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Kretinga vs Neptunas 2 Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 19 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 76-78
16-28 25-18 14-12 21-20
Position#13
Record3-2
FormWLLWW
Points / game86.6
Allowed / game84.6
vs
Position#10
Record4-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game68.6
LithuaniaNKL· Kretinga sports and wellness center
Other2024-25
Meetings · Kretinga v Neptunas 2
01 Oct 2026
KRET76
NEPT91
31 Jan 2026
KRET77
NEPT88
01 Mar 2025
KRET79
NEPT90
19 Oct 2024
KRET76
NEPT78
08 Feb 2024
KRET84
NEPT79
18 Nov 2023
KRET90
NEPT68
02 Feb 2023
KRET85
NEPT77
13 Oct 2022
KRET92
NEPT59
10 Feb 2022
KRET75
NEPT78
04 Nov 2021
KRET71
NEPT68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kretinga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Neptunas 2 winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KretingaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKretinga
Date
Competition
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
W
64-62
64
62
+2
54avg 69
A11/04
NKL
Jurbarkas
#4
W
87-78
87
78
+9
76avg 69
A17/04
NKL
Jurbarkas
#4
L
76-84
76
84
-8
66avg 69
H20/04
NKL
Jurbarkas
#4
L
76-93
76
93
-17
56avg 69
A25/04
NKL
Jurbarkas
#4
L
84-89
84
89
-5
71avg 69
H28/04
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#6
W
93-85
93
85
+8
86avg 69
H03/10
NKL
Jurbarkas
#3
L
86-87
86
87
-1
72avg 69
A05/10
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#2
L
65-90
65
90
-25
43avg 69
H10/10
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
98-74
98
74
+24
96avg 69
A12/10
NKL
Vytis VDU
#4
W
91-87
91
87
+4
86avg 69
A17/10
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-23
24-11
12-18
3-10
29-24
21-12
20-19
17-23
18-23
21-31
21-18
16-12
14-22
23-27
18-24
21-20
13-18
16-25
22-15
33-31
25-14
24-22
20-30
24-19
17-22
19-14
26-28
24-23
10-24
11-21
21-21
23-24
17-10
30-18
26-21
25-25
22-23
21-25
20-21
28-18
164.9Avg total
82.0Scored
82.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)86.684.6171.2+2.060%
Season at home (2)79.087.5166.5-8.550%
Season away (3)91.782.7174.3+9.067%
Last 10 (10)82.082.9164.9-0.950%
Last 5 (5)86.684.6171.2+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)78.981.1159.9-2.264%
vs Similar ◀ (16)82.782.5165.2+0.256%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Neptunas 2) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Neptunas 2LithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Form2
Date
Competition
Kauno Atletas
#11
W
89-76
89
76
+13
81avg 72
H15/02
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
W
89-88
89
88
+1
82avg 72
A17/02
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#5
W
78-75
78
75
+3
73avg 72
H24/02
NKL
Silute
#14
L
83-94
83
94
-11
78avg 72
H29/02
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
W
105-100
105
100
+5
99avg 72
A02/03
NKL
Rytas 2
#11
W
81-59
81
59
+22
78avg 72
A03/10
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#5
W
87-81
87
81
+6
88avg 72
H05/10
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#7
W
68-63
68
63
+5
57avg 72
A10/10
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#8
W
85-67
85
67
+18
78avg 72
H12/10
NKL
Telsiai
#1
L
64-73
64
73
-9
59avg 72
H17/10
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-20
17-25
30-12
15-19
23-29
22-26
28-20
16-13
18-14
21-22
20-16
19-23
17-25
27-22
22-22
17-25
21-31
31-26
31-30
22-13
14-22
18-11
26-11
23-15
17-19
16-20
21-21
33-21
20-18
18-14
19-17
11-14
23-16
20-14
24-18
18-19
20-18
15-10
7-20
22-25
160.5Avg total
82.9Scored
77.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)77.068.6145.6+8.480%
Season at home (3)78.773.7152.3+5.067%
Season away (2)74.561.0135.5+13.5100%
Last 10 (10)82.977.6160.5+5.380%
Last 5 (5)77.068.6145.6+8.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)72.278.2150.4-5.925%
vs Similar ◀ (18)82.780.8163.6+1.961%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Kretinga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +4.1+4.1Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +0.9+0.9
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +4.1+4.1Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +0.9+0.9
KretingaNeptunas 2
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KretingaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
W
49-34
49
34
+15
A11/04
NKL
Jurbarkas
#4
W
50-36
50
36
+14
A17/04
NKL
Jurbarkas
#4
L
39-54
39
54
-15
H20/04
NKL
Jurbarkas
#4
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A25/04
NKL
Jurbarkas
#4
L
29-43
29
43
-14
H28/04
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#6
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H03/10
NKL
Jurbarkas
#3
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A05/10
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#2
L
21-45
21
45
-24
H10/10
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
47-28
47
28
+19
A12/10
NKL
Vytis VDU
#4
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A17/10
NKL
80.9Avg total
40.0Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.041.880.7-2.833%-
Last 30 at home (12)36.443.579.9-7.125%-
Last 30 away (18)40.740.681.3+0.139%-
Last 10 (10)40.040.980.9-0.940%-
Last 5 (5)39.238.677.8+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)37.140.877.9-3.721%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)40.642.683.2-2.044%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Neptunas 2) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Neptunas 2Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kauno Atletas
