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Orzinuovi vs Cantu Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 29 Sep 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 77-76 (OT)
21-21 21-24 11-16 17-9 7-6
Position#14
Record-
FormLWLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Orzinuovi 🏆
Italy
vs
Cantu
Italy
Position#2
Record-
FormWLLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
ItalySerie A2Round 1· PalaBertocchi
Other2024-25
Meetings · Orzinuovi v Cantu
29 Sep 2024
ORZI77
KAN76
11 Feb 2024
ORZI88
KAN86
20 Feb 2022
ORZI73
KAN86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Orzinuovi winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cantu winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OrzinuoviItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOrzinuovi
Date
Competition
Cantu
#4
W
88-86
88
86
+2
82avg 67
H11/02
Serie A2
Luiss Roma
#22
W
74-72 OT
74
72
+2
no box
A17/02
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#7
L
72-74
72
74
-2
60avg 67
H25/02
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
L
75-82
75
82
-7
67avg 67
A02/03
Serie A2
Trapani
#1
L
83-93
83
93
-10
76avg 67
H10/03
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
L
70-91
70
91
-21
56avg 67
A24/03
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
W
83-81
83
81
+2
78avg 67
H31/03
Serie A2
Treviglio
#16
L
78-79
78
79
-1
76avg 67
A06/04
Serie A2
Latina
#23
W
91-76
91
76
+15
90avg 67
H14/04
Serie A2
Agrigento
#19
L
80-86
80
86
-6
60avg 67
A21/04
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-23
24-21
18-20
23-22
10-19
18-15
21-17
14-12
14-15
18-17
24-15
16-27
18-18
20-26
13-12
24-26
28-21
18-23
15-26
22-23
22-23
17-25
14-20
17-23
22-25
14-21
29-10
18-25
20-14
14-19
12-26
32-20
30-24
20-13
17-27
24-12
25-32
24-22
13-4
18-28
161.4Avg total
79.4Scored
82.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)79.482.0161.4-2.640%
Last 5 (5)80.482.6163.0-2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)74.580.9155.3-6.420%
vs Similar (13)75.876.2152.1-0.438%
vs Weaker (2)82.574.0156.5+8.5100%
This opponent (Cantu) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CantuItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCantu
Date
Competition
Cividale
#11
L
66-73
66
73
-7
56avg 74
A10/05
Serie A2
Cividale
#11
W
74-72
74
72
+2
64avg 74
A12/05
Serie A2
Udine
#6
W
64-61
64
61
+3
53avg 74
H19/05
Serie A2
Udine
#6
W
76-66
76
66
+10
72avg 74
H21/05
Serie A2
Udine
#6
L
60-76
60
76
-16
44avg 74
A24/05
Serie A2
Udine
#6
W
92-89 OT
92
89
+3
79avg 74
A26/05
Serie A2
Trieste
#5
L
65-72
65
72
-7
56avg 74
H04/06
Serie A2
Trieste
#5
L
73-83
73
83
-10
65avg 74
H06/06
Serie A2
Trieste
#5
W
74-73
74
73
+1
58avg 74
A10/06
Serie A2
Trieste
#5
L
72-83
72
83
-11
59avg 74
A12/06
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-16
18-20
21-18
11-19
19-15
16-14
20-22
19-21
21-18
19-15
10-18
14-10
23-13
15-14
18-18
20-21
16-20
14-17
16-22
14-17
22-20
23-15
15-21
18-22
15-25
17-21
20-9
13-17
12-24
23-15
21-19
17-25
20-20
16-16
23-9
15-28
14-20
14-20
19-23
25-20
146.4Avg total
71.6Scored
74.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)71.674.8146.4-3.250%
Last 5 (5)75.280.0155.2-4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)67.071.0138.0-4.00%
vs Similar (16)77.975.3153.2+2.669%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)81.377.0158.3+4.362%
This opponent (Orzinuovi) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: -3.4-3.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: -3.4-3.4
OrzinuoviCantu
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OrzinuoviLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cantu
#4
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H11/02
Serie A2
Luiss Roma
#22
L
28-34
28
34
-6
A17/02
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#7
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H25/02
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A02/03
Serie A2
Trapani
#1
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H10/03
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A24/03
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H31/03
Serie A2
Treviglio
#16
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A06/04
Serie A2
Latina
#23
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H14/04
Serie A2
Agrigento
#19
L
49-54
