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Olimpia Milano vs Panathinaikos Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 21 Dec 2016
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 72-86
21-16 8-24 13-24 30-22
Position#16
Record4-8
FormWLLLW
Points / game84.1
Allowed / game88.9
Olimpia Milano
vs
Panathinaikos 🏆
Position#5
Record7-5
FormWWWWW
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game75.9
EuropeEuroleagueRound 13
European cup2016
Meetings · Olimpia Milano v Panathinaikos
05 Feb 2027
MIL v PAO
upcoming
11 Dec 2025
MIL96
PAO89
30 Jan 2025
MIL87
PAO75
22 Dec 2023
MIL68
PAO76
23 Feb 2023
MIL78
PAO76
14 Dec 2021
MIL75
PAO54
03 Dec 2020
MIL77
PAO80
22 Mar 2019
MIL83
PAO95
05 Apr 2018
MIL95
PAO96
21 Dec 2016
MIL72
PAO86
11 Dec 2014
MIL66
PAO64
27 Feb 2014
MIL77
PAO75
19 Jan 2012
MIL57
PAO78
18 Nov 2010
MIL71
PAO81
22 Oct 2009
MIL67
PAO75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olimpia Milano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Panathinaikos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#7
L
70-83
70
83
-13
no box
A17/11
Euroleague
Cremona
#16
W
76-72
76
72
+4
103avg 119
A20/11
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#3
L
70-79
70
79
-9
no box
H24/11
Euroleague
Pistoia
#7
W
104-70
104
70
+34
145avg 119
H27/11
Lega A
Unics Kazan
#15
L
79-100
79
100
-21
100avg 119
A01/12
Euroleague
Trento
#4
W
92-74
92
74
+18
123avg 119
A04/12
Lega A
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
64-79
64
79
-15
89avg 119
H08/12
Euroleague
Venezia
#1
L
84-88
84
88
-4
112avg 119
A11/12
Lega A
Galatasaray
#12
L
80-83
80
83
-3
109avg 119
A16/12
Euroleague
Brindisi
#9
W
99-86
99
86
+13
131avg 119
H18/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-14
13-23
14-17
24-29
24-17
15-21
12-15
25-19
17-21
19-23
27-14
7-21
21-18
31-22
27-16
25-14
24-35
19-22
26-16
10-27
17-16
27-15
23-18
25-25
23-21
15-15
16-30
10-13
22-34
19-15
20-23
23-16
15-21
17-22
27-19
21-21
22-21
29-27
20-22
28-16
163.2Avg total
81.8Scored
81.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)84.188.9173.0-4.833%
Season at home (6)86.087.3173.3-1.350%
Season away (6)82.290.5172.7-8.317%
Last 10 (10)81.881.4163.2+0.440%
Last 5 (5)83.882.0165.8+1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)83.487.4170.9-4.033%
vs Similar (8)88.285.8174.0+2.562%
vs Weaker (12)86.376.0162.3+10.383%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanathinaikos
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#4
L
77-79
77
79
-2
102avg 103
H18/11
Euroleague
Aris
#5
W
71-59
71
59
+12
no box
A21/11
Basket League
Darussafaka
#9
W
86-80
86
80
+6
no box
H25/11
Euroleague
Apollon Patras
#13
W
96-59
96
59
+37
no box
H28/11
Basket League
Barcelona
#11
L
57-72
57
72
-15
78avg 103
A02/12
Euroleague
Lavrio
#8
W
84-60
84
60
+24
no box
A05/12
Basket League
Galatasaray
#12
W
85-58
85
58
+27
115avg 103
H09/12
Euroleague
AEK Athens
#3
W
77-68
77
68
+9
no box
H11/12
Basket League
Fenerbahce
#3
W
81-70
81
70
+11
108avg 103
H16/12
Euroleague
Trikala
#10
W
82-77
82
77
+5
no box
A18/12
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-23
16-24
24-14
14-18
17-14
19-14
15-17
20-14
21-16
25-18
18-26
22-20
24-14
30-16
18-13
24-16
19-19
12-17
9-21
17-15
25-10
23-22
16-12
20-16
20-13
19-18
25-14
21-13
22-20
17-19
17-17
21-12
23-14
18-23
20-15
20-18
23-16
21-16
22-26
16-19
147.8Avg total
79.6Scored
68.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)79.275.9155.2+3.358%
Season at home (7)80.971.0151.9+9.986%
Season away (5)77.082.8159.8-5.820%
Last 10 (10)79.668.2147.8+11.480%
Last 5 (5)81.866.6148.4+15.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)80.584.0164.5-3.50%
vs Similar (12)77.980.6158.5-2.742%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)80.965.0145.9+15.987%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: +5.8+5.8Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +3.4+3.4
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: +5.8+5.8Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +3.4+3.4
Olimpia MilanoPanathinaikos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#7
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A17/11
Euroleague
Cremona
#16
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A20/11
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#3
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H24/11
Euroleague
Pistoia
#7
W
52-40
52
40
+12
H27/11
Lega A
Unics Kazan
#15
L
43-57
43
57
-14
A01/12
Euroleague
Trento
#4
W
44-31
44
31
+13
A04/12
Lega A
CSKA Moscow
#1
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H08/12
Euroleague
Venezia
#1
L
41-49
41
49
-8
A11/12
Lega A
Galatasaray
#12
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A16/12
Euroleague
Brindisi
#9
W
51-48
51
48
+3
H18/12
Lega A
83.1Avg total
40.8Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.341.384.6+2.057%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.441.287.6+5.171%-
Last 30 away (16)40.641.481.9-0.844%-
Last 10 (10)40.842.383.1-1.550%-
Last 5 (5)41.241.482.6-0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)42.742.084.7+0.756%-
vs Similar (8)42.143.685.8-1.550%-
vs Weaker (12)43.938.382.2+5.667%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#4
