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Kastela vs Gorica Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 24 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 80-68
26-19 15-22 17-16 22-11
Position#2
Record9-4
FormWLLWL
Points / game83.8
Allowed / game69.1
Kastela 🏆
Croatia
vs
Gorica
Croatia
Position#5
Record8-5
FormLLLWW
Points / game82.1
Allowed / game77.0
CroatiaPrva LigaRound 14· Sportska dvorana Sokolana
Other2025-26
Meetings · Kastela v Gorica
24 Jan 2026
KAST80
GORI68
11 Jan 2025
KAST78
GORI80
03 Mar 2024
KAST61
GORI67
28 Oct 2015
KAST72
GORI99
21 Apr 2015
KAST97
GORI92
28 Feb 2015
KAST97
GORI105
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kastela winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Gorica winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KastelaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKastela
Date
Competition
Jazine
#6
W
96-65
96
65
+31
98avg 80
H02/11
Prva Liga
Amfora
#13
W
95-70
95
70
+25
92avg 80
A09/11
Prva Liga
Omis
#4
W
73-65
73
65
+8
58avg 80
H15/11
Prva Liga
Osijek
#14
W
111-61
111
61
+50
116avg 80
A22/11
Prva Liga
Mladost
#3
L
73-80
73
80
-7
61avg 80
H29/11
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#8
W
92-72
92
72
+20
86avg 80
A06/12
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#1
L
69-78
69
78
-9
55avg 80
H13/12
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#7
L
65-70
65
70
-5
55avg 80
A20/12
Prva Liga
Novi Zagreb
#11
W
99-62
99
62
+37
102avg 80
H10/01
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#10
L
76-79
76
79
-3
no box
A17/01
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-17
28-16
24-17
18-15
26-18
22-17
17-19
30-16
18-19
23-15
8-16
24-15
26-12
27-12
26-8
32-29
19-22
28-20
15-16
11-22
21-16
26-20
26-20
19-16
17-22
17-17
22-20
13-19
10-20
23-12
17-20
15-18
25-11
28-20
19-18
27-13
19-20
23-22
18-15
16-22
155.1Avg total
84.9Scored
70.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)83.869.1152.9+14.869%
Season at home (6)81.270.3151.5+10.867%
Season away (7)86.168.0154.1+18.171%
Last 10 (10)84.970.2155.1+14.760%
Last 5 (5)80.272.2152.4+8.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)49.077.0126.0-28.00%
vs Similar (3)78.080.7158.7-2.733%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)85.072.3157.3+12.773%
This opponent (Gorica) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GoricaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGorica
Date
Competition
KK Zagreb
#7
W
88-61
88
61
+27
91avg 78
H15/11
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#10
W
88-74
88
74
+14
81avg 78
A22/11
Prva Liga
Ajdovscina
#7
L
74-77
74
77
-3
no box
A25/11
Slovenian Cup
Marsonia
#9
L
69-85
69
85
-16
55avg 78
H30/11
Prva Liga
Jazine
#6
W
82-78
82
78
+4
77avg 78
A06/12
Prva Liga
Ajdovscina
#7
L
60-72
60
72
-12
no box
H09/12
Slovenian Cup
Omis
#4
L
74-86
74
86
-12
78avg 78
H13/12
Prva Liga
Mladost
#3
L
67-73
67
73
-6
50avg 78
A20/12
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#1
W
89-87
89
87
+2
92avg 78
H10/01
Prva Liga
Novi Zagreb
#11
W
84-79
84
79
+5
no box
A17/01
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-13
33-13
16-27
25-8
24-18
21-14
15-20
28-22
13-22
23-20
17-19
21-16
21-21
23-17
16-26
9-21
16-17
18-21
22-21
26-19
14-12
11-23
20-12
15-25
26-18
22-19
16-27
10-22
15-17
18-20
22-18
12-18
29-14
20-25
18-26
22-22
15-15
18-25
25-25
26-14
154.7Avg total
77.5Scored
77.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)82.177.0159.1+5.162%
Season at home (7)82.175.9158.0+6.357%
Season away (6)82.078.3160.3+3.767%
Last 10 (10)77.577.2154.7+0.350%
Last 5 (5)74.879.4154.2-4.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)81.087.5168.5-6.530%
vs Similar (12)80.877.0157.8+3.858%
vs Weaker (7)83.471.3154.7+12.171%
This opponent (Kastela) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +7.4+7.4Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: -3.4-3.4Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +0.7+0.7
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +7.4+7.4Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: -3.4-3.4Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +0.7+0.7
KastelaGorica
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KastelaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jazine
#6
W
54-33
54
33
+21
H02/11
Prva Liga
Amfora
#13
W
48-35
48
35
+13
A09/11
Prva Liga
Omis
#4
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H15/11
Prva Liga
Osijek
#14
W
53-24
53
24
+29
A22/11
Prva Liga
Mladost
#3
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H29/11
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#8
W
47-36
47
36
+11
A06/12
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#1
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H13/12
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#7
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A20/12
Prva Liga
Novi Zagreb
#11
W
53-31
53
31
+22
H10/01
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#10
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A17/01
Prva Liga
80.0Avg total
45.2Scored
34.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.737.779.4+4.157%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.937.882.6+7.171%-
Last 30 away (16)39.037.676.6+1.444%-
Last 10 (10)45.234.880.0+10.480%-
