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Fenerbahce vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 06 Jan 2017
Tip-off: 17:45
Final 86-79
18-19 23-21 22-18 23-21
Position#3
Record9-6
FormLWWLW
Points / game76.7
Allowed / game76.5
vs
Position#16
Record4-11
FormLLLLW
Points / game81.7
Allowed / game88.0
EuropeEuroleagueRound 16
European cup2016
Meetings · Fenerbahce v Olimpia Milano
12 Feb 2027
FEN v MIL
upcoming
20 Mar 2026
FEN79
MIL75
29 Nov 2024
FEN85
MIL91
06 Oct 2023
FEN85
MIL82
21 Mar 2023
FEN75
MIL82
12 Nov 2021
FEN43
MIL68
15 Dec 2020
FEN71
MIL79
13 Dec 2018
FEN92
MIL85
22 Feb 2018
FEN89
MIL70
06 Jan 2017
FEN86
MIL79
20 Mar 2015
FEN98
MIL77
17 Oct 2014
FEN77
MIL74
28 Mar 2014
FEN73
MIL82
25 Jan 2012
FEN65
MIL63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fenerbahce winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olimpia Milano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FenerbahceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tofas
#9
L
72-81
72
81
-9
A04/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Crvena zvezda
#7
W
87-72
87
72
+15
H08/12
Euroleague
Banvit
#5
W
76-71
76
71
+5
H11/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Panathinaikos
#5
L
70-81
70
81
-11
A16/12
Euroleague
Gaziantep
#7
W
102-98 OT
102
98
+4
A18/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Darussafaka
#9
L
64-71
64
71
-7
H21/12
Euroleague
CSKA Moscow
#1
W
95-79 OT
95
79
+16
A23/12
Euroleague
Trabzonspor
#12
W
98-78
98
78
+20
H25/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Olympiacos
#4
L
62-71
62
71
-9
A29/12
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#4
W
81-75
81
75
+6
H02/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-27
20-21
18-22
16-11
20-18
21-13
27-19
19-22
19-18
16-18
19-20
22-15
14-23
23-18
15-20
18-20
24-27
24-19
20-26
24-20
18-20
17-17
13-13
16-21
13-23
23-18
22-18
17-16
20-25
23-17
26-16
29-20
9-18
12-22
19-18
22-13
20-14
21-20
20-22
20-19
158.4Avg total
80.7Scored
77.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)76.776.5153.2+0.160%
Season at home (7)77.073.6150.6+3.471%
Season away (8)76.479.1155.5-2.850%
Last 10 (10)80.777.7158.4+3.060%
Last 5 (5)80.074.8154.8+5.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)95.079.0174.0+16.0100%
vs Similar (8)74.679.9154.5-5.238%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)81.373.6154.9+7.880%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trento
#4
W
92-74
92
74
+18
A04/12
Lega A
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
64-79
64
79
-15
H08/12
Euroleague
Venezia
#1
L
84-88
84
88
-4
A11/12
Lega A
Galatasaray
#12
L
80-83
80
83
-3
A16/12
Euroleague
Brindisi
#9
W
99-86
99
86
+13
H18/12
Lega A
Panathinaikos
#5
L
72-86
72
86
-14
H21/12
Euroleague
Barcelona
#11
L
75-89
75
89
-14
A23/12
Euroleague
Reggiana
#6
L
87-91
87
91
-4
A27/12
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#10
L
70-78
70
78
-8
H29/12
Euroleague
Pesaro
#15
W
88-84
88
84
+4
H02/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-16
27-15
23-18
25-25
23-21
15-15
16-30
10-13
22-34
19-15
20-23
23-16
15-21
17-22
27-19
21-21
22-21
29-27
20-22
28-16
21-16
8-24
13-24
30-22
19-32
16-17
16-23
24-17
19-9
21-36
26-27
21-19
16-21
17-15
23-20
14-22
16-23
34-24
25-18
13-19
164.9Avg total
81.1Scored
83.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)81.788.0169.7-6.327%
Season at home (8)82.286.0168.2-3.838%
Season away (7)81.190.3171.4-9.114%
Last 10 (10)81.183.8164.9-2.730%
Last 5 (5)78.485.6164.0-7.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)81.286.5167.6-5.327%
vs Similar (9)86.886.1172.9+0.756%
vs Weaker (10)89.278.2167.4+11.090%
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.8-3.8Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: +1.9+1.9
FenerbahceOlimpia Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FenerbahceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tofas
#9
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A04/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Crvena zvezda
#7
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H08/12
Euroleague
Banvit
#5
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H11/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Panathinaikos
#5
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A16/12
Euroleague
Gaziantep
#7
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A18/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Darussafaka
#9
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H21/12
Euroleague
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A23/12
Euroleague
Trabzonspor
#12
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H25/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Olympiacos
#4
L
21-40
21
40
-19
A29/12
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#4
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H02/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
77.1Avg total
37.5Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.138.476.5-0.353%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.036.875.8+2.262%-
