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Oliveirense vs Benfica Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 23 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 18:00
Scheduled
Position#6
Record3-2
FormWLWWL
Points / game92.4
Allowed / game91.2
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.1/10
Around normal
4.7/10
Around normal
Position#1
Record5-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game91.5
Allowed / game75.5
PortugalLPBRound 14· Pavilhão Dr. Salvador Machado
Other2026-27
Meetings · Oliveirense v Benfica
23 Jan 2027
OLIV v BEN
upcoming
28 May 2026
OLIV78
BEN86
24 Jan 2026
OLIV92
BEN95
25 Jan 2025
OLIV83
BEN95
27 May 2024
OLIV64
BEN77
07 Jan 2024
OLIV55
BEN77
18 Mar 2023
OLIV70
BEN68
02 Nov 2022
OLIV69
BEN73
25 May 2022
OLIV60
BEN75
30 Apr 2022
OLIV57
BEN87
02 Jan 2022
OLIV67
BEN88
01 May 2021
OLIV88
BEN97
29 Apr 2021
OLIV79
BEN82
27 Mar 2021
OLIV84
BEN105
21 Mar 2021
OLIV94
BEN81
11 Jan 2020
OLIV75
BEN84
24 Apr 2019
OLIV79
BEN84
16 Feb 2019
OLIV92
BEN82
30 Apr 2018
OLIV79
BEN76
29 Nov 2017
OLIV73
BEN76
27 May 2017
OLIV60
BEN69
23 Apr 2017
OLIV79
BEN62
19 Nov 2016
OLIV78
BEN75
15 May 2016
OLIV76
BEN74
14 May 2016
OLIV59
BEN89
17 Apr 2016
OLIV84
BEN77
13 Jan 2016
OLIV61
BEN77
02 May 2015
OLIV60
BEN96
18 Apr 2015
OLIV61
BEN86
01 Mar 2014
OLIV74
BEN85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Oliveirense win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Benfica win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OliveirensePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOliveirense
Date
Competition
Ovarense
#4
W
90-72
90
72
+18
89avg 76
H13/05
LPB
Ovarense
#4
W
69-65
69
65
+4
64avg 76
A16/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
76-98
76
98
-22
68avg 76
A21/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
61-86
61
86
-25
52avg 76
A23/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
78-86
78
86
-8
75avg 76
H28/05
LPB
Portimonense
#11
W
91-82
91
82
+9
82avg 76
A03/10
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
67-92
67
92
-25
49avg 76
A17/10
LPB
Esgueira
#12
W
104-80
104
80
+24
105avg 76
H24/10
LPB
CAB Madeira
#10
W
113-109 OT
113
109
+4
103avg 76
A31/10
LPB
Ovarense
#2
L
87-93
87
93
-6
no box
H07/11
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-23
25-24
19-13
19-12
10-16
17-18
18-18
24-13
17-24
10-29
20-25
29-20
18-17
14-24
16-19
13-26
23-15
23-23
16-25
16-23
34-20
19-19
16-16
22-27
13-21
19-24
18-26
17-21
23-24
32-8
24-20
25-28
21-20
24-25
24-25
21-20
26-16
31-34
19-26
11-17
169.9Avg total
83.6Scored
86.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)92.491.2183.6+1.260%
Season at home (2)95.586.5182.0+9.050%
Season away (3)90.394.3184.7-4.067%
Last 10 (10)83.686.3169.9-2.750%
Last 5 (5)92.491.2183.6+1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)75.788.3164.0-12.711%
vs Similar (8)83.482.1165.5+1.262%
vs Weaker (13)91.081.7172.7+9.377%
This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BenficaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBenfica
Date
Competition
FC Porto
#3
L
86-93
86
93
-7
72avg 88
A11/10
LPB
Denizli Basket
#31
W
96-91
96
91
+5
87avg 88
H14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Oliveirense
#6
W
92-67
92
67
+25
90avg 88
H17/10
LPB
BC Prievidza
#23
W
98-83
98
83
+15
93avg 88
H21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
CA Queluz
#7
W
89-72
89
72
+17
87avg 88
A24/10
LPB
Geneva Lions
#17
L
90-93
90
93
-3
80avg 88
A28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Portimonense
#11
W
86-72
86
72
+14
83avg 88
A31/10
LPB
Absheron Lions
#45
W
97-76
97
76
+21
no box
H04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Esgueira
#12
W
112-78
112
78
+34
no box
H07/11
LPB
Bakken Bears
#21
W
94-79
94
79
+15
no box
H11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-16
19-24
27-32
14-21
28-23
22-22
27-17
19-29
21-13
24-19
26-18
21-17
28-20
19-26
22-14
29-23
22-20
22-29
18-10
27-13
33-28
22-22
14-19
21-24
16-19
27-19
14-16
29-18
25-18
30-21
24-17
18-20
23-20
25-14
27-28
37-16
26-20
24-22
24-24
20-13
174.4Avg total
94.0Scored
80.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)91.575.5167.0+16.083%
Season at home (3)96.072.0168.0+24.0100%
Season away (3)87.079.0166.0+8.067%
Last 10 (10)94.080.4174.4+13.680%
Last 5 (5)95.879.6175.4+16.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)93.090.5183.5+2.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)92.077.6169.7+14.478%
This opponent (Oliveirense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: +5.1+5.1Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +4.1+4.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: +5.1+5.1Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +4.1+4.1
OliveirenseBenfica
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OliveirenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ovarense
#4
W
52-47
52
47
+5
H13/05
LPB
Ovarense
#4
L
27-34
27
34
-7
A16/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
27-53
27
53
-26
A21/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A23/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H28/05
LPB
Portimonense
#11
W
53-39
53
39
+14
A03/10
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A17/10
LPB
Esgueira
#12
W
55-32
55
32
+23
H24/10
LPB
CAB Madeira
#10
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A31/10
LPB
Ovarense
#2
W
57-50
57
50
+7
H07/11
LPB
