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Treviglio vs Orzinuovi Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 06 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 79-78
14-20 19-14 26-12 20-32
Position#16
Record12-16
FormLLLWL
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game79.5
vs
Position#21
Record9-20
FormLLLLW
Points / game74.6
Allowed / game78.1
ItalySerie A2Round 30· PalaFacchetti
Other2023-24
Meetings · Treviglio v Orzinuovi
06 Apr 2024
TREV79
ORZI78
05 Dec 2021
TREV76
ORZI53
07 Apr 2021
TREV90
ORZI83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Treviglio winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Orzinuovi winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TreviglioItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTreviglio
Date
Competition
Trapani
#1
L
69-93
69
93
-24
62avg 74
A13/01
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#17
L
80-87
80
87
-7
77avg 74
A20/01
Serie A2
Latina
#23
W
84-76 OT
84
76
+8
no box
H28/01
Serie A2
Luiss Roma
#22
L
61-67
61
67
-6
44avg 74
A04/02
Serie A2
Verona
#8
L
67-68
67
68
-1
58avg 74
A12/02
Serie A2
Cividale
#11
L
77-79
77
79
-2
76avg 74
H17/02
Serie A2
Chiusi
#18
L
68-69
68
69
-1
62avg 74
H03/03
Serie A2
Trieste
#5
L
76-86
76
86
-10
67avg 74
A10/03
Serie A2
Nardo
#15
W
76-62
76
62
+14
77avg 74
H23/03
Serie A2
Udine
#6
L
65-73
65
73
-8
55avg 74
A29/03
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-18
16-24
21-26
15-25
32-20
11-18
21-32
16-17
22-19
15-19
18-25
17-9
24-29
12-9
7-11
18-18
20-17
10-23
24-11
13-17
14-23
23-21
18-15
22-20
20-18
19-21
11-20
18-10
18-28
20-23
13-22
25-13
25-15
21-22
18-18
12-7
22-22
11-18
13-13
19-20
148.3Avg total
72.3Scored
76.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)79.079.5158.4-0.543%
Season at home (14)81.179.8160.9+1.450%
Season away (14)76.879.1155.9-2.436%
Last 10 (10)72.376.0148.3-3.720%
Last 5 (5)72.473.8146.2-1.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)76.585.6162.1-9.125%
vs Similar ◀ (16)79.777.4157.1+2.344%
vs Weaker (6)82.779.3162.0+3.350%
This opponent (Orzinuovi) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OrzinuoviItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOrzinuovi
Date
Competition
Udine
#6
L
77-78
77
78
-1
70avg 66
H21/01
Serie A2
Cento
#12
W
96-82
96
82
+14
91avg 66
A28/01
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#13
W
92-81
92
81
+11
98avg 66
H04/02
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
W
88-86
88
86
+2
82avg 66
H11/02
Serie A2
Luiss Roma
#22
W
74-72 OT
74
72
+2
no box
A17/02
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#7
L
72-74
72
74
-2
60avg 66
H25/02
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
L
75-82
75
82
-7
67avg 66
A02/03
Serie A2
Trapani
#1
L
83-93
83
93
-10
76avg 66
H10/03
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
L
70-91
70
91
-21
56avg 66
A24/03
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
W
83-81
83
81
+2
78avg 66
H31/03
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-17
13-15
21-19
28-27
25-24
20-17
21-13
30-28
24-22
19-17
28-17
21-25
23-23
24-21
18-20
23-22
10-19
18-15
21-17
14-12
14-15
18-17
24-15
16-27
18-18
20-26
13-12
24-26
28-21
18-23
15-26
22-23
22-23
17-25
14-20
17-23
22-25
14-21
29-10
18-25
163.0Avg total
81.0Scored
82.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)74.678.1152.6-3.531%
Season at home (15)75.175.7150.9-0.640%
Season away (14)73.980.6154.5-6.621%
Last 10 (10)81.082.0163.0-1.050%
Last 5 (5)76.684.2160.8-7.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)74.281.3155.5-7.118%
vs Similar ◀ (12)74.774.9149.6-0.242%
vs Weaker (1)74.072.0146.0+2.0100%
This opponent (Treviglio) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: -4.0-4.0Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: +3.5+3.5Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: -2.5-2.5
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: -4.0-4.0Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: +3.5+3.5Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: -2.5-2.5
TreviglioOrzinuovi
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TreviglioLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trapani
#1
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A13/01
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#17
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A20/01
Serie A2
Latina
#23
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H28/01
Serie A2
Luiss Roma
#22
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A04/02
Serie A2
Verona
#8
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A12/02
Serie A2
Cividale
#11
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H17/02
Serie A2
Chiusi
#18
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H03/03
Serie A2
Trieste
#5
L
38-51
38
51
-13
A10/03
Serie A2
Nardo
#15
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H23/03
Serie A2
Udine
#6
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A29/03
Serie A2
77.9Avg total
37.2Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.241.782.0-1.540%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.142.982.9-2.829%-
Last 30 away (16)40.440.881.1-0.450%-
Last 10 (10)37.240.777.9-3.520%-
Last 5 (5)38.642.280.8-3.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)38.543.281.8-4.838%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)40.940.681.4+0.350%-
