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Agrigento vs Orzinuovi Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 21 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 86-80
32-25 22-24 4-13 28-18
Position#19
Record7-24
FormLLLWL
Points / game74.3
Allowed / game81.5
vs
Position#21
Record10-21
FormLLWLW
Points / game75.2
Allowed / game78.0
ItalySerie A2Round 32· PalaMoncada
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Agrigento winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Orzinuovi winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AgrigentoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAgrigento
Date
Competition
Latina
#23
L
71-80
71
80
-9
52avg 67
A04/02
Serie A2
Rimini
#10
L
61-73
61
73
-12
48avg 67
A11/02
Serie A2
Forli
#2
L
69-80
69
80
-11
59avg 67
H18/02
Serie A2
Trieste
#5
L
57-73
57
73
-16
46avg 67
A25/02
Serie A2
Udine
#6
L
70-82
70
82
-12
66avg 67
H02/03
Serie A2
Cento
#12
L
70-82
70
82
-12
63avg 67
A08/03
Serie A2
Chiusi
#18
L
84-88
84
88
-4
79avg 67
H24/03
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#13
L
74-94
74
94
-20
65avg 67
A30/03
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
W
81-79
81
79
+2
71avg 67
H07/04
Serie A2
Nardo
#15
L
76-89
76
89
-13
64avg 67
A14/04
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-22
12-23
21-13
16-22
16-21
17-22
13-10
15-20
20-17
22-25
13-19
14-19
26-15
11-22
11-20
9-16
23-26
12-22
21-14
14-20
19-19
19-19
23-20
9-24
16-23
19-20
19-25
30-20
18-24
20-29
22-24
14-17
19-20
17-20
24-23
21-16
19-26
14-24
21-20
22-19
153.3Avg total
71.3Scored
82.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)74.381.5155.8-7.123%
Season at home (15)75.877.7153.5-1.940%
Season away (16)72.985.0157.9-12.16%
Last 10 (10)71.382.0153.3-10.710%
Last 5 (5)77.086.4163.4-9.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)73.784.4158.1-10.715%
vs Similar ◀ (17)75.279.6154.8-4.429%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Orzinuovi) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OrzinuoviItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOrzinuovi
Date
Competition
Assigeco Piacenza
#13
W
92-81
92
81
+11
98avg 67
H04/02
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
W
88-86
88
86
+2
82avg 67
H11/02
Serie A2
Luiss Roma
#22
W
74-72 OT
74
72
+2
no box
A17/02
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#7
L
72-74
72
74
-2
60avg 67
H25/02
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
L
75-82
75
82
-7
67avg 67
A02/03
Serie A2
Trapani
#1
L
83-93
83
93
-10
76avg 67
H10/03
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
L
70-91
70
91
-21
56avg 67
A24/03
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
W
83-81
83
81
+2
78avg 67
H31/03
Serie A2
Treviglio
#16
L
78-79
78
79
-1
76avg 67
A06/04
Serie A2
Latina
#23
W
91-76
91
76
+15
90avg 67
H14/04
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-22
19-17
28-17
21-25
23-23
24-21
18-20
23-22
10-19
18-15
21-17
14-12
14-15
18-17
24-15
16-27
18-18
20-26
13-12
24-26
28-21
18-23
15-26
22-23
22-23
17-25
14-20
17-23
22-25
14-21
29-10
18-25
20-14
14-19
12-26
32-20
30-24
20-13
17-27
24-12
162.1Avg total
80.6Scored
81.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)75.278.0153.2-2.832%
Season at home (16)76.175.8151.9+0.444%
Season away (15)74.280.5154.7-6.320%
Last 10 (10)80.681.5162.1-0.950%
Last 5 (5)81.084.0165.0-3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)74.580.9155.3-6.420%
vs Similar ◀ (13)74.975.2150.2-0.338%
vs Weaker (2)82.574.0156.5+8.5100%
This opponent (Agrigento) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -6.3-6.3Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: -0.4-0.4
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -6.3-6.3Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: -0.4-0.4
AgrigentoOrzinuovi
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AgrigentoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Latina
#23
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A04/02
Serie A2
Rimini
#10
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A11/02
Serie A2
Forli
#2
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H18/02
Serie A2
Trieste
#5
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A25/02
Serie A2
Udine
#6
L
35-48
35
48
-13
H02/03
Serie A2
Cento
#12
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A08/03
Serie A2
Chiusi
#18
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H24/03
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#13
L
38-53
38
53
-15
A30/03
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H07/04
Serie A2
Nardo
#15
L
33-50
33
50
-17
A14/04
Serie A2
80.0Avg total
36.1Scored
43.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.440.678.0-3.233%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.438.677.0-0.143%-
Last 30 away (16)36.442.478.8-5.925%-
Last 10 (10)36.143.980.0-7.80%-
Last 5 (5)36.044.880.8-8.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)37.044.581.5-7.58%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)37.637.675.2+0.153%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Orzinuovi) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OrzinuoviLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Assigeco Piacenza
