PythiaBasketballBETA
Liga A· Estadio Vicente Rosales
Olimpico host Ferro on 19 November 2026 in the Liga A, with the Pythia model designating Olimpico as the favourite and projecting a 60% chance of victory. Olimpico finish the season 4-4, averaging 86.8 points and conceding 85.4, and sit in 7th place; their home record is 2-4 with 84.2 points for and 86.2 against. In the last five games they went 3-2, dropping 82-83 to Instituto de Cordoba, beating Lanus 95-94, and falling 74-87 to Penarol. Ferro are 3-5 overall, scoring 84.2 and allowing 83.6, positioned 11th, and their road record is 1-4 with 81.2 points for and 86.4 against; they are 2-3 in the last five, having beaten Penarol 98-69, then lost to San Martin 84-87 and Gimnasia 61-73. Historically, Olimpico lead the head-to-head series 6-4, though Ferro won the most recent meeting 72-69 on 7 March 2026. Pythia projects an 84-81 scoreline, 165.5 total points, and a 5% chance of overtime, giving Olimpico a 60% probability to cover the home spread. The game will hinge on Olimpico's ability to maintain their offensive output against Ferro's resilient defence.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (8) | 86.8 | 85.4 | 172.1 | +1.4 | 50% |
| Season at home (6) | 84.2 | 86.2 | 170.3 | -2.0 | 33% |
| Season away (2) | 94.5 | 83.0 | 177.5 | +11.5 | 100% |
| Last 10 (10) | 83.6 | 86.0 | 169.6 | -2.4 | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 88.0 | 86.0 | 174.0 | +2.0 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (7) | 80.6 | 83.0 | 163.6 | -2.4 | 57% |
| vs Similar ◀ (21) | 79.9 | 81.0 | 160.9 | -1.2 | 38% |
| vs Weaker (2) | 95.0 | 80.5 | 175.5 | +14.5 | 100% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (8) | 84.2 | 83.6 | 167.9 | +0.6 | 38% |
| Season at home (3) | 89.3 | 79.0 | 168.3 | +10.3 | 67% |
| Season away (5) | 81.2 | 86.4 | 167.6 | -5.2 | 20% |
| Last 10 (10) | 80.9 | 83.0 | 163.9 | -2.1 | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 83.0 | 80.2 | 163.2 | +2.8 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger | no games | ||||
| vs Similar ◀ (28) | 79.6 | 80.6 | 160.2 | -0.9 | 46% |
| vs Weaker (2) | 92.0 | 80.5 | 172.5 | +11.5 | 50% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 41.7 | 41.0 | 82.7 | +0.7 | 57% | - |
| Last 30 at home (16) | 41.7 | 40.4 | 82.1 | +1.2 | 62% | - |
| Last 30 away (14) | 41.6 | 41.6 | 83.3 | +0.0 | 50% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 41.3 | 41.9 | 83.2 | -0.6 | 50% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 42.2 | 43.2 | 85.4 | -1.0 | 60% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (7) | 42.4 | 46.3 | 88.7 | -3.9 | 29% | - |
| vs Similar ◀ (21) | 40.8 | 38.9 | 79.7 | +1.9 | 62% | - |
| vs Weaker (2) | 48.0 | 44.5 | 92.5 | +3.5 | 100% | - |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 42.8 | 40.3 | 83.1 | +2.6 | 57% | - |
| Last 30 at home (11) | 46.9 | 36.8 | 83.7 | +10.1 | 82% | - |
| Last 30 away (19) | 40.5 | 42.3 | 82.7 | -1.8 | 42% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 42.6 | 39.9 | 82.5 | +2.7 | 50% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 46.8 | 37.0 | 83.8 | +9.8 | 80% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger | no games | |||||
| vs Similar ◀ (28) | 42.1 | 40.8 | 82.9 | +1.4 | 54% | - |
| vs Weaker (2) | 52.5 | 33.0 | 85.5 | +19.5 | 100% | - |
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| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 32.2 | 17.1 | 54.4% | 34.2 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 29.4 | 11.1 | 32.6% | 33.3 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 19.2 | 15.2 | 72.7% | 15.2 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 33.9 | 18.9 | 54.4% | 37.8 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 29.4 | 7.5 | 32.6% | 22.5 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 22.7 | 17.2 | 72.7% | 17.2 |
