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Omis vs Gorica Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 94-65
25-18 24-14 24-14 21-19
Position#4
Record14-8
FormWLWLL
Points / game82.6
Allowed / game77.4
Omis 🏆
Croatia
vs
Position#5
Record13-9
FormWLWLW
Points / game84.3
Allowed / game79.8
CroatiaPrva LigaRound 23· Sportska dvorana Ribnjak
Other2025-26
Meetings · Omis v Gorica
28 Mar 2026
OMIS94
GORI65
07 Dec 2024
OMIS80
GORI57
23 Mar 2024
OMIS75
GORI82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Omis winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Gorica winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

🔥 Form · Omis
Needs player box scores: 6 games per player in the last year.
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 83.3
77.8▼ 5.5
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 78.9
79.4▲ 0.5
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 58%
56%▼ 3%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 17.5
16.6▼ 0.9
🔥 Form · Gorica
7.2out of 10 · 5 = normal010
🔥 Hot streak
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 84.4
89.8▲ 5.4
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 80.8
85.0▲ 4.2
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 56%
58%▲ 2%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 20.6
22.8▲ 2.2
OmisCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Osijek
#14
W
109-62
109
62
+47
H17/01
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#8
W
79-73
79
73
+6
H24/01
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#7
W
90-87 OT
90
87
+3
A31/01
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#10
W
95-86
95
86
+9
H04/02
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
W
82-76
82
76
+6
A08/02
Prva Liga
Jazine
#6
W
88-65
88
65
+23
H14/02
Prva Liga
Kastela
#2
L
60-87
60
87
-27
H22/02
Prva Liga
Mladost
#3
W
72-67
72
67
+5
A08/03
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#1
L
87-93
87
93
-6
H14/03
Prva Liga
Novi Zagreb
#11
L
82-85
82
85
-3
A21/03
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-13
26-20
21-21
32-8
21-13
20-17
16-24
22-19
18-22
30-18
15-14
14-23
21-25
22-15
24-21
28-25
23-16
12-15
22-19
25-26
28-12
17-13
20-17
23-23
14-27
21-16
14-25
11-19
20-16
21-13
12-6
19-32
22-19
17-30
28-19
20-25
13-19
20-20
20-22
29-24
162.5Avg total
84.4Scored
78.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)82.677.4160.0+5.364%
Season at home (11)84.373.5157.8+10.773%
Season away (11)81.081.2162.2-0.255%
Last 10 (10)84.478.1162.5+6.370%
Last 5 (5)77.879.4157.2-1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)80.187.4167.5-7.225%
vs Similar (6)78.872.2151.0+6.783%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)84.278.1162.4+6.162%
This opponent (Gorica) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GoricaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Novi Zagreb
#11
W
84-79
84
79
+5
A17/01
Prva Liga
Kastela
#2
L
68-80
68
80
-12
A24/01
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#12
L
89-105
89
105
-16
A31/01
Prva Liga
Amfora
#13
W
100-88
100
88
+12
H04/02
Prva Liga
Osijek
#14
W
81-57
81
57
+24
A07/02
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#8
W
77-63
77
63
+14
H14/02
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#7
L
80-91
80
91
-11
A21/02
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#10
W
113-106
113
106
+7
H07/03
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
L
77-86
77
86
-9
A15/03
Prva Liga
Jazine
#6
W
102-79
102
79
+23
H21/03
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-15
18-25
25-25
26-14
19-26
22-15
16-17
11-22
16-20
25-26
23-28
25-31
19-23
35-23
18-22
28-20
15-19
21-16
18-6
27-16
14-19
20-15
22-11
21-18
22-23
21-24
27-17
10-27
18-30
29-29
31-23
35-24
18-24
19-21
24-18
16-23
23-30
29-14
30-20
20-15
170.5Avg total
87.1Scored
83.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)84.379.8164.1+4.559%
Season at home (11)87.978.8166.7+9.173%
Season away (11)80.680.8161.5-0.245%
Last 10 (10)87.183.4170.5+3.760%
Last 5 (5)89.885.0174.8+4.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)79.284.2163.4-5.033%
vs Similar (13)84.278.6162.8+5.569%
vs Weaker (7)89.478.7168.1+10.771%
This opponent (Omis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: -5.0-5.0Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +4.7+4.7Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +0.9+0.9
OmisGorica
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OmisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Osijek
#14
W
56-33
56
33
+23
H17/01
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#8
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H24/01
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#7
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A31/01
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#10
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H04/02
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A08/02
Prva Liga
Jazine
#6
W
45-25
45
25
+20
H14/02
Prva Liga
Kastela
#2
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H22/02
Prva Liga
Mladost
#3
W
41-29
41
29
+12
A08/03
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#1
L
39-49
39
49
-10
H14/03
Prva Liga
Novi Zagreb
#11
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A21/03
Prva Liga
77.5Avg total
41.6Scored
35.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.638.580.1+3.163%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.736.778.4+5.167%-
