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Neptunas 2 vs Ukmerges Stekas Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 12 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 85-67
23-16 20-14 24-18 18-19
Position#10
Record3-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game78.7
Allowed / game67.7
Neptunas 2 🏆
Lithuania
vs
Ukmerges Stekas
Lithuania
Position#8
Record2-1
FormLLWWL
Points / game87.3
Allowed / game79.7
LithuaniaNKL· Klaip
Other2024-25
Meetings · Neptunas 2 v Ukmerges Stekas
16 Jan 2027
NEPT v UKME
upcoming
19 Feb 2026
NEPT77
UKME70
13 Dec 2025
NEPT92
UKME93
12 Oct 2024
NEPT85
UKME67
24 Feb 2024
NEPT78
UKME75
19 Oct 2023
NEPT72
UKME67
23 Feb 2023
NEPT90
UKME89
14 Jan 2023
NEPT53
UKME62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas 2 winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ukmerges Stekas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Neptunas 2LithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Form2
Date
Competition
Kretinga
#8
L
79-84
79
84
-5
72avg 72
A08/02
NKL
Kretinga
#8
W
96-84
96
84
+12
92avg 72
H10/02
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#11
W
89-76
89
76
+13
81avg 72
H15/02
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
W
89-88
89
88
+1
82avg 72
A17/02
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#5
W
78-75
78
75
+3
73avg 72
H24/02
NKL
Silute
#14
L
83-94
83
94
-11
78avg 72
H29/02
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
W
105-100
105
100
+5
99avg 72
A02/03
NKL
Rytas 2
#11
W
81-59
81
59
+22
78avg 72
A03/10
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#5
W
87-81
87
81
+6
88avg 72
H05/10
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#7
W
68-63
68
63
+5
57avg 72
A10/10
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-26
25-26
21-15
14-17
23-17
34-16
22-27
17-24
27-20
17-25
30-12
15-19
23-29
22-26
28-20
16-13
18-14
21-22
20-16
19-23
17-25
27-22
22-22
17-25
21-31
31-26
31-30
22-13
14-22
18-11
26-11
23-15
17-19
16-20
21-21
33-21
20-18
18-14
19-17
11-14
165.9Avg total
85.5Scored
80.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)78.767.7146.3+11.0100%
Season at home (1)87.081.0168.0+6.0100%
Season away (2)74.561.0135.5+13.5100%
Last 10 (10)85.580.4165.9+5.180%
Last 5 (5)84.879.4164.2+5.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)73.078.6151.6-5.627%
vs Similar ◀ (19)82.281.5163.6+0.758%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Ukmerges Stekas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ukmerges StekasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormStekas
Date
Competition
Silute
#14
W
86-75
86
75
+11
85avg 71
H17/02
NKL
Kretinga
#8
W
93-79
93
79
+14
91avg 71
H22/02
NKL
Neptunas 2
#12
L
75-78
75
78
-3
67avg 71
A24/02
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
L
67-80
67
80
-13
57avg 71
H29/02
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
W
92-64
92
64
+28
86avg 71
H06/03
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
L
85-88
85
88
-3
80avg 71
A08/03
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
L
80-81
80
81
-1
70avg 71
H10/03
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#2
W
81-71
81
71
+10
71avg 71
H03/10
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
93-73
93
73
+20
86avg 71
A05/10
NKL
Vytis VDU
#4
L
88-95
88
95
-7
74avg 71
H10/10
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-14
24-18
21-16
29-27
29-26
17-12
27-17
20-24
14-18
22-21
16-20
23-19
16-17
17-18
19-23
15-22
24-15
23-18
31-9
14-22
30-29
24-21
14-18
17-20
15-22
23-25
18-18
24-16
22-22
20-18
18-7
21-24
22-26
28-16
21-11
22-20
16-15
26-23
17-31
29-26
162.4Avg total
84.0Scored
78.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)87.379.7167.0+7.767%
Season at home (2)84.583.0167.5+1.550%
Season away (1)93.073.0166.0+20.0100%
Last 10 (10)84.078.4162.4+5.650%
Last 5 (5)85.481.6167.0+3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)72.778.0150.7-5.30%
vs Similar ◀ (16)78.475.1153.4+3.356%
vs Weaker (11)84.075.5159.5+8.582%
This opponent (Neptunas 2) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: +3.4+3.4Q3Q3: +4.9+4.9Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -0.6-0.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: +3.4+3.4Q3Q3: +4.9+4.9Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -0.6-0.6
Neptunas 2Ukmerges Stekas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Neptunas 2Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kretinga
#8
L
44-52
44
52
-8
A08/02
NKL
Kretinga
#8
W
57-33
57
33
+24
H10/02
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#11
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H15/02
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
L
45-55
45
55
-10
A17/02
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#5
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H24/02
NKL
Silute
#14
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H29/02
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
L
52-57
52
57
-5
A02/03
NKL
Rytas 2
#11
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A03/10
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#5
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H05/10
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#7
W
38-32
38
32
+6
A10/10
NKL
85.7Avg total
42.8Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.841.181.0-1.340%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.839.178.9+0.750%-
Last 30 away (16)39.942.982.8-3.131%-
Last 10 (10)42.842.985.7-0.130%-
