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Omis vs Stoja Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 09 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 93-82
34-16 22-19 18-18 19-29
Position#10
Record5-4
FormWWLWL
Points / game76.3
Allowed / game76.2
Omis 🏆
Croatia
vs
Position#13
Record2-7
FormWLLLW
Points / game82.1
Allowed / game89.8
CroatiaPrva LigaRound 10· Sportska dvorana Ribnjak
Other2023-24
Meetings · Omis v Stoja
09 Dec 2023
OMIS93
STOJ82
04 Feb 2023
OMIS84
STOJ69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Omis winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Stoja winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OmisCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOmis
Date
Competition
Kastela
#3
L
58-61
58
61
-3
no box
H10/05
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
W
94-65
94
65
+29
90avg 68
A08/10
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
L
75-77
75
77
-2
64avg 68
H14/10
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
L
36-78
36
78
-42
16avg 68
A22/10
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
W
97-86
97
86
+11
97avg 68
H29/10
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
92-64
92
64
+28
83avg 68
A04/11
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
W
78-74
78
74
+4
74avg 68
H11/11
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
L
73-100
73
100
-27
59avg 68
A19/11
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
W
78-74
78
74
+4
69avg 68
H25/11
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
L
64-68
64
68
-4
58avg 68
A02/12
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-13
12-16
11-9
15-23
25-18
20-17
24-15
25-15
24-17
17-17
10-20
24-23
20-21
8-25
4-19
4-13
29-22
29-20
22-18
17-26
18-13
21-14
28-17
25-20
23-16
24-16
16-12
15-30
7-28
17-19
20-38
29-15
17-22
17-17
21-12
23-23
16-24
21-13
14-13
13-18
149.2Avg total
74.5Scored
74.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)76.376.2152.6+0.156%
Season at home (4)82.077.8159.8+4.275%
Season away (5)71.875.0146.8-3.240%
Last 10 (10)74.574.7149.2-0.250%
Last 5 (5)77.076.0153.0+1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)67.680.4148.0-12.818%
vs Similar (9)76.375.8152.1+0.644%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)91.065.2156.2+25.8100%
This opponent (Stoja) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
StojaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormStoja
Date
Competition
Hermes
#6
L
78-121
78
121
-43
no box
A14/05
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
L
70-97
70
97
-27
60avg 73
A08/10
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
L
117-122 OT
117
122
-5
no box
H14/10
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
L
69-75
69
75
-6
60avg 73
A21/10
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
80-90
80
90
-10
74avg 73
H28/10
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
W
93-85
93
85
+8
94avg 73
A05/11
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
L
68-94
68
94
-26
56avg 73
H11/11
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
L
86-88
86
88
-2
92avg 73
A18/11
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
L
77-88
77
88
-11
72avg 73
A26/11
Prva Liga
Gorica
#4
W
79-69
79
69
+10
77avg 73
H02/12
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-37
13-29
19-25
21-30
22-21
16-25
17-30
15-21
22-16
23-25
25-26
12-15
16-21
16-24
22-11
15-19
21-33
15-25
28-17
16-15
28-30
22-23
20-15
23-17
19-28
18-21
15-24
16-21
27-22
19-25
16-11
24-30
16-28
14-18
25-23
22-19
24-21
17-19
17-16
21-13
174.6Avg total
81.7Scored
92.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)82.189.8171.9-7.722%
Season at home (4)86.093.8179.8-7.825%
Season away (5)79.086.6165.6-7.620%
Last 10 (10)81.792.9174.6-11.220%
Last 5 (5)80.684.8165.4-4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)85.694.6180.2-9.129%
vs Similar (7)77.481.6159.0-4.143%
vs Weaker (6)86.880.2167.0+6.767%
This opponent (Omis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -3.7-3.7Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -6.1-6.1Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -1.5-1.5
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -3.7-3.7Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -6.1-6.1Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -1.5-1.5
OmisStoja
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OmisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kastela
#3
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H10/05
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A08/10
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H14/10
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
L
28-46
28
46
-18
A22/10
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
W
58-42
58
42
+16
H29/10
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
39-27
39
27
+12
A04/11
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H11/11
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
L
24-47
24
47
-23
A19/11
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H25/11
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A02/12
Prva Liga
75.3Avg total
38.5Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.438.976.3-1.547%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.037.678.6+3.464%-
Last 30 away (16)34.240.074.2-5.831%-
