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Olimpia Milano vs Monaco Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 09 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 79-82
17-22 19-19 26-25 17-16
Position#13
Record1-1
FormWWWLL
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game81.0
vs
Monaco 🏆
Position#10
Record1-1
FormWWLWL
Points / game93.5
Allowed / game85.0
EuropeEuroleagueRound 3· Unipol Forum
European cup2025
Meetings · Olimpia Milano v Monaco
09 Oct 2025
MIL79
MCO82
27 Feb 2025
MIL86
MCO80
02 Nov 2023
MIL66
MCO72
23 Dec 2022
MIL79
MCO71
31 Mar 2022
MIL63
MCO72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olimpia Milano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Monaco winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Trento
#4
W
89-82
89
82
+7
78avg 80
H24/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
67-68
67
68
-1
56avg 80
A31/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
85-66
85
66
+19
76avg 80
A02/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
68-78
68
78
-10
61avg 80
H05/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
78-84
78
84
-6
69avg 80
H07/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#3
W
93-86 OT
93
86
+7
96avg 80
A27/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Brescia
#2
W
90-76
90
76
+14
91avg 80
A28/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Crvena zvezda
#9
W
92-82
92
82
+10
89avg 80
A30/09
Euroleague
Partizan
#15
L
78-80
78
80
-2
78avg 80
A02/10
Euroleague
Tortona
#6
L
71-74
71
74
-3
60avg 80
H05/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-22
28-13
15-29
26-18
13-17
20-13
18-22
16-16
27-20
17-15
22-23
19-8
15-25
20-15
19-14
14-24
29-19
15-23
15-23
19-19
20-22
22-23
17-19
24-19
28-24
19-20
22-11
21-21
22-20
23-21
24-22
23-19
19-21
14-24
29-24
16-11
25-21
19-24
8-16
19-13
158.7Avg total
81.1Scored
77.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)85.081.0166.0+4.050%
Season at homeno games
Season away (2)85.081.0166.0+4.050%
Last 10 (10)81.177.6158.7+3.550%
Last 5 (5)84.879.6164.4+5.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)82.099.0181.0-17.00%
vs Similar ◀ (18)82.480.8163.3+1.650%
vs Weaker (9)90.479.4169.9+11.067%
This opponent (Monaco) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MonacoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMonaco
Date
Competition
Paris
#1
L
67-92
67
92
-25
72avg 91
A17/06
LNB
Paris
#1
W
81-78
81
78
+3
95avg 91
H20/06
LNB
Paris
#1
W
80-74
80
74
+6
94avg 91
H22/06
LNB
Paris
#1
L
93-99
93
99
-6
101avg 91
A24/06
LNB
Boulazac
#2
W
95-70
95
70
+25
109avg 91
A20/09
LNB Super Cup
Le Mans
#3
W
104-79
104
79
+25
117avg 91
H21/09
LNB Super Cup
Le Portel
#16
W
84-63
84
63
+21
85avg 91
A28/09
LNB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
L
84-89
84
89
-5
78avg 91
H01/10
Euroleague
Dubai
#11
W
103-81
103
81
+22
102avg 91
H03/10
Euroleague
Chalon/Saone
#9
L
99-104
99
104
-5
88avg 91
H05/10
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-20
15-21
17-29
22-22
12-23
21-22
30-15
18-18
20-16
20-27
15-13
25-18
21-29
29-25
31-19
12-26
21-14
22-21
21-22
31-13
30-16
17-16
31-23
26-24
14-17
24-12
25-16
21-18
20-27
15-18
25-22
24-22
26-23
24-23
29-13
24-22
20-31
21-20
21-24
37-29
171.9Avg total
89.0Scored
82.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)93.585.0178.5+8.550%
Season at home (2)93.585.0178.5+8.550%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)89.082.9171.9+6.160%
Last 5 (5)94.883.2178.0+11.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (22)83.083.3166.3-0.255%
vs Weaker (8)87.872.9160.6+14.975%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: +4.9+4.9Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: +2.8+2.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: +4.9+4.9Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: +2.8+2.8
Olimpia MilanoMonaco
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trento
#4
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H24/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
33-30
33
30
+3
A31/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A02/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H05/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H07/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#3
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A27/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Brescia
#2
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A28/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Crvena zvezda
#9
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A30/09
Euroleague
Partizan
#15
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A02/10
Euroleague
Tortona
#6
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H05/10
Lega A
81.7Avg total
