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Zalgiris Kaunas 2 vs Neptunas 2 Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 26 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 84-73
19-22 25-9 20-21 20-21
Position#2
Record4-3
FormWWLWW
Points / game80.1
Allowed / game79.0
vs
Position#10
Record5-2
FormWWLWL
Points / game76.6
Allowed / game70.9
LithuaniaNKL· Kaunas
Other2024-25
Meetings · Zalgiris Kaunas 2 v Neptunas 2
01 Dec 2026
ZALG v NEPT
upcoming
03 Apr 2026
ZALG75
NEPT79
28 Mar 2026
ZALG72
NEPT78
18 Oct 2025
ZALG87
NEPT75
26 Oct 2024
ZALG84
NEPT73
21 Oct 2023
ZALG85
NEPT72
05 Jan 2023
ZALG78
NEPT58
25 Nov 2021
ZALG74
NEPT64
29 Oct 2020
ZALG92
NEPT78
19 Mar 2020
ZALG v NEPT
upcoming
11 Jan 2020
ZALG93
NEPT80
08 Dec 2018
ZALG78
NEPT81
09 Dec 2017
ZALG74
NEPT64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zalgiris Kaunas 2 winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Neptunas 2 winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Zalgiris Kaunas 2LithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Form2
Date
Competition
Kretinga
#8
L
64-67
64
67
-3
54avg 68
H07/03
NKL
Kretinga
#8
W
88-72
88
72
+16
88avg 68
A09/03
NKL
Kretinga
#8
L
83-87
83
87
-4
76avg 68
H11/03
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#8
L
71-81
71
81
-10
57avg 68
A03/10
NKL
Telsiai
#1
L
63-76
63
76
-13
59avg 68
H05/10
NKL
Kretinga
#13
W
90-65
90
65
+25
87avg 68
A10/10
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#15
W
78-68
78
68
+10
80avg 68
H12/10
NKL
Silute
#12
L
72-87
72
87
-15
62avg 68
H17/10
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#6
W
87-86
87
86
+1
79avg 68
A19/10
NKL
Vytis VDU
#4
W
100-90
100
90
+10
106avg 68
A24/10
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-19
15-13
14-16
23-19
25-16
25-17
20-24
18-15
21-25
23-17
21-13
18-32
22-22
18-20
7-18
24-21
16-14
16-15
13-24
18-23
24-10
21-11
21-21
24-23
26-17
15-13
27-17
10-21
12-24
22-16
15-25
23-22
18-21
23-21
25-24
21-20
25-18
30-23
28-25
17-24
157.5Avg total
79.6Scored
77.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)80.179.0159.1+1.157%
Season at home (3)71.077.0148.0-6.033%
Season away (4)87.080.5167.5+6.575%
Last 10 (10)79.677.9157.5+1.750%
Last 5 (5)85.479.2164.6+6.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)64.173.4137.6-9.311%
vs Similar ◀ (17)76.677.6154.3-1.029%
vs Weaker (4)81.073.2154.2+7.875%
This opponent (Neptunas 2) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Neptunas 2LithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Form2
Date
Competition
Ukmerges Stekas
#5
W
78-75
78
75
+3
73avg 72
H24/02
NKL
Silute
#14
L
83-94
83
94
-11
78avg 72
H29/02
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
W
105-100
105
100
+5
99avg 72
A02/03
NKL
Rytas 2
#11
W
81-59
81
59
+22
78avg 72
A03/10
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#5
W
87-81
87
81
+6
88avg 72
H05/10
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#7
W
68-63
68
63
+5
57avg 72
A10/10
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#8
W
85-67
85
67
+18
78avg 72
H12/10
NKL
Telsiai
#1
L
64-73
64
73
-9
59avg 72
H17/10
NKL
Kretinga
#13
W
78-76
78
76
+2
67avg 72
A19/10
NKL
Jurbarkas
#3
L
73-77
73
77
-4
61avg 72
H24/10
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-14
21-22
20-16
19-23
17-25
27-22
22-22
17-25
21-31
31-26
31-30
22-13
14-22
18-11
26-11
23-15
17-19
16-20
21-21
33-21
20-18
18-14
19-17
11-14
23-16
20-14
24-18
18-19
20-18
15-10
7-20
22-25
28-16
18-25
12-14
20-21
20-21
18-18
12-15
23-23
156.7Avg total
80.2Scored
76.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)76.670.9147.4+5.771%
Season at home (4)77.274.5151.8+2.850%
Season away (3)75.766.0141.7+9.7100%
Last 10 (10)80.276.5156.7+3.770%
Last 5 (5)73.671.2144.8+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)72.077.9149.9-5.927%
vs Similar ◀ (19)82.779.9162.6+2.863%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas 2) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: +4.2+4.2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: +0.9+0.9
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: +4.2+4.2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: +0.9+0.9
Zalgiris Kaunas 2Neptunas 2
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Zalgiris Kaunas 2Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kretinga
#8
L
27-32
27
32
-5
H07/03
NKL
Kretinga
#8
W
50-33
50
33
+17
A09/03
NKL
Kretinga
#8
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H11/03
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#8
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A03/10
NKL
Telsiai
#1
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H05/10
NKL
Kretinga
#13
W
45-21
45
21
+24
A10/10
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#15
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H12/10
NKL
Silute
#12
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H17/10
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#6
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A19/10
NKL
Vytis VDU
#4
W
55-41
55
41
+14
A24/10
NKL
76.1Avg total
40.9Scored
35.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.936.774.6+1.343%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.835.372.1+1.547%-
Last 30 away (15)39.138.077.1+1.140%-
Last 10 (10)40.935.276.1+5.760%-
