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Valencia vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 15 Nov 2017
Tip-off: 19:45
Final 98-103 (OT)
20-19 25-22 19-17 10-16 24-29
Position#11
Record3-3
FormWLWLW
Points / game75.3
Allowed / game72.5
vs
Position#15
Record1-5
FormLLWLW
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game88.7
EuropeEuroleagueRound 7
European cup2017
Meetings · Valencia v Olimpia Milano
03 Feb 2027
VAL v MIL
upcoming
07 Apr 2026
VAL102
MIL96
19 Jan 2024
VAL84
MIL72
07 Mar 2023
VAL84
MIL88
06 Nov 2020
VAL86
MIL81
15 Nov 2017
VAL98
MIL103
11 Nov 2010
VAL69
MIL80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valencia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olimpia Milano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValenciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#1
L
82-86
82
86
-4
113avg 108
H15/10
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#16
W
78-71
78
71
+7
104avg 108
H20/10
Euroleague
Murcia
#9
W
93-91
93
91
+2
116avg 108
A22/10
ACB
Baskonia
#7
W
80-63
80
63
+17
106avg 108
A25/10
Euroleague
Unicaja
#9
W
91-53
91
53
+38
121avg 108
H27/10
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#5
W
89-83
89
83
+6
120avg 108
H29/10
ACB
Fenerbahce
#2
L
66-79
66
79
-13
91avg 108
A02/11
Euroleague
San Pablo Burgos
#14
W
87-78
87
78
+9
124avg 108
H05/11
ACB
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
67-94
67
94
-27
94avg 108
A09/11
Euroleague
Bilbao
#17
W
81-77
81
77
+4
no box
A12/11
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-17
21-26
23-18
20-25
19-13
19-25
28-10
12-23
26-12
25-32
21-25
21-22
28-13
22-26
17-15
13-9
31-11
26-14
16-17
18-11
25-26
22-15
24-19
18-23
18-20
12-18
19-19
17-22
23-15
22-19
20-24
22-20
19-20
19-23
16-30
13-21
19-15
15-21
12-14
35-27
158.9Avg total
81.4Scored
77.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)75.372.5147.8+2.850%
Season at home (2)84.562.0146.5+22.5100%
Season away (4)70.877.8148.5-7.025%
Last 10 (10)81.477.5158.9+3.970%
Last 5 (5)78.082.2160.2-4.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)73.880.5154.2-6.825%
vs Similar ◀ (15)79.073.5152.5+5.573%
vs Weaker (10)82.877.0159.8+5.880%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Capo d'Orlando
#16
W
68-62
68
62
+6
91avg 107
A15/10
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#2
L
86-92 OT
86
92
-6
no box
H19/10
Euroleague
Brindisi
#14
W
93-73
93
73
+20
120avg 107
H22/10
Lega A
Real Madrid
#3
L
90-100
90
100
-10
115avg 107
A24/10
Euroleague
Barcelona
#12
W
78-74
78
74
+4
109avg 107
H26/10
Euroleague
Sassari
#6
L
69-90
69
90
-21
no box
A29/10
Lega A
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
L
68-79
68
79
-11
90avg 107
A02/11
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#7
W
72-64
72
64
+8
100avg 107
H05/11
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#4
L
62-94
62
94
-32
82avg 107
H09/11
Euroleague
Trento
#5
W
74-55
74
55
+19
94avg 107
A11/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-11
17-20
15-15
20-16
21-23
17-14
16-27
26-16
17-16
19-21
33-20
24-16
28-30
26-24
20-27
16-19
17-22
22-17
15-14
24-21
18-21
18-22
17-25
16-22
14-18
15-21
13-21
26-19
13-15
26-20
15-20
18-9
20-25
11-25
10-20
21-24
21-24
15-10
20-10
18-11
154.3Avg total
76.0Scored
78.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)78.088.7166.7-10.717%
Season at home (3)75.386.7162.0-11.333%
Season away (3)80.790.7171.3-10.00%
Last 10 (10)76.078.3154.3-2.350%
Last 5 (5)69.076.4145.4-7.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)80.090.6170.6-10.620%
vs Similar ◀ (9)73.681.1154.7-7.622%
vs Weaker (15)81.473.7155.1+7.780%
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.4+6.4Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: +3.6+3.6
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.4+6.4Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: +3.6+3.6
ValenciaOlimpia Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#1
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H15/10
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#16
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H20/10
Euroleague
Murcia
#9
W
51-44
51
44
+7
A22/10
ACB
Baskonia
#7
W
50-39
50
39
+11
A25/10
Euroleague
Unicaja
#9
W
57-25
57
25
+32
H27/10
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#5
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H29/10
ACB
Fenerbahce
#2
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A02/11
Euroleague
San Pablo Burgos
#14
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H05/11
ACB
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A09/11
Euroleague
Bilbao
#17
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A12/11
ACB
81.0Avg total
42.9Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.337.176.4+2.147%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.833.874.6+7.064%-
Last 30 away (16)37.940.178.0-2.131%-
Last 10 (10)42.938.181.0+4.850%-