41.5Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.443.186.5+0.353%-
Last 30 at home (13)47.144.091.1+3.162%-
Last 30 away (17)40.642.483.0-1.847%-
Last 10 (10)41.540.281.7+1.360%-
Last 5 (5)42.244.086.2-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)40.554.094.5-13.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)42.241.683.8+0.756%-
vs Weaker (9)46.643.690.1+3.067%-
This opponent (Monaco) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MonacoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Paris
#1
L
28-41
28
41
-13
A17/06
LNB
Paris
#1
L
33-45
33
45
-12
H20/06
LNB
Paris
#1
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H22/06
LNB
Paris
#1
L
50-54
50
54
-4
A24/06
LNB
Boulazac
#2
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A20/09
LNB Super Cup
Le Mans
#3
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H21/09
LNB Super Cup
Le Portel
#16
W
38-29
38
29
+9
A28/09
LNB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H01/10
Euroleague
Dubai
#11
W
50-46
50
46
+4
H03/10
Euroleague
Chalon/Saone
#9
L
41-51
41
51
-10
H05/10
LNB
82.6Avg total
40.5Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.539.879.3-0.350%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.540.581.0+0.050%-
Last 30 away (14)38.439.177.4-0.750%-
Last 10 (10)40.542.182.6-1.640%-
Last 5 (5)42.240.682.8+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (22)39.441.781.1-2.345%-
vs Weaker (8)39.834.874.5+5.062%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 79.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.319.6
57.1%
60.4%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.99.0
34.7%
35.9%27.0
🏀 Free throws17.613.7
77.8%
78.2%13.7
They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Monacotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Monaco: 88.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.422.4
56.9%
60.4%44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.28.6
32.8%
35.9%25.8
🏀 Free throws23.917.6
73.6%
78.2%17.6
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olimpia Milano
LLWWWLLWLW
Monaco
LWLWWWLWWL
#13
League position
#10
+4.4
Net rating
+8.9
114.6
Offensive rating
124.8
110.1
Defensive rating
115.9
55.0%
Effective FG%
53.8%
51.2%
Opp. effective FG%
51.5%
16.7%
Turnover %
10.7%
31.3%
Off. rebound %
30.6%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.36
34.7%
3-point %
32.8%
55.2%
Assist %
69.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence114.6 · 124.8Defence110.1 · 115.9Shooting55.0% · 53.8%3-point %34.7% · 32.8%Ball care16.7% · 10.7%Off. rebounds31.3% · 30.6%Free throws0.29 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Olimpia Milano   ■ Monaco
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Olimpia Milano wins
4
Monaco wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/10/25HTortona71-74
02/10/25APartizan78-80
30/09/25ACrvena zvezda92-82
28/09/25ABrescia90-76
27/09/25AVirtus Bologna93-86 OT
07/06/25HVirtus Bologna78-84
05/06/25HVirtus Bologna68-78
02/06/25AVirtus Bologna85-66
31/05/25AVirtus Bologna67-68
24/05/25HTrento89-82
Monacolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/10/25HChalon/Saone99-104
03/10/25HDubai103-81
01/10/25HZalgiris Kaunas84-89
28/09/25ALe Portel84-63
21/09/25HLe Mans104-79
20/09/25ABoulazac95-70
24/06/25AParis93-99
22/06/25HParis80-74
20/06/25HParis81-78
17/06/25AParis67-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olimpia Milano
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
Home--
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games2-2
Win %50%-50%
Points / game85.0-85.0
Allowed / game81.0-81.0
Point differential+4.0-+4.0
Avg total166.0-166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%-50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
Monaco
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeLW50%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %50%50%-
Points / game93.593.5-
Allowed / game85.085.0-
Point differential+8.5+8.5-
Avg total178.5178.5-
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Valencia220100%91.585.5+6.0
2 Zalgiris Kaunas220100%86.582.5+4.0
3 Hapoel Tel-Aviv32167%93.390.3+3.0
4 Monaco21150%93.585.0+8.5
5 Fenerbahce21150%88.580.5+8.0
6 Olimpia Milano21150%85.081.0+4.0
7 Real Madrid21150%78.575.5+3.0
8 Lyon-Villeurbanne21150%89.587.5+2.0
9 Anadolu Efes21150%83.082.5+0.5
10 Bayern21150%88.087.5+0.5
11 Panathinaikos21150%91.591.0+0.5
12 Virtus Bologna21150%84.085.5-1.5
13 Olympiacos21150%89.592.5-3.0
14 Barcelona21150%95.099.5-4.5
15 Dubai21150%85.089.5-4.5
16 Partizan21150%78.083.5-5.5
17 Paris21150%89.095.0-6.0
18 Maccabi Tel Aviv31233%91.792.0-0.3
19 Baskonia2020%95.5102.0-6.5
20 Crvena zvezda2020%85.094.5-9.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olimpia Milano1719261779
Monaco2219251682
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