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Sao Jose vs Cearense Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 04 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 22:30
Final 97-82
25-28 25-13 25-22 22-19
Position#9
Record14-9
FormWWWLL
Points / game82.3
Allowed / game79.3
vs
Position#19
Record5-18
FormLLLWL
Points / game77.5
Allowed / game87.2
BrazilNBB· Ginasio Lineu de Moura
Other2025-26
Meetings · Sao Jose v Cearense
02 Nov 2026
SAO 96
CEAR53
04 Feb 2026
SAO 97
CEAR82
31 Mar 2025
SAO 84
CEAR71
21 Apr 2024
SAO 70
CEAR73
27 Oct 2023
SAO 78
CEAR82
27 Oct 2022
SAO 83
CEAR74
30 Jan 2020
SAO 83
CEAR104
17 Oct 2018
SAO 92
CEAR86
14 Jan 2016
SAO 81
CEAR90
12 Feb 2015
SAO 70
CEAR78
21 Dec 2013
SAO 54
CEAR71
04 Apr 2013
SAO 76
CEAR87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sao Jose winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cearense winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sao JoseBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJose
Date
Competition
Rio Claro
#15
W
95-64
95
64
+31
100avg 73
H12/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
L
61-74
61
74
-13
59avg 73
H16/12
NBB
Mogi
#8
W
79-61
79
61
+18
78avg 73
H19/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
83-98
83
98
-15
77avg 73
A23/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
89-87
89
87
+2
79avg 73
H27/12
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
92-73
92
73
+19
88avg 73
A29/12
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
88-81
88
81
+7
81avg 73
H09/01
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
98-91
98
91
+7
no box
H15/01
NBB
Minas
#3
L
91-95
91
95
-4
no box
H19/01
NBB
Botafogo
#16
L
80-89
80
89
-9
73avg 73
A21/01
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-17
15-13
25-17
24-17
18-18
13-21
21-16
9-19
19-21
23-18
24-14
13-8
21-28
13-27
22-25
27-18
26-27
20-22
24-17
19-21
32-12
17-21
23-21
20-19
23-17
23-22
22-20
20-22
26-27
18-22
22-24
32-18
27-28
17-29
21-17
26-21
18-26
20-18
30-23
12-22
166.9Avg total
85.6Scored
81.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)82.379.3161.7+3.061%
Season at home (12)82.075.5157.5+6.575%
Season away (11)82.783.5166.2-0.745%
Last 10 (10)85.681.3166.9+4.360%
Last 5 (5)89.885.8175.6+4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)84.091.0175.0-7.017%
vs Similar (13)78.280.7158.8-2.538%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)84.273.5157.6+10.791%
This opponent (Cearense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CearenseBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCearense
Date
Competition
Paulistano
#7
L
77-100
77
100
-23
64avg 68
H15/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
61-108
61
108
-47
74avg 68
H18/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
L
62-95
62
95
-33
50avg 68
A21/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
L
52-68
52
68
-16
39avg 68
A23/12
NBB
Minas
#3
L
81-99
81
99
-18
64avg 68
H27/12
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
L
78-86
78
86
-8
71avg 68
H29/12
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
81-88
81
88
-7
68avg 68
H10/01
NBB
Vasco
#20
L
73-78
73
78
-5
71avg 68
H13/01
NBB
Botafogo
#16
W
86-82
86
82
+4
no box
H16/01
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
66-71
66
71
-5
55avg 68
H20/01
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-32
21-14
21-32
23-22
15-29
19-38
14-23
13-18
21-34
12-20
16-24
13-17
19-18
7-20
12-15
14-15
18-24
28-16
18-33
17-26
24-19
12-21
19-16
23-30
11-21
20-23
27-20
23-24
20-10
18-25
24-14
11-29
26-22
24-21
15-20
21-19
15-23
18-14
22-19
11-15
159.2Avg total
71.7Scored
87.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)77.587.2164.7-9.722%
Season at home (14)77.786.6164.3-8.921%
Season away (9)77.188.1165.2-11.022%
Last 10 (10)71.787.5159.2-15.810%
Last 5 (5)76.881.0157.8-4.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)75.186.3161.4-11.313%
vs Similar (7)80.379.6159.9+0.757%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Sao Jose) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: -5.1-5.1Q2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: +4.0+4.0Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: -4.6-4.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: -5.1-5.1Q2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: +4.0+4.0Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: -4.6-4.6
Sao JoseCearense
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Sao JoseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rio Claro
#15
W
46-30
46
30
+16
H12/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
L
31-39
31
39
-8
H16/12
NBB
Mogi
#8
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H19/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
34-55
34
55
-21
A23/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
L
46-49
46
49
-3
H27/12
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
49-33
49
33
+16
A29/12
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H09/01
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
L
44-49
44
49
-5
H15/01
NBB
Minas
#3
L
44-57
44
57
-13
H19/01
NBB
Botafogo
#16
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A21/01
NBB
85.4Avg total
42.0Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.641.482.0-0.740%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.041.183.1+0.947%-
Last 30 away (15)39.341.780.9-2.433%-
