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Gorica vs Omis Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 16 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 68-59
21-16 13-17 16-17 18-9
Position#4
Record6-4
FormWWWLL
Points / game79.7
Allowed / game73.6
Gorica 🏆
Croatia
vs
Position#10
Record6-4
FormWLWLW
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game76.8
CroatiaPrva LigaRound 11· GSD Velika Gorica
Other2023-24
Meetings · Gorica v Omis
13 Dec 2025
GORI74
OMIS86
22 Mar 2025
GORI74
OMIS58
16 Dec 2023
GORI68
OMIS59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Gorica winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Omis winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GoricaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGorica
Date
Competition
KK Zagreb
#3
L
61-78
61
78
-17
53avg 76
H14/10
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
W
83-67
83
67
+16
75avg 76
A22/10
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
83-66
83
66
+17
78avg 76
H28/10
Prva Liga
LTH Castings
#3
L
44-100
44
100
-56
no box
H30/10
Slovenian Cup
Osijek
#2
L
77-84 OT
77
84
-7
no box
A04/11
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
W
99-87
99
87
+12
95avg 76
H11/11
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
W
82-63
82
63
+19
85avg 76
A19/11
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
W
89-67
89
67
+22
88avg 76
H25/11
Prva Liga
Stoja
#13
L
69-79
69
79
-10
64avg 76
A02/12
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
L
74-85
74
85
-11
63avg 76
A10/12
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-9
19-21
14-23
10-25
17-12
30-18
15-17
21-20
25-7
23-9
22-27
13-23
12-28
10-26
12-23
10-23
21-19
22-6
9-18
12-21
18-35
21-16
23-17
37-19
17-11
16-23
24-9
25-20
19-22
25-13
19-21
26-11
21-24
19-17
16-17
13-21
20-22
20-31
14-19
20-13
153.7Avg total
76.1Scored
77.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)79.773.6153.3+6.160%
Season at home (4)83.074.5157.5+8.575%
Season away (6)77.573.0150.5+4.550%
Last 10 (10)76.177.6153.7-1.550%
Last 5 (5)82.676.2158.8+6.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)74.789.8164.5-15.20%
vs Similar (18)82.180.0162.1+2.156%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)82.671.0153.6+11.680%
This opponent (Omis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OmisCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOmis
Date
Competition
Podstrana
#14
W
94-65
94
65
+29
90avg 69
A08/10
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
L
75-77
75
77
-2
64avg 69
H14/10
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
L
36-78
36
78
-42
16avg 69
A22/10
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
W
97-86
97
86
+11
97avg 69
H29/10
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
92-64
92
64
+28
83avg 69
A04/11
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
W
78-74
78
74
+4
74avg 69
H11/11
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
L
73-100
73
100
-27
59avg 69
A19/11
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
W
78-74
78
74
+4
69avg 69
H25/11
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
L
64-68
64
68
-4
58avg 69
A02/12
Prva Liga
Stoja
#13
W
93-82
93
82
+11
84avg 69
H09/12
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-18
20-17
24-15
25-15
24-17
17-17
10-20
24-23
20-21
8-25
4-19
4-13
29-22
29-20
22-18
17-26
18-13
21-14
28-17
25-20
23-16
24-16
16-12
15-30
7-28
17-19
20-38
29-15
17-22
17-17
21-12
23-23
16-24
21-13
14-13
13-18
34-16
22-19
18-18
19-29
154.8Avg total
78.0Scored
76.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)78.076.8154.8+1.260%
Season at home (5)84.278.6162.8+5.680%
Season away (5)71.875.0146.8-3.240%
Last 10 (10)78.076.8154.8+1.260%
Last 5 (5)77.279.6156.8-2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)66.680.1146.8-13.519%
vs Similar (9)76.375.8152.1+0.644%
vs Weaker (5)91.468.6160.0+22.8100%
This opponent (Gorica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: -1.8-1.8
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: -1.8-1.8
GoricaOmis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GoricaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KK Zagreb
#3
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H14/10
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
W
47-30
47
30
+17
A22/10
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
48-16
48
16
+32
H28/10
Prva Liga
LTH Castings
#3
L
22-54
22
54
-32
H30/10
Slovenian Cup
Osijek
#2
W
43-25
43
25
+18
A04/11
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
L
39-51
39
51
-12
H11/11
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A19/11
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H25/11
Prva Liga
Stoja
#13
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A02/12
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
L
40-53
40
53
-13
A10/12
Prva Liga
76.2Avg total
39.3Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.738.778.4+1.150%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.139.179.1+1.047%-