49
54
-5
A21/04
Serie A2
81.5Avg total
39.9Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.240.677.8-3.440%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.538.075.5-0.553%-
Last 30 away (15)36.943.380.1-6.427%-
Last 10 (10)39.941.681.5-1.740%-
Last 5 (5)41.643.685.2-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)36.342.378.7-6.033%-
vs Similar (13)37.939.577.4-1.546%-
vs Weaker (2)39.035.574.5+3.550%-
This opponent (Cantu) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CantuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cividale
#11
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A10/05
Serie A2
Cividale
#11
W
35-29
35
29
+6
A12/05
Serie A2
Udine
#6
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H19/05
Serie A2
Udine
#6
W
38-27
38
27
+11
H21/05
Serie A2
Udine
#6
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A24/05
Serie A2
Udine
#6
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A26/05
Serie A2
Trieste
#5
L
32-46
32
46
-14
H04/06
Serie A2
Trieste
#5
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H06/06
Serie A2
Trieste
#5
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A10/06
Serie A2
Trieste
#5
L
28-40
28
40
-12
A12/06
Serie A2
71.1Avg total
35.3Scored
35.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.836.576.3+3.360%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.136.375.5+2.860%-
Last 30 away (15)40.436.777.1+3.760%-
Last 10 (10)35.335.871.1-0.540%-
Last 5 (5)35.239.274.4-4.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)31.039.070.0-8.00%-
vs Similar (16)39.236.375.5+2.956%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)41.236.577.7+4.669%-
This opponent (Orzinuovi) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Orzinuovitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Orzinuovi: 80.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
47%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.317.8
51.9%
50.1%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.910.0
37.2%
34.6%30.0
🏀 Free throws19.614.8
75.5%
74.4%14.8
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cantutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cantu: 70.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
47%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.315.9
47.7%
50.1%31.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.18.8
30.2%
34.6%26.4
🏀 Free throws17.112.4
72.5%
74.4%12.4
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Sep 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Orzinuovi
LWLWLLLLWW
Cantu
LWLLWLWWWL
#14
League position
#2
-1.8
Net rating
-5.0
109.2
Offensive rating
103.2
111.0
Defensive rating
108.1
53.6%
Effective FG%
46.6%
52.3%
Opp. effective FG%
52.1%
15.4%
Turnover %
13.7%
21.0%
Off. rebound %
29.6%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.27
37.2%
3-point %
30.2%
54.7%
Assist %
54.3%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence109.2 · 103.2Defence111.0 · 108.1Shooting53.6% · 46.6%3-point %37.2% · 30.2%Ball care15.4% · 13.7%Off. rebounds21.0% · 29.6%Free throws0.32 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Orzinuovi   ■ Cantu
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Orzinuovi wins
2
Cantu wins
DateGameScore
11/02/24Orzinuovi v Cantu88-86
20/02/22Orzinuovi v Cantu73-86
14/11/21Cantu v Orzinuovi76-61
Orzinuovilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/04/24AAgrigento80-86
14/04/24HLatina91-76
06/04/24ATreviglio78-79
31/03/24HBasket Torino83-81
24/03/24AVigevano70-91
10/03/24HTrapani83-93
02/03/24AUrania Milano75-82
25/02/24HSebastiani Rieti72-74
17/02/24ALuiss Roma74-72 OT
11/02/24HCantu88-86
Cantulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/06/24ATrieste72-83
10/06/24ATrieste74-73
06/06/24HTrieste73-83
04/06/24HTrieste65-72
26/05/24AUdine92-89 OT
24/05/24AUdine60-76
21/05/24HUdine76-66
19/05/24HUdine64-61
12/05/24ACividale74-72
10/05/24ACividale66-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Orzinuovi
Serie A2 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Cantu
Serie A2 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sebastiani Rieti110100%80.072.0+8.0
2 Assigeco Piacenza1010%72.080.0-8.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Orzinuovi21211117777
Cantu2124169676
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