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Olimpia Milano vs Zalgiris Kaunas Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 29 Dec 2016
Tip-off: 19:45
Final 70-78
16-21 17-15 23-20 14-22
Position#16
Record4-10
FormLWLLL
Points / game82.6
Allowed / game88.7
vs
Position#10
Record5-9
FormWLWWL
Points / game81.4
Allowed / game83.2
EuropeEuroleagueRound 15
European cup2016
Meetings · Olimpia Milano v Zalgiris Kaunas
12 Nov 2026
MIL v ZAL
upcoming
22 Jan 2026
MIL82
ZAL86
17 Oct 2024
MIL82
ZAL85
30 Nov 2023
MIL70
ZAL83
13 Jan 2023
MIL61
ZAL66
28 Jan 2022
MIL65
ZAL58
20 Nov 2020
MIL98
ZAL92
24 Jan 2019
MIL80
ZAL70
09 Nov 2017
MIL62
ZAL94
29 Dec 2016
MIL70
ZAL78
24 Oct 2013
MIL82
ZAL75
07 Dec 2012
MIL65
ZAL67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olimpia Milano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zalgiris Kaunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Pistoia
#7
W
104-70
104
70
+34
145avg 117
H27/11
Lega A
Unics Kazan
#15
L
79-100
79
100
-21
100avg 117
A01/12
Euroleague
Trento
#4
W
92-74
92
74
+18
123avg 117
A04/12
Lega A
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
64-79
64
79
-15
89avg 117
H08/12
Euroleague
Venezia
#1
L
84-88
84
88
-4
112avg 117
A11/12
Lega A
Galatasaray
#12
L
80-83
80
83
-3
109avg 117
A16/12
Euroleague
Brindisi
#9
W
99-86
99
86
+13
131avg 117
H18/12
Lega A
Panathinaikos
#5
L
72-86
72
86
-14
99avg 117
H21/12
Euroleague
Barcelona
#11
L
75-89
75
89
-14
99avg 117
A23/12
Euroleague
Reggiana
#6
L
87-91
87
91
-4
116avg 117
A27/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-18
31-22
27-16
25-14
24-35
19-22
26-16
10-27
17-16
27-15
23-18
25-25
23-21
15-15
16-30
10-13
22-34
19-15
20-23
23-16
15-21
17-22
27-19
21-21
22-21
29-27
20-22
28-16
21-16
8-24
13-24
30-22
19-32
16-17
16-23
24-17
19-9
21-36
26-27
21-19
168.2Avg total
83.6Scored
84.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)82.688.7171.3-6.129%
Season at home (7)84.087.1171.1-3.143%
Season away (7)81.190.3171.4-9.114%
Last 10 (10)83.684.6168.2-1.030%
Last 5 (5)82.687.0169.6-4.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)82.387.3169.6-5.030%
vs Similar (9)86.886.1172.9+0.756%
vs Weaker (10)87.876.8164.6+11.090%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Bamberg
#13
W
86-72
86
72
+14
115avg 110
H24/11
Euroleague
Rytas
#2
W
84-68
84
68
+16
no box
H27/11
LKL
Crvena zvezda
#7
W
88-79
88
79
+9
122avg 110
A02/12
Euroleague
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
W
94-61
94
61
+33
no box
A05/12
LKL
Real Madrid
#2
L
91-96
91
96
-5
117avg 110
A08/12
Euroleague
Neptunas
#4
W
95-67
95
67
+28
no box
A11/12
LKL
Olympiacos
#4
L
75-88
75
88
-13
101avg 110
H15/12
Euroleague
Siauliai
#10
W
98-82
98
82
+16
no box
H17/12
LKL
Anadolu Efes
#6
W
84-71
84
71
+13
113avg 110
A20/12
Euroleague
Unics Kazan
#15
L
80-88
80
88
-8
104avg 110
H22/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-22
29-17
24-16
15-17
26-14
25-16
15-24
18-14
24-16
18-28
24-22
22-13
31-12
23-8
19-26
21-15
22-25
27-24
20-25
22-22
24-19
19-13
29-19
23-16
23-21
17-21
20-21
15-25
25-15
23-21
26-21
24-25
16-13
28-17
22-21
18-20
19-23
27-20
23-15
11-30
164.7Avg total
87.5Scored
77.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)81.483.2164.6-1.936%
Season at home (7)80.080.9160.9-0.943%
Season away (7)82.785.6168.3-2.929%
Last 10 (10)87.577.2164.7+10.370%
Last 5 (5)86.479.2165.6+7.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)80.090.2170.2-10.20%
vs Similar (9)82.879.7162.4+3.156%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)85.169.9154.9+15.288%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: +4.8+4.8Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +5.1+5.1Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: -0.8-0.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: +4.8+4.8Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +5.1+5.1Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: -0.8-0.8
Olimpia MilanoZalgiris Kaunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pistoia
#7
W
52-40
52
40
+12
H27/11
Lega A
Unics Kazan
#15
L
43-57
43
57
-14
A01/12
Euroleague
Trento
#4
W
44-31
44
31
+13
A04/12
Lega A
CSKA Moscow
#1
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H08/12
Euroleague
Venezia
#1
L
41-49
41
49
-8
A11/12
Lega A
Galatasaray
#12
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A16/12
Euroleague
Brindisi
#9
W
51-48
51
48
+3
H18/12
Lega A
Panathinaikos
#5
L
29-40
29
40
-11
H21/12
Euroleague
Barcelona
#11
L
35-49
35
49
-14
A23/12
Euroleague
Reggiana
#6
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A27/12
Lega A
84.3Avg total
40.5Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.641.984.5+0.753%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.741.986.6+2.964%-
Last 30 away (16)40.842.082.8-1.244%-
Last 10 (10)40.543.884.3-3.340%-