Last 30 away (15)41.540.381.9+1.260%-
Last 10 (10)41.635.977.5+5.770%-
Last 5 (5)38.637.075.6+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)39.643.182.8-3.538%-
vs Similar (6)43.833.777.5+10.283%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)41.838.079.8+3.869%-
This opponent (Gorica) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GoricaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Novi Zagreb
#11
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A17/01
Prva Liga
Kastela
#2
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A24/01
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#12
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A31/01
Prva Liga
Amfora
#13
W
54-46
54
46
+8
H04/02
Prva Liga
Osijek
#14
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A07/02
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#8
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H14/02
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#7
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A21/02
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#10
L
47-59
47
59
-12
H07/03
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A15/03
Prva Liga
Jazine
#6
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H21/03
Prva Liga
85.5Avg total
41.8Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.439.882.1+2.647%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.538.883.2+5.856%-
Last 30 away (14)39.940.980.9-1.036%-
Last 10 (10)41.843.785.5-1.930%-
Last 5 (5)42.645.888.4-3.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)40.840.080.8+0.844%-
vs Similar (13)40.940.181.0+0.838%-
vs Weaker (7)43.640.984.4+2.757%-
This opponent (Omis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Omistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Omis: 82.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
51%
33%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.121.1
56.9%
53.0%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.48.4
31.8%
32.7%25.2
🏀 Free throws18.415.3
83.2%
71.6%15.3
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Goricatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gorica: 86.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
51%
33%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.123.2
53.8%
53.0%46.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.18.8
33.7%
32.7%26.4
🏀 Free throws19.813.5
68.2%
71.6%13.5
They take 69.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Omis
LLWLWWWWWW
Gorica
WLWLWWWLLW
#4
League position
#5
+2.5
Net rating
+2.2
98.8
Offensive rating
92.2
96.2
Defensive rating
89.9
53.1%
Effective FG%
52.6%
54.8%
Opp. effective FG%
50.9%
14.5%
Turnover %
17.3%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.29
31.8%
3-point %
33.7%
56.9%
Assist %
64.4%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence98.8 · 92.2Defence96.2 · 89.9Shooting53.1% · 52.6%3-point %31.8% · 33.7%Ball care14.5% · 17.3%Free throws0.29 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Omis   ■ Gorica
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Omis wins
3
Gorica wins
DateGameScore
13/12/25Gorica v Omis74-86
22/03/25Gorica v Omis74-58
07/12/24Omis v Gorica80-57
23/03/24Omis v Gorica75-82
16/12/23Gorica v Omis68-59
Omislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/03/26ANovi Zagreb82-85
14/03/26HSkrljevo87-93
08/03/26AMladost72-67
22/02/26HKastela60-87
14/02/26HJazine88-65
08/02/26AMarsonia82-76
04/02/26HDakovo95-86
31/01/26AKK Zagreb90-87 OT
24/01/26HCrikvenica79-73
17/01/26HOsijek109-62
Goricalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/03/26HJazine102-79
15/03/26AMarsonia77-86
07/03/26HDakovo113-106
21/02/26AKK Zagreb80-91
14/02/26HCrikvenica77-63
07/02/26AOsijek81-57
04/02/26HAmfora100-88
31/01/26ASonik Puntamika89-105
24/01/26AKastela68-80
17/01/26ANovi Zagreb84-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Omis
Prva Liga 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL64%
HomeWWWLL73%
AwayWWWWL55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %64%73%55%
Points / game82.684.381.0
Allowed / game77.473.581.2
Point differential+5.3+10.7-0.2
Avg total160.0157.8162.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%45%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)50% (2)75% (4)
Overtime %5%0%9%
Gorica
Prva Liga 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW59%
HomeWWWWW73%
AwayLLWLL45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %59%73%45%
Points / game84.387.980.6
Allowed / game79.878.880.8
Point differential+4.5+9.1-0.2
Avg total164.1166.7161.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%55%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Skrljevo2219386%96.576.0+20.5
2 Kastela2218482%87.465.8+21.6
3 Mladost2216673%81.774.6+7.1
4 Omis2214864%82.677.4+5.3
5 Gorica2213959%84.379.8+4.5
6 KK Zagreb2213959%81.078.2+2.8
7 Novi Zagreb22111150%76.774.7+2.0
8 Crikvenica22111150%75.777.3-1.6
9 Dakovo23111248%87.185.2+2.0
10 Jazine23111248%82.882.4+0.4
11 Marsonia2281436%76.878.7-1.9
12 Sonik Puntamika2371630%75.380.9-5.6
13 Amfora2241818%74.989.6-14.7
14 Osijek230230%64.0104.3-40.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Omis2524242194
Gorica1814141965
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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