Last 5 (5)43.234.878.0+8.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)32.437.670.0-5.122%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)39.837.477.2+2.547%-
vs Weaker (4)42.231.874.0+10.575%-
This opponent (Neptunas 2) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Neptunas 2Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ukmerges Stekas
#5
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H24/02
NKL
Silute
#14
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H29/02
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
L
52-57
52
57
-5
A02/03
NKL
Rytas 2
#11
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A03/10
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#5
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H05/10
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#7
W
38-32
38
32
+6
A10/10
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#8
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H12/10
NKL
Telsiai
#1
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H17/10
NKL
Kretinga
#13
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A19/10
NKL
Jurbarkas
#3
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H24/10
NKL
78.2Avg total
40.0Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.040.280.2-0.243%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.437.176.5+2.353%-
Last 30 away (15)40.643.383.9-2.733%-
Last 10 (10)40.038.278.2+1.850%-
Last 5 (5)40.034.074.0+6.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)36.838.475.2-1.555%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)41.841.383.2+0.537%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas 2) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zalgiris Kaunas 2their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas 2: 78.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.119.4
49.6%
52.5%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.17.8
32.4%
32.5%23.4
🏀 Free throws23.116.4
71.0%
70.5%16.4
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Neptunas 2their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas 2: 79.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.2 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.616.6
46.6%
52.5%33.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.310.9
39.9%
32.5%32.7
🏀 Free throws19.913.7
68.8%
70.5%13.7
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
WWLWWLLLWL
Neptunas 2
LWLWWWWWLW
#2
League position
#10
+1.9
Net rating
+5.3
102.0
Offensive rating
108.2
100.1
Defensive rating
102.9
49.2%
Effective FG%
52.4%
48.4%
Opp. effective FG%
46.4%
24.6%
Turnover %
15.8%
39.5%
Off. rebound %
27.2%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.32
32.4%
3-point %
39.9%
63.6%
Assist %
66.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence102.0 · 108.2Defence100.1 · 102.9Shooting49.2% · 52.4%3-point %32.4% · 39.9%Ball care24.6% · 15.8%Off. rebounds39.5% · 27.2%Free throws0.37 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Zalgiris Kaunas 2   ■ Neptunas 2
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Zalgiris Kaunas 2 wins
1
Neptunas 2 wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/24AVytis VDU100-90
19/10/24AVilkaviskis87-86
17/10/24HSilute72-87
12/10/24HAlytaus Alytus78-68
10/10/24AKretinga90-65
05/10/24HTelsiai63-76
03/10/24AUkmerges Stekas71-81
11/03/24HKretinga83-87
09/03/24AKretinga88-72
07/03/24HKretinga64-67
Neptunas 2last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/24HJurbarkas73-77
19/10/24AKretinga78-76
17/10/24HTelsiai64-73
12/10/24HUkmerges Stekas85-67
10/10/24ABC Olimpas Palanga68-63
05/10/24HSuduva-Mantinga87-81
03/10/24ARytas 281-59
02/03/24ADelikatesas Joniskis105-100
29/02/24HSilute83-94
24/02/24HUkmerges Stekas78-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zalgiris Kaunas 2
NKL 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW57%
HomeLWL33%
AwayLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %57%33%75%
Points / game80.171.087.0
Allowed / game79.077.080.5
Point differential+1.1-6.0+6.5
Avg total159.1148.0167.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%33%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Neptunas 2
NKL 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL71%
HomeWWLL50%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %71%50%100%
Points / game76.677.275.7
Allowed / game70.974.566.0
Point differential+5.7+2.8+9.7
Avg total147.4151.8141.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%25%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)0% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Jurbarkas76186%82.779.7+3.0
2 Telsiai75271%87.780.9+6.9
3 Omega-Tauras75271%81.975.1+6.7
4 Neptunas 275271%76.670.9+5.7
5 Suduva-Mantinga64267%87.779.7+8.0
6 Vytis VDU64267%96.590.2+6.3
7 Vilkaviskis85362%86.280.4+5.9
8 BC Olimpas Palanga74357%76.768.1+8.6
9 Zalgiris Kaunas 274357%80.179.0+1.1
10 Ukmerges Stekas74357%84.184.6-0.4
11 Kretinga73443%79.681.0-1.4
12 Rytas 283538%81.183.9-2.8
13 Silute72529%77.183.1-6.0
14 Plunges Olimpas71614%71.183.4-12.3
15 Alytaus Alytus71614%74.388.9-14.6
16 Delikatesas Joniskis7070%73.686.7-13.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zalgiris Kaunas 21925202084
Neptunas 2229212173
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