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Monaco vs Zalgiris Kaunas Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 01 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 84-89
20-27 15-18 25-22 24-22
Position#10
Record-
FormWLWWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Monaco
vs
Zalgiris Kaunas 🏆
Position#5
Record-
FormWWWWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
EuropeEuroleagueRound 1· Salle Gaston Medecin
European cup2025
Meetings · Monaco v Zalgiris Kaunas
01 Oct 2025
MCO84
ZAL89
25 Mar 2025
MCO96
ZAL86
04 Apr 2024
MCO69
ZAL66
29 Dec 2022
MCO84
ZAL82
10 Feb 2022
MCO82
ZAL83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Monaco winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zalgiris Kaunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MonacoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMonaco
Date
Competition
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#3
W
74-64
74
64
+10
82avg 91
H08/06
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#3
W
91-86
91
86
+5
105avg 91
H10/06
LNB
Paris
#1
L
82-94
82
94
-12
94avg 91
A15/06
LNB
Paris
#1
L
67-92
67
92
-25
72avg 91
A17/06
LNB
Paris
#1
W
81-78
81
78
+3
95avg 91
H20/06
LNB
Paris
#1
W
80-74
80
74
+6
94avg 91
H22/06
LNB
Paris
#1
L
93-99
93
99
-6
101avg 91
A24/06
LNB
Boulazac
#2
W
95-70
95
70
+25
109avg 91
A20/09
LNB Super Cup
Le Mans
#3
W
104-79
104
79
+25
117avg 91
H21/09
LNB Super Cup
Le Portel
#16
W
84-63
84
63
+21
85avg 91
A28/09
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-15
15-17
21-16
19-16
21-24
29-27
16-27
25-8
23-22
15-27
23-25
21-20
13-20
15-21
17-29
22-22
12-23
21-22
30-15
18-18
20-16
20-27
15-13
25-18
21-29
29-25
31-19
12-26
21-14
22-21
21-22
31-13
30-16
17-16
31-23
26-24
14-17
24-12
25-16
21-18
165.0Avg total
85.1Scored
79.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)85.179.9165.0+5.270%
Last 5 (5)91.277.0168.2+14.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (20)82.083.1165.1-1.155%
vs Weaker (10)86.170.3156.4+15.890%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Jonava
#5
W
98-74
98
74
+24
101avg 80
A31/05
LKL
Jonava
#5
W
86-78
86
78
+8
88avg 80
H03/06
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
89-97 OT
89
97
-8
72avg 80
H12/06
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
83-79
83
79
+4
74avg 80
A14/06
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
80-86
80
86
-6
69avg 80
H17/06
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
84-83
84
83
+1
75avg 80
A19/06
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
76-69
76
69
+7
71avg 80
H21/06
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
87-78
87
78
+9
88avg 80
A20/09
LKL
Siauliai
#4
W
93-72
93
72
+21
93avg 80
H24/09
LKL
Neptunas
#3
W
84-71
84
71
+13
85avg 80
A27/09
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-18
27-28
31-13
14-15
28-25
18-15
22-18
18-20
15-19
17-22
20-17
21-15
15-20
21-13
21-22
26-24
15-21
16-28
33-18
16-19
15-24
26-22
13-22
30-15
15-15
14-15
21-25
26-14
22-14
19-11
21-25
25-28
23-20
27-9
20-25
23-18
23-16
20-17
20-17
21-21
164.7Avg total
86.0Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)86.078.7164.7+7.380%
Last 5 (5)84.874.6159.4+10.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)77.087.0164.0-10.00%
vs Similar ◀ (2)74.577.0151.5-2.550%
vs Weaker (27)88.773.9162.7+14.893%
This opponent (Monaco) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: +3.1+3.1
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: +3.1+3.1
MonacoZalgiris Kaunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MonacoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#3
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H08/06
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#3
L
50-51
50
51
-1
H10/06
LNB
Paris
#1
L
38-49
38
49
-11
A15/06
LNB
Paris
#1
L
28-41
28
41
-13
A17/06
LNB
Paris
#1
L
33-45
33
45
-12
H20/06
LNB
Paris
#1
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H22/06
LNB
Paris
#1
L
50-54
50
54
-4
A24/06
LNB
Boulazac
#2
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A20/09
LNB Super Cup
Le Mans
#3
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H21/09
LNB Super Cup
Le Portel
#16
W
38-29
38
29
+9
A28/09
LNB
81.2Avg total
40.1Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.938.878.6+1.157%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.238.779.9+2.560%-
Last 30 away (15)38.538.877.3-0.353%-