#13
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H04/02
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H11/02
Serie A2
Luiss Roma
#22
L
28-34
28
34
-6
A17/02
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#7
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H25/02
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A02/03
Serie A2
Trapani
#1
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H10/03
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A24/03
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H31/03
Serie A2
Treviglio
#16
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A06/04
Serie A2
Latina
#23
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H14/04
Serie A2
79.4Avg total
39.3Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.640.076.6-3.540%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.137.974.9-0.850%-
Last 30 away (14)36.042.578.5-6.529%-
Last 10 (10)39.340.179.4-0.850%-
Last 5 (5)41.041.682.6-0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)36.342.378.7-6.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)36.538.174.5-1.646%-
vs Weaker (2)39.035.574.5+3.550%-
This opponent (Agrigento) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Agrigentotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Agrigento: 71.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.316.8
46.3%
50.3%33.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.98.6
36.0%
34.1%25.8
🏀 Free throws18.112.4
68.5%
74.2%12.4
They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Orzinuovitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Orzinuovi: 82.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.617.3
51.5%
50.3%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.011.1
41.1%
34.1%33.3
🏀 Free throws18.814.1
75.0%
74.2%14.1
They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Agrigento
LWLLLLLLLL
Orzinuovi
WLWLLLLWWW
#19
League position
#21
-12.1
Net rating
+1.0
98.0
Offensive rating
112.3
110.1
Defensive rating
111.4
49.3%
Effective FG%
56.0%
51.1%
Opp. effective FG%
52.0%
17.2%
Turnover %
15.6%
22.7%
Off. rebound %
21.3%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.31
36.0%
3-point %
41.1%
52.8%
Assist %
58.8%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence98.0 · 112.3Defence110.1 · 111.4Shooting49.3% · 56.0%3-point %36.0% · 41.1%Ball care17.2% · 15.6%Off. rebounds22.7% · 21.3%Free throws0.30 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)10% · 50%
■ Agrigento   ■ Orzinuovi
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Agrigento wins
0
Orzinuovi wins
No previous meetings.
Agrigentolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/04/24ANardo76-89
07/04/24HFortitudo Bologna81-79
30/03/24AAssigeco Piacenza74-94
24/03/24HChiusi84-88
08/03/24ACento70-82
02/03/24HUdine70-82
25/02/24ATrieste57-73
18/02/24HForli69-80
11/02/24ARimini61-73
04/02/24ALatina71-80
Orzinuovilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/04/24HLatina91-76
06/04/24ATreviglio78-79
31/03/24HBasket Torino83-81
24/03/24AVigevano70-91
10/03/24HTrapani83-93
02/03/24AUrania Milano75-82
25/02/24HSebastiani Rieti72-74
17/02/24ALuiss Roma74-72 OT
11/02/24HCantu88-86
04/02/24HAssigeco Piacenza92-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Agrigento
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL23%
HomeWLLLW40%
AwayLLLLL6%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311516
Win %23%40%6%
Points / game74.375.872.9
Allowed / game81.577.785.0
Point differential-7.1-1.9-12.1
Avg total155.8153.5157.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)33% (3)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Orzinuovi
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW32%
HomeWLLWW44%
AwayWWLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311615
Win %32%44%20%
Points / game75.276.174.2
Allowed / game78.075.880.5
Point differential-2.8+0.4-6.3
Avg total153.2151.9154.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%19%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won35% (17)40% (10)29% (7)
Overtime %3%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trapani3128390%88.076.7+11.3
2 Forli3125681%79.072.9+6.1
3 Cantu3122971%85.579.3+6.2
4 Fortitudo Bologna3122971%76.971.6+5.3
5 Udine31211068%78.271.0+7.2
6 Sebastiani Rieti31201165%81.177.2+3.9
7 Basket Torino31201165%83.680.9+2.8
8 Verona31191261%76.873.6+3.2
9 Rimini31171455%78.875.7+3.1
10 Trieste31171455%80.878.4+2.5
11 Cividale31161552%76.575.3+1.2
12 Assigeco Piacenza31151648%78.176.3+1.8
13 Urania Milano31151648%82.284.2-2.0
14 Treviglio31141745%79.179.5-0.5
15 JuVi Cremona31141745%82.184.0-2.0
16 Cento31141745%75.078.0-3.0
17 Nardo31121939%75.180.1-5.0
18 Vigevano31112035%77.481.5-4.2
19 Orzinuovi31102132%75.278.0-2.8
20 Chiusi31102132%67.573.1-5.6
21 Luiss Roma3192229%76.985.2-8.3
22 Monferrato3172423%79.184.5-5.4
23 Agrigento3172423%74.381.5-7.1
24 Latina3172423%76.084.5-8.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Agrigento322242886
Orzinuovi2524131880
← all games of the day
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