Galatasaray: 73.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
50%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.020.2
48.1%
50.7%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.47.6
35.5%
37.3%22.8
🏀 Free throws13.89.9
71.7%
75.6%9.9
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Jan 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olimpia Milano
LWLWLLLLWL
Galatasaray
WLLLLLLLWW
#16
League position
#12
-8.2
Net rating
-7.6
105.2
Offensive rating
101.6
113.4
Defensive rating
109.2
52.7%
Effective FG%
49.8%
58.1%
Opp. effective FG%
52.1%
21.1%
Turnover %
16.6%
33.2%
Off. rebound %
29.5%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.22
37.7%
3-point %
35.5%
63.7%
Assist %
68.3%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence105.2 · 101.6Defence113.4 · 109.2Shooting52.7% · 49.8%3-point %37.7% · 35.5%Ball care21.1% · 16.6%Off. rebounds33.2% · 29.5%Free throws0.33 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)30% · 30%
■ Olimpia Milano   ■ Galatasaray
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Olimpia Milano wins
1
Galatasaray wins
DateGameScore
16/12/16Galatasaray v Olimpia Milano83-80
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/01/17ACSKA Moscow64-101
10/01/17ACantu85-79
06/01/17AFenerbahce79-86
02/01/17HPesaro88-84
29/12/16HZalgiris Kaunas70-78
27/12/16AReggiana87-91
23/12/16ABarcelona75-89
21/12/16HPanathinaikos72-86
18/12/16HBrindisi99-86
16/12/16AGalatasaray80-83
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/01/17HZalgiris Kaunas87-79
08/01/17AAnadolu Efes77-80
05/01/17AAnadolu Efes73-84
02/01/17HDarussafaka72-87
30/12/16HBamberg75-90
25/12/16AKarsiyaka72-78
22/12/16HAnadolu Efes76-86
20/12/16AUnics Kazan60-73
18/12/16HYesilgiresun80-74
16/12/16HOlimpia Milano83-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olimpia Milano
Euroleague 2016
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL24%
HomeWLLLL38%
AwayLLLLL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %24%38%11%
Points / game80.582.279.0
Allowed / game88.686.091.0
Point differential-8.1-3.8-12.0
Avg total169.2168.2170.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %6%0%11%
Galatasaray
Euroleague 2016
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW29%
HomeWWLLW50%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17107
Win %29%50%0%
Points / game78.182.771.6
Allowed / game85.386.483.7
Point differential-7.2-3.7-12.1
Avg total163.4169.1155.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%10%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)75% (4)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CSKA Moscow1814478%88.980.8+8.2
2 Real Madrid1712571%87.080.2+6.8
3 Olympiacos1712571%77.973.5+4.5
4 Baskonia1711665%82.177.9+4.1
5 Fenerbahce1811761%77.475.8+1.6
6 Panathinaikos1810856%78.476.4+1.9
7 Crvena zvezda1810856%74.373.2+1.1
8 Darussafaka179853%80.179.7+0.4
9 Anadolu Efes178947%84.184.8-0.8
10 Unics Kazan1771041%78.681.9-3.3
11 Barcelona1771041%71.474.8-3.4
12 Bamberg1871139%79.379.4-0.1
13 Zalgiris Kaunas1761135%79.882.3-2.5
14 Maccabi Tel Aviv1861233%79.883.5-3.7
15 Galatasaray1751229%78.185.3-7.2
16 Olimpia Milano1741324%80.588.6-8.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olimpia Milano2326222192
Galatasaray2118212787
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