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Orbi vs Akhaltsikhe Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 14:00
Projected 85-80
Projected total 165.7
Final 87-82
19-23 22-19 17-27 29-13
Position#3
Record4-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game82.4
Orbi 🏆
Georgia
Vs
67%
33%
■ ORBI 67%■ AKHA 33%
Pythia win probability
Akhaltsikhe
Georgia
Position#6
Record3-2
FormLLWWW
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game78.8
GeorgiaSuperleagueRound 7· Tkibuli sport palace
Other2026-27
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Orbi hosts Akhaltsikhe on 14 November 2026 in the Superleague, with the model favouring Orbi at 67% versus 33% for the visitors and projecting a 85-80 win for the home side. Orbi enters the game with a 4-1 record, averaging 84.0 points and conceding 82.4, and sits second in the league, while their home form is 1-1 with 87.0 points for and 88.0 against; they have won four of their last five, including a narrow 81-80 victory over Kutaisi away on 6 November and a 82-81 win at home on 1 November. Akhaltsikhe, 3-2 overall, averages 76.0 points and allows 78.8, and occupies fifth place; their road record is 1-1 with 76.0 points for and 84.5 against, and they have won three of five recent games, notably a 84-81 win over TSU away on 31 October. The projected total is 165.7 points with the line at 161.5 and a 59% chance of the over, while the home line is -2.0 with a 62% probability of covering; an overtime probability of 5% rounds out the outlook.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Orbi winWon
66.7%fair 1.50
Best odds1.73
Implied53.3%
Edge+13.5pp
Akhaltsikhe winLost
33.3%fair 3.01
Best odds2.12
Implied46.7%
Edge-13.5pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 12 Nov 19:45 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OrbiGeorgiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOrbi
Date
Competition
TSU
#2
L
88-92
88
92
-4
83avg 76
A08/05
Superleague
TSU
#2
W
91-85
91
85
+6
86avg 76
A10/05
Superleague
TSU
#2
L
68-89
68
89
-21
56avg 76
H13/05
Superleague
TSU
#2
L
71-96
71
96
-25
60avg 76
H15/05
Superleague
Kutaisi
#3
W
86-80
86
80
+6
79avg 76
A22/05
Superleague
Telavi
#5
W
87-81
87
81
+6
56avg 76
A04/10
Superleague
Rustavi
#2
L
92-95
92
95
-3
88avg 76
H18/10
Superleague
Margveti
#9
W
78-75
78
75
+3
70avg 76
A25/10
Superleague
Black Fortress
#10
W
82-81
82
81
+1
80avg 76
H01/11
Superleague
Kutaisi
#11
W
81-80
81
80
+1
no box
A06/11
Superleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-20
15-22
17-27
32-23
24-21
28-13
18-24
21-27
11-36
11-21
24-12
22-20
16-26
18-33
15-19
22-18
28-25
15-21
19-16
24-18
18-24
24-21
21-13
24-23
15-30
22-18
27-23
28-24
17-15
20-20
19-14
22-26
20-14
14-19
18-22
30-26
20-14
18-24
19-22
24-20
167.8Avg total
82.4Scored
85.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)84.082.4166.4+1.680%
Season at home (2)87.088.0175.0-1.050%
Season away (3)82.078.7160.7+3.3100%
Last 10 (10)82.485.4167.8-3.060%
Last 5 (5)84.082.4166.4+1.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)80.390.7171.0-10.322%
vs Similar (17)88.187.6175.7+0.459%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)83.280.5163.8+2.8100%
This opponent (Akhaltsikhe) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AkhaltsikheGeorgiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAkhaltsikhe
Date
Competition
Batumi
#4
L
70-75
70
75
-5
57avg 64
H10/10
Superleague
CIU
#1
L
68-88
68
88
-20
52avg 64
A19/10
Superleague
Iverioni
#8
W
78-74
78
74
+4
71avg 64
H23/10
Superleague
TSU
#7
W
84-81
84
81
+3
76avg 64
A31/10
Superleague
Telavi
#5
W
80-76
80
76
+4
no box
H08/11
Superleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-21
19-17
18-22
11-15
15-16
14-25
12-25
27-22
15-19
19-13
22-18
22-24
21-21
21-27
20-21
22-12
17-18
17-16
24-25
22-17
154.8Avg total
76.0Scored
78.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)76.078.8154.8-2.860%
Season at home (3)76.075.0151.0+1.067%
Season away (2)76.084.5160.5-8.550%
Last 10 (5)76.078.8154.8-2.860%
Last 5 (5)76.078.8154.8-2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)74.082.0156.0-8.050%
vs Similar (3)77.376.7154.0+0.767%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Orbi) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 156.5Actual: Over 156.5
Over 156.5
70.6%
Under 156.5
29.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 161.5 · main lineActual: Over 161.5
Over 161.5
59.3%
@ 1.85+9.7pp
Under 161.5
40.7%
