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Oregon vs Gonzaga Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 30 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 19:00
Scheduled
Position#31
Record3-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game95.0
Allowed / game68.7
vs
Position#272
Record1-2
FormWLLWL
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game75.7
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Oregon v Gonzaga
30 Jan 2027
OREG v GONZ
upcoming
21 Dec 2025
OREG82
GONZ91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Oregon win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Gonzaga win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OregonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota
#235
L
44-61
44
61
-17
H18/02
NCAA
USC
#153
W
71-70
71
70
+1
A21/02
NCAA
Wisconsin
#57
W
85-71
85
71
+14
H26/02
NCAA
Northwestern
#251
L
62-63
62
63
-1
A28/02
NCAA
Illinois
#35
L
54-80
54
80
-26
A04/03
NCAA
Washington
#218
W
85-79
85
79
+6
H08/03
NCAA
Maryland
#305
L
60-70
60
70
-10
H10/03
NCAA
Montana
#195
W
87-69
87
69
+18
H03/11
NCAA
East. Washington
#308
W
98-71
98
71
+27
H06/11
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#387
W
100-66
100
66
+34
H12/11
NCAA
1H
2H
17-22
27-39
35-32
36-38
30-33
55-38
36-29
26-34
21-41
33-39
44-30
41-49
12-33
48-37
40-31
47-38
53-39
45-32
50-28
50-38
144.6Avg total
74.6Scored
70.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)95.068.7163.7+26.3100%
Season at home (3)95.068.7163.7+26.3100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)74.670.0144.6+4.660%
Last 5 (5)86.071.0157.0+15.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)67.676.6144.2-8.917%
vs Similar (9)75.670.9146.4+4.756%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)95.068.7163.7+26.3100%
This opponent (Gonzaga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GonzagaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pacific
#165
W
71-62
71
62
+9
H22/02
NCAA
Portland
#253
W
89-48
89
48
+41
H26/02
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#16
L
59-70
59
70
-11
A01/03
NCAA
Oregon State
#195
W
65-56
65
56
+9
H10/03
NCAA
Santa Clara
#39
W
79-68
79
68
+11
H11/03
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
W
73-64
73
64
+9
H20/03
NCAA
Texas
#135
L
68-74
68
74
-6
H21/03
NCAA
Purdue
#126
L
72-78
72
78
-6
A03/11
NCAA
New Mexico State
#292
W
109-68
109
68
+41
H07/11
NCAA
LSU
#13
L
80-81
80
81
-1
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
29-29
42-33
36-21
53-27
36-29
23-41
38-24
27-32
29-33
50-35
33-27
40-37
33-35
35-39
33-36
39-42
47-42
62-26
37-39
43-42
143.4Avg total
76.5Scored
66.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)87.075.7162.7+11.333%
Season at home (2)94.574.5169.0+20.050%
Season away (1)72.078.0150.0-6.00%
Last 10 (10)76.566.9143.4+9.660%
Last 5 (5)80.473.0153.4+7.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)80.081.0161.0-1.00%
vs Similar (1)72.078.0150.0-6.00%
vs Weaker (28)83.366.0149.3+17.389%
This opponent (Oregon) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +2.0+2.01st half: +3.6+3.62nd half2nd half: +2.6+2.62nd half: +6.0+6.0
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +2.0+2.01st half: +3.6+3.62nd half2nd half: +2.6+2.62nd half: +6.0+6.0
OregonGonzaga
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
OregonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota
#235
L
17-22
17
22
-5
H18/02
NCAA
USC
#153
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A21/02
NCAA
Wisconsin
#57
L
30-33
30
33
-3
H26/02
NCAA
Northwestern
#251
W
36-29
36
29
+7
A28/02
NCAA
Illinois
#35
L
21-41
21
41
-20
A04/03
NCAA
Washington
#218
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H08/03
NCAA
Maryland
#305
L
12-33
12
33
-21
H10/03
NCAA
Montana
#195
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H03/11
NCAA
East. Washington
#308
W
53-39
53
39
+14
H06/11
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#387
W
50-28
50
28
+22
H12/11
NCAA
65.6Avg total
33.8Scored
31.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.434.769.1-0.343%-
