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Orzinuovi vs Latina Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 14 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 91-76
30-24 20-13 17-27 24-12
Position#21
Record9-21
FormLLLWL
Points / game74.7
Allowed / game78.1
vs
Position#23
Record7-23
FormLLLWW
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game84.3
ItalySerie A2Round 31· PalaBertocchi
Other2023-24
Meetings · Orzinuovi v Latina
14 Apr 2024
ORZI91
LATI76
12 May 2021
ORZI97
LATI61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Orzinuovi winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Latina winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OrzinuoviItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOrzinuovi
Date
Competition
Cento
#12
W
96-82
96
82
+14
91avg 66
A28/01
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#13
W
92-81
92
81
+11
98avg 66
H04/02
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
W
88-86
88
86
+2
82avg 66
H11/02
Serie A2
Luiss Roma
#22
W
74-72 OT
74
72
+2
no box
A17/02
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#7
L
72-74
72
74
-2
60avg 66
H25/02
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
L
75-82
75
82
-7
67avg 66
A02/03
Serie A2
Trapani
#1
L
83-93
83
93
-10
76avg 66
H10/03
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
L
70-91
70
91
-21
56avg 66
A24/03
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
W
83-81
83
81
+2
78avg 66
H31/03
Serie A2
Treviglio
#16
L
78-79
78
79
-1
76avg 66
A06/04
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-24
20-17
21-13
30-28
24-22
19-17
28-17
21-25
23-23
24-21
18-20
23-22
10-19
18-15
21-17
14-12
14-15
18-17
24-15
16-27
18-18
20-26
13-12
24-26
28-21
18-23
15-26
22-23
22-23
17-25
14-20
17-23
22-25
14-21
29-10
18-25
20-14
14-19
12-26
32-20
163.2Avg total
81.1Scored
82.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)74.778.1152.8-3.430%
Season at home (15)75.175.7150.9-0.640%
Season away (15)74.280.5154.7-6.320%
Last 10 (10)81.182.1163.2-1.050%
Last 5 (5)77.885.2163.0-7.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)74.580.8155.3-6.319%
vs Similar (13)74.975.2150.2-0.338%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)74.072.0146.0+2.0100%
This opponent (Latina) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LatinaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLatina
Date
Competition
Treviglio
#16
L
76-84 OT
76
84
-8
no box
A28/01
Serie A2
Agrigento
#19
W
80-71
80
71
+9
80avg 67
H04/02
Serie A2
Nardo
#15
L
68-70
68
70
-2
56avg 67
A11/02
Serie A2
Trieste
#5
W
70-67
70
67
+3
58avg 67
H03/03
Serie A2
Udine
#6
L
72-81
72
81
-9
69avg 67
H06/03
Serie A2
Cividale
#11
L
58-75
58
75
-17
50avg 67
A09/03
Serie A2
Rimini
#10
L
73-92
73
92
-19
58avg 67
A17/03
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
L
63-77
63
77
-14
47avg 67
H23/03
Serie A2
Cento
#12
W
69-65
69
65
+4
60avg 67
A30/03
Serie A2
Verona
#8
W
71-70
71
70
+1
63avg 67
H06/04
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-22
19-15
25-18
9-17
22-22
23-12
13-21
22-16
18-18
20-17
17-14
13-21
14-18
19-16
19-17
18-16
18-25
14-19
16-13
24-24
19-18
13-22
11-12
15-23
23-27
14-17
20-25
16-23
15-24
9-20
19-20
20-13
17-17
11-16
21-10
20-22
22-23
21-16
13-13
15-18
145.2Avg total
70.0Scored
75.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)76.084.3160.3-8.323%
Season at home (15)76.984.6161.5-7.720%
Season away (15)75.184.0159.1-8.927%
Last 10 (10)70.075.2145.2-5.240%
Last 5 (5)66.875.8142.6-9.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)72.484.1156.4-11.716%
vs Similar (11)82.384.7167.0-2.536%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Orzinuovi) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: -2.1-2.1
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: -2.1-2.1
OrzinuoviLatina
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OrzinuoviLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cento
#12
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A28/01
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#13
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H04/02
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H11/02
Serie A2
Luiss Roma
#22
L
28-34
28
34
-6
A17/02
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#7
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H25/02
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A02/03
Serie A2
Trapani
#1
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H10/03
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A24/03
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H31/03
Serie A2
Treviglio
#16
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A06/04
Serie A2
79.3Avg total
38.8Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.140.076.1-3.940%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.237.974.1-1.747%-
Last 30 away (15)36.042.078.0-6.033%-
Last 10 (10)38.840.579.3-1.750%-
Last 5 (5)38.643.081.6-4.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)36.341.978.2-5.638%-
vs Similar (13)36.538.174.5-1.646%-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)28.034.062.0-6.00%-