Last 5 (5)37.445.082.4-7.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)41.341.883.1-0.550%-
vs Similar (9)41.344.285.6-2.944%-
vs Weaker (10)44.339.083.3+5.370%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bamberg
#13
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H24/11
Euroleague
Rytas
#2
W
51-30
51
30
+21
H27/11
LKL
Crvena zvezda
#7
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A02/12
Euroleague
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
W
54-20
54
20
+34
A05/12
LKL
Real Madrid
#2
D
49-49
49
49
+0
A08/12
Euroleague
Neptunas
#4
W
43-32
43
32
+11
A11/12
LKL
Olympiacos
#4
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H15/12
Euroleague
Siauliai
#10
W
48-36
48
36
+12
H17/12
LKL
Anadolu Efes
#6
W
44-30
44
30
+14
A20/12
Euroleague
Unics Kazan
#15
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H22/12
Euroleague
82.9Avg total
46.4Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.636.478.9+6.267%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.635.978.5+6.679%-
Last 30 away (16)42.636.879.3+5.856%-
Last 10 (10)46.436.582.9+9.970%-
Last 5 (5)44.236.680.8+7.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)41.843.885.5-2.025%-
vs Similar (9)40.236.977.1+3.356%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)44.034.478.4+9.682%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 82.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
50%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.321.8
52.8%
50.7%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.58.1
37.7%
37.3%24.3
🏀 Free throws20.414.9
73.0%
75.6%14.9
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 83.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
50%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.520.4
50.4%
50.7%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.88.7
41.8%
37.3%26.1
🏀 Free throws19.516.4
84.1%
75.6%16.4
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Dec 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olimpia Milano
LLLWLLLWLW
Zalgiris Kaunas
LWWLWLWWWW
#16
League position
#10
-1.3
Net rating
+0.5
108.5
Offensive rating
113.7
109.8
Defensive rating
113.2
54.1%
Effective FG%
54.6%
54.2%
Opp. effective FG%
53.8%
17.9%
Turnover %
18.8%
27.9%
Off. rebound %
34.4%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.32
37.7%
3-point %
41.8%
64.2%
Assist %
66.0%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence108.5 · 113.7Defence109.8 · 113.2Shooting54.1% · 54.6%3-point %37.7% · 41.8%Ball care17.9% · 18.8%Off. rebounds27.9% · 34.4%Free throws0.32 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)30% · 70%
■ Olimpia Milano   ■ Zalgiris Kaunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Olimpia Milano wins
3
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/12/16AReggiana87-91
23/12/16ABarcelona75-89
21/12/16HPanathinaikos72-86
18/12/16HBrindisi99-86
16/12/16AGalatasaray80-83
11/12/16AVenezia84-88
08/12/16HCSKA Moscow64-79
04/12/16ATrento92-74
01/12/16AUnics Kazan79-100
27/11/16HPistoia104-70
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/12/16HUnics Kazan80-88
20/12/16AAnadolu Efes84-71
17/12/16HSiauliai98-82
15/12/16HOlympiacos75-88
11/12/16ANeptunas95-67
08/12/16AReal Madrid91-96
05/12/16AAlytaus Dzukija94-61
02/12/16ACrvena zvezda88-79
27/11/16HRytas84-68
24/11/16HBamberg86-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olimpia Milano
Euroleague 2016
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL29%
HomeWWLLL43%
AwayLLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %29%43%14%
Points / game82.684.081.1
Allowed / game88.787.190.3
Point differential-6.1-3.1-9.1
Avg total171.3171.1171.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%29%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %7%0%14%
Zalgiris Kaunas
Euroleague 2016
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL36%
HomeLWWLL43%
AwayLLWLW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %36%43%29%
Points / game81.480.082.7
Allowed / game83.280.985.6
Point differential-1.9-0.9-2.9
Avg total164.6160.9168.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%29%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CSKA Moscow1512380%88.782.1+6.6
2 Real Madrid1510567%86.980.3+6.7
3 Olympiacos1510567%78.674.2+4.4
4 Panathinaikos149564%79.075.1+3.9
5 Baskonia149564%78.876.4+2.4
6 Fenerbahce159660%76.776.5+0.1
7 Darussafaka148657%78.178.0+0.1
8 Crvena zvezda157847%74.374.5-0.1
9 Anadolu Efes157847%84.385.1-0.9
10 Barcelona146843%71.574.4-2.9
11 Bamberg145936%80.781.5-0.8
12 Zalgiris Kaunas145936%81.483.2-1.9
13 Unics Kazan145936%80.082.2-2.2
14 Maccabi Tel Aviv145936%79.682.8-3.2
15 Olimpia Milano1441029%82.688.7-6.1
16 Galatasaray1441029%78.185.5-7.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olimpia Milano1617231470
Zalgiris Kaunas2115202278
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