The Liga A clash on 2 November 2026 between Olimpico and Penarol is a tight affair, with no clear favourite as the teams sit close in form and history. Olimpico enters with a 3-2 record, averaging 88.6 points and allowing 83.8, while Penarol boasts a 4-1 record, 81.2 points for and 74.6 against, and sits higher in the league at position 2. Olimpico's home record is 1-2, scoring 84.7 and conceding 84.3, and they have won three of their last five, including a 93-80 home win over Boca Juniors, whereas Penarol's road record is 2-1, 83.0 points for and 80.0 against, with four wins in five outings, highlighted by a 92-85 away victory over San Lorenzo. Historically Penarol has edged out Olimpico 6-4 in ten meetings, the most recent being an 87-74 win on 4 February 2026. Pythia rates Olimpico as the slight favourite with a 52% chance of winning versus 48% for Penarol, projecting a 83-83 score and a total of 165.8 points; the home team line is -1.0 with a 51% chance of covering, and the total line of 164.5 carries a 52% over probability, with a 5% chance of overtime. The game will hinge on whether Olimpico can turn its recent home struggles into a decisive advantage.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (5) | 88.6 | 83.8 | 172.4 | +4.8 | 60% |
| Season at home (3) | 84.7 | 84.3 | 169.0 | +0.3 | 33% |
| Season away (2) | 94.5 | 83.0 | 177.5 | +11.5 | 100% |
| Last 10 (10) | 82.7 | 83.5 | 166.2 | -0.8 | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 88.6 | 83.8 | 172.4 | +4.8 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (6) | 78.5 | 83.5 | 162.0 | -5.0 | 50% |
| vs Similar (21) | 80.4 | 80.7 | 161.1 | -0.3 | 38% |
| vs Weaker (3) | 91.0 | 80.3 | 171.3 | +10.7 | 100% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (5) | 81.2 | 74.6 | 155.8 | +6.6 | 80% |
| Season at home (2) | 78.5 | 66.5 | 145.0 | +12.0 | 100% |
| Season away (3) | 83.0 | 80.0 | 163.0 | +3.0 | 67% |
| Last 10 (10) | 81.7 | 78.9 | 160.6 | +2.8 | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 81.2 | 74.6 | 155.8 | +6.6 | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (2) | 71.5 | 81.0 | 152.5 | -9.5 | 50% |
| vs Similar (21) | 82.6 | 81.2 | 163.8 | +1.4 | 48% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (7) | 81.4 | 78.3 | 159.7 | +3.1 | 57% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 82.25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 41.9 | 41.1 | 83.0 | +0.9 | 57% | 50% |
| Last 30 at home (14) | 42.1 | 39.6 | 81.7 | +2.4 | 64% | 43% |
| Last 30 away (16) | 41.8 | 42.3 | 84.1 | -0.5 | 50% | 56% |
| Last 10 (10) | 43.3 | 40.0 | 83.3 | +3.3 | 70% | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 44.2 | 38.6 | 82.8 | +5.6 | 80% | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (6) | 40.3 | 48.3 | 88.7 | -8.0 | 17% | 67% |
| vs Similar (21) | 41.8 | 38.8 | 80.6 | +3.0 | 62% | 43% |
| vs Weaker (3) | 46.0 | 42.7 | 88.7 | +3.3 | 100% | 67% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 82.25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 39.9 | 42.2 | 82.1 | -2.3 | 40% | 47% |
| Last 30 at home (13) | 38.0 | 39.8 | 77.8 | -1.8 | 38% | 38% |
| Last 30 away (17) | 41.4 | 44.0 | 85.4 | -2.6 | 41% | 53% |
| Last 10 (10) | 41.3 | 42.7 | 84.0 | -1.4 | 40% | 70% |
| Last 5 (5) | 39.6 | 37.2 | 76.8 | +2.4 | 80% | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (2) | 43.0 | 43.0 | 86.0 | +0.0 | 50% | 100% |
| vs Similar (21) | 39.9 | 42.9 | 82.8 | -3.0 | 33% | 43% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (7) | 39.3 | 39.9 | 79.1 | -0.6 | 57% | 43% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olimpico +8.5 | 78.5% | 1.25 | 1.25 | - | - | - | - | +5.1pp | Lost |
| Olimpico +7.5 | 75.8% | 1.29 | 1.29 | - | - | - | - | +4.9pp | Lost |
| Olimpico +6.5 | 72.9% | 1.34 | 1.34 | - | - | - | - | +4.5pp | Lost |
| Overtime: no | 94.6% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +3.3pp | - |