vs Weaker (6)40.842.883.7-2.017%-
This opponent (Orzinuovi) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OrzinuoviLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Udine
#6
L
28-32
28
32
-4
H21/01
Serie A2
Cento
#12
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A28/01
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#13
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H04/02
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H11/02
Serie A2
Luiss Roma
#22
L
28-34
28
34
-6
A17/02
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#7
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H25/02
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A02/03
Serie A2
Trapani
#1
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H10/03
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A24/03
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H31/03
Serie A2
78.6Avg total
38.2Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.540.677.0-4.137%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.838.875.5-2.044%-
Last 30 away (14)36.142.678.8-6.529%-
Last 10 (10)38.240.478.6-2.240%-
Last 5 (5)38.242.881.0-4.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)36.842.479.2-5.635%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)36.738.575.2-1.842%-
vs Weaker (1)28.034.062.0-6.00%-
This opponent (Treviglio) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Trevigliotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Treviglio: 70.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.716.7
49.6%
50.3%33.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.37.3
28.9%
34.1%21.9
🏀 Free throws20.015.0
75.0%
74.2%15.0
They take 59.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Orzinuovitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Orzinuovi: 79.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.818.1
50.6%
50.3%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.69.8
38.3%
34.1%29.4
🏀 Free throws17.813.9
78.1%
74.2%13.9
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Treviglio
LWLLLLLWLL
Orzinuovi
WLLLLWWWWL
#16
League position
#21
-9.7
Net rating
-1.5
97.1
Offensive rating
110.0
106.7
Defensive rating
111.6
46.9%
Effective FG%
53.4%
51.0%
Opp. effective FG%
51.7%
16.7%
Turnover %
14.8%
18.7%
Off. rebound %
22.0%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.29
28.9%
3-point %
38.3%
62.9%
Assist %
55.2%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence97.1 · 110.0Defence106.7 · 111.6Shooting46.9% · 53.4%3-point %28.9% · 38.3%Ball care16.7% · 14.8%Off. rebounds18.7% · 22.0%Free throws0.34 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)20% · 50%
■ Treviglio   ■ Orzinuovi
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Treviglio wins
1
Orzinuovi wins
DateGameScore
20/03/22Orzinuovi v Treviglio78-91
05/12/21Treviglio v Orzinuovi76-53
07/04/21Treviglio v Orzinuovi90-83
27/12/20Orzinuovi v Treviglio108-97
Trevigliolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/03/24AUdine65-73
23/03/24HNardo76-62
10/03/24ATrieste76-86
03/03/24HChiusi68-69
17/02/24HCividale77-79
12/02/24AVerona67-68
04/02/24ALuiss Roma61-67
28/01/24HLatina84-76 OT
20/01/24AJuVi Cremona80-87
13/01/24ATrapani69-93
Orzinuovilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/03/24HBasket Torino83-81
24/03/24AVigevano70-91
10/03/24HTrapani83-93
02/03/24AUrania Milano75-82
25/02/24HSebastiani Rieti72-74
17/02/24ALuiss Roma74-72 OT
11/02/24HCantu88-86
04/02/24HAssigeco Piacenza92-81
28/01/24ACento96-82
21/01/24HUdine77-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Treviglio
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL43%
HomeLWLLW50%
AwayLLLLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %43%50%36%
Points / game79.081.176.8
Allowed / game79.579.879.1
Point differential-0.5+1.4-2.4
Avg total158.4160.9155.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%21%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (10)33% (6)50% (4)
Overtime %7%14%0%
Orzinuovi
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW31%
HomeWWLLW40%
AwayLWWLL21%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %31%40%21%
Points / game74.675.173.9
Allowed / game78.175.780.6
Point differential-3.5-0.6-6.6
Avg total152.6150.9154.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%13%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (16)40% (10)33% (6)
Overtime %3%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trapani2826293%88.976.5+12.4
2 Forli2924583%79.272.6+6.7
3 Fortitudo Bologna2821775%76.871.3+5.4
4 Udine2921872%78.869.8+9.0
5 Cantu2920969%86.079.9+6.1
6 Basket Torino2920969%84.880.9+3.9
7 Sebastiani Rieti29181162%80.877.7+3.1
8 Verona30181260%76.473.8+2.6
9 Trieste29171259%81.078.0+3.0
10 Rimini29151452%78.376.1+2.2
11 Assigeco Piacenza29141548%78.076.1+1.9
12 Cividale29141548%75.575.1+0.4
13 Urania Milano29141548%81.783.9-2.2
14 Cento28131546%74.777.7-3.0
15 JuVi Cremona29131645%82.984.4-1.6
16 Treviglio28121643%79.079.5-0.5
17 Vigevano29111838%77.481.7-4.2
18 Nardo29111838%74.980.5-5.6
19 Orzinuovi2992031%74.678.1-3.5
20 Luiss Roma2992031%78.085.2-7.2
21 Chiusi2982128%66.773.8-7.1
22 Latina3072323%76.084.3-8.3
23 Monferrato2962321%79.384.9-5.5
24 Agrigento2962321%74.081.3-7.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Treviglio1419262079
Orzinuovi2014123278
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