Olimpico
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 07/03/26 | Olimpico v Ferro | 69-72 |
| 12/12/25 | Ferro v Olimpico | 87-83 |
| 29/04/25 | Ferro v Olimpico | 81-69 |
| 10/12/24 | Olimpico v Ferro | 92-67 |
| 02/03/24 | Ferro v Olimpico | 93-94 |
| 16/12/23 | Olimpico v Ferro | 92-74 |
| 14/03/23 | Ferro v Olimpico | 89-72 |
| 12/10/22 | Olimpico v Ferro | 118-84 |
| 10/03/22 | Ferro v Olimpico | 78-80 |
| 17/01/22 | Olimpico v Ferro | 84-64 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11/26 | H | Instituto de Cordoba | 82-83 |
| 05/11/26 | H | Lanus | 95-94 |
| 03/11/26 | H | Penarol | 74-87 |
| 21/10/26 | A | San Martin | 106-86 |
| 18/10/26 | A | Regatas | 83-80 |
| 13/10/26 | H | Boca Juniors | 93-80 |
| 08/10/26 | H | Atenas | 87-91 |
| 02/10/26 | H | Platense | 74-82 |
| 13/04/26 | A | San Martin | 67-78 |
| 11/04/26 | A | Regatas | 75-99 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/11/26 | H | Penarol | 98-69 |
| 11/11/26 | H | San Martin | 84-87 |
| 29/10/26 | A | Gimnasia | 61-73 |
| 21/10/26 | H | Platense | 86-81 |
| 13/10/26 | A | Atenas | 86-91 |
| 10/10/26 | A | Instituto de Cordoba | 94-97 OT |
| 09/10/26 | A | Independiente de Oliva | 97-92 |
| 01/10/26 | A | Argentino | 68-79 |
| 03/06/26 | A | Gimnasia | 54-88 |
| 30/05/26 | H | Gimnasia | 81-73 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWLWL | 50% |
| Home | LWLWL | 33% |
| Away | WW | 100% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 8 | 6 | 2 |
| Win % | 50% | 33% | 100% |
| Points / game | 86.8 | 84.2 | 94.5 |
| Allowed / game | 85.4 | 86.2 | 83.0 |
| Point differential | +1.4 | -2.0 | +11.5 |
| Avg total | 172.1 | 170.3 | 177.5 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 25% | 17% | 50% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 50% (4) | 33% (3) | 100% (1) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LWLLW | 38% |
| Home | WLW | 67% |
| Away | LWLLL | 20% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 8 | 3 | 5 |
| Win % | 38% | 67% | 20% |
| Points / game | 84.2 | 89.3 | 81.2 |
| Allowed / game | 83.6 | 79.0 | 86.4 |
| Point differential | +0.6 | +10.3 | -5.2 |
| Avg total | 167.9 | 168.3 | 167.6 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 12% | 33% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 40% (5) | 50% (2) | 33% (3) |
| Overtime % | 12% | 0% | 20% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Quimsa | 8 | 7 | 1 | 88% | 85.2 | 75.8 | +9.5 |
| 2 |  Penarol | 8 | 6 | 2 | 75% | 80.1 | 77.5 | +2.6 |
| 3 |  Instituto de Cordoba | 8 | 6 | 2 | 75% | 77.9 | 76.5 | +1.4 |
| 4 |  Gimnasia | 11 | 8 | 3 | 73% | 78.0 | 75.5 | +2.5 |
| 5 |  Atenas | 7 | 5 | 2 | 71% | 85.9 | 82.3 | +3.6 |
| 6 |  Boca Juniors | 8 | 5 | 3 | 62% | 89.5 | 83.2 | +6.2 |
| 7 | Olimpico | 8 | 4 | 4 | 50% | 86.8 | 85.4 | +1.4 |
| 8 |  Argentino | 8 | 4 | 4 | 50% | 77.9 | 79.5 | -1.6 |
| 9 |  Platense | 7 | 3 | 4 | 43% | 79.6 | 80.1 | -0.6 |
| 10 |  Obera TC | 7 | 3 | 4 | 43% | 80.0 | 83.1 | -3.1 |
| 11 | Ferro | 8 | 3 | 5 | 38% | 84.2 | 83.6 | +0.6 |
| 12 |  Lanus | 11 | 4 | 7 | 36% | 78.5 | 79.3 | -0.7 |
| 13 |  Independiente de Oliva | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 92.0 | 89.0 | +3.0 |
| 14 |  Racing de Chivilcoy | 9 | 3 | 6 | 33% | 79.4 | 82.8 | -3.3 |
| 15 |  La Union | 6 | 2 | 4 | 33% | 78.2 | 83.2 | -5.0 |
| 16 |  Regatas | 7 | 2 | 5 | 29% | 73.3 | 75.7 | -2.4 |
| 17 |  San Lorenzo | 7 | 2 | 5 | 29% | 70.7 | 79.1 | -8.4 |
| 18 |  San Martin | 9 | 2 | 7 | 22% | 81.6 | 87.4 | -5.9 |
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