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H18/11
Euroleague
Aris
#5
W
36-28
36
28
+8
A21/11
Basket League
Darussafaka
#9
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H25/11
Euroleague
Apollon Patras
#13
W
54-30
54
30
+24
H28/11
Basket League
Barcelona
#11
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A02/12
Euroleague
Lavrio
#8
W
48-32
48
32
+16
A05/12
Basket League
Galatasaray
#12
W
39-31
39
31
+8
H09/12
Euroleague
AEK Athens
#3
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H11/12
Basket League
Fenerbahce
#3
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H16/12
Euroleague
Trikala
#10
W
44-32
44
32
+12
A18/12
Basket League
76.3Avg total
41.7Scored
34.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.935.576.4+5.463%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.134.476.5+7.771%-
Last 30 away (13)39.436.976.3+2.554%-
Last 10 (10)41.734.676.3+7.170%-
Last 5 (5)42.234.276.4+8.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)40.044.084.0-4.00%-
vs Similar (12)39.838.177.9+1.858%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)41.732.073.7+9.773%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 81.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
50%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.423.0
51.8%
50.7%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.06.8
35.8%
37.3%20.4
🏀 Free throws20.514.6
71.2%
75.6%14.6
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 77.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
50%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.019.2
53.3%
50.7%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.98.5
35.6%
37.3%25.5
🏀 Free throws19.213.8
71.9%
75.6%13.8
They take 59.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Dec 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olimpia Milano
WLLLWLWLWL
Panathinaikos
WWWWWLWWWL
#16
League position
#5
+0.3
Net rating
+5.9
104.6
Offensive rating
110.0
104.4
Defensive rating
104.0
52.4%
Effective FG%
53.3%
51.7%
Opp. effective FG%
50.5%
18.8%
Turnover %
13.8%
27.3%
Off. rebound %
25.9%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.32
35.8%
3-point %
35.6%
60.7%
Assist %
54.5%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence104.6 · 110.0Defence104.4 · 104.0Shooting52.4% · 53.3%3-point %35.8% · 35.6%Ball care18.8% · 13.8%Off. rebounds27.3% · 25.9%Free throws0.32 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)40% · 80%
■ Olimpia Milano   ■ Panathinaikos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Olimpia Milano wins
7
Panathinaikos wins
DateGameScore
11/12/14Olimpia Milano v Panathinaikos66-64
07/11/14Panathinaikos v Olimpia Milano90-63
27/02/14Olimpia Milano v Panathinaikos77-75
02/01/14Panathinaikos v Olimpia Milano73-57
23/02/12Panathinaikos v Olimpia Milano58-67
19/01/12Olimpia Milano v Panathinaikos57-78
22/12/10Panathinaikos v Olimpia Milano93-62
18/11/10Olimpia Milano v Panathinaikos71-81
03/12/09Panathinaikos v Olimpia Milano80-68
22/10/09Olimpia Milano v Panathinaikos67-75
Olimpia Milanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/16HBrindisi99-86
16/12/16AGalatasaray80-83
11/12/16AVenezia84-88
08/12/16HCSKA Moscow64-79
04/12/16ATrento92-74
01/12/16AUnics Kazan79-100
27/11/16HPistoia104-70
24/11/16HFenerbahce70-79
20/11/16ACremona76-72
17/11/16ACrvena zvezda70-83
Panathinaikoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/16ATrikala82-77
16/12/16HFenerbahce81-70
11/12/16HAEK Athens77-68
09/12/16HGalatasaray85-58
05/12/16ALavrio84-60
02/12/16ABarcelona57-72
28/11/16HApollon Patras96-59
25/11/16HDarussafaka86-80
21/11/16AAris71-59
18/11/16HOlympiacos77-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olimpia Milano
Euroleague 2016
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL33%
HomeLWWLL50%
AwayLLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %33%50%17%
Points / game84.186.082.2
Allowed / game88.987.390.5
Point differential-4.8-1.3-8.3
Avg total173.0173.3172.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %8%0%17%
Panathinaikos
Euroleague 2016
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW58%
HomeWLWWW86%
AwayLWLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %58%86%20%
Points / game79.280.977.0
Allowed / game75.971.082.8
Point differential+3.3+9.9-5.8
Avg total155.2151.9159.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%43%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %17%14%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CSKA Moscow1211192%92.081.8+10.2
2 Real Madrid139469%88.880.3+8.5
3 Olympiacos139469%80.074.5+5.5
4 Baskonia128467%80.878.2+2.7
5 Fenerbahce138562%76.476.8-0.4
6 Panathinaikos127558%79.275.9+3.3
7 Darussafaka137654%77.577.5+0.0
8 Anadolu Efes136746%84.686.2-1.6
9 Maccabi Tel Aviv125742%79.582.8-3.2
10 Barcelona125742%70.875.1-4.2
11 Zalgiris Kaunas135838%81.582.8-1.4
12 Crvena zvezda135838%73.575.4-1.9
13 Olimpia Milano124833%84.188.9-4.8
14 Bamberg134931%80.682.5-1.9
15 Unics Kazan134931%79.482.4-3.0
16 Galatasaray134931%78.285.5-7.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olimpia Milano218133072
Panathinaikos1624242286
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