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Oliveirense vs Benfica Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 25 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 83-95
20-30 21-22 15-23 27-20
Position#4
Record8-4
FormWWLWW
Points / game87.8
Allowed / game78.0
vs
Benfica 🏆
Portugal
Position#1
Record12-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game89.8
Allowed / game73.5
PortugalLPBRound 13· Pavilhão Dr. Salvador Machado
Other2024-25
Meetings · Oliveirense v Benfica
23 Jan 2027
OLIV v BEN
upcoming
28 May 2026
OLIV78
BEN86
24 Jan 2026
OLIV92
BEN95
25 Jan 2025
OLIV83
BEN95
27 May 2024
OLIV64
BEN77
07 Jan 2024
OLIV55
BEN77
18 Mar 2023
OLIV70
BEN68
02 Nov 2022
OLIV69
BEN73
25 May 2022
OLIV60
BEN75
30 Apr 2022
OLIV57
BEN87
02 Jan 2022
OLIV67
BEN88
01 May 2021
OLIV88
BEN97
29 Apr 2021
OLIV79
BEN82
27 Mar 2021
OLIV84
BEN105
21 Mar 2021
OLIV94
BEN81
11 Jan 2020
OLIV75
BEN84
24 Apr 2019
OLIV79
BEN84
16 Feb 2019
OLIV92
BEN82
30 Apr 2018
OLIV79
BEN76
29 Nov 2017
OLIV73
BEN76
27 May 2017
OLIV60
BEN69
23 Apr 2017
OLIV79
BEN62
19 Nov 2016
OLIV78
BEN75
15 May 2016
OLIV76
BEN74
14 May 2016
OLIV59
BEN89
17 Apr 2016
OLIV84
BEN77
13 Jan 2016
OLIV61
BEN77
02 May 2015
OLIV60
BEN96
18 Apr 2015
OLIV61
BEN86
01 Mar 2014
OLIV74
BEN85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Oliveirense winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Benfica winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OliveirensePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOliveirense
Date
Competition
Esgueira
#8
W
93-77
93
77
+16
91avg 77
H16/11
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
75-93
75
93
-18
72avg 77
A30/11
LPB
CA Queluz
#11
L
99-109 OT
99
109
-10
93avg 77
A07/12
LPB
Ovarense
#5
W
80-79
80
79
+1
75avg 77
H14/12
LPB
Esgueira
#12
W
96-88 OT
96
88
+8
92avg 77
A17/12
Taca da Liga
Galitos Barreiro
#6
W
80-74
80
74
+6
69avg 77
A21/12
LPB
CD Povoa
#10
W
92-53
92
53
+39
96avg 77
H29/12
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
69-82
69
82
-13
61avg 77
A04/01
LPB
Vitoria
#9
W
92-74
92
74
+18
92avg 77
A11/01
LPB
Sangalhos
#14
W
95-71
95
71
+24
86avg 77
A18/01
Taca de Portugal
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-18
27-23
21-21
27-15
15-17
16-26
18-25
26-25
25-35
22-18
24-18
18-18
29-22
11-20
17-17
23-20
18-19
20-28
23-17
19-16
15-19
17-20
25-16
23-19
19-18
22-15
21-14
30-6
20-17
21-21
11-24
17-20
24-14
20-25
21-17
27-18
25-15
22-19
27-17
21-20
167.1Avg total
87.1Scored
80.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)87.878.0165.8+9.867%
Season at home (5)89.669.0158.6+20.6100%
Season away (7)86.484.4170.9+2.043%
Last 10 (10)87.180.0167.1+7.170%
Last 5 (5)85.670.8156.4+14.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)69.686.8156.4-17.220%
vs Similar (5)78.680.8159.4-2.220%
vs Weaker (19)87.373.6160.9+13.684%
This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BenficaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBenfica
Date
Competition
Oliveirense
#4
W
93-75
93
75
+18
87avg 82
H30/11
LPB
Ovarense
#5
W
98-77
98
77
+21
100avg 82
A07/12
LPB
Manresa
#9
L
80-91
80
91
-11
66avg 82
H10/12
Champions League
Galitos Barreiro
#6
W
91-68
91
68
+23
93avg 82
H14/12
LPB
Chemnitz
#41
W
79-68
79
68
+11
68avg 82
H17/12
Champions League
CD Povoa
#10
W
79-75
79
75
+4
75avg 82
A22/12
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
W
81-64
81
64
+17
74avg 82
H29/12
LPB
Vitoria
#9
W
89-69
89
69
+20
83avg 82
A04/01
LPB
Galomar
#12
W
80-66
80
66
+14
83avg 82
H12/01
LPB
Portimonense
#16
W
104-55
104
55
+49
107avg 82
A19/01
Taca de Portugal
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-15
26-16
25-18
25-26
23-17
29-21
22-20
24-19
23-15
21-18
19-24
17-34
22-23
25-9
21-14
23-22
20-14
25-17
14-23
20-14
21-22
13-15
23-11
22-27
22-22
19-13
24-12
16-17
21-18
20-14
30-17
18-20
21-15
24-18
17-14
18-19
15-14
34-16
32-10
23-15
158.2Avg total
87.4Scored
70.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)89.873.5163.2+16.2100%
Season at home (6)89.272.0161.2+17.2100%
Season away (6)90.375.0165.3+15.3100%
Last 10 (10)87.470.8158.2+16.690%
Last 5 (5)86.665.8152.4+20.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)75.584.2159.7-8.733%
vs Similar (2)77.085.5162.5-8.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)88.269.9158.1+18.3100%
This opponent (Oliveirense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: +7.9+7.9Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: +6.4+6.4Q4Q4: +5.4+5.4Q4: -0.7-0.7
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: +7.9+7.9Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: +6.4+6.4Q4Q4: +5.4+5.4Q4: -0.7-0.7
OliveirenseBenfica
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OliveirenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Esgueira
#8
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H16/11
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A30/11
LPB
CA Queluz
#11
L
47-53
47
53
-6
A07/12
LPB
Ovarense
#5
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H14/12
LPB
Esgueira
#12
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A17/12
Taca da Liga
Galitos Barreiro
#6
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A21/12
LPB
CD Povoa
#10
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H29/12
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A04/01
LPB
Vitoria
#9
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A11/01
LPB
Sangalhos
#14
W
47-34
47
34
+13
A18/01
Taca de Portugal
81.5Avg total