#11
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H15/02
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
L
45-55
45
55
-10
A17/02
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#5
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H24/02
NKL
Silute
#14
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H29/02
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
L
52-57
52
57
-5
A02/03
NKL
Rytas 2
#11
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A03/10
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#5
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H05/10
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#7
W
38-32
38
32
+6
A10/10
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#8
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H12/10
NKL
Telsiai
#1
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H17/10
NKL
80.7Avg total
40.5Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.440.379.7-0.940%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.337.676.9+1.753%-
Last 30 away (15)39.643.082.6-3.427%-
Last 10 (10)40.540.280.7+0.340%-
Last 5 (5)36.232.468.6+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)36.839.075.8-2.250%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)41.241.282.4+0.133%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Kretinga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Kretingatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kretinga: 75.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.618.8
50.0%
52.5%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.07.6
31.7%
32.5%22.8
🏀 Free throws21.314.7
69.0%
70.5%14.7
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Neptunas 2their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas 2: 82.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.6 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.616.8
47.2%
52.5%33.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.911.1
39.8%
32.5%33.3
🏀 Free throws21.715.4
71.0%
70.5%15.4
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kretinga
WWLLWLLLWW
Neptunas 2
LWWWWWLWWW
#13
League position
#10
-0.4
Net rating
+7.5
105.6
Offensive rating
111.9
106.0
Defensive rating
104.4
49.0%
Effective FG%
52.7%
50.7%
Opp. effective FG%
47.4%
16.0%
Turnover %
15.2%
31.7%
Off. rebound %
30.1%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.34
31.7%
3-point %
39.8%
53.8%
Assist %
70.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence105.6 · 111.9Defence106.0 · 104.4Shooting49.0% · 52.7%3-point %31.7% · 39.8%Ball care16.0% · 15.2%Off. rebounds31.7% · 30.1%Free throws0.35 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ Kretinga   ■ Neptunas 2
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Kretinga wins
4
Neptunas 2 wins
DateGameScore
10/02/24Neptunas 2 v Kretinga96-84
08/02/24Kretinga v Neptunas 284-79
18/11/23Kretinga v Neptunas 290-68
16/11/23Neptunas 2 v Kretinga74-83
09/03/23Neptunas 2 v Kretinga92-77
02/02/23Kretinga v Neptunas 285-77
01/12/22Neptunas 2 v Kretinga67-81
13/10/22Kretinga v Neptunas 292-59
03/03/22Neptunas 2 v Kretinga83-71
10/02/22Kretinga v Neptunas 275-78
Kretingalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/10/24AVytis VDU91-87
12/10/24APlunges Olimpas98-74
10/10/24HZalgiris Kaunas 265-90
05/10/24AJurbarkas86-87
03/10/24HVilkaviskis93-85
28/04/24HJurbarkas84-89
25/04/24AJurbarkas76-93
20/04/24HJurbarkas76-84
17/04/24AJurbarkas87-78
11/04/24ASuduva-Mantinga64-62
Neptunas 2last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/10/24HTelsiai64-73
12/10/24HUkmerges Stekas85-67
10/10/24ABC Olimpas Palanga68-63
05/10/24HSuduva-Mantinga87-81
03/10/24ARytas 281-59
02/03/24ADelikatesas Joniskis105-100
29/02/24HSilute83-94
24/02/24HUkmerges Stekas78-75
17/02/24ARytas 289-88
15/02/24HKauno Atletas89-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kretinga
NKL 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW60%
HomeWL50%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %60%50%67%
Points / game86.679.091.7
Allowed / game84.687.582.7
Point differential+2.0-8.5+9.0
Avg total171.2166.5174.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Neptunas 2
NKL 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL80%
HomeWWL67%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %80%67%100%
Points / game77.078.774.5
Allowed / game68.673.761.0
Point differential+8.4+5.0+13.5
Avg total145.6152.3135.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%33%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Telsiai65183%87.078.7+8.3
2 Vytis VDU54180%97.888.2+9.6
3 Omega-Tauras54180%83.274.4+8.8
4 Neptunas 254180%77.068.6+8.4
5 Jurbarkas54180%84.081.6+2.4
6 Suduva-Mantinga53260%85.081.4+3.6
7 Kretinga53260%86.684.6+2.0
8 BC Olimpas Palanga63350%78.571.5+7.0
9 Vilkaviskis63350%85.081.2+3.8
10 Zalgiris Kaunas 263350%76.877.2-0.3
11 Ukmerges Stekas63350%82.583.3-0.8
12 Silute62433%79.080.0-1.0
13 Rytas 262433%78.585.5-7.0
14 Alytaus Alytus61517%74.886.8-12.0
15 Plunges Olimpas61517%71.084.0-13.0
16 Delikatesas Joniskis6060%72.586.5-14.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kretinga1625142176
Neptunas 22818122078
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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