Last 5 (5)38.838.477.2+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)39.240.880.0-1.525%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)38.636.374.9+2.347%-
vs Weaker (10)39.237.076.2+2.250%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Capo d'Orlando
#16
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A15/10
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#2
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H19/10
Euroleague
Brindisi
#14
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H22/10
Lega A
Real Madrid
#3
D
54-54
54
54
+0
A24/10
Euroleague
Barcelona
#12
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H26/10
Euroleague
Sassari
#6
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A29/10
Lega A
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A02/11
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#7
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H05/11
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#4
L
31-50
31
50
-19
H09/11
Euroleague
Trento
#5
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A11/11
Lega A
77.0Avg total
37.1Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.038.477.4+0.553%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.238.878.1+0.453%-
Last 30 away (13)38.637.976.5+0.754%-
Last 10 (10)37.139.977.0-2.840%-
Last 5 (5)34.240.274.4-6.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)42.043.685.6-1.640%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)37.238.976.1-1.733%-
vs Weaker (15)39.037.276.2+1.867%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 80.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.6 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.316.8
50.5%
51.7%33.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.39.9
39.1%
37.6%29.7
🏀 Free throws19.917.1
85.9%
76.3%17.1
They take 58.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 74.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.620.3
50.0%
51.7%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.17.0
33.2%
37.6%21.0
🏀 Free throws16.913.3
78.7%
76.3%13.3
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Nov 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valencia
WLWLWWWWWL
Olimpia Milano
WLWLLWLWLW
#11
League position
#15
+5.6
Net rating
-4.0
115.7
Offensive rating
104.4
110.1
Defensive rating
108.4
54.0%
Effective FG%
49.9%
53.0%
Opp. effective FG%
51.5%
18.8%
Turnover %
16.9%
35.0%
Off. rebound %
28.4%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.27
39.1%
3-point %
33.2%
66.7%
Assist %
51.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence115.7 · 104.4Defence110.1 · 108.4Shooting54.0% · 49.9%3-point %39.1% · 33.2%Ball care18.8% · 16.9%Off. rebounds35.0% · 28.4%Free throws0.34 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Valencia   ■ Olimpia Milano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Valencia wins
1
Olimpia Milano wins
DateGameScore
16/12/10Olimpia Milano v Valencia60-75
11/11/10Valencia v Olimpia Milano69-80
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/17ABilbao81-77
09/11/17ACSKA Moscow67-94
05/11/17HSan Pablo Burgos87-78
02/11/17AFenerbahce66-79
29/10/17HGran Canaria89-83
27/10/17HUnicaja91-53
25/10/17ABaskonia80-63
22/10/17AMurcia93-91
20/10/17HAnadolu Efes78-71
15/10/17HReal Madrid82-86
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/17ATrento74-55
09/11/17HZalgiris Kaunas62-94
05/11/17HVirtus Bologna72-64
02/11/17AMaccabi Tel Aviv68-79
29/10/17ASassari69-90
26/10/17HBarcelona78-74
24/10/17AReal Madrid90-100
22/10/17HBrindisi93-73
19/10/17HFenerbahce86-92 OT
15/10/17ACapo d'Orlando68-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valencia
Euroleague 2017
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL50%
HomeWW100%
AwayLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %50%100%25%
Points / game75.384.570.8
Allowed / game72.562.077.8
Point differential+2.8+22.5-7.0
Avg total147.8146.5148.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Olimpia Milano
Euroleague 2017
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL17%
HomeLWL33%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %17%33%0%
Points / game78.075.380.7
Allowed / game88.786.790.7
Point differential-10.7-11.3-10.0
Avg total166.7162.0171.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %17%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CSKA Moscow76186%87.775.1+12.6
2 Olympiacos75271%74.172.6+1.6
3 Khimki M.75271%80.382.9-2.6
4 Fenerbahce74357%78.672.4+6.1
5 Maccabi Tel Aviv74357%79.376.9+2.4
6 Real Madrid74357%85.082.9+2.1
7 Zalgiris Kaunas74357%81.780.3+1.4
8 Panathinaikos74357%77.777.4+0.3
9 Bamberg74357%75.479.9-4.4
10 Valencia63350%75.372.5+2.8
11 Unicaja73443%73.377.4-4.1
12 Barcelona72529%81.177.7+3.4
13 Baskonia72529%78.179.6-1.4
14 Anadolu Efes72529%78.683.0-4.4
15 Crvena zvezda72529%74.981.1-6.3
16 Olimpia Milano61517%78.088.7-10.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Valencia202519102498
Olimpia Milano1922171629103
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