PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Oliveirense vs Benfica Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 24 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 92-95
18-22 25-20 30-22 19-31
Position#5
Record7-4
FormWWLWW
Points / game86.4
Allowed / game81.2
Oliveirense
Portugal
vs
Benfica 🏆
Portugal
Position#1
Record11-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game97.8
Allowed / game72.3
PortugalLPBRound 12
Other2025-26
Meetings · Oliveirense v Benfica
23 Jan 2027
OLIV v BEN
upcoming
28 May 2026
OLIV78
BEN86
24 Jan 2026
OLIV92
BEN95
25 Jan 2025
OLIV83
BEN95
27 May 2024
OLIV64
BEN77
07 Jan 2024
OLIV55
BEN77
18 Mar 2023
OLIV70
BEN68
02 Nov 2022
OLIV69
BEN73
25 May 2022
OLIV60
BEN75
30 Apr 2022
OLIV57
BEN87
02 Jan 2022
OLIV67
BEN88
01 May 2021
OLIV88
BEN97
29 Apr 2021
OLIV79
BEN82
27 Mar 2021
OLIV84
BEN105
21 Mar 2021
OLIV94
BEN81
11 Jan 2020
OLIV75
BEN84
24 Apr 2019
OLIV79
BEN84
16 Feb 2019
OLIV92
BEN82
30 Apr 2018
OLIV79
BEN76
29 Nov 2017
OLIV73
BEN76
27 May 2017
OLIV60
BEN69
23 Apr 2017
OLIV79
BEN62
19 Nov 2016
OLIV78
BEN75
15 May 2016
OLIV76
BEN74
14 May 2016
OLIV59
BEN89
17 Apr 2016
OLIV84
BEN77
13 Jan 2016
OLIV61
BEN77
02 May 2015
OLIV60
BEN96
18 Apr 2015
OLIV61
BEN86
01 Mar 2014
OLIV74
BEN85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Oliveirense winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Benfica winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OliveirensePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOliveirense
Date
Competition
FC Porto
#2
W
104-93
104
93
+11
no box
H11/10
LPB
Ovarense
#4
L
82-87
82
87
-5
67avg 77
A18/10
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#12
W
93-73
93
73
+20
90avg 77
H01/11
LPB
Braga
#7
L
63-66
63
66
-3
48avg 77
A09/11
LPB
Esgueira
#8
W
100-77
100
77
+23
96avg 77
H15/11
LPB
Vasco Da Gama
#11
W
87-80
87
80
+7
77avg 77
A06/12
LPB
CA Queluz
#9
W
88-76
88
76
+12
84avg 77
H20/12
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
76-86
76
86
-10
66avg 77
H28/12
LPB
Imortal
#6
W
97-90
97
90
+7
88avg 77
A03/01
LPB
Vitoria
#10
W
84-76
84
76
+8
73avg 77
H10/01
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-23
22-16
20-31
28-23
19-20
23-27
20-25
20-15
20-20
31-19
22-13
20-21
22-13
11-24
19-13
11-16
31-24
26-22
18-15
25-16
25-11
20-23
18-22
24-24
25-19
24-17
16-19
23-21
25-27
16-17
17-18
18-24
33-17
21-21
21-28
22-24
17-19
24-17
24-21
19-19
167.8Avg total
87.4Scored
80.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)86.481.2167.5+5.264%
Season at home (6)90.880.2171.0+10.783%
Season away (5)81.082.4163.4-1.440%
Last 10 (10)87.480.4167.8+7.070%
Last 5 (5)86.481.6168.0+4.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)85.389.3174.7-4.033%
vs Similar (9)81.180.2161.3+0.956%
vs Weaker (18)82.875.8158.6+7.067%
This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BenficaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBenfica
Date
Competition
CA Queluz
#9
W
101-80
101
80
+21
100avg 85
A09/11
LPB
FC Porto
#2
W
109-80
109
80
+29
103avg 85
H15/11
LPB
Spartak Subotica
#28
L
69-99
69
99
-30
59avg 85
A19/11
Champions League
Ovarense
#4
W
96-70
96
70
+26
85avg 85
A06/12
LPB
Gran Canaria
#3
L
63-87
63
87
-24
55avg 85
A16/12
Champions League
FC Porto
#2
W
91-65
91
65
+26
85avg 85
H21/12
Super Cup
Braga
#7
W
87-63
87
63
+24
95avg 85
A28/12
LPB
Esgueira
#8
W
81-72
81
72
+9
77avg 85
H03/01
LPB
Vasco Da Gama
#11
W
118-70
118
70
+48
120avg 85
A10/01
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#12
W
107-85
107
85
+22
no box
H14/01
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-21
20-24
27-18
21-17
32-19
36-13
25-22
16-26
18-22
15-21
16-30
20-26
22-16
24-23
29-11
21-20
18-18
17-20
13-22
15-27
31-18
15-18
22-12
23-17
17-10
26-18
30-14
14-21
19-21
30-21
13-19
19-11
26-20
37-10
22-13
33-27
30-26
25-18
34-26
18-15
169.3Avg total
92.2Scored
77.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)97.872.3170.1+25.5100%
Season at home (5)96.874.0170.8+22.8100%
Season away (6)98.770.8169.5+27.8100%
Last 10 (10)92.277.1169.3+15.180%
Last 5 (5)96.871.0167.8+25.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)71.592.2163.7-20.717%
vs Similar (1)95.0104.0199.0-9.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)94.175.5169.6+18.695%
This opponent (Oliveirense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.8+5.8Q1: +5.5+5.5Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: +5.9+5.9Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +4.4+4.4Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: -0.7-0.7
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.8+5.8Q1: +5.5+5.5Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: +5.9+5.9Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +4.4+4.4Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: -0.7-0.7
OliveirenseBenfica
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OliveirenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
FC Porto
#2
W
56-39
56
39
+17
H11/10
LPB
Ovarense
#4
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A18/10
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#12
W
51-39
51
39
+12
H01/11
LPB
Braga
#7
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A09/11
LPB
Esgueira
#8
W
57-46
57
46
+11
H15/11
LPB
Vasco Da Gama
#11
W
45-34
45
34
+11
A06/12
LPB
CA Queluz
#9
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H20/12
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H28/12
