Oliveirense vs Benfica Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 Mar 2023

Tip-off: 15:00

Final 70-68

16-16 22-21 16-15 16-16

Position#4

Record14-10

FormLWLWW

Points / game76.9

Allowed / game76.3

Oliveirense 🏆

Benfica

Position#1

Record20-4

FormWWWLW

Points / game92.6

Allowed / game76.2

LPB

Other2022-23

Meetings · Oliveirense v Benfica

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Oliveirense winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Benfica winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Oliveirense Portugal

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

FC Porto

71-83

-12

H04/01

LPB

CAB Madeira

#11

80-77

A08/01

LPB

Sangalhos

#12

75-54

+21

H21/01

LPB

Benfica

71-83

-12

A28/01

LPB

Imortal

78-77 OT

H04/02

LPB

Lusitania

#10

68-83

-15

A07/02

LPB

Ovarense

69-52

+17

H14/02

LPB

CD Povoa

61-71

-10

A18/02

LPB

Lusitania

#10

73-69

H05/03

LPB

Ovarense

73-72

A11/03

LPB

19-21

18-24

15-19

19-19

17-20

21-15

26-16

16-26

17-11

18-13

21-11

19-19

12-24

26-28

20-14

13-17

25-15

23-23

11-17

15-22

15-14

15-19

23-28

15-12

23-15

16-9

15-16

10-21

15-13

25-21

11-16

10-13

15-13

29-25

19-18

15-19

18-7

19-20

21-26

144.0Avg total

71.9Scored

72.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (24)	76.9	76.3	153.2	+0.6	58%
Season at home (12)	76.6	71.2	147.8	+5.3	75%
Season away (12)	77.2	81.3	158.5	-4.2	42%
Last 10 (10)	71.9	72.1	144.0	-0.2	60%
Last 5 (5)	68.8	69.4	138.2	-0.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	71.0	85.8	156.8	-14.8	0%
vs Similar (12)	78.9	76.2	155.1	+2.8	75%
vs Weaker (8)	77.5	69.4	146.9	+8.1	75%

This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Benfica

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ovarense

76-77

-1

H14/01

Taca da Liga

Imortal

112-94

112

+18

A21/01

LPB

Oliveirense

83-71

+12

H28/01

LPB

Sangalhos

#12

103-67

103

+36

H31/01

LPB

CD Povoa

59-60

-1

A04/02

LPB

Ovarense

86-76

+10

A10/02

Taca de Portugal

Vitoria

100-80

100

+20

H14/02

LPB

Esgueira

93-61

+32

A18/02

LPB

Sporting CP

82-86

-4

A05/03

LPB

FC Porto

99-75

+24

H11/03

LPB

17-18

19-23

23-22

17-14

42-23

20-25

25-23

24-12

28-26

14-20

17-13

21-15

26-19

32-14

24-19

19-14

11-15

16-20

13-11

18-13

21-13

16-22

31-28

18-21

22-16

29-22

31-21

26-20

23-13

24-12

20-16

26-27

18-25

21-13

17-21

27-16

33-24

14-22

25-13

164.0Avg total

89.3Scored

74.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (24)	92.6	76.2	168.9	+16.4	83%
Season at home (12)	92.3	75.2	167.6	+17.1	83%
Season away (12)	92.9	77.2	170.2	+15.7	83%
Last 10 (10)	89.3	74.7	164.0	+14.6	70%
Last 5 (5)	92.0	75.6	167.6	+16.4	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	86.0	76.0	162.0	+10.0	100%
vs Similar (5)	75.4	86.0	161.4	-10.6	20%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	91.5	76.4	167.9	+15.2	82%

This opponent (Oliveirense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

OliveirenseBenfica

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.7	20.9	38.5	-3.2	23%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.3	18.2	35.5	-0.9	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.0	23.2	41.2	-5.2	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	14.3	18.0	32.3	-3.7	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	13.0	17.4	30.4	-4.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	16.9	24.2	41.1	-7.3	0%	-
vs Similar (12)	17.8	20.8	38.6	-3.1	17%	-
vs Weaker (8)	17.9	17.2	35.1	+0.6	50%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.3	19.0	43.3	+5.3	80%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.2	19.8	43.0	+3.5	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	25.6	18.1	43.7	+7.4	93%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.8	17.9	41.7	+5.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	19.4	42.4	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	18.0	13.0	31.0	+5.0	100%	-
vs Similar (5)	22.0	22.2	44.2	-0.2	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	25.3	18.5	43.8	+6.9	91%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	17.5	37.2	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.9	16.4	36.3	+3.6	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.5	18.5	38.0	+1.0	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	15.7	35.1	+3.7	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	12.4	29.6	+4.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	19.1	21.2	40.3	-2.1	22%	-
vs Similar (12)	19.7	17.2	36.8	+2.5	67%	-
vs Weaker (8)	20.2	13.4	33.6	+6.9	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	20.3	41.1	+0.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.8	20.9	42.7	+0.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.9	19.5	39.4	+0.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.1	19.9	42.0	+2.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	18.2	41.6	+5.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	21.0	13.0	34.0	+8.0	100%	-
vs Similar (5)	20.8	18.8	39.6	+2.0	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	21.1	20.5	41.6	+0.7	50%	-

OliveirenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

FC Porto

37-45

-8

H04/01

LPB

CAB Madeira

#11

38-35

A08/01

LPB

Sangalhos

#12

35-24

+11

H21/01

LPB

Benfica

38-52

-14

A28/01

LPB

Imortal

38-32

H04/02

LPB

Lusitania

#10

30-36

-6

A07/02

LPB

Ovarense

38-27

+11

H14/02

LPB

CD Povoa

25-34

-9

A18/02

LPB

Lusitania

#10

25-26

-1

H05/03

LPB

Ovarense

33-26

A11/03

LPB

67.4Avg total

33.7Scored

33.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.4	38.4	75.7	-1.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	37.2	34.6	71.8	+2.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.5	41.7	79.2	-4.2	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	33.7	33.7	67.4	+0.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	30.2	29.8	60.0	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	36.0	45.4	81.4	-9.4	0%	-
vs Similar (12)	37.4	38.0	75.4	-0.6	58%	-
vs Weaker (8)	38.1	30.6	68.8	+7.5	62%	-

This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BenficaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ovarense

36-41

-5

H14/01

Taca da Liga

Imortal

62-48

+14

A21/01

LPB

Oliveirense

52-38

+14

H28/01

LPB

Sangalhos

#12

47-34

+13

H31/01

LPB

CD Povoa

30-29

A04/02

LPB

Ovarense

39-26

+13

A10/02

Taca de Portugal

Vitoria

40-37

H14/02

LPB

Esgueira

49-33

+16

A18/02

LPB

Sporting CP

44-52

-8

A05/03

LPB

FC Porto

60-40

+20

H11/03

LPB

83.7Avg total

45.9Scored

37.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.2	39.3	84.5	+5.9	70%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	45.0	40.7	85.7	+4.3	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	45.4	37.6	83.1	+7.8	86%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.9	37.8	83.7	+8.1	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.4	37.6	84.0	+8.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	39.0	26.0	65.0	+13.0	100%	-
vs Similar (5)	42.8	41.0	83.8	+1.8	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	46.5	38.9	85.4	+7.5	77%	-

This opponent (Oliveirense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	18.5	38.3	+1.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.7	17.5	37.2	+2.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.9	19.3	39.2	+0.6	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	17.7	38.6	+3.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	18.8	39.6	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	15.7	18.9	34.6	-3.2	22%	-
vs Similar (12)	22.6	18.4	41.0	+4.2	67%	-
vs Weaker (8)	20.4	17.8	38.1	+2.6	50%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	18.4	39.5	+2.6	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.4	18.7	39.1	+1.7	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.9	18.1	40.0	+3.7	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	19.0	40.4	+2.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	18.2	39.0	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	16.0	22.0	38.0	-6.0	0%	-
vs Similar (5)	15.0	23.0	38.0	-8.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	22.5	17.0	39.5	+5.5	68%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.2	20.0	38.2	-1.8	23%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.1	19.1	37.1	-1.0	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.3	20.8	39.1	-2.5	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.7	20.2	36.9	-3.5	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	20.8	38.6	-3.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	19.3	21.4	40.8	-2.1	11%	-
vs Similar (12)	17.3	18.5	35.8	-1.2	33%	-
vs Weaker (8)	19.0	21.0	40.0	-2.0	25%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	19.8	41.0	+1.4	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.1	18.9	40.1	+2.2	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.2	20.8	42.0	+0.4	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.0	17.9	39.9	+4.1	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.8	19.8	44.6	+5.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	31.0	28.0	59.0	+3.0	100%	-
vs Similar (5)	16.8	19.0	35.8	-2.2	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	21.5	19.8	41.3	+1.8	59%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.0	38.5	76.5	-0.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	37.8	36.6	74.4	+1.2	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	38.2	40.1	78.4	-1.9	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.6	37.9	75.5	-0.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.6	39.6	78.2	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	35.0	40.3	75.3	-5.3	33%	-
vs Similar (12)	39.9	36.9	76.8	+3.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (8)	39.4	38.8	78.1	+0.6	62%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.2	38.2	80.5	+4.0	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	41.5	37.6	79.1	+3.9	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	43.1	38.9	82.0	+4.1	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.4	36.9	80.3	+6.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.6	38.0	83.6	+7.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	47.0	50.0	97.0	-3.0	0%	-
vs Similar (5)	31.8	42.0	73.8	-10.2	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	44.0	36.7	80.8	+7.3	68%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Oliveirensetheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Benficatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Benfica: 78.6 points a game scored