Last 30 away (15)39.438.377.7+1.153%-
Last 10 (10)39.336.976.2+2.450%-
Last 5 (5)39.242.882.0-3.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)35.243.278.3-8.017%-
vs Similar (18)42.237.679.7+4.667%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)40.034.274.2+5.840%-
This opponent (Omis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OmisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Podstrana
#14
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A08/10
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H14/10
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
L
28-46
28
46
-18
A22/10
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
W
58-42
58
42
+16
H29/10
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
39-27
39
27
+12
A04/11
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H11/11
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
L
24-47
24
47
-23
A19/11
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H25/11
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A02/12
Prva Liga
Stoja
#13
W
56-35
56
35
+21
H09/12
Prva Liga
78.3Avg total
40.9Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.838.776.4-0.947%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.037.479.4+4.667%-
Last 30 away (15)33.539.973.5-6.427%-
Last 10 (10)40.937.478.3+3.560%-
Last 5 (5)39.638.077.6+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)35.639.675.2-4.138%-
vs Similar (9)36.940.177.0-3.244%-
vs Weaker (5)46.433.079.4+13.480%-
This opponent (Gorica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Goricatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gorica: 79.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.6 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.821.9
57.9%
52.9%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.18.2
31.5%
32.9%24.7
🏀 Free throws15.710.6
67.4%
71.2%10.6
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Omistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Omis: 77.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.718.6
48.1%
52.9%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.49.6
32.7%
32.9%28.8
🏀 Free throws16.111.0
68.3%
71.2%11.0
They take 68.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 9/10 games with a box score before 16 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Gorica
LLWWWLLWWL
Omis
WLWLWWWLLW
#4
League position
#10
+9.3
Net rating
+1.5
107.0
Offensive rating
98.3
97.7
Defensive rating
96.8
53.6%
Effective FG%
48.5%
47.4%
Opp. effective FG%
52.5%
18.4%
Turnover %
21.9%
30.3%
Off. rebound %
33.3%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.24
31.5%
3-point %
32.7%
62.7%
Assist %
55.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence107.0 · 98.3Defence97.7 · 96.8Shooting53.6% · 48.5%3-point %31.5% · 32.7%Ball care18.4% · 21.9%Off. rebounds30.3% · 33.3%Free throws0.25 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Gorica   ■ Omis
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Gorica wins
0
Omis wins
No previous meetings.
Goricalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/12/23ASamobor74-85
02/12/23AStoja69-79
25/11/23HKastela89-67
19/11/23AMladost82-63
11/11/23HHermes99-87
04/11/23AOsijek77-84 OT
30/10/23HLTH Castings44-100
28/10/23HCrikvenica83-66
22/10/23AJazine83-67
14/10/23HKK Zagreb61-78
Omislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/12/23HStoja93-82
02/12/23AKastela64-68
25/11/23HMladost78-74
19/11/23AHermes73-100
11/11/23HOsijek78-74
04/11/23ACrikvenica92-64
29/10/23HJazine97-86
22/10/23AKK Zagreb36-78
14/10/23HMarsonia75-77
08/10/23APodstrana94-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Gorica
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL60%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayWLWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %60%75%50%
Points / game79.783.077.5
Allowed / game73.674.573.0
Point differential+6.1+8.5+4.5
Avg total153.3157.5150.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%75%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %10%0%17%
Omis
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW60%
HomeLWWWW80%
AwayWLWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %60%80%40%
Points / game78.084.271.8
Allowed / game76.878.675.0
Point differential+1.2+5.6-3.2
Avg total154.8162.8146.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%40%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kvarner109190%91.975.3+16.6
2 Osijek109190%88.173.6+14.5
3 KK Zagreb108280%82.669.0+13.6
4 Gorica106460%79.773.6+6.1
5 Omis106460%78.076.8+1.2
6 Kastela105550%79.776.7+3.0
7 Hermes105550%89.188.4+0.7
8 Jazine105550%84.488.0-3.6
9 Samobor105550%77.182.2-5.1
10 Marsonia103730%81.987.4-5.5
11 Podstrana103730%73.183.2-10.1
12 Stoja102820%82.190.1-8.0
13 Mladost102820%77.185.2-8.1
14 Crikvenica102820%72.587.8-15.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Gorica2113161868
Omis161717959
← all games of the day
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