@ 1.85-9.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.85
WilliamHill
1.85
SBO
1.84
Bet365
1.83
Betano
1.83
Under
WilliamHill
1.85
Bet365
1.83
Pinnacle
1.82
Betano
1.80
SBO
1.80
Over/Under 166.5Actual: Over 166.5
Over 166.5
47.3%
Under 166.5
52.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Orbi total 79.5Actual: Orbi over 79.5
Over 79.5
71.5%
Under 79.5
28.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Orbi total 83.5 · main lineActual: Orbi over 83.5
Over 83.5
56.9%
@ 1.83+6.9pp
Under 83.5
43.1%
@ 1.83-6.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.83
Under
Bet365
1.83
Orbi total 87.5Actual: Orbi under 87.5
Over 87.5
41.4%
Under 87.5
58.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akhaltsikhe total 75.5Actual: Akhaltsikhe over 75.5
Over 75.5
67.9%
Under 75.5
32.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akhaltsikhe total 79.5 · main lineActual: Akhaltsikhe over 79.5
Over 79.5
52.9%
@ 1.83+2.9pp
Under 79.5
47.1%
@ 1.83-2.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.83
Under
Bet365
1.83
Akhaltsikhe total 83.5Actual: Akhaltsikhe under 83.5
Over 83.5
37.8%
Under 83.5
62.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Orbi -5Push
ORBI -5
50.7%
AKHA +5
49.3%
Best 5 market prices
ORBI
No market prices yet.
AKHA
No market prices yet.
Spread Orbi -2 · main lineActual: Orbi -2
ORBI -2
62.5%
@ 1.85+13.0pp
AKHA +2
37.5%
@ 1.81-13.0pp
Best 5 market prices
ORBI
Pinnacle
1.85
SBO
1.85
AKHA
Pinnacle
1.81
SBO
1.81
Spread Orbi +1Actual: Orbi +1
ORBI +1
68.4%
@ 1.65+13.3pp
AKHA -1
31.6%
@ 2.03-13.3pp
Best 5 market prices
ORBI
Pinnacle
1.65
AKHA
Pinnacle
2.03

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: +2.8+2.8
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: +2.8+2.8
OrbiAkhaltsikhe
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OrbiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
TSU
#2
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A08/05
Superleague
TSU
#2
W
52-34
52
34
+18
A10/05
Superleague
TSU
#2
L
22-57
22
57
-35
H13/05
Superleague
TSU
#2
L
34-59
34
59
-25
H15/05
Superleague
Kutaisi
#3
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A22/05
Superleague
Telavi
#5
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A04/10
Superleague
Rustavi
#2
L
37-48
37
48
-11
H18/10
Superleague
Margveti
#9
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A25/10
Superleague
Black Fortress
#10
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H01/11
Superleague
Kutaisi
#11
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A06/11
Superleague
81.5Avg total
37.8Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 80.5
Last 30 (30)40.044.284.2-4.237%67%
Last 30 at home (14)37.643.681.3-6.036%50%
Last 30 away (16)42.144.886.8-2.738%81%
Last 10 (10)37.843.781.5-5.930%60%
Last 5 (5)37.639.877.4-2.240%40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)39.345.684.9-6.233%67%
vs Similar (17)41.545.386.8-3.835%82%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)35.236.872.0-1.550%0%
This opponent (Akhaltsikhe) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AkhaltsikheLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Batumi
#4
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H10/10
Superleague
CIU
#1
L
29-41
29
41
-12
A19/10
Superleague
Iverioni
#8
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H23/10
Superleague
TSU
#7
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A31/10
Superleague
Telavi
#5
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H08/11
Superleague
74.6Avg total
36.0Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 80.5
Last 30 (5)36.038.674.6-2.640%20%
Last 30 at home (3)36.334.771.0+1.767%0%
Last 30 away (2)35.544.580.0-9.00%50%
Last 10 (5)36.038.674.6-2.640%20%
Last 5 (5)36.038.674.6-2.640%20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)31.537.569.0-6.00%0%
vs Similar (3)39.039.378.3-0.367%33%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Orbi) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winnerActual: Akhaltsikhe win
ORBI win
no forecast
@ 1.78
AKHA win
no forecast
@ 2.05
1st half Spread Orbi -1.5 · main lineActual: Akhaltsikhe +1.5
ORBI -1.5
no forecast
@ 1.98
AKHA +1.5
no forecast
@ 1.83
1st half Over/Under 80.5 · main lineActual: Over 80.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.83
Under
no forecast
@ 1.91
Orbi 1st half total 40.5 · main lineActual: Orbi over 40.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.93
Under
no forecast
@ 1.86