Last 10 (10)40.141.181.2-1.040%-
Last 5 (5)43.638.682.2+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (20)39.141.380.4-2.245%-
vs Weaker (10)41.433.775.1+7.780%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jonava
#5
W
53-46
53
46
+7
A31/05
LKL
Jonava
#5
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H03/06
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H12/06
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A14/06
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
31-49
31
49
-18
H17/06
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A19/06
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
29-30
29
30
-1
H21/06
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
41-25
41
25
+16
A20/09
LKL
Siauliai
#4
W
50-29
50
29
+21
H24/09
LKL
Neptunas
#3
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A27/09
LKL
77.4Avg total
40.2Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.036.478.4+5.660%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.534.376.8+8.167%-
Last 30 away (15)41.538.579.9+3.053%-
Last 10 (10)40.237.277.4+3.060%-
Last 5 (5)40.832.673.4+8.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)37.049.086.0-12.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (2)34.540.074.5-5.50%-
vs Weaker (27)42.735.778.4+7.067%-
This opponent (Monaco) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Monacotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Monaco: 84.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.820.1
56.1%
60.4%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.29.2
32.6%
35.9%27.6
🏀 Free throws22.916.3
71.2%
78.2%16.3
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 85.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.9 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.422.1
59.1%
60.4%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.97.8
32.6%
35.9%23.4
🏀 Free throws24.817.9
72.2%
78.2%17.9
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Monaco
WWWLWWLLWW
Zalgiris Kaunas
WWWWWLWLWW
#10
League position
#5
+7.3
Net rating
+10.9
123.2
Offensive rating
119.7
115.8
Defensive rating
108.8
53.0%
Effective FG%
55.1%
50.6%
Opp. effective FG%
48.1%
9.9%
Turnover %
15.6%
30.7%
Off. rebound %
36.5%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.40
32.6%
3-point %
32.6%
73.7%
Assist %
63.5%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence123.2 · 119.7Defence115.8 · 108.8Shooting53.0% · 55.1%3-point %32.6% · 32.6%Ball care9.9% · 15.6%Off. rebounds30.7% · 36.5%Free throws0.36 · 0.40Form (last 10/10)70% · 80%
■ Monaco   ■ Zalgiris Kaunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Monaco wins
3
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
DateGameScore
25/03/25Monaco v Zalgiris Kaunas96-86 OT
01/11/24Zalgiris Kaunas v Monaco63-62
04/04/24Monaco v Zalgiris Kaunas69-66
08/12/23Zalgiris Kaunas v Monaco79-83
29/03/23Zalgiris Kaunas v Monaco79-70
29/12/22Monaco v Zalgiris Kaunas84-82
10/02/22Monaco v Zalgiris Kaunas82-83
15/12/21Zalgiris Kaunas v Monaco98-107 OT
Monacolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/09/25ALe Portel84-63
21/09/25HLe Mans104-79
20/09/25ABoulazac95-70
24/06/25AParis93-99
22/06/25HParis80-74
20/06/25HParis81-78
17/06/25AParis67-92
15/06/25AParis82-94
10/06/25HLyon-Villeurbanne91-86
08/06/25HLyon-Villeurbanne74-64
Zalgiris Kaunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/09/25ANeptunas84-71
24/09/25HSiauliai93-72
20/09/25AJonava87-78
21/06/25HRytas76-69
19/06/25ARytas84-83
17/06/25HRytas80-86
14/06/25ARytas83-79
12/06/25HRytas89-97 OT
03/06/25HJonava86-78
31/05/25AJonava98-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Monaco
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Zalgiris Kaunas
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Hapoel Tel-Aviv110100%103.087.0+16.0
2 Dubai110100%89.076.0+13.0
3 Olimpia Milano110100%92.082.0+10.0
4 Panathinaikos110100%87.079.0+8.0
5 Anadolu Efes110100%85.078.0+7.0
6 Olympiacos110100%102.096.0+6.0
7 Virtus Bologna110100%74.068.0+6.0
8 Baskonia1010%96.0102.0-6.0
9 Real Madrid1010%68.074.0-6.0
10 Maccabi Tel Aviv1010%78.085.0-7.0
11 Bayern1010%79.087.0-8.0
12 Crvena zvezda1010%82.092.0-10.0
13 Partizan1010%76.089.0-13.0
14 Barcelona1010%87.0103.0-16.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Monaco2015252484
Zalgiris Kaunas2718222289
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