🏀🏀48%

🏀🏀🏀37%

🏀15%

🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 48% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 37% of the points

🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 15% of the points

League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game

49%

32%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.6	18.8	52.8%	52.4%	37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.6	9.8	35.5%	32.3%	29.4
🏀 Free throws	16.3	11.6	71.2%	70.4%	11.6

They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	32.9	17.2	52.3%	52.4%	34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.8	9.0	34.9%	32.3%	27.0
🏀 Free throws	18.7	14.4	77.0%	70.4%	14.4

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	32.9	17.2	52.3%	52.4%	34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.8	9.0	34.9%	32.3%	27.0
🏀 Free throws	18.7	14.4	77.0%	70.4%	14.4

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Oliveirense wins

Benfica wins

Date	Game	Score
28/01/23	Benfica v Oliveirense	83-71
02/11/22	Oliveirense v Benfica	69-73
25/05/22	Oliveirense v Benfica	60-75
23/05/22	Benfica v Oliveirense	93-80
21/05/22	Benfica v Oliveirense	89-72
30/04/22	Oliveirense v Benfica	57-87
13/04/22	Benfica v Oliveirense	76-75
22/01/22	Benfica v Oliveirense	97-91
02/01/22	Oliveirense v Benfica	67-88
16/10/21	Benfica v Oliveirense	97-70

Oliveirenselast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
11/03/23	A	Ovarense	73-72
05/03/23	H	Lusitania	73-69
18/02/23	A	CD Povoa	61-71
14/02/23	H	Ovarense	69-52
07/02/23	A	Lusitania	68-83
04/02/23	H	Imortal	78-77 OT
28/01/23	A	Benfica	71-83
21/01/23	H	Sangalhos	75-54
08/01/23	A	CAB Madeira	80-77
04/01/23	H	FC Porto	71-83

Benficalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
11/03/23	H	FC Porto	99-75
05/03/23	A	Sporting CP	82-86
18/02/23	A	Esgueira	93-61
14/02/23	H	Vitoria	100-80
10/02/23	A	Ovarense	86-76
04/02/23	A	CD Povoa	59-60
31/01/23	H	Sangalhos	103-67
28/01/23	H	Oliveirense	83-71
21/01/23	A	Imortal	112-94
14/01/23	H	Ovarense	76-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Oliveirense

LPB 2022-23

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWW	58%
Home	LWWWW	75%
Away	WLLLW	42%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	24	12	12
Win %	58%	75%	42%
Points / game	76.9	76.6	77.2
Allowed / game	76.3	71.2	81.3
Point differential	+0.6	+5.3	-4.2
Avg total	153.2	147.8	158.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	21%	25%	17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	70% (10)	80% (5)	60% (5)
Overtime %	8%	8%	8%

Benfica

LPB 2022-23

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWLW	83%
Home	LWWWW	83%
Away	WWLWL	83%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	24	12	12
Win %	83%	83%	83%
Points / game	92.6	92.3	92.9
Allowed / game	76.2	75.2	77.2
Point differential	+16.4	+17.1	+15.7
Avg total	168.9	167.6	170.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	71%	75%	67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	20% (5)	0% (2)	33% (3)
Overtime %	4%	0%	8%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Benfica	24	20	4	83%	92.6	76.2	+16.4
2	Sporting CP	24	20	4	83%	91.5	78.1	+13.4
3	FC Porto	24	19	5	79%	87.2	76.1	+11.1
4	Oliveirense	24	14	10	58%	76.9	76.3	+0.6
5	CD Povoa	24	12	12	50%	73.9	74.4	-0.5
6	Ovarense	24	12	12	50%	77.8	80.5	-2.7
7	Lusitania	24	11	13	46%	79.4	83.8	-4.4
8	Imortal	24	10	14	42%	77.0	79.4	-2.4
9	Vitoria	24	9	15	38%	87.2	89.7	-2.5
10	Esgueira	24	9	15	38%	75.9	82.2	-6.3
11	CAB Madeira	24	7	17	29%	79.4	84.9	-5.5
12	Sangalhos	24	1	23	4%	70.2	87.2	-17.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Oliveirense	16	22	16	16	70
Benfica	16	21	15	16	68

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Oliveirense vs Benfica Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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