Last 5 (5)39.841.681.4-1.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)36.940.076.9-3.145%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)41.541.883.3-0.337%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Ukmerges Stekas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ukmerges StekasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Silute
#14
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H17/02
NKL
Kretinga
#8
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H22/02
NKL
Neptunas 2
#12
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A24/02
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H29/02
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
W
47-33
47
33
+14
H06/03
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
W
54-50
54
50
+4
A08/03
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H10/03
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#2
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H03/10
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
50-42
50
42
+8
A05/10
NKL
Vytis VDU
#4
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H10/10
NKL
81.8Avg total
42.4Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.839.279.1+0.653%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.638.176.8+0.547%-
Last 30 away (13)41.440.782.1+0.762%-
Last 10 (10)42.439.481.8+3.070%-
Last 5 (5)45.243.488.6+1.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)37.340.077.3-2.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)40.439.679.9+0.850%-
vs Weaker (11)39.738.578.3+1.264%-
This opponent (Neptunas 2) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Neptunas 2their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas 2: 84.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.2 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.417.1
47.0%
52.5%34.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.311.1
37.9%
32.5%33.3
🏀 Free throws24.417.2
70.5%
70.5%17.2
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ukmerges Stekastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ukmerges Stekas: 83.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.320.5
55.0%
52.5%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.49.5
33.5%
32.5%28.5
🏀 Free throws21.914.2
64.8%
70.5%14.2
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Neptunas 2
WWWWLWWWWL
Ukmerges Stekas
LWWLLWLLWW
#10
League position
#8
+6.5
Net rating
+8.2
112.4
Offensive rating
109.1
105.9
Defensive rating
100.9
51.4%
Effective FG%
52.9%
49.0%
Opp. effective FG%
48.1%
15.5%
Turnover %
16.3%
32.6%
Off. rebound %
28.9%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.33
37.9%
3-point %
33.5%
72.3%
Assist %
62.0%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence112.4 · 109.1Defence105.9 · 100.9Shooting51.4% · 52.9%3-point %37.9% · 33.5%Ball care15.5% · 16.3%Off. rebounds32.6% · 28.9%Free throws0.37 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)80% · 50%
■ Neptunas 2   ■ Ukmerges Stekas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Neptunas 2 wins
5
Ukmerges Stekas wins
DateGameScore
24/02/24Neptunas 2 v Ukmerges Stekas78-75
01/02/24Ukmerges Stekas v Neptunas 279-75
09/12/23Ukmerges Stekas v Neptunas 278-64
19/10/23Neptunas 2 v Ukmerges Stekas72-67
23/02/23Neptunas 2 v Ukmerges Stekas90-89 OT
26/01/23Ukmerges Stekas v Neptunas 2102-65
14/01/23Neptunas 2 v Ukmerges Stekas53-62
12/11/22Ukmerges Stekas v Neptunas 283-71
Neptunas 2last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/10/24ABC Olimpas Palanga68-63
05/10/24HSuduva-Mantinga87-81
03/10/24ARytas 281-59
02/03/24ADelikatesas Joniskis105-100
29/02/24HSilute83-94
24/02/24HUkmerges Stekas78-75
17/02/24ARytas 289-88
15/02/24HKauno Atletas89-76
10/02/24HKretinga96-84
08/02/24AKretinga79-84
Ukmerges Stekaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/10/24HVytis VDU88-95
05/10/24APlunges Olimpas93-73
03/10/24HZalgiris Kaunas 281-71
10/03/24HDelikatesas Joniskis80-81
08/03/24ADelikatesas Joniskis85-88
06/03/24HDelikatesas Joniskis92-64
29/02/24HDelikatesas Joniskis67-80
24/02/24ANeptunas 275-78
22/02/24HKretinga93-79
17/02/24HSilute86-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas 2
NKL 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game78.787.074.5
Allowed / game67.781.061.0
Point differential+11.0+6.0+13.5
Avg total146.3168.0135.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ukmerges Stekas
NKL 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWL67%
HomeWL50%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%50%100%
Points / game87.384.593.0
Allowed / game79.783.073.0
Point differential+7.7+1.5+20.0
Avg total167.0167.5166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%50%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Telsiai330100%80.768.7+12.0
2 Neptunas 2330100%78.767.7+11.0
3 Vytis VDU220100%92.586.5+6.0
4 Omega-Tauras43175%82.575.8+6.8
5 Vilkaviskis43175%84.578.0+6.5
6 Ukmerges Stekas32167%87.379.7+7.7
7 Jurbarkas32167%83.781.7+2.0
8 Suduva-Mantinga21150%87.076.0+11.0
9 BC Olimpas Palanga31233%76.069.0+7.0
10 Zalgiris Kaunas 231233%74.774.0+0.7
11 Silute31233%80.084.0-4.0
12 Kretinga31233%81.387.3-6.0
13 Rytas 231233%69.081.3-12.3
14 Alytaus Alytus3030%74.085.0-11.0
15 Delikatesas Joniskis3030%69.787.0-17.3
16 Plunges Olimpas3030%66.084.7-18.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Neptunas 22320241885
Ukmerges Stekas1614181967
← all games of the day
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