Last 10 (10)42.043.485.4-1.440%-
Last 5 (5)44.244.488.6-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)40.846.387.2-5.533%-
vs Similar (13)38.841.980.8-3.138%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)42.638.080.6+4.645%-
This opponent (Cearense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CearenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Paulistano
#7
L
33-46
33
46
-13
H15/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
34-67
34
67
-33
H18/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
L
33-54
33
54
-21
A21/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
L
26-38
26
38
-12
A23/12
NBB
Minas
#3
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H27/12
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H29/12
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
31-44
31
44
-13
H10/01
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H13/01
NBB
Botafogo
#16
W
50-43
50
43
+7
H16/01
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H20/01
NBB
80.4Avg total
36.0Scored
44.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.342.881.1-4.533%-
Last 30 at home (19)38.341.880.2-3.532%-
Last 30 away (11)38.344.582.8-6.336%-
Last 10 (10)36.044.480.4-8.430%-
Last 5 (5)37.639.877.4-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)38.143.381.4-5.326%-
vs Similar (7)39.041.180.1-2.157%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Sao Jose) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sao Josetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sao Jose: 83.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.119.3
53.5%
52.2%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.810.2
36.7%
32.5%30.6
🏀 Free throws18.314.1
77.0%
72.8%14.1
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cearensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cearense: 71.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.118.0
43.8%
52.2%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.57.3
28.6%
32.5%21.9
🏀 Free throws18.913.7
72.5%
72.8%13.7
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sao Jose
LLWWWWLWLW
Cearense
LWLLLLLLLL
#9
League position
#19
+4.7
Net rating
-18.1
106.9
Offensive rating
87.2
102.1
Defensive rating
105.3
54.1%
Effective FG%
43.5%
48.1%
Opp. effective FG%
54.5%
17.0%
Turnover %
18.8%
26.7%
Off. rebound %
26.3%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.28
36.7%
3-point %
28.6%
67.5%
Assist %
59.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence106.9 · 87.2Defence102.1 · 105.3Shooting54.1% · 43.5%3-point %36.7% · 28.6%Ball care17.0% · 18.8%Off. rebounds26.7% · 26.3%Free throws0.29 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)60% · 10%
■ Sao Jose   ■ Cearense
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Sao Jose wins
5
Cearense wins
DateGameScore
18/11/25Cearense v Sao Jose77-86
31/03/25Sao Jose v Cearense84-71
09/12/24Cearense v Sao Jose55-75
27/04/24Cearense v Sao Jose90-66
21/04/24Sao Jose v Cearense70-73
22/01/24Cearense v Sao Jose99-95 OT
27/10/23Sao Jose v Cearense78-82
16/01/23Cearense v Sao Jose71-90
27/10/22Sao Jose v Cearense83-74
30/01/20Sao Jose v Cearense83-104
Sao Joselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/26ABotafogo80-89
19/01/26HMinas91-95
15/01/26HCruzeiro98-91
09/01/26HPaulistano88-81
29/12/25AOsasco92-73
27/12/25HUniao Corinthians89-87
23/12/25APinheiros83-98
19/12/25HMogi79-61
16/12/25HCaxias do Sul61-74
12/12/25HRio Claro95-64
Cearenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/01/26HUnifacisa66-71
16/01/26HBotafogo86-82
13/01/26HVasco73-78
10/01/26HFlamengo81-88
29/12/25HCruzeiro78-86
27/12/25HMinas81-99
23/12/25ACaxias do Sul52-68
21/12/25AUniao Corinthians62-95
18/12/25HPinheiros61-108
15/12/25HPaulistano77-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sao Jose
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL61%
HomeWWWWL75%
AwayWLLWL45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %61%75%45%
Points / game82.382.082.7
Allowed / game79.375.583.5
Point differential+3.0+6.5-0.7
Avg total161.7157.5166.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%42%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %9%0%18%
Cearense
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL22%
HomeLLLWL21%
AwayLLLLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games23149
Win %22%21%22%
Points / game77.577.777.1
Allowed / game87.286.688.1
Point differential-9.7-8.9-11.0
Avg total164.7164.3165.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%7%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)25% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Flamengo2320387%88.976.0+13.0
2 Pinheiros2319483%87.375.2+12.0
3 Minas2319483%86.578.6+7.9
4 Franca2419579%88.875.0+13.8
5 Brasilia2518772%81.471.8+9.6
6 Corinthians Paulista2416867%82.777.6+5.1
7 Paulistano2314961%81.077.2+3.9
8 Sao Jose2314961%82.379.3+3.0
9 Unifacisa23131057%81.279.8+1.3
10 Mogi22121055%76.369.4+6.9
11 Uniao Corinthians23121152%79.982.3-2.5
12 Bauru24121250%77.378.0-0.7
13 Caxias do Sul24101442%72.277.8-5.5
14 Cruzeiro2271532%79.285.6-6.4
15 Rio Claro2361726%75.787.1-11.4
16 Cearense2351822%77.587.2-9.7
17 Pato2451921%72.981.6-8.7
18 Botafogo2341917%72.382.9-10.7
19 Osasco2341917%75.187.2-12.1
20 Vasco2442017%69.579.0-9.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sao Jose2525252297
Cearense2813221982
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