This opponent (Latina) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LatinaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Treviglio
#16
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A28/01
Serie A2
Agrigento
#19
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H04/02
Serie A2
Nardo
#15
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A11/02
Serie A2
Trieste
#5
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H03/03
Serie A2
Udine
#6
L
32-44
32
44
-12
H06/03
Serie A2
Cividale
#11
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A09/03
Serie A2
Rimini
#10
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A17/03
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
L
24-44
24
44
-20
H23/03
Serie A2
Cento
#12
L
28-33
28
33
-5
A30/03
Serie A2
Verona
#8
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H06/04
Serie A2
73.4Avg total
35.0Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.543.281.7-4.730%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.343.982.1-5.633%-
Last 30 away (15)38.742.581.2-3.727%-
Last 10 (10)35.038.473.4-3.440%-
Last 5 (5)32.840.072.8-7.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)37.143.280.3-6.226%-
vs Similar (11)41.043.184.1-2.136%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Orzinuovi) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Orzinuovitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Orzinuovi: 80.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.217.2
50.3%
50.3%34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.710.7
40.1%
34.1%32.1
🏀 Free throws17.914.1
78.8%
74.2%14.1
They take 60.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Latinatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Latina: 73.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.617.9
48.9%
50.3%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.37.2
32.3%
34.1%21.6
🏀 Free throws22.616.3
72.1%
74.2%16.3
They take 58.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Orzinuovi
LWLLLLWWWW
Latina
WWLLLLWLWL
#21
League position
#23
-1.2
Net rating
-5.4
111.2
Offensive rating
101.4
112.5
Defensive rating
106.8
54.6%
Effective FG%
48.7%
52.1%
Opp. effective FG%
51.8%
15.3%
Turnover %
17.7%
21.1%
Off. rebound %
24.9%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.38
40.1%
3-point %
32.3%
57.3%
Assist %
54.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence111.2 · 101.4Defence112.5 · 106.8Shooting54.6% · 48.7%3-point %40.1% · 32.3%Ball care15.3% · 17.7%Off. rebounds21.1% · 24.9%Free throws0.29 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Orzinuovi   ■ Latina
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Orzinuovi wins
1
Latina wins
DateGameScore
12/05/21Orzinuovi v Latina97-61
28/04/21Latina v Orzinuovi92-86
Orzinuovilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/04/24ATreviglio78-79
31/03/24HBasket Torino83-81
24/03/24AVigevano70-91
10/03/24HTrapani83-93
02/03/24AUrania Milano75-82
25/02/24HSebastiani Rieti72-74
17/02/24ALuiss Roma74-72 OT
11/02/24HCantu88-86
04/02/24HAssigeco Piacenza92-81
28/01/24ACento96-82
Latinalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/04/24HVerona71-70
30/03/24ACento69-65
23/03/24HFortitudo Bologna63-77
17/03/24ARimini73-92
09/03/24ACividale58-75
06/03/24HUdine72-81
03/03/24HTrieste70-67
11/02/24ANardo68-70
04/02/24HAgrigento80-71
28/01/24ATreviglio76-84 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Orzinuovi
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL30%
HomeWWLLW40%
AwayWWLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %30%40%20%
Points / game74.775.174.2
Allowed / game78.175.780.5
Point differential-3.4-0.6-6.3
Avg total152.8150.9154.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%13%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won35% (17)40% (10)29% (7)
Overtime %3%0%7%
Latina
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW23%
HomeWWLLW20%
AwayLLLLW27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %23%20%27%
Points / game76.076.975.1
Allowed / game84.384.684.0
Point differential-8.3-7.7-8.9
Avg total160.3161.5159.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%0%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)40% (5)50% (2)
Overtime %7%7%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trapani3028293%88.676.6+11.9
2 Forli3125681%79.072.9+6.1
3 Cantu3122971%85.579.3+6.2
4 Fortitudo Bologna3021970%76.972.0+4.9
5 Udine31211068%78.271.0+7.2
6 Basket Torino30201067%84.581.0+3.5
7 Sebastiani Rieti31201165%81.177.2+3.9
8 Verona30181260%76.473.8+2.6
9 Trieste30171357%80.778.1+2.6
10 Rimini30161453%78.576.1+2.4
11 Cividale31161552%76.575.3+1.2
12 Assigeco Piacenza31151648%78.176.3+1.8
13 JuVi Cremona30141647%82.583.9-1.3
14 Urania Milano30141647%82.184.2-2.2
15 Treviglio31141745%79.179.5-0.5
16 Cento30131743%75.078.2-3.2
17 Vigevano30111937%77.581.8-4.2
18 Nardo30111937%74.680.2-5.6
19 Orzinuovi3092130%74.778.1-3.4
20 Chiusi3092130%67.173.2-6.0
21 Luiss Roma3092130%77.385.1-7.8
22 Agrigento3072323%74.381.2-6.9
23 Latina3072323%76.084.3-8.3
24 Monferrato3172423%79.184.5-5.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Orzinuovi3020172491
Latina2413271276
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