Last 10 (10)38.536.875.3+1.760%-
Last 5 (5)36.236.472.6-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)36.139.775.8-3.641%-
vs Similar (9)36.940.177.0-3.244%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)44.032.576.5+11.575%-
This opponent (Stoja) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
StojaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hermes
#6
L
38-66
38
66
-28
A14/05
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A08/10
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H14/10
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A21/10
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
36-58
36
58
-22
H28/10
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
L
50-53
50
53
-3
A05/11
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
L
37-49
37
49
-12
H11/11
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A18/11
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
L
30-46
30
46
-16
A26/11
Prva Liga
Gorica
#4
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H02/12
Prva Liga
88.4Avg total
39.3Scored
49.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.546.588.9-4.030%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.743.987.6-0.243%-
Last 30 away (16)41.448.790.1-7.319%-
Last 10 (10)39.349.188.4-9.820%-
Last 5 (5)40.847.087.8-6.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)42.649.191.7-6.529%-
vs Similar (7)38.943.182.0-4.314%-
vs Weaker (6)46.342.889.2+3.550%-
This opponent (Omis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Omistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Omis: 75.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.7 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.618.1
47.0%
52.9%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.09.2
31.8%
32.9%27.7
🏀 Free throws16.311.3
69.4%
71.2%11.3
They take 67.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Stojatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Stoja: 78.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀62%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.5 pts a game · 62% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.8 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.524.2
53.3%
52.9%48.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.66.2
35.5%
32.9%18.8
🏀 Free throws14.410.9
75.7%
71.2%10.9
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 17.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 28% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 9/8 games with a box score before 09 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Omis
LWLWWWLLWL
Stoja
WLLLWLLLLL
#10
League position
#13
-0.1
Net rating
-9.9
96.0
Offensive rating
103.0
96.1
Defensive rating
112.9
47.3%
Effective FG%
53.3%
51.7%
Opp. effective FG%
54.7%
21.8%
Turnover %
19.2%
32.2%
Off. rebound %
24.8%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.23
31.8%
3-point %
35.5%
57.3%
Assist %
64.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence96.0 · 103.0Defence96.1 · 112.9Shooting47.3% · 53.3%3-point %31.8% · 35.5%Ball care21.8% · 19.2%Off. rebounds32.2% · 24.8%Free throws0.24 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)50% · 20%
■ Omis   ■ Stoja
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Omis wins
0
Stoja wins
DateGameScore
04/02/23Omis v Stoja84-69
05/11/22Stoja v Omis89-93
Omislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/12/23AKastela64-68
25/11/23HMladost78-74
19/11/23AHermes73-100
11/11/23HOsijek78-74
04/11/23ACrikvenica92-64
29/10/23HJazine97-86
22/10/23AKK Zagreb36-78
14/10/23HMarsonia75-77
08/10/23APodstrana94-65
10/05/23HKastela58-61
Stojalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/12/23HGorica79-69
26/11/23ASamobor77-88
18/11/23AKastela86-88
11/11/23HMladost68-94
05/11/23AHermes93-85
28/10/23HOsijek80-90
21/10/23ACrikvenica69-75
14/10/23HJazine117-122 OT
08/10/23AKK Zagreb70-97
14/05/23AHermes78-121

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Omis
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL56%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayWLWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %56%75%40%
Points / game76.382.071.8
Allowed / game76.277.875.0
Point differential+0.1+4.2-3.2
Avg total152.6159.8146.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%25%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Stoja
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW22%
HomeLLLW25%
AwayLLWLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %22%25%20%
Points / game82.186.079.0
Allowed / game89.893.886.6
Point differential-7.7-7.8-7.6
Avg total171.9179.8165.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %11%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Osijek109190%88.173.6+14.5
2 Kvarner98189%94.077.1+16.9
3 KK Zagreb108280%82.669.0+13.6
4 Gorica96367%80.372.3+8.0
5 Kastela95456%82.077.1+4.9
6 Hermes95456%88.987.7+1.2
7 Omis95456%76.376.2+0.1
8 Jazine84450%89.192.9-3.8
9 Samobor94544%76.283.1-6.9
10 Marsonia92722%80.487.0-6.6
11 Stoja92722%82.189.8-7.7
12 Mladost92722%78.286.7-8.4
13 Crikvenica92722%72.989.3-16.4
14 Podstrana81712%73.988.5-14.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Omis3422181993
Stoja1619182982
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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