Last 30 away (14)37.140.277.4-3.143%-
Last 10 (10)37.539.677.1-2.140%-
Last 5 (5)35.238.874.0-3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)36.041.077.0-5.00%-
vs Similar (8)33.840.274.0-6.525%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)40.038.178.1+1.965%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trento
#4
W
44-31
44
31
+13
A04/12
Lega A
CSKA Moscow
#1
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H08/12
Euroleague
Venezia
#1
L
41-49
41
49
-8
A11/12
Lega A
Galatasaray
#12
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A16/12
Euroleague
Brindisi
#9
W
51-48
51
48
+3
H18/12
Lega A
Panathinaikos
#5
L
29-40
29
40
-11
H21/12
Euroleague
Barcelona
#11
L
35-49
35
49
-14
A23/12
Euroleague
Reggiana
#6
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A27/12
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#10
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H29/12
Euroleague
Pesaro
#15
W
50-47
50
47
+3
H02/01
Lega A
81.7Avg total
39.3Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.741.784.4+1.057%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.941.185.1+2.867%-
Last 30 away (15)41.542.383.8-0.747%-
Last 10 (10)39.342.481.7-3.140%-
Last 5 (5)37.443.480.8-6.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)40.541.381.8-0.745%-
vs Similar (9)41.344.285.6-2.944%-
vs Weaker (10)46.439.986.3+6.580%-
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Fenerbahcetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fenerbahce: 72.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
50%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.819.9
51.3%
50.7%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.76.7
34.0%
37.3%20.1
🏀 Free throws16.912.3
72.8%
75.6%12.3
They take 58.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 80.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
50%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.920.4
51.1%
50.7%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.07.8
37.1%
37.3%23.4
🏀 Free throws22.516.3
72.4%
75.6%16.3
They take 60.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Jan 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Fenerbahce
WLWWLWLWWL
Olimpia Milano
WLLLLWLLLW
#3
League position
#16
-6.1
Net rating
-3.0
99.6
Offensive rating
105.1
105.7
Defensive rating
108.1
51.2%
Effective FG%
52.7%
50.7%
Opp. effective FG%
55.1%
19.5%
Turnover %
21.0%
25.6%
Off. rebound %
31.2%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.37
34.0%
3-point %
37.1%
60.5%
Assist %
63.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence99.6 · 105.1Defence105.7 · 108.1Shooting51.2% · 52.7%3-point %34.0% · 37.1%Ball care19.5% · 21.0%Off. rebounds25.6% · 31.2%Free throws0.29 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Fenerbahce   ■ Olimpia Milano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Fenerbahce wins
3
Olimpia Milano wins
Fenerbahcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/01/17HAnadolu Efes81-75
29/12/16AOlympiacos62-71
25/12/16HTrabzonspor98-78
23/12/16ACSKA Moscow95-79 OT
21/12/16HDarussafaka64-71
18/12/16AGaziantep102-98 OT
16/12/16APanathinaikos70-81
11/12/16HBanvit76-71
08/12/16HCrvena zvezda87-72
04/12/16ATofas72-81
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/01/17HPesaro88-84
29/12/16HZalgiris Kaunas70-78
27/12/16AReggiana87-91
23/12/16ABarcelona75-89
21/12/16HPanathinaikos72-86
18/12/16HBrindisi99-86
16/12/16AGalatasaray80-83
11/12/16AVenezia84-88
08/12/16HCSKA Moscow64-79
04/12/16ATrento92-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fenerbahce
Euroleague 2016
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL60%
HomeLWWWL71%
AwayLWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %60%71%50%
Points / game76.777.076.4
Allowed / game76.573.679.1
Point differential+0.1+3.4-2.8
Avg total153.2150.6155.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%29%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %7%0%12%
Olimpia Milano
Euroleague 2016
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL27%
HomeWLLLL38%
AwayLLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %27%38%14%
Points / game81.782.281.1
Allowed / game88.086.090.3
Point differential-6.3-3.8-9.1
Avg total169.7168.2171.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %7%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CSKA Moscow1512380%88.782.1+6.6
2 Baskonia1611569%81.676.7+4.9
3 Real Madrid1510567%86.980.3+6.7
4 Olympiacos1510567%78.674.2+4.4
5 Panathinaikos159660%79.175.6+3.5
6 Fenerbahce159660%76.776.5+0.1
7 Anadolu Efes168850%84.284.4-0.1
8 Darussafaka168850%78.979.1-0.2
9 Crvena zvezda157847%74.374.5-0.1
10 Bamberg167944%81.680.1+1.5
11 Barcelona167944%71.775.2-3.5
12 Zalgiris Kaunas156940%81.182.3-1.2
13 Maccabi Tel Aviv1661038%80.984.5-3.6
14 Unics Kazan1661038%79.683.4-3.8
15 Olimpia Milano1541127%81.788.0-6.3
16 Galatasaray1641225%77.685.7-8.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Fenerbahce1823222386
Olimpia Milano1921182179
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