Last 30 at home (19)36.333.669.9+2.647%-
Last 30 away (11)31.336.567.8-5.336%-
Last 10 (10)33.831.865.6+2.060%-
Last 5 (5)39.832.272.0+7.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)31.634.966.5-3.422%-
vs Similar (9)35.834.970.7+0.967%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)47.732.780.3+15.0100%-
This opponent (Gonzaga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GonzagaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pacific
#165
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H22/02
NCAA
Portland
#253
W
36-21
36
21
+15
H26/02
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#16
W
36-29
36
29
+7
A01/03
NCAA
Oregon State
#195
W
38-24
38
24
+14
H10/03
NCAA
Santa Clara
#39
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H11/03
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
W
33-27
33
27
+6
H20/03
NCAA
Texas
#135
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H21/03
NCAA
Purdue
#126
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A03/11
NCAA
New Mexico State
#292
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H07/11
NCAA
LSU
#13
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H14/11
NCAA
66.6Avg total
35.1Scored
31.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.231.570.7+7.770%-
Last 30 at home (18)38.831.169.9+7.761%-
Last 30 away (12)39.832.171.8+7.783%-
Last 10 (10)35.131.566.6+3.650%-
Last 5 (5)36.635.872.4+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)37.039.076.0-2.00%-
vs Similar (1)33.036.069.0-3.00%-
vs Weaker (28)39.531.170.6+8.475%-
This opponent (Oregon) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Oregon wins
2
Gonzaga wins
DateGameScore
21/12/25Oregon v Gonzaga82-91
28/11/19Gonzaga v Oregon73-72 OT
Oregonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26HMiss. Valley St.100-66
06/11/26HEast. Washington98-71
03/11/26HMontana87-69
10/03/26HMaryland60-70
08/03/26HWashington85-79
04/03/26AIllinois54-80
28/02/26ANorthwestern62-63
26/02/26HWisconsin85-71
21/02/26AUSC71-70
18/02/26HMinnesota44-61
Gonzagalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HLSU80-81
07/11/26HNew Mexico State109-68
03/11/26APurdue72-78
21/03/26HTexas68-74
20/03/26HKennesaw State73-64
11/03/26HSanta Clara79-68
10/03/26HOregon State65-56
01/03/26ASt. Marys (CA)59-70
26/02/26HPortland89-48
22/02/26HPacific71-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Oregon
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games33-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game95.095.0-
Allowed / game68.768.7-
Point differential+26.3+26.3-
Avg total163.7163.7-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Gonzaga
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
HomeWL50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game87.094.572.0
Allowed / game75.774.578.0
Point differential+11.3+20.0-6.0
Avg total162.7169.0150.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UCLA330100%101.358.3+43.0
2 Nebraska330100%89.060.7+28.3
3 Rutgers330100%84.756.3+28.3
4 Michigan State440100%93.066.2+26.8
5 Oregon330100%95.068.7+26.3
6 Indiana440100%89.068.0+21.0
7 Wisconsin330100%79.058.0+21.0
8 Minnesota440100%78.858.5+20.2
9 USC330100%88.371.3+17.0
10 Washington220100%83.570.0+13.5
11 Illinois43175%104.571.2+33.2
12 Purdue43175%78.569.0+9.5
13 Northwestern43175%70.861.8+9.0
14 Iowa32167%85.064.7+20.3
15 Michigan32167%81.774.3+7.3
16 Penn State53260%77.675.6+2.0
17 Ohio State42250%81.079.2+1.8
18 Maryland31233%84.380.0+4.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
West Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oregon State440100%93.269.5+23.8
2 Santa Clara550100%86.675.0+11.6
3 St. Marys (CA)43175%93.576.5+17.0
4 San Diego Toreros43175%84.275.5+8.8
5 San Francisco43175%71.568.5+3.0
6 Pacific32167%74.753.7+21.0
7 Pepperdine42250%96.070.0+26.0
8 Portland52340%87.093.6-6.6
9 Gonzaga31233%87.075.7+11.3
10 Seattle31233%70.373.3-3.0
11 Loyola Marymount41325%84.574.8+9.8
12 Washington State41325%81.579.5+2.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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