LPB
Imortal
#6
W
54-38
54
38
+16
A03/01
LPB
Vitoria
#10
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H10/01
LPB
86.5Avg total
46.9Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.238.879.9+2.457%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.839.182.8+4.771%-
Last 30 away (13)37.838.476.2-0.638%-
Last 10 (10)46.939.686.5+7.370%-
Last 5 (5)46.037.683.6+8.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)44.340.384.7+4.033%-
vs Similar (9)40.839.179.9+1.756%-
vs Weaker (18)40.838.379.2+2.561%-
This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BenficaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CA Queluz
#9
W
53-45
53
45
+8
A09/11
LPB
FC Porto
#2
W
68-32
68
32
+36
H15/11
LPB
Spartak Subotica
#28
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A19/11
Champions League
Ovarense
#4
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A06/12
LPB
Gran Canaria
#3
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A16/12
Champions League
FC Porto
#2
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H21/12
Super Cup
Braga
#7
W
43-28
43
28
+15
A28/12
LPB
Esgueira
#8
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H03/01
LPB
Vasco Da Gama
#11
W
63-30
63
30
+33
A10/01
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#12
W
55-44
55
44
+11
H14/01
LPB
86.8Avg total
49.1Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.939.083.9+6.070%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.841.688.4+5.275%-
Last 30 away (14)42.835.978.7+6.964%-
Last 10 (10)49.137.786.8+11.480%-
Last 5 (5)51.236.087.2+15.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)36.246.883.0-10.717%-
vs Similar (1)40.051.091.0-11.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)47.536.483.9+11.186%-
This opponent (Oliveirense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Oliveirensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oliveirense: 80.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.121.9
57.5%
52.7%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.07.4
30.8%
32.4%22.2
🏀 Free throws21.814.7
67.4%
70.4%14.7
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Benficatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Benfica: 88.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.9 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.421.0
52.0%
52.7%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.38.9
35.2%
32.4%26.7
🏀 Free throws27.419.9
72.6%
70.4%19.9
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Oliveirense
WWLWWWLWLW
Benfica
WWWWWLWLWW
#5
League position
#1
+9.0
Net rating
+14.8
108.6
Offensive rating
111.2
99.6
Defensive rating
96.4
53.1%
Effective FG%
52.3%
51.3%
Opp. effective FG%
45.9%
15.3%
Turnover %
17.4%
27.1%
Off. rebound %
34.7%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.42
30.8%
3-point %
35.2%
53.6%
Assist %
67.2%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence108.6 · 111.2Defence99.6 · 96.4Shooting53.1% · 52.3%3-point %30.8% · 35.2%Ball care15.3% · 17.4%Off. rebounds27.1% · 34.7%Free throws0.35 · 0.42Form (last 10/10)70% · 80%
■ Oliveirense   ■ Benfica
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Oliveirense wins
8
Benfica wins
DateGameScore
04/10/25Benfica v Oliveirense89-76
25/01/25Oliveirense v Benfica83-95
30/11/24Benfica v Oliveirense93-75
27/05/24Oliveirense v Benfica64-77
24/05/24Benfica v Oliveirense91-69
22/05/24Benfica v Oliveirense100-55
07/01/24Oliveirense v Benfica55-77
08/12/23Benfica v Oliveirense71-47
13/10/23Benfica v Oliveirense71-78
11/10/23Benfica v Oliveirense73-74
Oliveirenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/26HVitoria84-76
03/01/26AImortal97-90
28/12/25HSporting CP76-86
20/12/25HCA Queluz88-76
06/12/25AVasco Da Gama87-80
15/11/25HEsgueira100-77
09/11/25ABraga63-66
01/11/25HGalitos Barreiro93-73
18/10/25AOvarense82-87
11/10/25HFC Porto104-93
Benficalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/26HGalitos Barreiro107-85
10/01/26AVasco Da Gama118-70
03/01/26HEsgueira81-72
28/12/25ABraga87-63
21/12/25HFC Porto91-65
16/12/25AGran Canaria63-87
06/12/25AOvarense96-70
19/11/25ASpartak Subotica69-99
15/11/25HFC Porto109-80
09/11/25ACA Queluz101-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Oliveirense
LPB 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW64%
HomeWWWLW83%
AwayLLLWW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %64%83%40%
Points / game86.490.881.0
Allowed / game81.280.282.4
Point differential+5.2+10.7-1.4
Avg total167.5171.0163.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Benfica
LPB 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game97.896.898.7
Allowed / game72.374.070.8
Point differential+25.5+22.8+27.8
Avg total170.1170.8169.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+91%80%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Benfica11110100%97.872.3+25.5
2 Sporting CP1210283%89.476.2+13.2
3 Ovarense118373%79.277.1+2.1
4 Oliveirense117464%86.481.2+5.2
5 FC Porto127558%90.786.7+4.0
6 Esgueira115645%87.590.5-3.0
7 Imortal125742%84.883.8+1.0
8 Braga125742%76.082.5-6.5
9 CA Queluz124833%81.484.4-3.0
10 Vitoria123925%81.188.9-7.8
11 Vasco Da Gama123925%82.595.4-12.9
12 Galitos Barreiro1221017%83.498.7-15.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Oliveirense1825301992
Benfica2220223195
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.