40.6Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.038.378.3+1.757%-
Last 30 at home (12)39.636.275.8+3.358%-
Last 30 away (18)40.339.780.0+0.656%-
Last 10 (10)40.640.981.5-0.350%-
Last 5 (5)41.036.677.6+4.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)32.243.475.6-11.220%-
vs Similar (5)39.236.876.0+2.460%-
vs Weaker (19)41.937.679.5+4.363%-
This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BenficaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oliveirense
#4
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H30/11
LPB
Ovarense
#5
W
52-38
52
38
+14
A07/12
LPB
Manresa
#9
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H10/12
Champions League
Galitos Barreiro
#6
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H14/12
LPB
Chemnitz
#41
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H17/12
Champions League
CD Povoa
#10
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A22/12
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H29/12
LPB
Vitoria
#9
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A04/01
LPB
Galomar
#12
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H12/01
LPB
Portimonense
#16
W
49-30
49
30
+19
A19/01
Taca de Portugal
77.3Avg total
44.1Scored
33.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.636.178.6+6.573%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.234.478.6+9.981%-
Last 30 away (14)40.638.078.6+2.664%-
Last 10 (10)44.133.277.3+10.990%-
Last 5 (5)42.033.475.4+8.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)42.840.383.2+2.567%-
vs Similar (2)39.044.083.0-5.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)42.533.876.2+8.780%-
This opponent (Oliveirense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Oliveirensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oliveirense: 86.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game
48%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.518.6
52.4%
51.2%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.111.4
36.7%
32.7%34.2
🏀 Free throws19.314.7
76.2%
69.2%14.7
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Benficatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Benfica: 87.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game
48%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.020.4
56.7%
51.2%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.110.9
34.0%
32.7%32.7
🏀 Free throws22.413.9
62.1%
69.2%13.9
They take 68.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Oliveirense
WWLWWWWLLW
Benfica
WWWWWWWLWW
#4
League position
#1
+8.3
Net rating
+19.6
112.2
Offensive rating
113.2
103.9
Defensive rating
93.7
53.6%
Effective FG%
54.0%
50.7%
Opp. effective FG%
43.8%
19.2%
Turnover %
16.3%
34.7%
Off. rebound %
32.9%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.33
36.7%
3-point %
34.0%
64.3%
Assist %
71.6%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence112.2 · 113.2Defence103.9 · 93.7Shooting53.6% · 54.0%3-point %36.7% · 34.0%Ball care19.2% · 16.3%Off. rebounds34.7% · 32.9%Free throws0.29 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)70% · 90%
■ Oliveirense   ■ Benfica
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Oliveirense wins
7
Benfica wins
DateGameScore
30/11/24Benfica v Oliveirense93-75
27/05/24Oliveirense v Benfica64-77
24/05/24Benfica v Oliveirense91-69
22/05/24Benfica v Oliveirense100-55
07/01/24Oliveirense v Benfica55-77
08/12/23Benfica v Oliveirense71-47
13/10/23Benfica v Oliveirense71-78
11/10/23Benfica v Oliveirense73-74
15/04/23Benfica v Oliveirense98-81
18/03/23Oliveirense v Benfica70-68
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/25ASangalhos95-71
11/01/25AVitoria92-74
04/01/25ASporting CP69-82
29/12/24HCD Povoa92-53
21/12/24AGalitos Barreiro80-74
17/12/24AEsgueira96-88 OT
14/12/24HOvarense80-79
07/12/24ACA Queluz99-109 OT
30/11/24ABenfica75-93
16/11/24HEsgueira93-77
Benficalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/01/25APortimonense104-55
12/01/25HGalomar80-66
04/01/25AVitoria89-69
29/12/24HSporting CP81-64
22/12/24ACD Povoa79-75
17/12/24HChemnitz79-68
14/12/24HGalitos Barreiro91-68
10/12/24HManresa80-91
07/12/24AOvarense98-77
30/11/24HOliveirense93-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Oliveirense
LPB 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW67%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLWLW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %67%100%43%
Points / game87.889.686.4
Allowed / game78.069.084.4
Point differential+9.8+20.6+2.0
Avg total165.8158.6170.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%80%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %8%0%14%
Benfica
LPB 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game89.889.290.3
Allowed / game73.572.075.0
Point differential+16.2+17.2+15.3
Avg total163.2161.2165.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%83%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Benfica12120100%89.873.5+16.2
2 FC Porto1211192%86.975.4+11.5
3 Oliveirense128467%87.878.0+9.8
4 Ovarense128467%79.477.4+2.0
5 Sporting CP138562%82.677.3+5.3
6 Esgueira115645%83.287.3-4.1
7 Imortal135838%77.186.1-9.0
8 Galitos Barreiro124833%77.879.8-1.9
9 CA Queluz113827%82.289.0-6.8
10 Vitoria123925%77.584.0-6.5
11 CD Povoa123925%70.879.1-8.3
12 Galomar1221017%72.881.5-8.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Oliveirense2021152783
Benfica3022232095
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