Last 5 (5)41.836.077.8+5.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)20.039.059.0-19.00%-
vs Similar (3)37.046.383.3-9.30%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)43.136.679.7+6.565%-
This opponent (Gorica) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GoricaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KK Zagreb
#7
W
47-26
47
26
+21
H15/11
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#10
W
45-32
45
32
+13
A22/11
Prva Liga
Ajdovscina
#7
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A25/11
Slovenian Cup
Marsonia
#9
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H30/11
Prva Liga
Jazine
#6
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A06/12
Prva Liga
Ajdovscina
#7
L
25-35
25
35
-10
H09/12
Slovenian Cup
Omis
#4
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H13/12
Prva Liga
Mladost
#3
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A20/12
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#1
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H10/01
Prva Liga
Novi Zagreb
#11
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A17/01
Prva Liga
75.8Avg total
39.4Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.038.581.5+4.560%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.737.280.9+6.559%-
Last 30 away (13)42.140.382.4+1.862%-
Last 10 (10)39.436.475.8+3.050%-
Last 5 (5)37.637.675.2+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)41.842.284.0-0.450%-
vs Similar (12)40.537.878.2+2.858%-
vs Weaker (7)45.636.482.0+9.171%-
This opponent (Kastela) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Kastelatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kastela: 84.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.3 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
51%
33%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.118.2
56.7%
53.0%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.112.1
36.6%
32.7%36.3
🏀 Free throws14.411.4
79.2%
71.6%11.4
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Goricatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gorica: 81.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
51%
33%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.421.0
50.7%
53.0%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.68.7
31.5%
32.7%26.1
🏀 Free throws19.613.5
68.9%
71.6%13.5
They take 69.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kastela
LWLLWLWWWW
Gorica
WWLLLWLLWW
#2
League position
#5
+23.9
Net rating
+6.2
113.7
Offensive rating
97.3
89.8
Defensive rating
91.1
55.8%
Effective FG%
49.3%
47.9%
Opp. effective FG%
46.1%
16.7%
Turnover %
21.1%
31.2%
Off. rebound %
31.7%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.28
36.6%
3-point %
31.5%
62.0%
Assist %
68.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence113.7 · 97.3Defence89.8 · 91.1Shooting55.8% · 49.3%3-point %36.6% · 31.5%Ball care16.7% · 21.1%Off. rebounds31.2% · 31.7%Free throws0.22 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Kastela   ■ Gorica
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Kastela wins
8
Gorica wins
DateGameScore
11/10/25Gorica v Kastela79-89
12/04/25Gorica v Kastela116-109 OT
11/01/25Kastela v Gorica78-80
03/03/24Kastela v Gorica61-67
25/11/23Gorica v Kastela89-67
06/02/16Gorica v Kastela98-66
28/10/15Kastela v Gorica72-99
12/05/15Gorica v Kastela87-79
21/04/15Kastela v Gorica97-92
28/02/15Kastela v Gorica97-105
Kastelalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/26ADakovo76-79
10/01/26HNovi Zagreb99-62
20/12/25AKK Zagreb65-70
13/12/25HSkrljevo69-78
06/12/25ACrikvenica92-72
29/11/25HMladost73-80
22/11/25AOsijek111-61
15/11/25HOmis73-65
09/11/25AAmfora95-70
02/11/25HJazine96-65
Goricalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/26ANovi Zagreb84-79
10/01/26HSkrljevo89-87
20/12/25AMladost67-73
13/12/25HOmis74-86
09/12/25HAjdovscina60-72
06/12/25AJazine82-78
30/11/25HMarsonia69-85
25/11/25AAjdovscina74-77
22/11/25ADakovo88-74
15/11/25HKK Zagreb88-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kastela
Prva Liga 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL69%
HomeWWLLW67%
AwayWWWLL71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %69%67%71%
Points / game83.881.286.1
Allowed / game69.170.368.0
Point differential+14.8+10.8+18.1
Avg total152.9151.5154.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+54%33%71%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Gorica
Prva Liga 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW62%
HomeWWLLW57%
AwayWWWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %62%57%67%
Points / game82.182.182.0
Allowed / game77.075.978.3
Point differential+5.1+6.3+3.7
Avg total159.1158.0160.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%43%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Mladost1311285%81.970.9+11.0
2 Skrljevo1310377%93.475.3+18.1
3 Kastela139469%83.869.1+14.8
4 KK Zagreb139469%78.377.4+0.9
5 Omis138562%83.375.6+7.7
6 Gorica138562%82.177.0+5.1
7 Jazine138562%80.876.8+4.1
8 Dakovo137654%82.979.2+3.7
9 Crikvenica136746%76.478.6-2.2
10 Marsonia135838%77.176.8+0.2
11 Novi Zagreb134931%71.676.4-4.8
12 Sonik Puntamika1331023%68.576.4-7.9
13 Amfora1331023%79.391.0-11.7
14 Osijek130130%64.8103.7-38.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kastela2615172280
Gorica1922161168
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