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Virtus Bologna vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 27 Sep 2025
Tip-off: 18:45
Final 86-93 (OT)
22-20 23-22 19-17 19-24 3-10
Position#3
Record-
FormWWWWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Virtus Bologna
Italy
vs
Olimpia Milano 🏆
Italy
Position#1
Record-
FormWLWLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
ItalyLega A - Super CupLega A - Super Cup - Semi-finals· Unipol Forum
Other2025-26
Meetings · Virtus Bologna v Olimpia Milano
24 Jan 2027
VIR v MIL
upcoming
30 Dec 2026
VIR v MIL
upcoming
15 Mar 2026
VIR104
MIL94
02 Jan 2026
VIR97
MIL85
27 Sep 2025
VIR86
MIL93
02 Jun 2025
VIR66
MIL85
31 May 2025
VIR68
MIL67
04 Apr 2025
VIR90
MIL70
02 Mar 2025
VIR86
MIL80
12 Feb 2025
VIR77
MIL91
08 Jun 2024
VIR72
MIL64
06 Jun 2024
VIR75
MIL86
10 Mar 2024
VIR84
MIL75
14 Nov 2023
VIR86
MIL79
21 Jun 2023
VIR85
MIL66
16 Jun 2023
VIR93
MIL89
14 Jun 2023
VIR69
MIL61
13 Apr 2023
VIR89
MIL84
02 Jan 2023
VIR74
MIL96
16 Jun 2022
VIR84
MIL78
10 Jun 2022
VIR75
MIL68
08 Jun 2022
VIR62
MIL66
10 Apr 2022
VIR83
MIL65
11 Jun 2021
VIR73
MIL62
09 Jun 2021
VIR76
MIL58
27 Dec 2020
VIR68
MIL73
29 Dec 2019
VIR83
MIL70
14 Oct 2018
VIR79
MIL88
11 Mar 2018
VIR67
MIL73
28 Feb 2016
VIR85
MIL101
22 May 2015
VIR65
MIL92
29 Dec 2014
VIR58
MIL81
10 Nov 2013
VIR79
MIL71
03 Oct 2012
VIR67
MIL64
16 Feb 2012
VIR77
MIL82
05 Feb 2012
VIR68
MIL80
19 Dec 2010
VIR81
MIL94
08 Nov 2009
VIR83
MIL87
01 Feb 2009
VIR70
MIL60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virtus Bologna winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olimpia Milano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Virtus BolognaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Venezia
#8
L
82-89
82
89
-7
75avg 78
A23/05
Lega A
Venezia
#8
L
78-84
78
84
-6
72avg 78
A25/05
Lega A
Venezia
#8
W
86-84
86
84
+2
77avg 78
H27/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
W
68-67
68
67
+1
62avg 78
H31/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
L
66-85
66
85
-19
57avg 78
H02/06
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
W
78-68
78
68
+10
76avg 78
A05/06
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
W
84-78
84
78
+6
84avg 78
A07/06
Lega A
Brescia
#2
W
90-87
90
87
+3
89avg 78
H12/06
Lega A
Brescia
#2
W
75-65
75
65
+10
70avg 78
H14/06
Lega A
Brescia
#2
W
96-74
96
74
+22
96avg 78
A17/06
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-22
22-25
22-18
23-24
17-13
21-25
21-22
19-24
22-21
19-18
24-26
21-19
17-13
13-20
22-18
16-16
20-27
15-17
23-22
8-19
25-15
15-20
14-19
24-14
19-29
23-15
23-15
19-19
20-23
21-22
22-22
27-20
22-21
17-11
19-19
17-14
28-15
22-13
26-23
20-23
158.4Avg total
80.3Scored
78.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)80.378.1158.4+2.270%
Last 5 (5)84.674.4159.0+10.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)68.587.0155.5-18.50%
vs Similar (13)82.577.0159.5+5.585%
vs Weaker (13)86.976.5163.4+10.569%
Olimpia MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Trapani
#3
L
81-89
81
89
-8
78avg 80
A04/05
Lega A
Scafati
#15
W
100-72
100
72
+28
100avg 80
H11/05
Lega A
Trento
#4
W
73-70
73
70
+3
59avg 80
A17/05
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
67-70
67
70
-3
52avg 80
A19/05
Lega A
Trento
#4
W
107-79
107
79
+28
110avg 80
H22/05
Lega A
Trento
#4
W
89-82
89
82
+7
78avg 80
H24/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
67-68
67
68
-1
56avg 80
A31/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
85-66
85
66
+19
76avg 80
A02/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
68-78
68
78
-10
61avg 80
H05/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
78-84
78
84
-6
69avg 80
H07/06
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-27
12-20
22-22
21-20
23-22
27-17
27-13
23-20
21-24
25-15
9-16
18-15
20-23
15-16
19-23
13-8
24-19
32-28
27-11
24-21
20-22
28-13
15-29
26-18
13-17
20-13
18-22
16-16
27-20
17-15
22-23
19-8
15-25
20-15
19-14
14-24
29-19
15-23
15-23
19-19
157.3Avg total
81.5Scored
75.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)81.575.8157.3+5.750%
Last 5 (5)77.475.6153.0+1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)78.289.2167.5-11.025%
vs Similar (18)81.680.4162.0+1.150%
vs Weaker (7)93.380.7174.0+12.671%

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +2.4+2.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +2.4+2.4
Virtus BolognaOlimpia Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venezia
#8
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A23/05
Lega A
Venezia
#8
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A25/05
Lega A
Venezia
#8
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H27/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