Akhaltsikhe 1st half total 40.5 · main lineActual: Akhaltsikhe over 40.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.83
Under
no forecast
@ 1.83
1st half: ORBI + total 80.5
ORBI & over
no forecast
@ 3.40
ORBI & under
no forecast
@ 3.45
1st half: Draw + total 80.5
Draw & over
no forecast
@ 29.00
Draw & under
no forecast
@ 29.00
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Orbi (regulation)
ORBI
no forecast
@ 1.85
Draw
no forecast
@ 17.50
AKHA
no forecast
@ 2.15

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
ORBI win + total 161.5
🔒 Pro
AKHA win + total 161.5
🔒 Pro
Overtime
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: ORBI leads at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: level at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: AKHA leads at half
🔒 Pro
Team with the highest-scoring quarter
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring half
🔒 Pro
🔒 8 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Orbi +271.8%1.57
Pinnacle
1.57		----+14.1ppWon
Overtime: no95.1%1.03
Betano
1.03		----+3.8ppWon
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Orbitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Orbi: 77.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.1 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.9 points a game
51%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.018.1
46.4%
48.2%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.97.8
32.6%
31.1%23.4
🏀 Free throws25.018.1
72.4%
64.0%18.1
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Akhaltsikhetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Akhaltsikhe: 75.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.5 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.9 points a game
51%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.017.8
48.0%
48.2%35.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.88.8
29.4%
31.1%26.2
🏀 Free throws21.813.2
60.9%
64.0%13.2
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/4 games with a box score before 14 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Orbi
WWWLWWLLWL
Akhaltsikhe
WWWLL
#3
League position
#6
-4.1
Net rating
-4.8
88.3
Offensive rating
80.5
92.4
Defensive rating
85.3
47.4%
Effective FG%
46.3%
50.8%
Opp. effective FG%
47.5%
16.1%
Turnover %
18.0%
0.40
Free-throw rate
0.33
32.6%
3-point %
29.4%
68.0%
Assist %
52.8%
60%
Form (last 10/5)
60%

Profile

Offence88.3 · 80.5Defence92.4 · 85.3Shooting47.4% · 46.3%3-point %32.6% · 29.4%Ball care16.1% · 18.0%Free throws0.40 · 0.33Form (last 10/5)60% · 60%
■ Orbi   ■ Akhaltsikhe
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Orbi wins
0
Akhaltsikhe wins
No previous meetings.
Orbilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/11/26AKutaisi81-80
01/11/26HBlack Fortress82-81
25/10/26AMargveti78-75
18/10/26HRustavi92-95
04/10/26ATelavi87-81
22/05/26AKutaisi86-80
15/05/26HTSU71-96
13/05/26HTSU68-89
10/05/26ATSU91-85
08/05/26ATSU88-92
Akhaltsikhelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/26HTelavi80-76
31/10/26ATSU84-81
23/10/26HIverioni78-74
19/10/26ACIU68-88
10/10/26HBatumi70-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Orbi
Superleague 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW80%
HomeLW50%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %80%50%100%
Points / game84.087.082.0
Allowed / game82.488.078.7
Point differential+1.6-1.0+3.3
Avg total166.4175.0160.7
Over 161.560%100%33%
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)50% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Akhaltsikhe
Superleague 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Losses (last 5)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW60%
HomeLWW67%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %60%67%50%
Points / game76.076.076.0
Allowed / game78.875.084.5
Point differential-2.8+1.0-8.5
Avg total154.8151.0160.5
Over 161.520%0%50%
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)67% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CIU660100%95.377.7+17.7
2 Rustavi65183%87.784.8+2.8
3 Orbi54180%84.082.4+1.6
4 Akhaltsikhe53260%76.078.8-2.8
5 Batumi53260%79.283.4-4.2
6 Telavi74357%87.382.1+5.1
7 TSU73443%85.185.9-0.7
8 Iverioni52340%79.483.2-3.8
9 Margveti51420%77.681.0-3.4
10 Kutaisi71614%78.684.7-6.1
11 Black Fortress6060%79.887.8-8.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Orbi1922172987
Akhaltsikhe2319271382
← all games of the day
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