85.0Avg total
42.6Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.741.585.1+2.260%-
Last 30 at home (14)48.941.790.6+7.286%-
Last 30 away (16)39.141.280.3-2.238%-
Last 10 (10)42.642.485.0+0.250%-
Last 5 (5)48.442.290.6+6.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)39.443.382.8-3.944%-
vs Similar (8)43.642.285.9+1.462%-
vs Weaker (13)46.639.786.3+6.969%-
This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BenficaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
FC Porto
#3
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A11/10
LPB
Denizli Basket
#31
W
50-45
50
45
+5
H14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Oliveirense
#6
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H17/10
LPB
BC Prievidza
#23
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
CA Queluz
#7
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A24/10
LPB
Geneva Lions
#17
W
55-50
55
50
+5
A28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Portimonense
#11
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A31/10
LPB
Absheron Lions
#45
W
55-39
55
39
+16
H04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Esgueira
#12
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H07/11
LPB
Bakken Bears
#21
W
50-42
50
42
+8
H11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
89.7Avg total
48.2Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.039.286.2+7.880%-
Last 30 at home (18)49.137.986.9+11.289%-
Last 30 away (12)43.941.285.2+2.767%-
Last 10 (10)48.241.589.7+6.790%-
Last 5 (5)50.240.690.8+9.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)49.047.596.5+1.5100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)46.938.785.6+8.378%-
This opponent (Oliveirense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Oliveirensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oliveirense: 82.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.8 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.921.8
54.6%
51.1%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.37.6
27.8%
31.9%22.8
🏀 Free throws21.816.2
74.3%
71.1%16.2
They take 67.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Benficatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Benfica: 90.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.8 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.8 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.025.4
52.9%
51.1%50.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.17.0
31.7%
31.9%21.0
🏀 Free throws24.318.2
74.9%
71.1%18.2
They take 70.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Oliveirense
LWWLWLLLWW
Benfica
WWWWLWWWWL
#6
League position
#1
-0.9
Net rating
+8.7
89.7
Offensive rating
96.7
90.6
Defensive rating
88.0
49.4%
Effective FG%
51.2%
50.0%
Opp. effective FG%
46.5%
17.4%
Turnover %
13.4%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.35
27.8%
3-point %
31.7%
60.9%
Assist %
54.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence89.7 · 96.7Defence90.6 · 88.0Shooting49.4% · 51.2%3-point %27.8% · 31.7%Ball care17.4% · 13.4%Free throws0.32 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ Oliveirense   ■ Benfica
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Oliveirense wins
10
Benfica wins
DateGameScore
17/10/26Benfica v Oliveirense92-67
28/05/26Oliveirense v Benfica78-86
23/05/26Benfica v Oliveirense86-61
21/05/26Benfica v Oliveirense98-76
24/01/26Oliveirense v Benfica92-95
04/10/25Benfica v Oliveirense89-76
25/01/25Oliveirense v Benfica83-95
30/11/24Benfica v Oliveirense93-75
27/05/24Oliveirense v Benfica64-77
24/05/24Benfica v Oliveirense91-69
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26HOvarense87-93
31/10/26ACAB Madeira113-109 OT
24/10/26HEsgueira104-80
17/10/26ABenfica67-92
03/10/26APortimonense91-82
28/05/26HBenfica78-86
23/05/26ABenfica61-86
21/05/26ABenfica76-98
16/05/26AOvarense69-65
13/05/26HOvarense90-72
Benficalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26HBakken Bears94-79
07/11/26HEsgueira112-78
04/11/26HAbsheron Lions97-76
31/10/26APortimonense86-72
28/10/26AGeneva Lions90-93
24/10/26ACA Queluz89-72
21/10/26HBC Prievidza98-83
17/10/26HOliveirense92-67
14/10/26HDenizli Basket96-91
11/10/26AFC Porto86-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Oliveirense
LPB 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL60%
HomeWL50%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %60%50%67%
Points / game92.495.590.3
Allowed / game91.286.594.3
Point differential+1.2+9.0-4.0
Avg total183.6182.0184.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %20%0%33%
Benfica
LPB 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW83%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %83%100%67%
Points / game91.596.087.0
Allowed / game75.572.079.0
Point differential+16.0+24.0+8.0
Avg total167.0168.0166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+83%100%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Benfica65183%91.575.5+16.0
2 Ovarense65183%83.776.2+7.5
3 FC Porto65183%91.384.3+7.0
4 Braga64267%88.879.5+9.3
5 CD Povoa64267%76.072.2+3.8
6 Oliveirense53260%92.491.2+1.2
7 CA Queluz53260%89.292.2-3.0
8 Sporting CP63350%81.875.5+6.3
9 Vitoria62433%69.382.3-13.0
10 CAB Madeira61517%86.289.3-3.2
11 Portimonense6060%75.787.8-12.2
12 Esgueira6060%77.797.8-20.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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