L
30-33
30
33
-3
H31/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H02/06
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A05/06
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A07/06
Lega A
Brescia
#2
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H12/06
Lega A
Brescia
#2
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H14/06
Lega A
Brescia
#2
W
50-28
50
28
+22
A17/06
Lega A
77.8Avg total
39.3Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.338.579.8+2.960%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.337.978.2+2.567%-
Last 30 away (15)42.339.181.4+3.353%-
Last 10 (10)39.338.577.8+0.840%-
Last 5 (5)42.436.879.2+5.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)35.046.281.2-11.225%-
vs Similar (13)41.038.279.2+2.854%-
vs Weaker (13)43.636.379.9+7.377%-
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trapani
#3
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A04/05
Lega A
Scafati
#15
W
50-39
50
39
+11
H11/05
Lega A
Trento
#4
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A17/05
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A19/05
Lega A
Trento
#4
W
56-47
56
47
+9
H22/05
Lega A
Trento
#4
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H24/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
33-30
33
30
+3
A31/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A02/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H05/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H07/06
Lega A
82.2Avg total
42.9Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.941.984.8+1.057%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.343.489.6+2.964%-
Last 30 away (16)39.940.680.5-0.850%-
Last 10 (10)42.939.382.2+3.670%-
Last 5 (5)40.836.477.2+4.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)40.247.087.2-6.825%-
vs Similar (18)41.740.782.4+0.956%-
vs Weaker (7)46.943.390.1+3.671%-
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 79.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 22% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.420.6
55.1%
-41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.26.9
32.5%
-20.7
🏀 Free throws20.117.4
86.6%
-17.4
They take 58.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 80.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 16% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.818.9
54.3%
-37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.710.0
36.1%
-30.0
🏀 Free throws16.612.7
76.5%
-12.7
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Sep 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Virtus Bologna
WWWWWLWWLL
Olimpia Milano
LLWLWWLWWL
#3
League position
#1
+2.9
Net rating
+8.1
116.0
Offensive rating
114.4
113.1
Defensive rating
106.3
52.8%
Effective FG%
54.2%
54.7%
Opp. effective FG%
49.5%
16.3%
Turnover %
15.5%
32.8%
Off. rebound %
30.7%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.27
32.5%
3-point %
36.1%
59.6%
Assist %
51.6%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Virtus Bologna   ■ Olimpia Milano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Virtus Bologna wins
4
Olimpia Milano wins
DateGameScore
07/06/25Olimpia Milano v Virtus Bologna78-84
05/06/25Olimpia Milano v Virtus Bologna68-78
02/06/25Virtus Bologna v Olimpia Milano66-85
31/05/25Virtus Bologna v Olimpia Milano68-67
04/04/25Virtus Bologna v Olimpia Milano90-70
02/03/25Virtus Bologna v Olimpia Milano86-80
12/02/25Virtus Bologna v Olimpia Milano77-91
08/12/24Olimpia Milano v Virtus Bologna73-82
31/10/24Olimpia Milano v Virtus Bologna99-90
22/09/24Olimpia Milano v Virtus Bologna98-96 OT
Virtus Bolognalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/06/25ABrescia96-74
14/06/25HBrescia75-65
12/06/25HBrescia90-87
07/06/25AOlimpia Milano84-78
05/06/25AOlimpia Milano78-68
02/06/25HOlimpia Milano66-85
31/05/25HOlimpia Milano68-67
27/05/25HVenezia86-84
25/05/25AVenezia78-84
23/05/25AVenezia82-89
Olimpia Milanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/06/25HVirtus Bologna78-84
05/06/25HVirtus Bologna68-78
02/06/25AVirtus Bologna85-66
31/05/25AVirtus Bologna67-68
24/05/25HTrento89-82
22/05/25HTrento107-79
19/05/25ATrento67-70
17/05/25ATrento73-70
11/05/25HScafati100-72
04/05/25ATrapani81-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virtus Bologna
Lega A - Super Cup 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Olimpia Milano
Lega A - Super Cup 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Brescia110100%88.075.0+13.0
2 Trento1010%75.088.0-13.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Virtus Bologna22231919386
Olimpia Milano202217241093
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