| Penarol +7.5 | 72.1% | 1.29 | 1.29 | - | - | - | - | +1.2pp | Won |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 32.2 | 17.1 | 54.4% | 34.2 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 29.4 | 11.1 | 32.6% | 33.3 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 19.2 | 15.2 | 72.7% | 15.2 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 35.4 | 19.9 | 54.4% | 39.8 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 26.0 | 8.4 | 32.6% | 25.2 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 25.6 | 17.5 | 72.7% | 17.5 |
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 05/02/26 | Olimpico v Penarol | 74-87 |
| 11/12/25 | Penarol v Olimpico | 82-76 |
| 13/03/25 | Penarol v Olimpico | 90-58 |
| 24/01/25 | Olimpico v Penarol | 78-72 |
| 05/03/24 | Penarol v Olimpico | 73-82 |
| 30/11/23 | Olimpico v Penarol | 89-66 |
| 03/02/23 | Olimpico v Penarol | 79-80 |
| 08/10/22 | Penarol v Olimpico | 78-93 |
| 19/03/22 | Olimpico v Penarol | 89-92 |
| 10/01/22 | Penarol v Olimpico | 84-65 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10/26 | A | San Martin | 106-86 |
| 18/10/26 | A | Regatas | 83-80 |
| 13/10/26 | H | Boca Juniors | 93-80 |
| 08/10/26 | H | Atenas | 87-91 |
| 02/10/26 | H | Platense | 74-82 |
| 13/04/26 | A | San Martin | 67-78 |
| 11/04/26 | A | Regatas | 75-99 |
| 06/04/26 | H | La Union | 87-78 |
| 29/03/26 | H | Quimsa | 86-81 |
| 26/03/26 | A | San Lorenzo | 69-80 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLWWW | 60% |
| Home | LLW | 33% |
| Away | WW | 100% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 5 | 3 | 2 |
| Win % | 60% | 33% | 100% |
| Points / game | 88.6 | 84.7 | 94.5 |
| Allowed / game | 83.8 | 84.3 | 83.0 |
| Point differential | +4.8 | +0.3 | +11.5 |
| Avg total | 172.4 | 169.0 | 177.5 |
| Over 164.5 | 60% | 67% | 50% |
| Win by 10+ | 40% | 33% | 50% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 50% (2) | 0% (1) | 100% (1) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWWWL | 80% |
| Home | WW | 100% |
| Away | WWL | 67% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| Win % | 80% | 100% | 67% |
| Points / game | 81.2 | 78.5 | 83.0 |
| Allowed / game | 74.6 | 66.5 | 80.0 |
| Point differential | +6.6 | +12.0 | +3.0 |
| Avg total | 155.8 | 145.0 | 163.0 |
| Over 164.5 | 40% | 50% | 33% |
| Win by 10+ | 20% | 50% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 50% (2) | 100% (1) | 0% (1) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 100% | 84.3 | 73.8 | +10.5 | |
| 2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 80% | 81.2 | 74.6 | +6.6 | |
| 3 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 80% | 86.8 | 83.8 | +3.0 | |
| 4 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 75% | 76.2 | 72.9 | +3.4 | |
| 5 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 60% | 88.6 | 83.8 | +4.8 | |
| 6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 60% | 80.6 | 78.8 | +1.8 | |
| 7 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 60% | 74.6 | 74.2 | +0.4 | |
| 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 50% | 100.0 | 95.0 | +5.0 | |
| 9 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 50% | 88.2 | 85.0 | +3.2 | |
| 10 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 50% | 80.3 | 80.3 | +0.0 | |
| 11 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 43% | 82.3 | 84.3 | -2.0 | |
| 12 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 38% | 75.8 | 79.0 | -3.2 | |
| 13 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 81.3 | 84.0 | -2.7 | |
| 14 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 33% | 82.0 | 85.5 | -3.5 | |
| 15 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25% | 74.8 | 78.2 | -3.5 | |
| 16 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25% | 76.2 | 80.8 | -4.5 | |
| 17 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20% | 73.4 | 81.2 | -7.8 | |
| 18 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 0% | 84.8 | 95.2 | -10.3 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 18 | 23 | 16 | 74 | |
| 20 | 23 | 24 | 20 | 87 |
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